Sensex

Friday, November 20, 2009

Re: Fw: [Technical-Investor] options data 1811

 

Hi Jayakrishnan,
 
I also use QT for analysis, but don't know to configure Index charts in QT. Please share how u did it.
Happy Investing,
 
Radhey Shyam Maurya
 
 


--- On Fri, 20/11/09, Jayakrishnan <jayakrish2001@yahoo.com> wrote:

From: Jayakrishnan <jayakrish2001@yahoo.com>
Subject: Re: Fw: [Technical-Investor] options data 1811
To: Technical-Investor@yahoogroups.com
Date: Friday, 20 November, 2009, 8:04 PM

 

Dear Abhijeet,

I enclose todays NIFTY chart. (Since there is no futures data available in Quote Tracker I open QT and my India bulls trader terminal and trade in Nifty futures).

I went short at the pivot at 4977 setting the target at S1 4902. Till around 11.30 nothing was happening. The EMA's are flat, BBands are coming together, I thought its going to be range bound day, so I covered the short.

At 13.46, the EMA cross over has taken place in the chart along with MACD/signal line cross over. The entry signal was generated at 4970 levels. As I already made up my mind its going to be a range bound day, I was taking my lunch very leisurely.

When I came back, it was moving very fast at 4900 levels, I could get in at around 5010 only. Because R2 is placed at 5064, it thought upside is still there and I could get minimum 30 to 35 points. And I exited at 5050 when the price bars started moving away from the upper BB, so I thought the move has lost its steam.

Had I was not at my lunch table, I would have entered at 4977 the pivot level,  because when the price touch the upper BB, the upper band was slopping up nicely  and the lower band is also slopping down which is a very good sign of a good run upwards.

Second and most important thing, I use 12 Range bar for trading Nifty futures and I usually check before I enter, with 8 Range bar chart to confirm the trend in both charts. Usually cross overs and signal triggering happens first in the smaller range bar chart 8 R.

But to my surprise, this time MACD crossed first in 12 Range bar chart and at that particular time 8 R chart was still bearish. I quickly realized there going to be a fast and furious move upside.

Best Regards,

Jayakrishnan.


--- On Fri, 11/20/09, Ray Seth <rayseth@gmail. com> wrote:


From: Ray Seth <rayseth@gmail. com>
Subject: Re: Fw: [Technical-Investor ] options data 1811
To: Technical-Investor@ yahoogroups. com
Date: Friday, November 20, 2009, 7:02 PM

Indicators merely indicate - I think sudden spurts are difficult to be
captured since indicators mostly lag.

On Fri, Nov 20, 2009 at 4:35 PM, Abhijeet Parihar
<abhijeet1807@ gmail.com> wrote:
> Guys, RSI is still overbought, Stochs still giving sell signal, MACD
> on daily chart is also shouting sell. Then its baffling to see such a
> massive nd sudden upmove. How does one predict such move? Did any one
> predict this through indicators or charts?
> Thanks
> Abhijeet
>
> On 11/20/09, Abhijit <ap19632000@yahoo. com> wrote:
>> Both, the 4900 ce and 5100 pe indicate that Nifty might not go below 4930-
>> 50, and if at all it does, there will be a huge unwinding of longs.
>>
>> Low today 4932.8...... .5050 as I type this.
>>
>> Cheers,
>>
>> AP
>>
>>
>>
>> ----- Original Message -----
>> From: Abhijit
>> To: Technical-Investor@ yahoogroups. com
>> Sent: Wednesday, November 18, 2009 10:04 PM
>> Subject: Re: [Technical-Investor ] options data 1811
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> There is another way of studying Options which is also equally successful in
>> predicting the trend--- intra day charts of options.
>>
>> Charts of Nov 4900 ce and 5100 pe attached.
>>
>> The 4900 ce chart confirms what Vish has said - that upside is limited for
>> now. Moreover, between yesterday and today, there were 6 tops at 113 for
>> 5000 ce (yes, SIX tops).
>>
>> The 4900 ce indicates that it has topped out for the short term and so has
>> the Nifty.
>>
>> However, the 5100 pe also says that downside is limited, and it has a good
>> resistance at 125 - 128.
>>
>> Both, the 4900 ce and 5100 pe indicate that Nifty might not go below 4930-
>> 50, and if at all it does, there will be a huge unwinding of longs.
>>
>> Cheers,
>>
>> AP
>>   ----- Original Message -----
>>   From: vish
>>   To: Technical-Investor@ yahoogroups. com
>>   Sent: Wednesday, November 18, 2009 7:41 PM
>>   Subject: Re: [Technical-Investor ] options data 1811
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>   Options with increase in OI
>>
>>         Ticker  Date/Time  close ch in Pr  volume  Open Int  ch in volume
>> ch in OI today  ch in OI % today
>>         PE4800NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  10.75  (0.05)  5,619,300   7,580,550
>> 1,123,600   1,312,300   20.94
>>         PE5000NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  43.35  (0.90)  9,899,550   5,471,450
>> (2,092,100)  621,650   12.82
>>         CE5100NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  41.60  (9.60)  9,024,550   4,367,200
>> (717,350)  369,250   9.24
>>         PE4900NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  21.60  0.10   6,572,800   6,088,150
>> (479,850)  295,400   5.1
>>         PE4900NIFTY1209  11/18/2009  100.15  (2.40)  611,900   1,093,700
>> 317,300   294,950   36.93
>>         CE5000NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  95.00  (11.30)  7,522,700   4,084,050
>> (2,239,200)  284,700   7.49
>>         PE5100NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  85.15  0.35   5,007,300   2,082,150
>> 1,312,750   212,700   11.38
>>         PE5000NIFTY1209  11/18/2009  136.20  (1.20)  544,950   1,294,450
>> 88,300   190,900   17.3
>>         PE4000NIFTY0110  11/18/2009  20.15  (2.10)  144,000   159,300
>> 107,400   113,400   247.06
>>         CE5200NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  13.60  (5.35)  3,567,700   3,198,900
>> (558,200)  112,550   3.65
>>
>>
>>
>>   Options with decrease in OI
>>
>>         Ticker  Date/Time  close ch in Pr  volume  Open Int  ch in volume
>> ch in OI today  ch in OI % today
>>         PE4500NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  1.85  (0.60)  1,320,500   3,880,900
>> 376,150   (656,700)  -14.47
>>         PE4400NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  1.40  (0.45)  594,500   2,333,700
>> 13,900   (326,900)  -12.29
>>         PE4600NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  2.55  (0.55)  1,861,100   4,008,050
>> 305,650   (308,000)  -7.14
>>         PE4700NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  5.05  (0.45)  2,002,450   5,440,050
>> (775,050)  (222,750)  -3.93
>>         PE4200NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  1.05  (0.30)  267,350   1,079,100
>> 26,400   (166,250)  -13.35
>>         PE4100NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  0.95  (0.25)  171,600   666,650
>> 36,350   (125,400)  -15.83
>>         CE4900NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  172.00  (10.60)  756,900   2,458,750
>> (332,100)  (114,050)  -4.43
>>         CE4800NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  260.85  (10.65)  318,550   2,064,050
>> (118,800)  (108,000)  -4.97
>>         PE4300NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  1.20  (0.25)  235,700   1,785,700
>> 26,850   (104,600)  -5.53
>>         CE4800NIFTY0310  11/18/2009  492.80  18.20   100,050   54,100
>> 100,000   (100,000)  -64.89
>>
>>
>>   Max OI  in nifty options
>>   Nifty Range is now 4800 to 5100  ( No change fr 4800-5100 on  Tuesday)
>>
>>         Ticker  Date/Time  close ch in Pr  volume  Open Int  ch in volume
>> ch in OI today  ch in OI % today
>>         PE4800NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  10.75  (0.05)  5,619,300   7,580,550
>> 1,123,600   1,312,300   20.94
>>         PE4900NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  21.60  0.10   6,572,800   6,088,150
>> (479,850)  295,400   5.1
>>         PE5000NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  43.35  (0.90)  9,899,550   5,471,450
>> (2,092,100)  621,650   12.82
>>         PE4700NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  5.05  (0.45)  2,002,450   5,440,050
>> (775,050)  (222,750)  -3.93
>>         CE5100NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  41.60  (9.60)  9,024,550   4,367,200
>> (717,350)  369,250   9.24
>>         CE5000NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  95.00  (11.30)  7,522,700   4,084,050
>> (2,239,200)  284,700   7.49
>>         PE4600NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  2.55  (0.55)  1,861,100   4,008,050
>> 305,650   (308,000)  -7.14
>>         PE4500NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  1.85  (0.60)  1,320,500   3,880,900
>> 376,150   (656,700)  -14.47
>>         CE5200NIFTY1109  11/18/2009  13.60  (5.35)  3,567,700   3,198,900
>> (558,200)  112,550   3.65
>>         PE4500NIFTY1209  11/18/2009  28.10  (3.95)  540,250   2,654,300
>> 312,400   87,350   3.4
>>
>>
>>   FII & DII Turnover (BSE + NSE)
>>         (Rs. crore)
>>        FII  DII
>>         Trade Date Buy Sales Net Buy Sales Net
>>         18/11/09 2,597.45 2,185.32 412.13 1,091.23 1,347.96 -256.73
>>         17/11/09 2,376.47 1,913.05 463.42 931.18 1,166.72 -235.54
>>         16/11/09 2,446.31 1,901.67 544.64 843.31 1,137.95 -294.64
>>         Nov, 09 31,252.81 27,620.03 3,632.78 16,386.87 15,577.19 809.68
>>         Since 1/1/09   * 520,186.99 498,371.04 21,815.95 270,927.07
>> 246,333.80 24,593.27
>>
>>
>>   FIIs buy DIIs sell!
>>
>>   Nifty data since 3/11/2009
>>
>>         Ticker  Date/Time  high  low  Range
>>         ^NSEI  11/3/2009  4,729.85   4,538.50   191.35
>>         ^NSEI  11/4/2009  4,717.80   4,565.00   152.80
>>         ^NSEI  11/5/2009  4,776.35   4,610.60   165.75
>>         ^NSEI  11/6/2009  4,836.20   4,764.85   71.35
>>         ^NSEI  11/9/2009  4,905.25   4,789.90   115.35
>>         ^NSEI  11/10/2009  4,947.70   4,860.10   87.60
>>         ^NSEI  11/11/2009  5,016.70   4,870.05   146.65
>>         ^NSEI  11/12/2009  5,014.40   4,924.75   89.65
>>         ^NSEI  11/13/2009  5,017.90   4,942.65   75.25
>>         ^NSEI  11/16/2009  5,073.20   4,994.00   79.20
>>         ^NSEI  11/17/2009  5,074.00   5,010.15   63.85
>>         ^NSEI  11/18/2009  5,079.30   5,041.65   37.65
>>
>>
>>   If you observe the lows not a single day since 3rd Nov 2009, previous day
>> low has been breached in spite of some selling pressure on some days during
>> late hours. Higher high and higher low continues but the daily range is
>> getting smaller.
>>
>>   cheers
>>   vish
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> ------------ --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---
>>   From: vish <vichooo_1999@ yahoo.com>
>>   To: Technical-Investor@ yahoogroups. com
>>   Sent: Tue, November 17, 2009 7:28:57 PM
>>   Subject: Re: [Technical-Investor ] options data 1711
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>   Options with increase in OI
>>
>>         Ticker  Date/Time  close  ch in Pr  volume  Open Int  ch in volume
>> ch in OI today  ch in OI % today
>>         CE4900NIFTY1209  11/17/2009  273.05   (11.95)  1,185,600   1,466,700
>>   1,073,550   908,050   162.54
>>         PE5100NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  84.80   (11.60)  3,694,550   1,869,450
>>  (214,250)  240,050   14.73
>>         PE4800NIFTY1209  11/17/2009  76.35   (9.00)  772,400   1,470,750
>> 494,000   238,050   19.31
>>         CE5100NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  51.20   (7.80)  9,741,900   3,997,950
>> 1,354,650   232,400   6.17
>>         CE5000NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  106.30   (7.30)  9,761,900   3,799,350
>>  3,993,750   223,700   6.26
>>         CE5000NIFTY0310  11/17/2009  358.10   (18.90)  200,050   291,300
>> 199,000   200,000   219.06
>>         CE5200NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  18.95   (6.85)  4,125,900   3,086,350
>> 619,950   182,550   6.29
>>         PE5000NIFTY1209  11/17/2009  137.40   (10.70)  456,650   1,103,550
>> 212,550   178,400   19.28
>>         CE5200NIFTY1209  11/17/2009  112.05   (9.05)  391,100   1,141,200
>> 155,950   134,300   13.34
>>         CE5100NIFTY1209  11/17/2009  155.60   (11.25)  341,600   910,500
>> 87,150   127,800   16.33
>>         PE4500NIFTY0110  11/17/2009  63.00   (3.25)  113,950   121,350
>> 112,950   112,750   1,311.05
>>         CE5300NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  6.05   (3.50)  1,259,800   1,973,100
>> (43,450)  112,400   6.04
>>         PE4600NIFTY1209  11/17/2009  41.95   (4.90)  284,600   1,509,800
>> (389,250)  111,100   7.94
>>         PE4300NIFTY1209  11/17/2009  19.05   (2.75)  305,400   2,034,700
>> (77,000)  100,050   5.17
>>
>>
>>
>>   Options with decrease in OI
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>         Ticker  Date/Time  close  ch in Pr  volume  Open Int  ch in volume
>> ch in OI today  ch in OI % today
>>         PE4600NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  3.10   (3.15)  1,555,450   4,316,050
>> 173,050   (345,850)  (7.42)
>>         CE4800NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  271.50   (4.95)  437,350   2,172,050
>> 23,850   (253,350)  (10.45)
>>         CE4900NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  182.60   (5.15)  1,089,000   2,572,800
>>  207,150   (227,850)  (8.14)
>>         PE4900NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  21.50   (8.45)  7,052,650   5,792,750
>> 1,125,650   (155,500)  (2.61)
>>         PE4700NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  5.50   (4.70)  2,777,500   5,662,800
>> 65,850   (155,400)  (2.67)
>>         PE4500NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  2.45   (1.65)  944,350   4,537,600
>> (209,950)  (141,800)  (3.03)
>>         PE4400NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  1.85   (1.30)  580,600   2,660,600
>> (319,150)  (101,500)  (3.67)
>>         PE4200NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  1.35   (0.65)  240,950   1,245,350
>> 3,500   (101,200)  (7.52)
>>         CE4700NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  364.35   (4.45)  175,300   2,113,300
>> 14,100   (79,700)  (3.63)
>>         CE5400NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  2.35   (1.85)  386,000   1,119,600
>> (150,350)  (55,500)  (4.72)
>>
>>
>>   Puts shorts are being covered. Prelude to a fall?
>>
>>   Max OI  in nifty options
>>
>>   Nifty Range is now 4800 to 5100  ( No change fr 4800-5100 on  Monday)
>>
>>
>>
>>         Ticker  Date/Time  close  ch in Pr  volume  Open Int  ch in volume
>> ch in OI today  ch in OI % today
>>         PE4800NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  10.80   (6.50)  4,495,700   6,268,250
>> (62,750)  49,150   0.79
>>         PE4900NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  21.50   (8.45)  7,052,650   5,792,750
>> 1,125,650   (155,500)  (2.61)
>>         PE4700NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  5.50   (4.70)  2,777,500   5,662,800
>> 65,850   (155,400)  (2.67)
>>         PE5000NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  44.25   (9.85)  11,991,650   4,849,800
>>  3,533,000   (54,800)  (1.12)
>>         PE4500NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  2.45   (1.65)  944,350   4,537,600
>> (209,950)  (141,800)  (3.03)
>>         PE4600NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  3.10   (3.15)  1,555,450   4,316,050
>> 173,050   (345,850)  (7.42)
>>         CE5100NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  51.20   (7.80)  9,741,900   3,997,950
>> 1,354,650   232,400   6.17
>>         CE5000NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  106.30   (7.30)  9,761,900   3,799,350
>>  3,993,750   223,700   6.26
>>         CE5200NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  18.95   (6.85)  4,125,900   3,086,350
>> 619,950   182,550   6.29
>>         PE4400NIFTY1109  11/17/2009  1.85   (1.30)  580,600   2,660,600
>> (319,150)  (101,500)  (3.67)
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>   Nifty data since 3/11/2009
>>
>>         Ticker  Date/Time  open  high  low  close
>>         ^NSEI  11/3/2009  4,712.25   4,729.85   4,538.50   4,563.90
>>         ^NSEI  11/4/2009  4,567.30   4,717.80   4,565.00   4,710.80
>>         ^NSEI  11/5/2009  4,711.65   4,776.35   4,610.60   4,765.55
>>         ^NSEI  11/6/2009  4,767.50   4,836.20   4,764.85   4,796.15
>>         ^NSEI  11/9/2009  4,796.15   4,905.25   4,789.90   4,898.40
>>         ^NSEI  11/10/2009  4,898.90   4,947.70   4,860.10   4,881.70
>>         ^NSEI  11/11/2009  4,882.30   5,016.70   4,870.05   5,003.95
>>         ^NSEI  11/12/2009  5,004.40   5,014.40   4,924.75   4,952.65
>>         ^NSEI  11/13/2009  4,952.35   5,017.90   4,942.65   4,998.95
>>         ^NSEI  11/16/2009  4,996.50   5,073.20   4,994.00   5,058.05
>>         ^NSEI  11/17/2009  5,058.95   5,074.00   5,010.15   5,062.25
>>
>>
>>   If you observe the lows not a single day since 3rd Nov 2009, previous day
>> low has been breached in spite of some selling pressure on some days during
>> late hours. Higher high and higher low continues.
>>
>>
>>
>>   FII & DII Turnover (BSE + NSE)
>>         (Rs. crore)
>>        FII  DII
>>         Trade Date Buy Sales Net Buy Sales Net
>>         17/11/09 2,376.47 1,913.05 463.42 931.18 1,166.72 -235.54
>>         16/11/09 2,446.31 1,901.67 544.64 843.31 1,137.95 -294.64
>>         13/11/09 2,156.51 1,685.39 471.12 1,076.34 1,101.74 -25.40
>>         Nov, 09 28,655.36 25,434.71 3,220.65 15,295.63 14,229.23 1,066.40
>>         Since 1/1/09   * 517,589.53 496,185.73 21,403.80 269,835.84
>> 244,985.84 24,850.00
>>
>>   Based on Highs and lows and the continued FII buying, outlook continues to
>> be bullish but options data suggests caution as some profit booking in puts
>> have taken place.
>>
>>   cheers
>>   vish
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>
>
> ------------ --------- --------- ------
>
> For Forum Rules of Conduct & Disclaimer, please go through
>
> http://finance. groups.yahoo. com/group/ Technical- Investor/ files/!Forum Rules of Conduct.txt
> Yahoo! Groups Links
>
>
>
>



--
Trading at all skill levels evokes emotions that generate great illusions.

Today's excitement won't move tomorrow's markets

Don't let that small voice of ego tell you that you have special talents.


------------ --------- --------- ------

For Forum Rules of Conduct & Disclaimer, please go through

http://finance. groups.yahoo. com/group/ Technical- Investor/ files/!Forum Rules of Conduct.txt
Yahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
    http://groups. yahoo.com/ group/Technical- Investor/

<*> Your email settings:
    Individual Email | Traditional

<*> To change settings online go to:
    http://groups. yahoo.com/ group/Technical- Investor/ join
    (Yahoo! ID required)

<*> To change settings via email:
    Technical-Investor- digest@yahoogrou ps.com
    Technical-Investor- fullfeatured@ yahoogroups. com

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
    Technical-Investor- unsubscribe@ yahoogroups. com

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
    http://docs. yahoo.com/ info/terms/




The INTERNET now has a personality. YOURS! See your Yahoo! Homepage.

__._,_.___
For Forum Rules of Conduct & Disclaimer, please go through

http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/Technical-Investor/files/!Forum Rules of Conduct.txt
.

__,_._,___

No comments: