Sensex

Monday, December 03, 2007

$$ DreamGains !! $$ Weekly Newsletter KTP031207

Trade4Profit
KALPATARU
- Trade4Profit
C-106/B, KALKAJI, NEW DELHI - 110019 (INDIA)
Tel: 011-41601206/ 0-98111-11353
*2 Day Trading System in 'F&O' Scrips by SMS/Chat-Box/Wireless Sets
*Intra-Day Real-Time Calls through Chat-Box/ SMS
*Daily Newsletters for Day-Traders & Investors
*Portfolio Advisory & Technical Quaries
*Special Services for High Networth Investors

Website - : www.trade4profit.org

03rd December 2007

India's First Technical Analysts to provide Real-Time (Online) Trading Recommendations since 1998

* Attn. Day Traders / Swing Traders / Investors !
Do Not Mix-Up your Trading & Investment Strategies
Any Stock Bullish for Intra-Day may be Bearish in Short Term but again Bullish in
Medium Term Charts or Bearish for Long Term or Vice a Versa

(First Read the 'Disclaimer' - Click Here)

Nifty 50 Index (30 Minute Chart) !.


* Nifty 50 Index ( 15 Minute Chart) !
Bullish Breakout in Hourly Charts - Further Rise to 5800-5825 Likely


By continuing to read this Newsletter, you have read and agreed to the disclaimer posted at www.trade4profit.org

To Understand as how to intreperate the Newsletters - CLICK HERE

On-Line Recommendation Portfolio (+) 29897.61% in 107 Months
(Hypothetical Performance)

The "Rs.10 Lac-Portfolio" (+)1290.75% in 346 weeks
(Hypothetical Performance)

Important Support & Resistance Levels of Sensex/ Nifty / Nifty 'Near Month'

Index

Close

Change

3- DEMA

7- DEMA

Sup-2

Sup-1

Trend

Res-1

Res-2

5D-High

5D-Low

* BSE - SENSEX

19363.19

359.93

19184.75

19119.59

18895.73

19057.29

19265.02

19571.96

19732.33

19424.99

18884.20

* CNX BANK INDEX

9375.75

251.35

9223.90

9153.03

9103.65

9204.78

9332.90

9504.50

9609.81

9437.95

8938.10

* CNX IT INDEX

4431.15

146.45

4365.60

4335.67

4257.74

4327.99

4395.62

4499.15

4556.08

4452.40

4255.50

* CNX MIDCAP

7993.70

274.85

7865.40

7800.33

7742.00

7838.12

7930.13

8086.23

8158.78

8002.50

7699.00

* S&P CNX NIFTY

5762.75

128.15

5702.75

5689.25

5590.63

5655.24

5725.98

5833.87

5890.57

5782.55

5595.50

- NSE50 1 MONTH

5803.50

153.10

5732.36

5711.90

5642.54

5701.41

5770.35

5872.80

5927.58

5825.00

5611.30

Change in Indices in last 5 Days

Index

Close

L.Change

2DayBack

3DayBack

4DayBack

5DayBack

* BSE - 500 CO'S

7865.98

184.87

11.62

-75.03

-17.37

156.32

* BSE - SENSEX

19363.19

359.93

64.39

-188.86

-119.81

394.67

* CNX BANK INDEX

9375.75

251.35

153.55

-99.90

-51.70

144.55

* CNX IT INDEX

4431.15

146.45

-27.70

-43.55

23.75

93.60

* S&P CNX 500

4869.55

128.50

-13.70

-50.55

-9.00

109.25

* S&P CNX NIFTY

5762.75

128.15

17.05

-80.60

-33.55

123.10

- CNX BANK INDEX - 1 M

9461.90

334.70

120.95

-105.80

-51.35

120.20

- CNX IT - 1 MONTH

4438.95

121.05

-16.80

-38.65

32.05

102.20

- NSE50 1 MONTH

5803.50

153.10

15.20

-95.60

-25.80

136.85

Gainers / Losers & Stocks with Spurt in Volume (Min Avg Volume >50000/Day)

Scrip

Close

L.Close

Change%

Scrip

Volume

3 Days Avg Volume

Vol Change (Times)

Gainers

Volume Toppers

MID-DAY MULTIMEDIA

59.25

49.35

20.06

TATA ELXSI (I)

302270.00

120227.34

2.51

ESSAR OIL

242.35

207.35

16.88

PRISM CEMENT

2138184.00

991291.00

2.16

HIND OIL EXPLORA

142.70

125.75

13.48

BAG FILMS

836814.00

396864.00

2.11

VSNL

627.95

557.25

12.69

MID-DAY MULTIMEDIA

2390695.00

1189024.63

2.01

STERLITE INDS (I)

1032.05

918.25

12.39

TATA TEA

296037.00

147998.00

2.00

NEYVELI LIGNITE

235.15

209.70

12.14

GLAXOSMITHKLINE PHARMA

387591.00

195281.67

1.98

UNITED SPIRITS

2067.70

1844.80

12.08

STERLITE INDS (I)

6965221.00

3628251.75

1.92

RELIANCE NATURAL RESOURCES

168.65

152.75

10.41

BHARAT FORGE

2280128.00

1207132.00

1.89

BAG FILMS

82.95

75.50

9.87

HIND OIL EXPLORA

9298057.00

5019434.50

1.85

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK

1233.50

1123.50

9.79

ESSAR OIL

41818776.00

24004870.00

1.74

BAJAJ HINDUSTAN

214.15

196.45

9.01

VSNL

3502723.00

2037718.38

1.72

Losers

GITANJALI GEMS

4102798.00

2426887.00

1.69

GLAXOSMITHKLINE PHARMA

943.50

976.75

-3.40

UNITED SPIRITS

729863.00

442331.66

1.65

HIND PETROLEUM

272.60

280.70

-2.89

NEYVELI LIGNITE

12837299.00

7904298.00

1.62

HERO HONDA

720.95

740.20

-2.60

ANSAL PROPERTIES

720374.00

446500.34

1.61

AMAR REMEDIES

38.10

39.10

-2.56

GEOMETRIC SOFTWA

106661.00

68969.66

1.55

ORCHID CHEM

257.95

264.40

-2.44

ZEE NEWS

1608537.00

1042218.00

1.54

GARWARE OFFSHORE SERVICES

240.60

244.55

-1.62

ALOK INDS

4550881.00

2956508.25

1.54

HIND LEVER

206.75

210.05

-1.57

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK

1188042.00

787247.31

1.51

BALAJI TELEFILMS

341.15

345.40

-1.23

HCL TECHNOLOGIES

1815878.00

1249757.38

1.45

BAJAJ AUTO

2704.85

2737.35

-1.19

RAJESH EXPORTS

375312.00

258769.00

1.45

BHARAT ELEC

1774.10

1793.90

-1.10

ADHUNIK METALIKS

246653.00

170649.33

1.45

Support/Resistance for Day Traders (03.12.2007)

We are giving below the Important Support and Resistance Levels of few most actively traded scrips of NSE/BSE (including F&O). Many Traders successfully use Support/ Resistance levels for day- trading. Traders are advised to read the Disclaimer and Rules for Successful trading & apply Stop Loss on all trades.
(Conditions - Avg Daily Volume in 5 days >250000)

Scrip

Close

Change

3- DEMA

7- DEMA

Sup-2

Sup-1

Trend

Res-1

Res-2

5D-High

5D-Low

ACC LTD

1090.40

26.50

1085.11

1087.51

1050.57

1066.43

1086.55

1110.62

1128.11

1147.00

872.55

BAJAJ AUTO

2704.85

-32.50

2701.63

2637.55

2620.82

2652.75

2701.70

2754.02

2796.42

2750.00

2550.00

BANK OF BARODA

382.20

28.85

369.64

366.21

335.53

357.47

376.18

401.02

418.88

394.00

345.25

BANK OF INDIA

350.75

21.50

342.38

342.74

321.52

334.84

345.07

361.03

370.44

354.45

325.00

BHARAT PETROLEUM

386.35

4.05

386.90

389.77

367.85

375.66

389.75

400.50

413.68

416.00

375.00

BHARTI AIRTEL

939.50

24.75

927.49

920.38

902.22

917.37

934.83

957.05

972.26

968.40

898.15

BHEL

2679.50

13.60

2674.89

2660.82

2520.06

2589.84

2673.17

2763.22

2840.25

2799.00

2550.00

BONGAINGAON REFI

95.65

2.80

94.38

93.09

89.03

91.99

95.03

98.71

101.54

104.85

87.50

CANARA BANK

272.00

4.05

269.89

269.95

264.69

267.33

271.00

275.69

278.70

275.00

265.00

DR. REDDY'S LABS

629.85

13.95

621.83

616.19

605.21

615.19

625.12

639.83

648.23

633.50

601.00

GAS AUTHORTY (I)

428.45

10.70

425.06

426.00

409.44

417.35

426.05

437.19

444.86

446.00

406.30

GUJ AMBUJA CEMEN

149.70

-1.65

150.08

149.41

147.18

147.88

150.45

152.28

154.49

152.95

147.00

HDFC BANK

1716.15

41.75

1680.33

1652.24

1650.46

1676.91

1714.73

1754.14

1787.84

1748.35

1585.00

HDFC LTD

2781.40

73.85

2741.61

2708.53

2638.55

2699.67

2760.22

2842.27

2896.19

2814.00

2641.00

HERO HONDA

720.95

-19.25

724.39

719.70

695.57

705.57

728.62

744.09

765.43

749.90

680.40

HIND LEVER

206.75

-3.30

208.16

207.54

202.68

203.94

208.30

211.13

214.99

213.25

206.00

HIND PETROLEUM

272.60

-8.10

278.38

281.85

258.25

264.40

277.53

285.78

298.28

301.00

270.00

ICICI BANK

1178.40

16.65

1162.62

1156.63

1129.00

1149.32

1172.85

1202.05

1222.75

1193.50

1105.00

IDBI

163.10

5.10

161.96

162.17

156.85

159.37

162.33

166.08

168.65

172.55

153.85

IDFC

204.95

9.20

201.59

198.89

192.97

198.20

202.35

209.12

212.78

214.35

191.00

IFCI LTD

94.55

6.25

91.56

90.27

86.73

90.29

92.93

97.21

99.63

95.35

85.10

INFOSYS TECHNOLO

1602.50

35.25

1585.42

1582.13

1549.84

1570.20

1599.57

1632.00

1657.50

1625.00

1535.00

ITC LTD

188.35

2.60

187.31

187.21

183.39

185.17

187.82

191.01

193.20

193.70

182.15

JAIPRAKASH ASSOC

1816.65

17.75

1792.60

1736.02

1744.25

1773.69

1813.57

1856.71

1892.24

1873.40

1640.00

LARSEN & TOUBRO

4128.75

40.80

4120.22

4139.66

3987.64

4042.83

4106.28

4192.52

4245.97

4608.40

4030.50

LIC HOUSING FIN

344.90

21.70

337.41

336.84

320.58

331.47

340.65

354.13

362.50

351.20

317.10

MAHANAGAR TELEPH

171.85

11.65

167.35

167.01

155.13

162.86

170.58

179.61

186.95

177.90

155.55

MAHINDRA & MAHIN

729.55

9.00

722.93

719.90

705.58

714.84

730.92

745.69

760.01

745.20

691.65

MARUTI UDYOG

1014.15

24.05

993.95

983.18

985.85

996.22

1011.83

1029.84

1042.98

1024.95

930.25

MPHASIS

285.60

11.15

281.49

279.27

261.94

272.72

282.20

295.14

303.96

292.00

262.00

ONGC CORPN

1167.55

30.25

1158.47

1166.75

1100.62

1129.77

1154.95

1192.88

1215.28

1209.00

1120.00

POLARIS SOFTWARE

109.35

4.05

108.67

109.12

103.26

105.90

108.18

111.65

113.67

115.00

103.05

RANBAXY LABS

385.75

8.15

385.33

391.04

376.29

379.58

385.27

391.46

396.20

402.90

370.05

RELIANCE CAPITAL

2362.45

89.00

2324.97

2302.49

2247.51

2296.21

2350.48

2416.99

2465.63

2399.00

2251.55

RELIANCE COMM

675.00

13.05

673.50

679.67

650.19

660.08

674.27

689.25

701.82

701.00

650.25

RELIANCE ENERGY

1734.05

71.55

1714.69

1725.29

1643.10

1682.15

1717.68

1769.78

1801.18

1814.00

1636.00

RELIANCE INDS

2851.65

39.10

2832.66

2820.72

2786.63

2808.49

2849.42

2892.75

2926.72

2904.95

2769.00

SATYAM COMPUTER

440.15

15.05

432.57

428.02

422.37

429.62

436.55

447.12

452.98

442.40

418.20

STATE BANK

2302.40

34.50

2282.08

2269.09

2253.04

2269.11

2309.90

2343.34

2378.53

2345.00

2222.10

STEEL AUTHORITY

258.60

8.10

256.01

255.98

248.42

252.55

256.57

262.64

266.03

272.45

246.30

STERLITE INDS (I)

1032.05

113.80

969.38

940.58

890.71

957.63

1004.02

1078.72

1122.82

1048.00

876.25

SUZLON ENERGY

1896.95

77.60

1873.02

1887.69

1788.38

1835.65

1876.05

1937.58

1973.47

1964.85

1750.10

SYNDICATE BANK

101.80

6.50

99.59

99.28

93.73

97.39

100.17

104.59

107.13

104.20

93.70

TATA MOTORS

732.45

14.25

725.20

718.34

702.02

714.51

730.15

748.17

762.05

744.00

705.00

TATA POWER COMP

1168.60

51.90

1146.66

1153.66

1105.18

1132.56

1160.20

1196.38

1221.25

1200.00

1081.30

TATA STEEL

825.90

27.65

819.96

825.72

797.72

808.74

820.13

837.35

846.74

899.90

790.05

TCS

1012.20

46.15

992.64

983.35

948.95

976.84

998.97

1034.46

1054.20

1018.65

951.00

UNION BANK

177.75

8.45

174.79

175.18

167.90

172.17

176.15

181.75

185.31

182.50

166.65

VSNL

627.95

70.70

586.55

561.18

535.90

579.65

612.05

660.55

691.57

643.00

515.00

WIPRO LTD

460.65

12.55

455.14

452.75

446.08

451.65

458.27

467.30

472.80

465.00

426.15

ZEE TELEFILMS

287.90

6.65

288.36

293.66

277.53

281.64

286.80

293.08

297.54

307.00

278.00

Bar Reversal Up/ Down, Engulfing in Daily Chats (Min Avg Volume >100000/Day)

Scrip

Scrip

Scrip

Scrip

Bar-Up

Bar-Dn

Eng-Bull

Eng-Bear

LARSEN & TOUBRO

GUJ AMBUJA CEMEN

HDFC LTD

CENTURY TEXTILES

ONGC CORPN

HERO HONDA

MRPL

HANUNG TOYS & TEXTILES

AD LABS FILMS

DEWAN HOUSING

UTI BANK

 

CIPLA LTD

HANUNG TOYS & TEXTILES

UNITED PHOSPHORU

 

POWER FINANCE CORP

BROADCAST INITIATIVES

MAHINDRA GESCO

 

BHUSHAN STEEL

 

 

 

HIMACHAL FUTURIS

 

 

 

ADANI ENTERPRISE

 

 

 

RELIANCE INFRAST

 

 

 

GUJ NRE COKE

 

 

 

SOBHA DEVELOPERS

 

 

 

What the Charts Foretell
(FOR Short Term Investors)


* NIFTY/ SENSEX !
Nifty - Bullish Breakout in Intraday Charts - Further Rise to 5800-5825 Likely
Short To Medium term Charts continue to give Bearish Signals - Book Profit in Overbought Stocks

*RPL!
Minor resistance at 222-Bullish crossover with volumes will target 238-240

* IFCI !

Bullish breakout in EST charts-Indicators favor rise to 103-104

*ESSAR OILS !

All set to cross 275 in coming weeks-Use pullback towards 225 for fresh buying with SL

* TTML !
Short term indicators favor rise to 51-52/Buy on declines with SL

* JP HYDRO !
Bullish breakout in hourly charts-Indicators favor rise to 119-120 in coming sessions

* GMR INFRA !
On verge of bullish breakout- 2 close above 260 will target 285 in near term


* IDFC !
 Mildly bullish in EST charts-Technical rally to 213-215 likely

* NEYVELI LIGNITE !
Breakout from bullish pattern-Indicators favor rise to 275 in coming days

* HOTEL LEELA !
All set to cross 72-73 in few sessions-Buy & hold with SL

* HIND OIL !
Crucial resistance at 155-Bullish breakout with volumes may target 200 in few sessions

*BALRAMPUR !
On verge of bullish breakout-Another close above 101 may target 115 in few days

* ALOK INDS. !
Short term indicators favor rise to 81-82 in near future-Buy on declines with SL

*CAIRN!

Heading for 225+/Buy on corrective decline with SL

* VSNL!
All set to cross 700 in coming weeks-Use decline towards 600 for fresh buying with SL

* BHARTI AIRTEL!
EST resistance at 955-Buy on crossover for target of 1000+

* MID-DAY MULTIMEDIA!
Breakout in hourly charts-Likely to cross 70 in coming sessions

*NIIT LTD.!
All indicators favor rise to 170-Use corrective declines towards 130 for fresh buying with SL

* VOLTAS LTD.!
Target of 260-265 maintained/Corrective declines towards 235 may be used for fresh buying

* SHIPPING CORP.!
Heading for 280 in next couple of days-Use pullback for fresh buying with SL

* SATYAM COMPUTER!
Close to crucial resistance of 440-Bullish crossover with volumes may target 470 in near term

* TCS!
Heading for 1070 in coming days-Buy on every decline with SL

* SUZLON!
Facing resistance at 1945-Bullish crossover will target 2050 in coming days

* BANK OF INDIA!

All set to cross 368-370/Buy & hold with SL

* GUJ. ALKALI!
Bullish pattern in making-Close above 205 will target 220 in few sessions


 

Bulls & Bears (Technically Speaking)

Canara Bank (Daily)

Sterlite Ind. (Daily)

Present Status Of The Market And Future Anticipation

Nifty/ Sensex: Anticipated High-Lows for the Week

Nifty: High - 5,834.17 – 5,855.00(Optimistic 5,870.00 – 5,880.00) : Low   - 5,731.85 – 5,747.80(pessimistic 5,709.19 - 5,717.63)
Sensex: High -19,604.95 – 19,680.15(Optimistic 19,705.86 – 19,730.46) Low  -19,297.00 – 19,316.76 (pessimistic 19,211.58)

PRESENT STATUS OF THE MARKET AND FUTURE ANTICIPATION: Within the lower top lower bottom patterns of this month indices made on ‘Inside Week’ last week moving within a comparative narrow range showing lowest intraweek volatility in last 11 weeks while ending in positive territory by breaking up on Friday from sideways patterns of preceding 4 working days – now in this week indices should move in a zig-zag manner in which profit booking should emerge in ranges 5,834.17 – 5,855.00 & 19,604.95 – 19,680.15 (Optimistic 5,870.00 – 5,880.00 & 19,705.86 – 19,730.46) and support should emerge in ranges 5,731.85 – 5,747.80 & 19,297.00 – 19,316.76 (pessimistic 5,709.19 - 5,717.63 & 19,183.22 – 19,211.58) and then closing of the week will tell whether down move has restarted – if indices close below 5,834.17 & 19,527.40 with black candles while closing  in lower half of the weekly candles then one should anticipate good fall in next week – on the other hand if indices close with white candles above these levels then first couple of days next week will still give bulls some opportunity to book profits at slightly higher levels (less chances) ; only if at any dayend indices close above 5,937.90 & 19,977.67 then one would take it that lower top lower bottom patterns of last one month have ended (bleak chances), otherwise maximum chances are that same trend will continue in future leading to ‘Intermediate Sell Mode’ sooner than later – it should be noted that market is holding ground on news of anticipated ‘FED interested rate cut’ early next week – accompanying future outlook should have immediate direct impact.


TODAY'S TREND: Resistance in the Second Half.

2) MEDIUM TERM TREND (INTERMEDIATE) :

It Continues sideways.

Last week 173 scrips have closed higher as compared to only 60 scrips in the preceding week (av. rise per scrip at 6 .22% is also higher than the av. rise per scrip of 5.70% in the preceding week) & only 54 scrips have closed lower as compared to 169 scrips in the preceding week (av. fall per scrip at 2.68 % is also lower than  the av. fall per scrip of 5.78% in the preceding week) out of 250 scrips we follow regularly;

Last week’s A-D data having such high % rise with such high AD ratio tilted toward bulls leads to heavy profit booking and correction in following week in 80% cases.

3) LONG TERM TREND (MAJOR) :

It continues up

4) REVIEW OF OUR 'ON - LINE RECOMMENDATIONS' OF LAST WEEK:

Last week on the buy side 17 trades were recommended involving positions equivalent to 61 .25 % of the capital (18.75 % on delivery basis) and profit / loss booking was recommended in 14 trades (which included 3 trades of earlier weeks) involving positions equivalent to 19 .31 % of the capital (11 .85 % on delivery basis). 

In addition under the policy of ‘Sell First Buy Later’ 1 trades were recommended in ‘Nifty Dec Futures’ involving positions equivalent to 10 .00% of the capital & covering was recommended in the same trade involving positions equivalent to 10 .00 % of the capital.

AVE POSITION PER BOOKED DEAL WORKS OUT TO BE = 03.92% of the capital (our target is 5. 00%).
AVE PROFIT PER BOOKED DEAL WORKS OUT TO BE = 01.45% (our target is 3. 00 %).
BOOKED PROFIT ON THE CAPITAL = 00.89% (our target is  2. 50%).

FRESH ADVISORY RECOMMENDATIONS
For Extreme Short Term Investors/ Intra-Day Traders
( First Read Disclaimer at www.trade4profit.org)

Note: It is always advisable to use Stop Loss with every Trade. The Stop Loss Level may
vary according to the Time Frame & Profit Margin for which any trade is being initiated.

BUYING

SELLING

Reco.
Date

Scrip

Reco. Type

Buy Around

Target

Reco. Date

Scrip

Reco. Type

Sell Around

Target

03.12.07 VSNL Sh/Medium Term On Declines+SL 700+          
03.12.07 CAIRN Short Term On Declines+SL 225+          
03.12.07 JP Hydro Short Term On Declines+SL 119-120          
03.12.07 Hotel Leela Short Term On Declines+SL 72-73          
03.12.07 HPCL Short Term On Declines+SL 280+          

The Hypothetical "10 Lac-Portfolio" as on 03.12.2007

FRESH RECOMMENDATIONS
( First Read Disclaimer at www.trade4profit.org)

Important Disclosure - None of the promotoers/ associates/ employees of Trade4Profit OR
Kalpataru Investment Consultants has any position in any of the below advised stocks.

Recommendations for 03.12.2007

Opening Price is considered around close of previous day. Avoid BUYING if Prices open abnormally High and Avoid SELLING if prices open too low.

1). Voltas (Or Fut) : Buy 1000 Shares (500 at opening + 5x100 at Fall of every Rs2/- ) in ' Investment A/C' . Target 255. Avg SL Rs10/-.
2).
Hotel Leela. (Or Fut): Buy 2000 Shares (1000 at opening + 5x200 at Fall of every Rs1/- ) in ' Investment A/C' . Target 72. Avg SL Rs5/-.
3).
NIIT Ltd. (Or Fut): Buy 1000 Shares (500 at opening + 5x100 at Fall of every Rs2/- ) in ' Investment A/C' . Target 165 Avg SL Rs10/-.
4).
HPCL (Or Fut) : Buy 1000 Shares (500 at opening + 5x100 at Fall of every Rs2/- ) in ' Investment A/C' . Target 280 Avg SL Rs10/-.
 

Hypothetical Performance of '10 Lac - Portfolio' in last 346 weeks

Upto Week No.

T.Gain/ Loss in portfolio

Change in the Week(s)

Remarks

0 (09.04.2001)

Nil

Nil

Initial Investment of Rs.10,00,000/- 

50

147.47

147.47%

 

100

184.46

36.99%

 

150

398.21

213.75%

 

200

501.32

103.11%

 

250

667.37

166.05%

 

300

953.87

286.50%

 

346 (01.12.2007)

1290.75

336.88%

 

Hypothetical Performance of '10 Lac - Portfolio' in last 346 weeks

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