Sensex

Monday, March 26, 2007

$$ DreamGains !! $$ Hidden Gems By Ashish Chugh - 27th Mar 2007

March 27, 2007

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd.

CMP - Rs. 1140 NSE Symbol - GODFRYPHLP BSE Code -500163

Strong Bonus Candidate

Godfrey Phillips is today the second largest player in the Indian cigarette industry (after ITC) and owns popular cigarette brands like Red and White, Four Square, Jaisalmer, Cavanders, Tipper and Prince. The company has made new launches and brand variants in recent years - I-Gen, premium brand targeted at free spirited youth and has unisexual appeal; Four Square Lights;

The company was promoted in 1936 by Godfrey Philips, London has business presence in manufacture and marketing of Cigarettes and branded tea. The company is now a part of KK Modi Group of companies. Phillips Morris, a major cigarette producer in the world had acquired full ownership in GPIL through its wholly owned subsidiary Phillips Morris International Financila Corporation(PMIFC). Then in 1979 PMIFC along with five other Non-resident Foreign Shareholders reduced their shareholding in GPIL to a level not more than 40%. Presently Phillips Morris holds 35.93% stake in GPIL. The KK Modi group also holds around 36%, taking the total promoters holding to 72%.

The company has its manufacturing facilities located in Ghaziabad (near Delhi) and in Andheri (in Mumbai), a state of the art R&D centre in Mumbai. The company has a tobacco-buying unit in Guntur (Andhra Pradesh). The company's factory at Andheri, Mumbai has been awarded a certificate of ISO 14001. The certification takes into account the Environmental Management System in place in the factory enabling it to conserve natural resources. During 2004-05, the company set up a new pilot Research & Development plant in Andheri factory. The R&D facility is recognized by the Department of Science & Technology, Government of India, and is one of a kind in India. Godfrey Phillips has for the last 10 years used the Haichi-Ban, 5S, Kaizen Teian (a continuous improvement programme) & TQM (Total Quality Management) procedures.

In 1987, it diversified into the blending and manufacture of branded tea at Guntur, Andhra Pradesh. In 1987, the company commenced the sale of specially blended and branded loose tea from an exclusive franchised outlet called Tea City, in Delhi. Distribution network for Tea City was further expanded to Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh and Rajasthan.

During 2004-05, the company expanded its installed capacity of Cigarettes by 109 million Nos., and the installed capacity of cigarettes increased to 3377 million Nos.

Its products are distributed through an extensive India wide network comprising 484 exclusive distributors and over 800,000 retail outlets

Financials

The latest financials of the company are as follows :-

QUARTERLY - LATEST RESULTS - Godfrey Phillips India Ltd (Curr: Rs in Cr.)

   
                   

Particulars

Quarter Ended

(Dec 06)

Quarter Ended

(Dec 05)

Quarter Ended

(% Var)

YTD
(Dec 06)

YTD
(Dec 05)

YTD
(% Var)

Year Ended

(Mar 06) (12)

Year Ended

(Mar 05) (12)

Year Ended

(%Var)

Sales

193.11

170.01

13.6

555.64

496.93

11.8

670.11

685.49

-2.2

Other Income

8.07

6.45

25.1

32

60.35

-47

59.64

29.68

100.9

PBIDT

39.88

34.75

14.8

122.6

107.63

13.9

120.84

122.22

-1.1

Interest

0.72

0.9

-20

2.25

2.1

7.1

2.78

5.72

-51.4

PBDT

39.16

33.85

15.7

120.35

105.53

14

118.06

116.5

1.3

Depreciation

4.74

4.63

2.4

14.14

12.91

9.5

18.37

16.55

11

PBT

34.42

29.22

17.8

106.21

92.62

14.7

99.69

99.95

-0.3

Tax

13.31

11.45

16.2

36.56

35.71

2.4

39.56

36.35

8.8

Deferred Tax

0

0

-

0

0

0

0

0

-

PAT

21.11

17.77

18.8

69.65

56.91

22.4

60.13

63.6

-5.5

Latest Data As On 26/03/2007

 

Latest Equity(Subscribed)

10.4

Latest Reserve

347.7

Latest Bookvalue -Unit Curr.

344.33

Latest EPS -Unit Curr.

68.62

Latest Market Price -Unit Curr.

1140

Latest P/E Ratio

16.52

52 Week High -Unit Curr.

1650

52 Week High-Date

4/7/2006

52 Week Low -Unit Curr.

1000

52 Week Low-Date

11/23/2006

Market Capitalisation

1178.84

Stock Exchange

BSE

Dividend Yield -%

1.99

Conclusion

Godfrey Phillips is part owned by Philip Morris, one of the largest tobacco companies in the world - manufacturing and selling many of the world's best-selling cigarette brands including Marlboro and Virginia Slims . The company has achieved consistent growth year on year and has also increased the dividend payouts every year - the latest being 225% for FY 05-06. The recent imposition of VAT will be a short term dampener for the stock, however cigarette companies have the ability to pass on the cost to the customer without a significant fall in demand. The company has achieved an increase of 12% in its topline and 22% in bottomline in the first 9 months of the current FY. For full year, we expect the PAT at Rs.85 crores which would lead to an EPS of Rs.85. One can expect higher dividend on the back of higher earnings.

With its small Equity Capital of Rs.10 crores and Sales revenues of around Rs.700 crores, the company enjoys a high Sales to Equity ratio. The company has over Rs.200 crores invested in units of various Mutual Funds. With the current year profits, the Book Value of the company will jump to over Rs.400. The company thus is a very strong BONUS CANDIDATE.

Investors can accumulate the stock at the current price and on declines.

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$$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated March 26, 2007

 


From: The Sharekhan Research Team [mailto:marketwatch@research.sharekhan.com]
Sent: Monday, March 26, 2007 4:39 PM
To: The Sharekhan Research Team
Subject: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated March 26, 2007

 
 Sharekhan's daily newsletter Visit us at www.sharekhan.com
 
March 26, 2007
Index Performance
Index

Sensex

Nifty
Open 13,345.73 3,863.45
High 13,345.73 3,885.45
Low 13,090.80 3,768.25
Today's Cls 13,124.32 3,819.95
Prev Cls 13,285.93 3,861.05
Change -161.61 -41.10
% Change -1.22 -1.06
 

Market Indicators
Top Movers (Group A)
Company Price 
(Rs)
%
chg

Gainers

Balaji Telefilms 123.45 4.62
Corporation Bank 303.50 3.85
Dena Bank 35.00 3.55
Godrej Consumer 148.95 3.55
Thermax 389.00 3.44

Losers

Syndicate Bank 65.40 -4.94
LIC Housing Finance 144.70 -4.74
Tata Motors 753.85 -4.51
Birla Corporation 189.95 -4.45
CMC 1,265.00 -4.45
Market Statistics
- BSE NSE
Advances 843 435
Declines 1,740 897
Unchanged 60 38
Volume(Nos) 20.05cr

33.14cr

 Market Commentary 
Market slips 162 points
The Sensex shed over 1% on selling in select heavyweight, auto and banking stocks.
The market continued to move down for the second consecutive session. The Sensex opened in positive territory on firm Asian markets and buying interest    
in cement, sugar and banking stocks. The sugar stocks moved up on reports that the government plans to give export incentives to mills that export the sweetener. However the Sensex slipped into negative territory on selling in front-line and auto stocks. A surge in the crude oil prices on rising global political tensions over Iran's nuclear programme kept the auto stocks in the red. The selling in banking, auto and information technology stocks dragged the Sensex to an intra-day low of 13091, down 195 points. The Sensex finally ended the session at 13124, down 162 points. The Nifty closed at 3820, down 41 points.

Movers & Shakers

  • Punj Lloyd gained on reports that its subsidiary will construct 325 villas in Bahrain at a cost of Rs542 crore. 
  • Nagarjuna Construction Company closed in the red despite securing three orders worth Rs302 crore. 
  • Glenmark Pharmaceuticals rallied sharply on reports that its subsidiary has acquired a majority stake in Medicamenta. 
  • Godrej Consumer surged on reports that it has formed a joint venture with a Swedish company to manufacture & market sanitary napkins and baby diapers in India, Nepal and Bhutan.


The breadth of the market was negative. Of the 2,643 stocks traded on the BSE, 1,740 stocks declined, 843 stocks advanced and 60 stocks ended unchanged. All the sectoral indices ended in the red. The BSE Auto Index was the biggest loser and shed 1.78% at 4950 followed by the BSE Bankex (down 1.98% at 6687) and the BSE IT Index (down 1.15% at 5009). 

Among the laggards Tata Motors was down 4.51% at Rs754, HDFC Bank declined 3.58% at Rs976, Maruti Udyog shed 2.48% at Rs819, Wipro dropped 2.45% at Rs586, TCS lost 2.19% at Rs1,261 and Reliance Energy fell 2.16% at Rs476. However, select heavyweights attracted some buying support. Satyam Computers gained 1.73% at Rs472 and ONGC rose 1.18% at Rs853. Tata Steel and Reliance Communications ended with the marginal gains.

Select auto and auto ancillary stocks witnessed considerable selling pressure. Kirloskar Oil Engineers dropped 2.97% at Rs231, Sundaram Fastners lost 2.53% at Rs66, Apollo Tyres declined 1.85% at Rs265, Bharat Forge slipped 1.78% at Rs317 and Hero Honda was down 1.72% at Rs668.

Over 49.37 lakh Reliance Petroleum shares changed hands on the BSE followed by Reliance Communications (30.50 lakh shares), Idea Cellular (15.76 lakh shares), Cairn India (12.17 lakh shares) and ITC (11.78 lakh shares).

Reliance Communications topped the value list with a turnover of Rs130 crore on the BSE followed by Infosys (Rs53 crore), Reliance Industries (Rs51 crore), Century Textiles (Rs50 crore) and TCS (Rs41 crore).

European Indices at 16:32 IST on 26-03-2007
Index Level Change (pts) Change (%)
FTSE 100 6345.30 5.90 0.09
CAC 40 Index 5620.56 -14.19 -0.25
DAX Index 6893.06 -6.00 -0.09
Asian Indices at close on 26-03-2007
Index Level Change (pts) Change (%)
Nikkei 225 17521.96 41.35 0.24
Hang Seng Index 19765.85 73.21 0.37
Kospi Index 1449.77 2.39 0.17
Straits Times Index 3204.55 -1.27 -0.04
Jakarta Composite Index 1813.72 7.76 0.43

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$$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: PowerYourTrade Trading Calls

 


From: mailer8-bounces@mailman.moneycontrol.com [mailto:mailer8-bounces@mailman.moneycontrol.com] On Behalf Of PowerYourTrade
Sent: Monday, March 26, 2007 11:20 AM
To: alerts@poweryourtrade.com
Subject: PowerYourTrade Trading Calls

Trading Calls for 26th March 2007
Deepak Mohoni
Buy Educomp Solutions above Rs 1005 with stop loss below Rs 980; This is a day-trading recommendation

Buy Educomp Solutions above Rs 1005 with stop loss below Rs 980; This is a day-trading recommendation.

These are intra-day trading recommendations. Use trailing stops once the position is taken. The extreme price of the previous 45-90 minutes at any time can be used as the trailing stops.

I have no position in any of these stocks at the time of writing (0955 hours, 26th March 2007), nor am I aware of any family members or clients holding positions in these stocks. The stocks may or may not have been recommended as buys and/or short sales in the last two months, but that is irrelevant since these are purely day-trading recommendations.

Buy Hotel Leela above Rs 57 with stop loss below Rs 56; This is a day-trading recommendation.

Buy Hotel Leela above Rs 57 with stop loss below Rs 56; This is a day-trading recommendation.

These are intra-day trading recommendations. Use trailing stops once the position is taken. The extreme price of the previous 45-90 minutes at any time can be used as the trailing stops.

I have no position in any of these stocks at the time of writing (0955 hours, 26th March 2007), nor am I aware of any family members or clients holding positions in these stocks. The stocks may or may not have been recommended as buys and/or short sales in the last two months, but that is irrelevant since these are purely day-trading recommendations.

Rajat K Bose
Buy UTI Bank around last close with stop loss below Rs 509 for target of Rs 537.50-549-560; This is a day-trading recommendation

Buy UTI Bank around last close with stop loss below Rs 509 for target of Rs 537.50-549-560; This is a day-trading recommendation.


Note:Either on the long side or on the short side if at any moment a counter is not moving beyond an initial or interim target to the final target book profits. Once initial target is crossed, you can use that as your trailing stop-loss level.

Notes:

  • All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned.
  • Calls are based on the previous trading day's price activity.
  • The call is valid for the next trading session only unless otherwise mentioned.
  • Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there.
  • Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these recommendations.

    Disclosure:The analyst and his family do not have any trades in the securities recommended above at the time of giving this recommendation. His newsletter clients have been recommended the same along with other picks. Traders are requested to adhere to the stop losses very strictly; they are given to be implemented, not ignored. Do not chase a security and take a position where you would be uncomfortable with the stop-loss level. Take a position only when you feel that the risk-reward ratio looks comfortable and favourable for the trade.

  • Buy Hinduja TMT around last close with stop loss below Rs 589 for target of Rs 625-638; This is a day-trading recommendation

    Buy Hinduja TMT around last close with stop loss below Rs 589 for target of Rs 625-638. This is a day-trading recommendation.


    Note:Either on the long side or on the short side if at any moment a counter is not moving beyond an initial or interim target to the final target book profits. Once initial target is crossed, you can use that as your trailing stop-loss level.

    Notes:

  • All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned.
  • Calls are based on the previous trading day's price activity.
  • The call is valid for the next trading session only unless otherwise mentioned.
  • Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there.
  • Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these recommendations.

    Disclosure:The analyst and his family do not have any trades in the securities recommended above at the time of giving this recommendation. His newsletter clients have been recommended the same along with other picks. Traders are requested to adhere to the stop losses very strictly; they are given to be implemented, not ignored. Do not chase a security and take a position where you would be uncomfortable with the stop-loss level. Take a position only when you feel that the risk-reward ratio looks comfortable and favourable for the trade.

  • Ashwani Gujral
    There won't be any picks from Mr Ashwani Gujral today as he is out of town.

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    BigGains !!
    Recent Activity
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