Sensex

Wednesday, November 12, 2008

DG - Sharekhan ValueGuide for November 2008

 

Sharekhan ValueGuide

[For November 2008] 

Sharekhan
www.sharekhan.com

 Investment Insights 

 Our regular features on investments and equity picks for our investors.

FROM SHAREKHAN'S DESK

Policymakers at work

Call it the October jinx (traditionally our market hits the lows in October) or the effects of the global financial meltdown, the fact is the Indian stock market went in a tailspin in October of 2008 and lost a good 25% as a result. With pessimism impairing the market’s vision, positives like softening of crude oil prices to $60 a barrel levels, a consistent drop in the domestic inflation rate and second quarter corporate results in line with expectations were completely ignored. As the foreign institutional investors pulled out nearly $3.8 billion from our market, the Sensex dropped from over 13,000 to below 10,000 during the month. The tide probably turned on October 27th when the Sensex plummeted by 12% intra-day to 7,697, the lowest level in three years, only to recover nearly 10% by the end of the day to close at 8,509. On Diwali day, the Sensex soared by another 499 points, the highest Muhurat day trading gain ever. The market has been in recovery mode ever since and the Sensex has already risen 20-25% since its October 27 free fall. Sanity appears to be returning to the market finally.


MARKET OUTLOOK 

Back from the brink 

The unprecedented chain of events witnessed across the world in recent times has forced regulators worldwide to respond with equally unprecedented measures. The massive capital infusion by governments across the world totaling to over $1.5 trillion seems to have resulted in the easing of the extreme risk aversion globally.

The stability in global markets should pave the way for the differentiation of the emerging countries based on their level of resilience. With easing inflation, reversal in the interest rate cycle, comfortable external debt situation and anticipated improvement in the current account deficit during H2FY2009, India is relatively better placed compared with many other emerging market peers and could lead the emerging market pack when the tide eventually turns. Moreover the earnings downgrade cycle and contraction in valuation multiple seems to be largely over. However forthcoming elections could potentially outweigh the likely convergence of positive macro factors. 



SHAREKHAN TOP PICKS

  • Top picks for November 2008

STOCK UPDATE

  • Aban Offshore: Price target revised to Rs2,624
  • Apollo Tyres: Price target revised to Rs45
  • Ashok Leyland: Non-core businesses drive performance
  • Axis Bank: Impressive earnings amidst concerns
  • Bajaj Auto: Price target revised to Rs650
  • Balaji Telefilms: Book out
  • Bank of India: Robust bottom line growth continues
  • Bharat Electronics: Price target revised to Rs1,209
  • Bharat Heavy Electricals: Price target revised to Rs1,546
  • Crompton Greaves: Price target revised to Rs271
  • Elder Pharmaceuticals: Price target revised to Rs406
  • Esab India: Price target revised to Rs456
  • Gateway Distriparks: Book out
  • Glenmark Pharmaceuticals: Price target revised to Rs555; maintain ‘Hold’
  • Grasim Industries: Price target revised to Rs1,469
  • HCL Technologies: Price target revised to Rs208
  • Housing Development Finance Corporation: Price target revised to Rs2,805
  • ICI India: Price target revised to Rs580
  • ICICI Bank: Price target revised to Rs728
  • Indian Hotels Company: Price target revised to Rs107
  • Indo Tech Transformers: Price target revised to Rs375
  • Infosys Technologies: Price target revised to Rs1,655
  • ITC: Price target revised to Rs218
  • Jindal Saw: Price target revised to Rs714
  • KSB Pumps: Price target revised to Rs411
  • Larsen & Toubro: Price target revised to Rs1,802
  • Maruti Suzuki India: Price target revised to Rs679
  • Opto Circuits India: Price target revised to Rs367
  • Ratnamani Metals and Tubes: Price target revised to Rs694
  • Sanghvi Movers: Price target revised to Rs219
  • Satyam Computer Services: Price target revised to Rs416
  • Shree Cement: Price target revised to Rs685
  • State Bank of India: Price target revised to Rs1,640
  • Tata Consultancy Services: Price target revised to Rs862
  • Thermax: Price target revised to Rs440
  • Zee News: Price target revised to Rs61

THE STOCK IDEAS REPORT CARD


SHAREKHAN SPECIAL

  • Monetary policy review

MUTUAL GAINS

·         Sharekhan’s top equity fund picks


VIEWPOINT

·         Infrastructure Development Finance Company: Results above expectations

·         Zee Entertainment Enterprises: Revenue growth on track; profitability disappoints


Earnings Guide

 

 Trader's Techniques 

 Get in-depth technical research and hot opportunities in the equities, derivatives and commodities markets.

  • Sensex: Flirting with 10,000
  • Copper: In correction note
  • Castor seed: Pull-back to continue
  • Derivative View

 Commodities Corner

 Get view on the buzzing commodities from our fundamental research team. 

  • Turmeric: The Indian saffron
  • Lead: To continue trading in premium over zinc for next two months

 Premier Portfolios 

 Sift through the collection of model portfolios to evaluate your investment and trading strategies.

  • Smart Trades Portfolio
  • 123 Portfolio
  • Nifty Portfolio
  • Derivatives Portfolio

Please click to read report: Sharekhan ValueGuide

 

Regards,
The Sharekhan Research Team

myaccount@sharekhan.com

 

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DG - FW: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated November 12, 2008

 

 

From: The Sharekhan Research Team [mailto:marketwatch@research.sharekhan.com]
Sent: 12 November 2008 16:06
To: The Sharekhan Research Team
Subject: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated November 12, 2008

 

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November 12, 2008

 

Index Performance

Index

Sensex

Nifty

Open

9,683.75

2,937.90

High

9,926.60

2,975.20

Low

9,376.73

2,794.95

Today's Cls

9,536.33

2,848.45

Prev Cls

9,839.69

2,938.65

Change

-303.36

-90.20

% Change

-3.08

-3.07

 

Market Indicators

Top Movers (Group A)

Company

Price 
(Rs)

%
chg

Gainers

TTML

17.99

7.60

Max India

131.60

6.47

HPCL

211.90

5.79

Glenmark Pharma

333.15

5.51

Indian Oil Corporation

374.40

4.20

Losers

Indiabulls Real Estate

112.60

-13.82

Aban Offshore

882.95

-9.36

JP Associates

77.10

-9.13

Welspun Gujarat

106.60

-8.81

Thermax

280.00

-8.69

Market Statistics

-

BSE

NSE

Advances

818

294

Declines

1,701

891

Unchanged

76

50

Volume(Nos)

28.36cr

61.20cr

 Market Commentary 

Market losses in second half 

After witnessing an intra-day swing of 551 points, the Sensex witnesses heavy selling pressure in the second half of the session to end 303 points lower.

The market saw high volatility during the day, as stocks gyrated between the either sides of the zones throughout the session with the Sensex witnessing an intra-day swing of 551

 

points. The market opened lower on overnight loss in the US markets, but pared early losses as investors' sentiment turned positive and touched the day’s high of 9,927, up 59 points. Thereafter, sustained selling in frontline, realty and banking stocks saw the Sensex enter into negative territory. After displaying some range-bound moves, the market plunged deep into the red on heavy selling towards the close to touch the day's low of 9,377. The Sensex finally closed the session at 9,536, down 303 points. Nifty had a close at 2,848, down 90 points. 

The breadth of the market was negative. Of the 2,595 stocks traded on the BSE, 1,701 stocks declined, whereas 818 stocks advanced. Seventy six stocks ended unchanged. Among the sectoral indices BSE Realty shed 7.34%, BSE Bankex fell 4.38% and BSE Metal was down 3.67%. The remaining indices were 1-3% down. 

Selling was evident in select heavyweights. JP Associates dropped 9.13% at Rs77.10, DLF declined 8.61% at Rs244.60, ICICI Bank tumbled 8.35% at Rs397.90, Reliance Infrastructure shed 6.53% at Rs540.70, Hindalco Industries dipped 5.75% at Rs56.55, Hindustan Unilever was down 4.79% at Rs234.65 and Sterlite Industries shed 4.57% at Rs237.05.

Over 1.74 crore shares of Tata Teleservices changed hands on the BSE followed by Suzlon Energy (1.73 crore shares), GVK Power and Infrastructure (1.60 crore shares), JP Associates (87 lakh shares) and Reliance Natural Resources (86 lakh shares).

European Indices at 16:00 IST on 12-11-2008

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

FTSE 100 Index

4240.17

-6.52

-0.15

CAC 40 Index

3332.12

-4.29

-0.13

DAX Index

4755.48

-6.10

-0.13

Asian Indices at close on 12-11-2008

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

Nikkei 225

8695.51

-113.79

-1.29

Hang Seng Index

13939.09

-101.81

-0.73

Kospi Index

1123.86

-4.87

-0.43

Straits Times Index

1784.01

22.95

-1.27

Jakarta Composite Index

1326.62

-9.93

-0.74

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