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T
I
M
E
S
A TIME COMMUNICATIONS PUBLICATION
VOL. XVII No. 11 Monday, Jan. 28 – Feb. 3, 2008 Pages 19
Markets can stabilise
only if FIIs turn net buyers
By Sanjay R. Bhatia
Carnage and blood bath was witnessed on Dalal Street as markets collapsed on the back of weak global cues and lack of
liquidity in the system. Traders and speculators were seen unwinding their positions in frontline index heavyweights and
mid-cap and small cap stocks. Incidentally, FIIs remained net sellers in the cash segment but were net buyers in the
derivatives segment. Moreover, domestic institutional
investors were net buyers. The volumes recorded have been
lower while the breadth of the market has remained weak
during the course of the week.
Global cues have remained negative with weak US economic
data and fears of the US reeling under a recession. However,
the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to reduce interest rates
by 75 bps has helped in improving the global sentiment.
Crude oil remained range bound on news of the US
economic slowdown. Lack of liquidity continued to be the
bane of the markets. With IPOs sucking out liquidity and
FIIs remaining net sellers, the marketmen faced a tough time
paying for the margins, which triggered a sell-off on the
domestic bourses.
The earnings season continued to meet market expectations.
However, it has taken a back seat due to the continuing liquidity pressure, which is likely to improve from the first week
of next month, as IPO refunds begin. Now it is important that FIIs also turn net buyers for the markets to stabilise and a
sustainable rally to unfold. In the meanwhile, the markets would continue to take cues from global markets, crude prices
and the monetary policy to be announced next week. Stock specific action will be witnessed amidst occasional bouts of
volatility and choppiness.
Technically, the Sensex has support at the 16,545 and 15,699 levels. On the upside, if the Sensex can sustain above 17,475,
it is likely to test the 18,526 and 18,715 levels. The 4482 is an important support level for the Nifty. On the upside, if the
Nifty manages to sustain above 5156, it is likely to test the 5519 and 5575 levels.
Traders and speculators can buy Apollo Tyres with a target price of Rs.70-75 and a stop loss of 39.
1
What a blow-up!
By Fakhri H. Sabuwala
Last week shall go down in the annals of the world financial markets as the most chaotic week ever. A meltdown, a blow-
up, a blood bath…call it what you may. But the fact remains that nothing like this was ever anticipated or seen before. It
was not only with the Sensex or the Nifty. Every benchmark index felt the quake and volatility. Actually, Friday, 18
th
January 2008, itself, had signaled the looming fear of the US recession and the gravity of the sub prime crisis. Selling by
FIIs was the single trigger that prompted the cartel of large Indian operators to follow suit and turn into bears almost
overnight. Suddenly all values evaporated and the F&O scrips just sank! So massive was the sell off that scrips like Ispat,
Nagarjuna Fertilisers, IFCI, JP Hydro lost more than 60% of their value in just two days.
The large caps and benchmark heavyweights, too, melted and disabled the market after hitting the 10% lower circuit filter
in a matter of minutes after opening on Tuesday.
A payment crisis loomed large and brokers and their risk managers spent sleepless nights in arranging for monies for the
mark to market margin payments and for recovery of losses suffered by the punters. Mayhem it was with brokers and
margin funders just selling off the client's collaterals in a bid to recover whatever they could. The crisis was of such a
dimension that no share broker could give fresh buying limits to his client and add to the pressure of his pay-in.
The sad story was of the disarray among brokers and genuine investors' wealth unable to participate and enter at such
attractive levels. The anger was at its peak when marketmen battered the recently installed bronze statue of a bull which
had supposedly brought in the bad luck to the Indian capital markets!
The market, in all probability, will come back to Tuesday's low level once again and the large caps, mid-caps or even
small caps may test last Tuesday's low individually to create a double bottom, before they exhibit a slow but sure rise in
coming months. The pain may persist for months and the recovery of funds lost by speculators will be the only agenda for
most intermediaries.
The coming days may also reveal the making of this crisis and its genesis. What role could SEBI have played to avert this
crisis? The crisis may take a political turn and uncover some embarrassing skeletons form cupboards. Many heads may
roll and a commission may be set to inquire into it. But it may be of no avail as the fault lies nowhere but in human
emotions. It's the weakness of making a quick buck and mainly greed.
The world markets witness a go slow on future and options game on individual scrips. But Indian bourses admit scrips to
F&O segment from day one! Look at the newly listed scrips like DLF, RNRL, RPL or scrips with lesser credentials like
Ispat or Nagarjuna Fertilizers or IFCI. When such blatant recklessness is displayed, a collapse is inevitable.
One may argue that a larger number of F&O scrips add to the liquidity on the bourses. Yes, but they simultaneously offer
new avenues to FIIs to hedge their positions and make a fast buck at our cost. It is, therefore, time to reconsider the whole
F&O approach, prune the list and place sound risk management systems in place. Else, await another such crisis again
and again.
The loss of money, trust, confidence is the price we paid to discover how brittle our system is. It will take long for the
blood to dry up and clean Dalal Street. Till then, keep your fingers crossed and pray to God to save the genuine investors.
Sustaining at higher levels can be an issue
By Hitendra Vasudeo
In last week's update, we had indicated that the market had surrendered to a correction. The headline was apt for the
situation witnessed last week. The bulls were at the complete mercy of the bears as the market collapsed until the bulls
stood on their feet later to regain some lost ground. Thanks to the bears who got tired of earning money that they gave a
chance to the bulls to survive. The bears took full revenge
of the last six months on the bulls.
The moral of the story is that the exhaustion of any one
side creates an opportunity for the opponent. Bulls at a
point got overloaded and did not have the power to pull it
off further were exhausted. The bears took advantage of
the opportunity to pounce on the heavy bulls and bring
them to their knees until the bears were tired and
exhausted after overhauling the bulls. This story of bulls &
bears would continue forever each one takes advantage of
the other's weakness from time to time. Most of the time,
the king survives but the soldiers die or get wounded. The
large players motivate the retail traders every time like the
soldiers who die in a war!
Last week, the Sensex opened with a gap down from its
previous Friday closing. The previous Friday's closing on
18/01/08 was at 19013.70 and the Sensex opened with the gap at 18919.57 and maintained the same as the high of the
week. It collapsed to a low of 15332.42 like a pack of cards. Further, it took support of the long term trend line taken from
4277(May'04) and 8799(June'06). The trend line value was at 15561 and the low registered was 15332 and recovered
sharply. Further, it pull back to close the week ended on 25/01/08 at 18361.66 showed a net fall of 655 points. At one
2
point, the week to week fall had maximized to 3686 points. It was a perfect follow to the terminal pattern breakdown of
the trend lines of
18182 and 18886. The
breakdown was with
1795 points for the
week
ended
on
18/01/08. The follow
up fall at one point
was to the extent of
3686 points.
WEEKLY UP TREND STOCKS
In last week's update,
we had mentioned
that the 50 day
average was violated
and
the
Sensex
would move towards
the 200 day EMA and
SMA. Last week, we
saw the same happening. What was surprising is the time that it took to complete and test the 200 day EMA and SMA.
The fall towards the averages was expected but could have been attained gradually in a fortnight or a month against
which it took just 2-3 trading sessions. Recovery with bullish candlestick pattern was expected and at the end of the week
we got a Hammer candlestick pattern on weekly charts, which has bullish implications. How far the Sensex can go up and
sustain at higher level is the question, which will also determine the effect of the Hammer candlestick pattern this time.
Let the price move below Center Point or Level 2 and when it move back above Center Point or Level 2 then buy with
what ever low registered below Center Point or Level 2 as the stop loss. After buying if the price moves to Level 3 or
above then look to book profits as the opportunity arises. If the close is below Weekly Reversal Value then the trend will
change from Up Trend to Down Trend. Check on Friday after 3.pm to confirm weekly reversal of the up Trend.
Last
Center
Relative
Weekly
Up
Close
Point
Strength Reversal Trend
Scrips
Level 1 Level 2
Level 3 Level 4
Value
Date
Stop
Loss
Buy
Price
Buy
Price
Book
Profit
Book
Profit
WELSPUN-GUJARAT
496.60 192.4
381.4
455.2
570.4
759.4
80.1
477.7
09/11/07
REI AGRO
970.00 680.3
857.3
921.7
1034.3
1211.3
77.7
928.8
28/12/07
AKRUTI NIRMAN
1204.40 480.9
953.9
1176.5
1426.9
1899.9
72.9
1216.1
28/12/07
EXIDE INDUSTRIES
80.15 43.4
65.8
73.9
88.2
110.6
67.9
79.6
14/12/07
HERO HONDA MOTORS
693.00 463.7
602.7
651.3
741.7
880.7
48.8
686.5
25/01/08
The Sensex did well to pull back from the low of 15332 to close the week at 18361. The pull back levels of the fall from
21206 to
15332
were placed at
17586-18278-18970.
Against these pull
back levels, the
Sensex
has
managed to cross
the first two pull
back level of 17586
and 18278 as the
week closed at
18361.
WEEKLY DOWN TREND STOCKS
Expect the Sensex
now possibly to
test the third pull
back level of 18970
in days to come.
Initial resistance during the week will be at 18900-19100. In case if it sustained then expect the pull back to get extended to
19743.
Let the price move above Center Point or Level 3 and when it move back below Center Point or Level 3 then sell with
what ever high registered above Center Point or Level 3 as the stop loss. After selling if the prices moves to Level 2 or
below then look to cover short positions as the opportunity arises. If the close is above Weekly Reversal Value then the
trend will change from Down Trend to Up Trend. Check on Friday after 3.pm to confirm weekly reversal of the Down
Trend.
Last
Center
Relative
Weekly
Down
Close
Point
Strength Reversal Trend
Scrips
Level 1 Level 2
Level 3 Level 4
Value
Date
Cover
Short
Cover
Short
Sell
Price
Sell
Price
Stop
Loss
MATRIX LABS
161.90
35.4
121.1
166.1
206.9
292.6
20.54
211.54
18/01/08
I-FLEX SOLUTIONS
1125.00 350.0
875.0
1150.0
1400.0
1925.0
21.22
1369.25 20/12/07
TECH MAHINDRA
728.25
303.8
593.8
749.4
883.8
1173.8
25.86
942.69
28/12/07
SPICE COMMUNICATIONS 39.65
7.9
27.6
35.3
47.3
67.0
26.22
49.52
11/01/08
PATNI COMPUTERS SERV 268.60
123.4
211.4
242.2
299.4
387.4
28.56
289.16
20/12/07
Support during the week will be at 17537-16516-15332. Weekly resistance will be at 19100 and 19743.
Sensex Wave Analysis
Wave I-2594 to 3758
Wave II-3758 to 2904
Wave III- Internals as follows:
Wave 1- 2904 to 6249
Wave 2-6249 to 4227
Wave 3-4227 to 12671
Wave IV- 12671 to 8799
Wave V- Internals as follows:
Wave 1-8799 to 14724
Wave 2-14724 to 12316
Wave 3-12316 to 21206.
3
Wave 4-21206 to 15532 (current ongoing move)
Internal of Wave 4
Wave A-21206 to15532 (Current ongoing move)
Wave i-21206 to 2505
Wave ii-2505 to 20985
Wave iii-20985 to 15332
Wave iv-15332 to 18406 (current ongoing move)
When Wave iv gets completed then expect a slide down to either create Wave v failure or test the low of 15332 to create
the double bottom or violate 15532 to move down towards 14700.
The pull-back levels of the Wave iv will be the retracement of the fall of Wave iii, which is the fall from 20985 to 15332.
The 0.618, 0.750 and 0.875 pull back levels are placed at 18823-19569-20275. Wave iv can get into further micro internals
before confirming a completion of Wave iv to move down to Wav iv
Alternative count:
Wave I-2594 to 3758
Wave II-3758 to 2904
Wave III- Internals are as follows:
Wave 1- 2904 to 6249
Wave 2-6249 to 4227
Wave 3-4227 to 12671
Wave IV- 12671 to 8799
Wave V- Internals are as follows:
Wave 1-8799 to 14724
Wave 2-14724 to 12316
Wave 3-12316 to 21206.
Wave 4-21206 to 15532
Wave 5-15532 to 18406 (Current rise and move in progress)
The alternate count stands because the Sensex has tested the correction level of 15712 and recovered to close higher. If the
Sensex is able to maintain and sustain above resistance of 18800-19100, then the alternate count will have a strong footing
to test back the top. Subsequent fall can create a higher bottom before moving up further. A sustained move above 19100
and a fall thereafter below 18800 can create a higher bottom to test back the top.
Broad Market Review
None of the sectors or indices have shown significant recovery even though the Sensex made a significant pull-back. BSE
Bankex has pull-back to almost 0.618 levels as the other indices struggled to pull back to 0.500 retracement levels. The
strength has emerged on the BSE Bankex and the Bank Nifty. Both these indices need to maintain at a higher range and
not collapse from hereon. Stock wise strength in the banking sector has been witnessed. It now depends on how banking
stocks stand collectively to trigger the market further towards the highs.
In terms of weekly relative strength, which is based on the strength for the last 13 weeks, the strongest at this point are the
Banking indices, followed by BSE Realty and BSE Oil& Gas. These indices have gathered strength because on the slide
their fall was less sharp on relation to the overall Nifty/Sensex fall. On a recovery, banking, realty and oil & gas recovered
sharply to support the Sensex/Nifty on the pull-back.
Strategy for the week
Overall strategy would be to book profit or exit long positions in loss on rally to the pull-back level of 18823-19569-20275.
* The current crisis started when authorities turned a blind eye to the runaway share prices of RPL, RNRL and Ispat
Industries not even caring to enquire how it was happening or who was playing.
TOWER TALK
* Such a fall out at commodity exchanges is not ruled out as the attention of the fast buck makers shifts there.
* The risk management systems of the NSE are under the scanner and the government may clip the wings of this high-
flyer exchange.
* You may have heard that 'F&O is poison'. But are the brokers not prudent enough to manage risks? Everything is rosy
when the going is good but when the wheel punctures, it's just suicidal!
* Reliance Powers grey market premium beaten down. Massive withdrawal of applications speaks of the fear gripping
IPO investors.
* IPOs opening this week will fund the going tough and give sleepless nights to promoters and lead managers as the fears
of undersubscription are very real.
* The bright side to the recent crash is that one can find many value buys once again. Investors shouldn't miss this chance
and start accumulating scrips of their choice.
4
* Blue Bird, Ind-Swift Labs, Jupiter Biosciences, Micro Tech, Stone India, Lokesh Machines, Accurate Transformers,
International Combustion, Hind Rectifiers, Ansal Housing are some fundamentally sound scrips that have been beaten
down by around 50%. Grab them before they shoot back to their normal multiples.
* If the grapevine is to be believed, even the big bull has faced huge losses in this carnage.
* The recent massacre has once again proved that Indian markets haven't yet matured. It reacted the sharpest compared
to other global markets eroding most companies market cap by 30%-50%.
* Bhagyanagar India is allotting warrants at Rs.90 while the market price is Rs.48.There is a good upside possibility in the
stock.
* Speciality Papers has announced its intention of a bonus issue but not the ratio. Stock is good to accumulate at current
levels.
* Jetking India has spread its wings across the country. With a strong brand name and growth, the scrip is a good buy at
current levels. It is an investor friendly company with a good dividend payout.
* Sanra Capital a Citibank offshoot holds over 14% Asian Oilfield Services. The stock has reacted sharply and can be
accumulated for the long-term.
* Zenith Birla will soon declare interim dividend, bonus and subdivision of shares. It is also merging Tungabadra
Holdings, a steel pipe manufacturing company with over Rs.50 cr. turnover and profit of Rs.2.5 cr. A risk-free buy for the
medium-term.
* DIC India, Lanxess ABS, Bodal Chemicals are considered good to accumulate at current levels for the medium-term.
* Clelestial Labs is under consolidation. Circles close to the management have already bought a good chunk of shares in
the recent downtrend and it may bounce back to Rs.70.
* The grey market premium on IPOs weakened last week with Reliance Power at Rs.180/190, Future Capital at
Rs.360/370, On Mobile at Rs.75/80 and Emaar MGF at Rs.150/160.
5
By Saarthi
BEST BETS
Lok Housing & Constructions Ltd. (Code: 500256)
Rs.235.60
Incorporated in 1986, Lok Housing & Constructions Ltd. (LHCL) is the flagship company of the Mumbai based Lok
group, which specializes in mass housing and primarily caters to the needs of the middle-income group. It has
contributed significantly to the development of Mumbai and its adjoining suburbs with over 40 mini and mega residential
complexes, commercial centres, from single storey bungalows to multi storey towers, simple flats to penthouses and
plush condominiums comprising 17,000 units spread across 9 million sq. ft. area. Lok Nagari (Ambernath), Lok Terraces
(Vashi), Lok Upvan (Thane), Lok Vatika (Kalyan), Lok Nisarg & Lok Kailsah (Mulund), Lok Vihar (Powai), Lok Darshan
(Andheri) etc. are few of its popular and big projects. It is among the first few real estate players to develop an estimated
1.2 million sq. ft. of land in a single year way back in 1994. It boasts of being the first to start an SRA (Slum Rehabilitation
Authority) project in 1994. Notably, it is also among the very few construction companies in India to have instituted six
sigma quality system for operational excellence, timely delivery and seamless execution of large scale projects. Presently,
it has several residential projects under
construction including Lok Everest (Mulund),
Lok Amber (Ambernath), Lok Nirman (Khar),
Lok Prabhat (Virar) and few others at Thane,
Kalyan, Marol etc.
Importantly, LHCL has a land bank of
whopping 1222 acres across Mumbai, Pune
and Bangalore with a development potential
of 62.5 million sq. ft. Of these, 356 acres under
the company's belt on merger with group
companies. Most of the land has been
acquired long back at very low cost and is
located at Ambernath (80 acres), Kalyan (92
acres), Vasai (136 acres), Turbhe (180 acres),
Pune (425 acres), Bangalore(240 acres) and the
balance 69 acres spread across Andheri,
Malad, Khar, Thane & Virar in Mumbai. In
order to consolidate and emerge as a bigger player, the group recently merged Lok Shelter involved in urban
rehabilitation and reconstruction projects, Lok Global- involved in diverse infrastructure projects and Lok Holding - key
vehicle to acquire land with LHCL. Thus, the company has now got into two new promising business segments –
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infrastructure development and rehabilitation project. Although both have a huge potential, the company is betting high
on the latter and is looking to participate in the National Urban Renewal Projects comprising slum eradication projects
and demolition & reconstruction of old and dilapidated buildings. It has already submitted a proposal to the state
government to rehabilitate tenants of about 300 unsafe cessed buildings in Mumbai and simultaneously develop 6 million
sq. ft. in the heart of the city in association with MHADA. The government may cross subsidize the cost of redevelopment
through sanction of Floor Space Index (FSIs). Hence it's a win-win situation for either of them.
LHCL is holding nearly 180 acres as a salt pan land in Turbhe, which it intends to develop into a top quality township on
getting clearance. The company also plans to come up with a grand project on 125-150 acres of land and to be called as
'The Lok International City', which will be a landmark mega township resembling a small independent civilization and
possibly a first of its kind in the country.
Fundamentally, its equity stands enhanced to Rs.42.88 cr. against Rs.11.70 cr. due to merger of group companies/warrant
conversion. At the same time, the promoters' holding has increased to 51% against 23% last year. To fund its upcoming
projects, the company is seeking to raise more than Rs.800 cr. through QIB/FCCB/GDR/private placement etc.
Accordingly, it made a preferential allotment of 7,62,200 shares to Bennett & Coleman at Rs.197 and is planning to allot 50
lakh warrants to promoters at Rs.354 per share. Considering LHCL's huge land bank position in metros like Mumbai,
Bangalore and Pune coupled with rising property prices, this company is available fairly cheap at a market cap of Rs.800-
850 cr. The scrip hit a new 52-week high of Rs.390 on 1
st
January 2008 but collapsed 50% in the recent carnage. Although it
can go down further, investors can still expect 50% return from hereon in 12-15 months.
Look beyond the volatility and prepare for the rise
THE OTHER VIEW
By Suryadevara
"Prepare for the rise when the chips are down". This wise saying is very much relevant at the market place at this
juncture.
Massive sales pressed by the FIIs in the last two weeks sent shock waves into the market, which are yet to subside for real.
Since most investors had forgotten the impact of 'corrections' of earlier bull markets, heavily leveraged positions and high
levels of margin-funding were created in the hope of quick gains, ignoring the risk factors.
Merchant Bankers (just like average investors) seem to have forgotten the lessons of the past and supported massive IPOs
at unjustifiable premium, selling stories about the Sensex racing towards the 30000 level. Investors simply rushed towards
the IPOs irrespective of their pricing and size. The Reliance Power IPO which had targeted Rs.11,000 cr. collected record
funds of about Rs.2,50,000 cr. within just four days.
Sale by FIIs not only brought around 28% correction at the market place but also induced 'fear' in place of 'hope'. Amidst
this, now some analysts even started talking about an imminent bear phase. However, the market has recovered in the
last two days. Is this latest recovery, a trap and is this the time to dump equities and run for safer avenues?
The situation may not be that alarming. In fact, the movement of the past two weeks can be treated as a corrective phase
of the major trend of the bull market. Although the swift recent correction was painful, such corrections are healthy for
the major bull trend. It reminds one of the legendary Warren Buffet who said "Futures & Options are the weapons of
mass destruction". Traders who were in the F&O segment have now realized this after losing heavily in the last two
weeks.
Recent IPOs sucked huge funds (to the extent of around Rs.3,00,000 cr.) from the Indian market. FIIs, too, started to book
profits from the Sensex level of 21000. As is well known, sub-prime housing finance was sending ripples for the last few
quarters. When the simmering sub-prime problem turned worse, an emergency FED rate cut of 75 basis points was
announced. FIIs who got big hits in U.S.A (tens of billions of dollars) started booking profits across the globe to fund their
US losses. Moreover, global funds who wanted to take advantage of the potential gains from the US Bonds market (in
view of another expected FED Rate cut by the month end) started pulling out of Asian markets. All these factors created a
temporary liquidity crunch in the market place. This resulted in a panic-like situation. Though investors were not
prepared for a fall of this magnitude, it may be better for them to prepare for a rise instead of getting immobilised by the
recent fall.
Expected impressive growth of GDP of above 8% for the next few years ensures that the 'Indian Growth Story' remains
intact. Japanese Reserve Bank's decision not to opt for a rate hike should remove fears of capital flight out of India. Not
only the USA recession factor, but also the negligible growth rates in Canada, European countries and even Japan limit
the investment options for global funds. The recent rate cut by 25 basis point in Canada also confirms the trend. The
investment rush towards US Bonds may not last beyond the next week. Hence, FIIs may find it difficult to find a better
economy given the dismal growth rates recorded by developed nations. Since market bottoms cannot be declared with
precision, it may be wiser to prepare for the rise from the current levels. Moreover, if the FIIs realise the fact that India
6
continues to be an attractive place for investments (especially after the required correction), the recent fall can turn out to
be a small valley before the next big mountain which can evolve in due course on the Indian bourses.
The Sensex fall from its peak level of 21206.77 (on 10-01-2008) to the low of 15332.42 (on 22-01-2008) does not reflect the
reality of the carnage that took place in the market. Some mid-cap scrips with high growth potential and tremendous
intrinsic values melted beyond recognition as investors simply lost their senses alarmed by the market fall, for example,
Jupiter Biosciences Ltd. which was trading at Rs.171.00 on 31-12-2003. At the Sensex level of 5839.00 is toady available for
a mere Rs.139.00 at the current Sensex level of 18361.00. This analyst believes that grabbing such scrips in the current
market offers huge upside potential with the least downside danger because they can go down further only if the
promoters, too, join the selling spree, which is most unlikely.
In fact, if investors want solid gains to recoup their recent losses, they must look at investments in beaten down scrips
of a promising sector which will not be adversely effected by the US problems. Pharma sector at present offers such an
impressive choice. Even with the globe-threatening problem of the impending US recession, medical spending in USA
and the developed countries is expected to increase. Indian pharma companies, which are taking full advantage of their
competencies, are expected to benefit from generics, bio-similar and crams segments of the global pharma pie. It really
pays to realize this fact and invest in the beaten down pharma scrips at current levels.
Indian Pharma companies like Nicholas Piramal, Orchid Chemicals, Jupiter Biosciences Ltd., Divi's Laboratories Ltd, Ind-
Swift Ltd. provide an impressive upside potential from their current levels.
Nicholas Piramal: It can turn out to be a wealth creator given its large basket of brands acquired as well as its global
business acquisitions, which will have a telling effect on its performance.
Orchids Chemicals: The growth rate recorded in its recent quarterly results indicates of things to come in the next few
quarters. It is bound to give good returns from the current levels.
Divi's Laboratories Ltd.: This young pharma company from Hyderabad is taking full advantage of CRAMS segment and
it can give even around 100% return to the investors from the current levels.
Ind-Swift Ltd.: With its new plants that were designed on a global scale, this company is expected to record impressive
growth rates in the next couple of years. It is currently available at a low of around Rs.32 only against Rs34.80 at which
price it was traded at the Sensex level of 5839 on 31-12-2003.
Jupiter Biosciences: It, too, seems to be under priced looking at the potential for its products in the post-patent regime.
However, in view of many angry responses from ardent readers (on its underperformance on the bourses for the last four
years), I do not wish to say more on this company at present and would like to keep my fingers crossed.
Picking such value stocks of high growth potential will be certainly more profitable than worrying about the market
fluctuations.
The market sentiment is still cautious
MARKET REVIEW
By Ashok D. Singh
The BSE Sensex lost 652.04 points or 3.42% to 18,361.66 for the week ended Friday, 25 January 2008. The NSE Nifty fell
321.95 points or 5.64% to 5,383.35. The Sensex gained on 2 out of the 5 trading sessions in the week, which proved to be as
the most eventful week on the stock markets. What started as a bloodbath on the street ended with a strong recovery.
Credit crisis in the USA and fears of a recession led to the bloodbath on domestic bourses at the onset of the week with
share prices falling like nine pins. Margin calls created havoc leading to a steep decline in share prices, which was initially
triggered by a setback in global markets and
selling by FIIs.
The US Federal Reserve came to the rescue of
the stock markets, cutting key US interest
rates by a steep 75 basis points to 3.5% late on
Tuesday, 22 January 2008, after Indian
markets had closed. The US central bank's
move followed two days of steep losses in
Asian and European equities on worries that a
deteriorating US economy that would drag
other regions down with it. The US economy
has been hit hard by rising defaults in the sub-
prime mortgages in which Americans with
bad credit records are struggling hard to pay
back housing loans. But a strong rebound on
the Indian bourses on Wednesday proved
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7
shortlived as the market lost ground again on Thursday. The market struck back with vengeance with the Sensex
registering a record gain and the first-ever four-digit single day gain on a closing basis.
The BSE Mid-Cap index plunged 872.59 points or 9.81% to 8,021.12 in the week. The BSE Small-Cap index lost 1,739.55
points or 14.3% to 10.420.90.
The market extended losses in highly volatile trades led by setback in stocks across the globe with Sensex declining
1408.35 points or 7.41% to 17,605.35, its biggest single-day point fall on a closing basis on Monday, 21 January 2008. The
Sensex hit a low of 16,951.50 in late-afternoon trade. At the day's low, the Sensex had declined 2062.22 points. Metal, Oil&
Gas and realty stocks were battered severely.
Market wide circuit filters were applied after an intra-day 10% fall occurred in key benchmark indices in minutes of
commencement of trade on Tuesday, 22 January 2008. Trading on the bourses was halted for one hour as the 10% market
wide circuit filters were applied after the sharp fall. Volatility was high after trading began at 10:55 IST. Sensex lost 875.41
points or 4.97% to 16,729.94 as margin calls created havoc on the bourses.
The market surged after a two-day rout with Sensex galloping 864.13 points or 5.17% to 17,594.07 on Wednesday, 23
January 2008 on speculation that more funds will move to emerging markets after an emergency 75 basis points
announced by the US Federal Reserve on Tuesday, 22 January 2008, after the Indian markets had closed. Despite the
sharp spurt, the market breadth was negative on BSE. Trading was choppy throughout the day. The market opened with
a spurt but immediately pared gains. It firmed up again in mid-morning trade supported by firm Asian markets. Banking
and financial shares surged on hopes of a rate cut from the Reserve Bank of India following the US Fed rate cut.
The market tumbled with BSE Sensex declining 372.33 points or 2.12% to 17,221.74 on Thursday, 24 January 2008 as
selling pressure emerged for index pivotals in the second half of the day. Nonetheless, it recovered some ground after a
massive fall in afternoon trade. The market breadth was weak. Earlier, the market had surged in opening trade tracking
rally in the Asian markets. The market breadth was quite weak. European markets were strong while majority of Asian
markets were trading higher.
Taking their cue from firm global markets, share prices surged with the Sensex registering its biggest ever single day rise
in absolute terms on a closing basis on Friday, 25 January 2008. The 30-share BSE Sensex rose 1158.85 points or 6.73% to
18380.59, its biggest gain in absolute terms on a closing basis. It was also the first-ever, four-digit single day gain for the
index. Stocks across the globe were buoyed by several factors including strong corporate sentiment in Germany and a
return of some confidence in the US economy after solid employment data and a congressional fiscal package. The Bush
administration's fiscal package includes $150 billion of tax rebates and business incentives meant to prevent a slowdown
in the country's economy.
Sensex lost 652.04 points to close at 18,361.66 last week. The market may further fall down from the current level. The
Q3FY08 results announced by corporate India, so far, have been more or less in line with market expectations. Any bad
news from US markets could mar the sentiment of investors after the recent slur on domestic markets. Market would be
closely looking at Q3 results of Maruti Suzuki India, SAIL, Mahindra & Mahindra, Bajaj Auto, Hindalco Industries and
ACC which are due this week.
The ongoing liquidity crunch in the secondary market caused by huge funds tied to the recently concluded mega Rs.11000
cr. IPO of Reliance Industries will continue till the time of allotment. Meanwhile, another mega IPO that of Emaar MGF
Land about 40% owned Dubai's Emaar Properties opens for bidding on 1 February 2008. The company will raise about
$1.8 billion from the IPO.
SEBI must investigate into market failure last week
MARKET
By G. S. Roongta
The mourning of Moharram on Saturday, 19
th
January 2008 seemed to continue last week as the market opened with a
downside gap of over 700 points on the Sensex on Monday, 21
st
January 2008 leaving investors, traders,
brokers, analysts and fund managers equally aghast. The fall of 1408.35 points on that day was the
highest ever recorded for a single day
G.S. Roongta
and earned it the sobriquet of 'Black Monday' replacing the earlier 'Black Monday', which now paled
into insignificance.
As if this was not enough, Tuesday, 22
nd
January 2008 proved to be worse as the market crashed by over
10% in the opening few minutes and trading had to be suspended for an hour. Thus the bloodbath on the
first two days was nothing short of 'Khoon Ki Holi' as investors and traders were slain ruthlessly and
had no recourse to help whatsoever.
While corrections and consolidations are a natural outcome of any trading activity in a market, this kind of bloodbath is
extremely rare and never ever witnessed before on the bourses. Perhaps, its time that the stock exchange authorities
8
perform some puja on both the exchanges to rid them of the demon 'Holika' that is symbolically burnt every Holi before
the festival of colour is celebrated.
On Monday, 21
st
January 2008, the Sensex tanked by over 2000 points from its previous close at 19,013.70 on Friday, 18
th
January 2008 and touched a low of 16,951.50 to close at 17,605.35 taking a toll of 1408 points creating history of the highest
ever loss on a single day, which is more than double the loss recorded on the previous 'Black Monday'. The slaughter, the
next day was nothing short of barbaric as stock prices continued to be battered leading to a 10% fall in the very first
minute of opening. Such was the scare that the Finance Minister, P. Chidambaram, could not inject any hope or
confidence by his comments on a TV channel that the Indian growth story was intact with a likely 8.5% growth in GDP on
the back of good tax collections in the third quarter encouraging performance in all sectors of the economy. As if to spite
him, the Sensex plunged 2273 points in intra-day trade that created a panic of a kind never witnessed before. All
marketmen ranging from small investors and day traders from large brokerages found themselves in trouble trying to
meet the demand for margin money.
Investors trading on brokerage terminals against the stock limits and overdraft facilities with banks against their shares
were found running from pillar to post to save their precious stock holding from being liquidated in the face of the
ruthless selling that had surfaced. But the brokers or the banks sold off their stocks to square up their positions to recover
the deficit in margin money. Not only did this hurt investors more but also brought down stocks to their bottoms.
There is not law in the country that can prevent such forceful squaring up of investors' wealth in stocks so suddenly and
ruthlessly without any notice. It worked like an earthquake or a cyclone that hit the unsuspecting investors and traders
who were forced to suffer and take a huge hit overnight. There seems to be no remedy to this situation and it can become
a vicious circle everytime the market suffers a sharp setback and investors are at the mercy of brokers, who in turn are at
the mercy of the banks or stocks exchanges while the banks remain at the mercy of the RBI and the stock exchanges at the
mercy of SEBI or the Ministry of Finance. Thus only the RBI or the Ministry of Finance could have helped investors face
this large scale payment problem to avoid any kind of default but there was no major help extended.
Payment problems and defaults occur in every business but it is for the regulatory bodies and governing authorities to
develop a mechanism to sort out such aberrations without dismantling the system or bringing trading to a halt. Only
when they fail to take a realistic view or remain indifferent the penalty is severe. The case is very similar to the farmers in
Maharashtra who were forced to commit suicide as they could not meet their financial commitment to their banks and
other creditors. It would be no surprise if a similar situation develops and investors/traders or brokers take this extreme
step. There are already reports of some marketmen suffering heart attacks after the shake out last week.
Readers may remember my strong observations about the madness for the Reliance Power issue and the equally
expensive issue of Future Capital Holdings both of which were sold on media hype than merit. But they cornered more
than Rs.2000 cr. most of which was sucked out of the secondary market as investors liquidated their holdings to apply for
these IPOs. This drying up of liquidity in the markets was one of the reasons for this big fall.
Taking a cue, FIIs, big operators and the bears seized the opportunity to offload stocks and take advantage of the
situation. It was a well devised gameplan to destabilize the market by the bears who were waiting for a favourable signal
for long. The global markets turning weak was the cue that they were seeking and the lack of liquidity with marketmen,
thanks to these two IPOs, provided the perfect opportunity. As a result, large baskets of stocks were unloaded without
any price limit to pull the market down to such levels that even the bulls cannot save their skins and the bears took charge
thereafter.
The US Federal Rate cut by 75 bps at one stroke also could not save the market as it fell back on Thursday, 24
th
January
2008 after witnessing a small recovery of about 500 points at the opening only to lose out later and fall by over 500 points
before closing at 17,221 with a loss of 372 points. On that day, the CNX Nifty lost 168 points to close at 5034.
Thus both the popular indices lost heavily over the past two weeks with the BSE shedding 4000 points and the Nifty 1323
points till Thursday, 24
th
January 2008. The recovery of 1139.92 points on the Sensex and 349.9 points on the Nifty on
Friday, 25
th
January 2008 was not very convincing as it was on very thin volumes. Most marketmen suspect another sharp
downward correction this week.
The episode of last week has once again proved that our markets cannot withstand the rigours of trading and can come to
a halt on severe trading pressure and leave thousands of common investors and traders helpless and totally at the mercy
of sharks often disguised as brokers who acquire these stocks at throwaway prices. SEBI and the exchange authorities
must examine and investigate the carnage last week and take to task the real culprits who were responsible for this
mayhem.
"The Budget has ceased to be the defining tool to wield economic policy"
FROM THE FUND MANAGER'S DESK
says Mr. Tushar Pradhan, Fund Manager, AIG Global Asset Management Company (India) Pvt. Ltd., in an exclusive
interview with Money Times (MT)
9
MT: What is your view on the market in the medium term?
A: Predicting markets is always perilous and especially so for the short-term. However, a broad case can be made to say
that the benchmark index, the Sensex, is currently trading at about 19.5 times one year forward estimates of earnings on a
consensus basis. This does make it slightly higher in valuation than its historical average over the past 15 years. But is also
pertinent to point out that the economic scenario has much improved over what prevailed over the past 15 years. With
strong earnings momentum expected to continue, we believe that valuations while not cheap are not overly expensive on
an average. There are, of course, pockets of over-valuation; but the opportunities in the Indian markets are not restricted
to these. We do see considerable opportunities in the market beyond these handful expensive of stocks.
MT: This scheme focus is on the infrastructure sector as one of its core investment area? What is your view on the
prospects of this sector?
A: India has embarked upon an ambitious path of economic reform and has drawn out impressive plans of massive
infrastructure spend. The AIG Infrastructure and Economic Reform Fund is an open ended equity scheme that will invest
in companies that may benefit from potential investments in infrastructure and unfolding economic reform without
having any bias towards any sector or market capitalization range. The scheme will attempt to take advantage of the
opportunity in infrastructure by investing in companies that will either be recipients of orders into the infrastructure
spend or will be better positioned to take advantage of indirect opportunities as a fallout of the infrastructure spend. The
scheme will also invest in companies that will be beneficiaries of the reform process unleashed in recent years. Examples
of companies that have already benefited from the economic reforms process abound in the market such as in banking,
real estate, telecom etc. The scheme will try to focus on opportunities where such benefit is yet to flow through to such
companies, or on companies that may take advantage of further reforms as and when they occur in the economy.
MT: The other focus area of this scheme is companies in sectors that will benefit from the ongoing liberalisation in the
Indian economy including relaxation in foreign exchange controls, FDI in banking and financial services and any other
industry or sector where there is a trend to moving toward a freer market based model like retail, media and
entertainment, mining, etc. Kindly comment, briefly, on these five.
A: Banking – has already seen the first
phase of sweeping liberalization and has
already given us the first batch of
beneficiaries
by
adoption
of
the
Narasimhan
Committee
report
recommendations. Further adoption of
international best practices such as the
Basel II norms will throw up further
opportunities in this field. We believe that
the opening up of this sector in the near
future will lead to good investing
opportunities.
April – June 2007
EBG Quarterly Performance:
100% once again
During April – June 2007, which is the third quarter of the fourth year of
'Early Bird Gains' (EBG) – the investment newsletter that spots multi-
baggers, it has scored 100% success with all 15 recommendations
recording an appreciation.
EBG has, therefore, consistently, maintained quality while the bonus
issues in excess of 30% highlight the confidence of its recommendations.
10
Retail – With ownership rules having been
liberalized, the entire market in organised
retail is undergoing a significant change. As
time goes by, these retail chains will define
the way India shops. There will be a host of
companies that will take advantage of this
ongoing phase in the markets.
Issue
Dated
Scrip
Buy
Price
Highest
price since
recom.
Growth
%
04/04/07
Panama Petrochem
129.00
270
109
11/04/07
Rolta India
335.90
780
132
18/04/07
Metalman Industries
18.19
47
158
25/04/07
Media & entertainment – The ongoing
liberalisation will increase avenues to
exploit the nascent market in India for
media & entertainment services. Market
capitalisation
share
of
media
&
entertainment companies in India is a small
percentage compared to more developed
markets and this trend appears inexorable
in the longer term.
Mining – Award of mining leases, royalty
arrangements and linkages have opened up
great opportunities in this area.
MT: What is the risk reward ratio for
investors entering the sectors your scheme
is focusing on?
Indag Rubber
31.00
113
264
02/05/07
Paradyne Infotech
116.45
440
279
09/05/07
Pochiraju Inds. Ltd.
22.60
64
183
16/05/07
Asian Oilfield Services
73.95
446
503
23/05/07
Hanung Toys & Textiles
165.50
300
81
23/05/07
XL Telecom & Energy
119.30
595
400
30/05/07
Bharat Gears
73.00
89
22
06/06/07
Kanpur Plastipack
22.75
34
49
13/06/07
Deepak Fertilisers
89.30
178
99
13/06/07
MSP Steel & Power Ltd.
19.15
89
365
20/06/07
Bihar Tubes Ltd.
103.65
222
114
27/06/07
Astral Poly Technik Ltd.
105.00
235
123
EBG for sure profits
A: With the visibility of spends in the infrastructure area a longer term allocation to these sectors will provide a
reasonable risk:reward scenario.
MT: What are your expectations from the budget and how do you think it will augur for the sectors your scheme is
focusing on?
A: Due to ongoing reforms in the country, the Budget has ceased to be the defining tool in the hands of the government to
wield economic policy. In many ways, the budget now is a statement of continuing commitment to reform than consisting
of dramatic statements of new intent. We believe that the economic agenda of the government will remain supportive of
the sectors that the scheme focuses on.
MT: Anything else that you may like to highlight for the investors?
A: We believe that a country goes through extraordinary growth once in its lifetime as is the case with India now as it
embarks on this journey in the near future. Investors should allocate a portion of their savings to participate in this
ongoing trend. However, each investor should understand that equity mutual funds are variable return products and that
they understand the longer term horizon implicit in the product. I would strongly advise investors to seek the advice of
qualified financial planners to build a comprehensive financial plan in accordance with their individual goals to decide on
the optimal allocation to mutual funds in general and equity mutual funds in particular.
- Devangi Bhuta
Mutual Funds & Market Mayhem
MUTUAL FUNDS
By Devangi Bhuta
Big ticket IPOs followed by unfavourable global cues saw the Indian markets in a free fall as the BSE Sensex plummeted
by 12.6% last week.
The free fall among the mutual funds has been more severe with Index funds correcting by around 15% while some of the
diversified equity schemes saw 20% erosion in NAV in the last one week. However, a few schemes that were
outperformers have managed to stay afloat i.e. fall lesser than the markets or their peers.
Standard Chartered Premier Equity Fund is one such scheme that has fallen by 11% in the last one month. Its objective is
to seek to generate long-term capital growth from an actively managed portfolio of predominantly equity and equity
related instruments. Its strategy is to acquire, small and medium size businesses with good long term potential that are
available at cheap valuations. At present, the company's portfolio is overweight on finance and industrial capital goods.
Its strategy appears to be buy and hold because of which the scheme is holding onto Exide Industries, Educomp
Solutions, Pantaloon India Retail and Suzlon Energy. Further, it appears to pick up good new companies that enter the
markets like Maytas Infrastructure and Jyothy Labs. With this strategy and a good track record, its prospects appear
promising although in view of the current market conditions, partial profit booking may be prudent.
Surprisingly, Reliance Regular Savings Fund- Equity option, where the objective is to earn capital appreciation and/or to
generate consistent returns by actively investing in equity and equity-related securities has also outperformed the
markets in the last one week. However, the scheme's strategy appears to play the momentum game as many stocks have
been bought and sold on short-term basis, which is not very inspiring.
On the other side, Sundaram BNP Paribas (SBNP) schemes have taken a severe beating in the last one week as many of its
schemes like Sundaram BNP Paribas India Leadership Fund, Sundaram BNP Paribas Rural India Fund, Sundaram BNP
Paribas Growth Fund and Sundaram BNP Paribas Select Focus, Sundaram BNP Paribas Select Midcap etc have dropped
by over 18% over the last one week, highlighting the higher risk these schemes entail.
So, what does this mean? Well, this highlights the risk of investing in Mutual Fund schemes.
• Schemes which have a consistent track record and have outperformed the markets may be considered.
• Sectors and stock concentration in mutual fund schemes should be carefully studied while investing.
• There may be some schemes that may have outperformed the markets only when it is on an uptrend but turned
and fallen more than the markets during a downturn. These are schemes where the risk is higher and investors
need to understand the downside before investing.
• Last but not the least, overall asset allocation holds the key to successful investing and by dividing one's portfolio
carefully amongst equity, debt and balanced schemes, the downside can be limited. Along with this, investments
in gold and Debt market instruments have to be given fair weightage. Momentary and monetary temptations
should not override diversification while asset allocations are made as it saves one from a week like the last one.
At present, investors may be better off booking partial profits in high risk schemes and wait on the sidelines till the
market turmoil settles down.
By Saarthi
STOCK WATCH
11
KLG Systel Ltd. (Code: 531269) (Rs.789.25) specialises in providing technological solution for the entire business life cycle
i.e. right from concept and creation, through plant design, project execution and management operations and from
optimisation to expansion/revamp. It also provides on-line IT solutions to distribution utilities, using its self-developed
software Vidushi, SG61 Technology and solution for determining the transmission & distribution losses, fixing the areas
of power theft, on-the spot billing & cheque collection, increasing revenue collection efficiency of utilities and addressing
consumer grievances. It already serves 16 of the 44 power distribution companies across the country, which will
constitute more than 75% of its sales in a couple of years from 50% currently. On the other hand, to capitalise on its the
Engineering Services Outsourcing (ESO) potential, the company has gained engineering design domain-expertise in
various industry verticals and has ventured into planning, design and erection of large scale infrastructure projects in
India. Hence, it is aggressively bidding for EPC (Engineering procurement and commissioning) contracts and has recently
acquired 51% stake in Atlantis Lab Pvt. Ltd., a dedicated engineering solutions company. Further, it is looking for other
companies in aerospace for acquisition. For FY08, it may report a topline and bottomline of more than Rs.300 cr. and Rs.55
cr. respectively. This works out to an EPS of Rs.42 on its diluted equity (post FCCB conversion) of Rs.13.20 cr. For FY09,
however, it may register an EPS of Rs.55 on its fully diluted (post warrants conversion & ESOP) of Rs.14.50 cr.
Accumulate only at sharp declines.
*****
Selan Explorations Technology Ltd. (Code: 530075) (Rs.169.95) is involved in onshore drilling for exploration of oil and
gas and presently boasts of owning four oil fields Bakrol, Indrora, Lohar, Ognaj and one gas field Karjisan – all in and
around Ahmedabad, Gujarat. Incidentally, the company has been producing crude oil from three oilfields as the mining
lease for Ognaj oilfield is still awaited from the government of Gujarat. But its Bakrol field alone is stated to have oil/gas
reserves of around 45 million barrels, which is huge by any standard. However, due to limited funds and not so
aggressive management, the company produced only 1 lakh barrels of crude in FY07 and is expected to produce 140,000
barrels in FY08, which may move up to 2,00,000 barrels in FY09. With assured off-take of the entire oil & gas production
by the government, there is zero marketing risk. Secondly, with international crude oil prices expected to remain high, its
future earnings appear very encouraging. Although the company may report an EPS of Rs.11 for FY08, considering its oil
reserve, it is available at a fairly cheap valuation.
*****
KEI Industries Ltd. (Code: 517569) (Rs.89.10), the second largest power cable company in India is engaged in
manufacturing of high and low tension cables (HT and LT), control and instrumentation cables, house wires and stainless
steel wires. In the near future, it plans to manufacture Extra High Tension cables that will serve the modern power
transmission segment. It is also contemplating to move up the value chain from manufacturing and supplying cables to
executing EPC contracts and manufacturing and supplying transformers. Last week, the company started commercial
production at its new 100% EOU unit in Alwar - Rajasthan for manufacturing HT and LT power cables. Thus it has
increased its capacity by 10,000 kms taking its total cable manufacturing capacity to 50,000 kms per annum. The company
has already registered excellent performance for H1FY08 and may clock a turnover of Rs.900 cr. and PAT of Rs.58 cr. for
FY08. This translates into an EPS of Rs.7 on its fully diluted equity (post conversion of all FCCB) of around Rs.15.75 cr.
Considering its recent expansion and future growth plans, it is estimated to report an EPS of more than Rs.10 for FY09.
Despite the company having huge debt of Rs.310 cr., investors are advised to accumulate at sharp declines.
*****
Although small, Ram Informatics Ltd. (Code: 530951) (Rs.16.10) is a budding company in the e-governance space. It has
completed various IT projects for different divisions of the Government of Andhra Pradesh like computerized
administration of sales tax, tourism, state road transport corporation, AP Housing Board etc. Besides, the company has
designed, developed and maintains several government portals like BangaloreOne (Karnataka), eSuvidha (UP), iSetu
(Maharashtra), Eseva, Sales Tax and Fire Service (AP) etc. Recently, it got an order from the Karnataka Government for
executing 'Karnataka One' project, which is on BOOT model for a period of 7 years and the revenue model is based on a
transaction basis. Of late, it has also won a contract to implement and manage the `Bus Pass' automation system in the city
of Visakhapatnam, A.P. on a Build, Operate and Transfer (BOT) model for a period of 5 years. Few months back, the
company launched an insurance portal through which it intends to tap 2% - 5% of the agents of LIC for subscription to its
portal for a nominal price per year apart from generating income via hosting ads. On the other hand, it has developed
smart software products for automation in banking, insurance & retail. It is also into education & training and offers
courses for call centre training, corporate training etc. On the flip side, it has invested whopping Rs.32 cr. in its US
subsidiary called Aravali Technologies Inc., which has not yielded much returns.
By Kukku
FIFTY FIFTY
Note: (1) Most of the stocks discussed in this investment column are good on fundamentals. Investors are advised to stay
invested in all such stocks or even add the reactions for good long-term growth.
12
(2) Market has fallen sharply due to the following reasons:
a) On FII selling for covering up sub prime losses.
b) Big IPOs, which sucked liquidity out of the market.
c) Traders & punters with high leveraged positions could not pay margins in time and most of brokers squared off their
positions. Since the leveraged positions were very high, the fall too was equally sharp and these traders have suffered
huge losses. It is understood that most gains that they had made in the last few years has been wiped out in no time.
The market is likely to remain volatile & may see better times if there is good reduction in interest rates and after the
refund of the Reliance Power oversubscription amount.
The market is likely to witness a better trend from the 2
nd
week February 2008.
* In May 2006, the Sensex came down to 8900 from a high of 14500 and the Dow was 12000. Now we are at 18000 from a
high of 21000 but the Dow is still at 12000. This shows that we have outperformed the Dow Jones. It is very likely that we
may outperform it in future too.
* Weaker hands are out on this sharp reaction and stocks are to go into stronger hands. Stay invested in all good stocks.
* GTL Ltd.'s (Rs.268.05) net profit has flared up by 242.34% to Rs.33.72 cr. in Q3FY08 as against Rs.9.85 cr. during
Q3FY07. Sales rose 67.05% to Rs.362.23 cr. in Q3FY08 from against Rs.216.84 cr. during Q3FY07. Profit on sale of business
of Rs.142 million is also included in QE 31/12/07.
Investors are advised to stay invested in this stock for good targets over the next one year.
* PNB Gilts (Rs.34.75) is a safe bet on reaction at Rs.32.85 level as interest rates are expected to soften. The company has
reported encouraging results for the first three quarters of FY08. Net profit rose 67.88% to Rs.19.91 cr. for Q3FY08 as
against Rs.11.86 cr. in Q3FY07. Sales rose 62.35% to Rs.57.13 cr. in Q3FY08 from Rs.35.19 cr. in Q3FY07.
EPS for the first 9 months was Rs.3.8 and is likely to be around Rs.5.5 for full FY08. The company paid a good dividend of
25% for FY04, which was almost 33% of the average net profit. Going by this trend, it may declare around 18%-20% for
the current year, which is a very attractive dividend yield. Investors can keep accumulating this stock for good long term
growth. There is also a possibility of merger with PNB Bank.
The stock has reacted from a high of Rs.54 to the current level where the downside seems to be very limited.
* Indian Hume Pipes (Rs.879.10) - The Central and State governments are emphasising on infrastructure development
and water supply is a very important infrastructure activity for any populous location. For urban & rural water supply
projects the Public Health Engineering departments have always been the main customers of various State Governments
followed by Corporations, Municipalities, Water & Sewerage Boards, etc. There is huge potential for water supply,
sewage disposal, head works, treatment plants etc. Investors should stay invested. The company has 30 manufacturing
units some of which are closed but have huge real estate worth, which is a good trigger for the company.
The stock has reacted from its high of Rs.1489 to the current level of Rs.900 and looks attractive for long-term investment.
* Patel Integrated Logistics (Rs.74.65) has set a goal to be among the top 3 logistics providers in India. In line with its
strategy to capitalise on long-term growth, the company has embarked on a major growth plan to expand its fleet, add
warehouses, upgrade technology and improve on customer service. It has transformed itself from a mere trucking &
transportation company to becoming an 'Express Delivery' logistics Company by carving a niche for itself in the Express
Delivery Business under the Brand name
'Patel Retail'. Investors can add this stock
for a target price of Rs.175 over the next 18
months.
13
* Sterling Tools (Rs.80.60) has reported an
encouraging Q3FY08 results. Sales moved
up from Rs.37.4 cr. to Rs.41.6 cr. while net
profit improved to Rs.3 cr. from against
Rs.2.1 cr. Operating profit margin improved
in this quarter from 13.84% to Rs.17.2, which
is a very encouraging. Investors can
continue to hold this stock even add on
reactions.
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* MTNL (Rs.133.05) - On reaction, this stock
is available at almost its 52-week low. A
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of 40% and an attractive P/E multiple of
around 12 compared to the industry average
P/E ratio of 37, makes it an attractive buy
at Rs.125 level.
For a sample copy visit www.moneytimes.in or call Money Times on
022-22654805 or email at moneytimes@vsnl.com
* Gammon India (Rs.564.50) is attracting the attention of fund managers and large investors. Add it on reaction for good
long-term growth.
* Madhucon Projects (Rs.722.90) - New developments are said to be taking place. Stay invested for better targets.
* Gujarat Apollo Industries (Rs.259.75) is another company that is into machinery & equipments for road construction
and mining where the outlook is said to be very encouraging. Smart money is said to be accumulating this stock. The
stock has reacted from high of Rs.400 to Rs.235 now.
* The recent rights issue of Hind Oil Exploration (Rs.112.60) was at Rs.125 whereas the stock is quoting lower which
makes it is an attractive buy.
* Pratibha Industries (Rs.382.65) may see a good upside over the long run. Stay invested.
* Yuken (India) Ltd. (Rs.235) Q3 dispatches are less and it is expected that Q4 shall be much better. If the stock if reacts to
Rs.225/240 level, it is a good long-term buy. In this sector, investors should not compare quarter to quarter results.
* IFCI (Rs.62), Oswal Chemicals (Rs.42), Ion Exchange (Rs.234), Khoday India (Rs.212), Shreeram Mills (Rs.275),
Sharyans Resources (Rs.304), Nile Ltd. (Rs.220) are the other stocks attractively placed after the sharp reactions.
Investors can add or keep holding them.
14
By Nayan Patel
TECHNO FUNDA
Gandhi Special Tubes
BSE Code: 513108
Traded at NSE also as: GANDHITUBE
Last Close: Rs.227.60
This week's special is Gandhi Special Tubes (GST). This project was set up by the Gandhi group in Gujarat in April 1998
in technical collaboration with Benteler of Germany. Its association with GST has grown up in all directions.
Gandhi Special Tubes have also started producing tubular components like condenser coils & wires and have recently set
up a unit in Pune. This company has a manufacturing unit for cold formed tube nuts for fuel injection tube assemblies. It
has also given due importance to developing reliable quality systems and has been certified ISO\TS 16949: 2002 by M\S
TUV.
Company also is making small diameter welded steel nuts and cold drawn seamless steel tubes. Customers for both these
items are Godrej, Voltas, Electrolux, Carrier, TELCO, Ashok Leyland, M&M, TISCO, HMT, L&T, WIPRO, SAIL, BEML,
BHEL, Bajaj Auto, Maruti etc.
GST has a small equity of just Rs.7.35 cr., wherein the promoters' holding is 72%. Last year, the company made a profit of
Rs.12.87 cr. whereas the profit of the first nine month's of FY08 is Rs.14.02 cr.
Recently, it announced mind blowing December'07 quarterly results. Net sales jumped more then 50.28% in the
December'07 quarter while net profit jumped more then 97%. For the first nine months of the current year it recorded an
EPS of Rs.19.09 and declared 50% dividend and stock spilt into Rs.5 face value.
In the earlier week, the stock closed at Rs.231 but in the horrible last week it closed at Rs.227.60. Buy for short to long term
investment with stop loss of Rs.198. On the upper side, it will zoom to Rs.245, Rs.270 in the short-term and can go up to
Rs.350+ levels in the next 15 months. It is a great investment stock at current levels.
Steel Strips Wheels Ltd.
BSE Code: 513262
Traded at NSE also as: SSWL
Last Close: Rs.180
Mohali bases Steel Strips Wheels is engaged in auto ancillary. It has a small equity of just Rs.11.30 cr. wherein the
promoter's holding is 59%. Only 16.05% shares are with the public. GIC holds 3.54%, United Insurance holds 2.15% and
Merryl Lynch holds 4.48% stake in the company.
Recently, the company got an order to supply 13,75,000 steel wheel rims worth about $75 million from Europe's number 2
car company, PSA PE UGEOT CITROEN.
In the September'07 quarter, company's sales went up 39.21% and profit jumped 45.09%. Tata Steel's investment
company, Kalimati Investments has purchased 12 lakh shares of this company at Rs.170. The company's board will also
allot 3,47,663 warrants to its 1company's managing director at Rs.170.
Company's future looks very bright. In the previous week, the stock closed at Rs.188.70 and last week closed at Rs.180,
which may be the bottom level for this stock. Buy for investment with a stop loss of Rs.165. On the upper side, it will go
up to Rs.201 in short time and Rs.260 level in the next 4-5 months.
Wockhardt Hospitals IPO opens on 31
st
January
MONEY FOLIO
15
Wockhardt Hospitals Ltd., one of the largest private healthcare services companies is entering the capital market with its
IPO of 25,087,097 equity shares of Rs.10 each through a 100% book-building process in the price band of Rs.280 and Rs.310
per equity share. The issue will open on Thursday, 31
st
January and close on Tuesday, 5
th
February 2008. This issue will be
listed in the BSE and NSE.
Part of the Wockhardt group, a Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology company, Wockhardt Hospitals Ltd. has a super-
specialty focus on areas such as cardiology and cardiac surgery, orthopedics, neurology, neuro-surgery, urology &
nephrology and critical care, it specializes in minimally invasive surgery. It has pan-India presence with a network of ten
super-specialty hospitals and five regional specialty intensive care unit (ICU) hospitals providing healthcare services in
western, southern and eastern India. These ICU hospitals act as referral centres and the first point of critical care for the
larger super-specialty hospitals and are also self-sustaining as they are strategically located to fulfill the demand for basic
tertiary care and higher secondary care.
Wockhardt Hospitals is the only private hospital group associate of Harvard Medical International, a self-supporting not-
for-profit subsidiary of Harvard Medical School and its super-specialty hospital in Mumbai has received international
accreditation from Joint Commission International, the largest accreditor of healthcare organisations in the United States.
The company intends to utilize the proceeds from the issue to meet the cost of development and construction of
greenfield and brownfield hospitals of the company, prepay some of the short-term loans and to meet general corporate
expenses.
SVEC Constructions plans IPO
Hyderabad based SVEC Constructions Ltd., which is engaged in civil and related electrical and mechanical construction
works with the government, semi-government and private bodies, plans to issue 40,00,000 equity shares of Rs.10 each
through the book-building process in the price band of Rs.85 to Rs.95 per share.
The issue will be open for subscription between Monday, 4
th
February and Friday, 8
th
February 2008 and is being made to
help fund the company's purchase capital equipment worth Rs.15.32 cr. and to meet its requirement of Rs.23.86 cr. long-
term working capital apart from meeting the IPO expenses.
Emaar MGF Land IPO opens on 1
st
February
Emaar MGF Land Ltd., a joint venture between a global real estate company, Emaar Properties PJSC of Dubai, and MGF
Development Ltd. from India, is entering the capital market with an IPO of 102,570,623 equity shares of face value Rs.10
each for cash at a price to be determined through a 100% book building issue in the price band of Rs.610 and Rs.690 per
equity share. The Bid/Issue will open for subscription on Friday, 1
st
February and will close on Wednesday, 6
th
February
2008. The Issue has been assigned an IPO grading of 4/5 by CARE, a credit rating agency, which indicates it 'Above
Average' fundamentals.
Emaar MGF commenced in India in February 2005. Its primary business is the development of properties in the
residential, commercial, retail and hospitality sectors. In addition, it has also identified healthcare, education and
infrastructure as business lines for future growth. Its operations span across various aspects of real estate development,
such as land identification and acquisition, project planning, designing, marketing and execution.
As of 31
st
December 2007, the company had land reserves across India admeasuring to approximately 13,024 acres out of
which it has development plans for approximately 12,028 acres, which in turn, is expected to provide it with a proposed
saleable area of approximately 566 million sq. ft. The company estimates that its land reserves will provide it with a
proposed saleable area of approximately 136.5 million sq. ft. of plotted residential development (including built up villas);
318.8 million sq. ft. of built up residential properties; 88.9 million sq. ft. of commercial properties; 18.0 million sq. ft. of
retail properties; and 4,960 keys in hospitality properties as of 31
st
December 2007.
The issue proceeds will be used for part payment towards the acquisition of land and land development rights and
related approvals for its ongoing and planned projects. The Issue proceeds will also be used for the development and
construction costs for project Palm Drive in Gurgaon. Palm Drive is a high quality residential development designed for
contemporary living in a green sanctuary setting and is expected to include amenities such as a clubhouse, health club
and parks. The development is within 20 kilometres of Delhi's international airport.
For H1FY08, its consolidated total income was Rs.501.74 cr. with consolidated net profit was Rs.129.83 cr.
IRB Infrastructure Developers IPO opens on 31
st
January
IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd. (IRB), an infrastructure and construction company with extensive experience in the
roads and highways sector and currently involved in 12 BOT projects in this sector, proposes to enter the capital markets
with an IPO of 5,10,57,666 equity shares of Rs.10 each through 100% book building process in the price band of Rs.185 to
Rs.220 per equity share. The issue will open on Thursday, 31
st
January and close on Tuesday, 5
th
January 2008 and will be
16
listed on the BSE and NSE. The IPO has been graded 4/5 by Fitch Ratings, a credit rating agency, indicating that the
fundamentals of the issue are above average.
IRB is currently involved in 12 BOT projects in the roads and highways sector. Out of these projects, 11 projects are in the
operational phase, i.e., engineering, procurement and construction phases have been completed on these projects and the
project SPVs are currently earning revenues from toll collection under the relevant concession agreements.
IRB has recently diversified into the real estate development sector and it is in the process of acquiring land in the Pune
district in Maharashtra on which it proposes to develop an integrated township. The proposed township project is in its
preliminary stages of planning and development and will be its first real estate development project. Currently, the
company's land reserves consist of approximately 925 acres of land in the Mauje Taje and Mauje Pimploli Taluka in Pune
district, and it intends to acquire an additional approximately 475 acres of land for its proposed township project.
The company proposes to utilize the net proceeds of the Issue for investment in subsidiary IDAA; prepayment and
repayment of existing loans of the company and the subsidiaries Aryan Toll Road Pvt. Ltd, Modern Road Makers Pvt.
Ltd, Thane Ghodbunder Toll Road Pvt. Ltd, NKT Road & Toll Pvt. Ltd and Mhaiskar Infrastructure Pvt. Ltd.
For FY07, its consolidated total income was Rs.325.08 cr. with consolidated net profit of Rs.29.96 cr. In the 5 months ended
31
st
August 2007, consolidated total income was Rs.285.26 cr. with net profit of Rs.36.38 cr.
Bang Overseas IPO opens on 28
th
January
Bang Overseas Ltd. (BOL), a provider of fashion fabrics and ready-to-wear requirements in apparel, textile and retail
segment, is entering the capital market with an IPO of 3,500,000 equity shares of Rs.10 each at a price to be decided
through a 100% book-building process in the price band of Rs.200 and Rs.207 per equity share. The Bid/Issue will open
for subscription on Monday, 28
th
January and close on Thursday, 31
st
January 2008. The issue has been graded 2/5 by
CARE indicating below average fundamentals.
Incorporated in 1992, BOL has two apparel manufacturing units in Bangalore. Its ready-to-wear men's garments are sold
under the brand name 'Thomas Scott' since 2002. It has an installed capacity of 720,000 and 540,000 pieces per annum at
its two units namely Reunion Clothing Company and Formal Clothing Company respectively. Its products are presently
retailed through 157 points of sale comprising its own retail outlets large format stores and multi-brand outlets.
The proceeds from the proposed issue are to be deployed for setting up retail outlets across India; brand building; a new
apparel manufacturing unit of 6 lakh pieces per month; warehousing and logistics facilities; general and corporate
purposes and to meet issue expenses.
For FY07, it reported an income of Rs.996 cr. with PAT of Rs.107 cr. and for H1FY08 its income was Rs.651 cr. with PAT of
Rs.70 cr.
Manjushree Extrusion FPO opens on 31
st
January
Manjushree Extrusion's Ltd. (MEL) is entering the capital market with a Rights-cum-Follow on Public Offer of equity
shares at Rs.30 per share aggregating to Rs.35.70 cr. The Rights Issue has already opened on 7
th
January 2008, while the
Follow on Public Offer will open on Thursday, 31
st
January and both the issues will simultaneously close on Wednesday,
6
th
February 2008.
The 1:1 Rights Issue comprises of 42,10,800 equity shares of Rs.10 each for cash at a premium of Rs.20 per share
aggregating to Rs.12.63 cr. offered to the existing equity shareholders the Follow on Public Offer will comprise of
51,26,100 equity shares of Rs10 each for cash at a premium of Rs.35 per share aggregating to Rs.23.07 cr. The IPO has been
graded 2/5 indicating its below average fundamentals.
The fund being raised through the composite issue has proposed to utilize to part finance the company's expansion cum
diversification project at a cost of Rs.53.70 cr., which is presently under implementation. A term loan of Rs.18 cr. has been
sanctioned by SBI for the project.
MEL provides packaging solutions through manufacture of Speciality Plastic Packaging products for MNCs in FMCG,
Pharma, Food Processing and Agrochemical sectors with whom it enjoys 'preferred supplier' status. The products include
injection/Blow moulded PET/PP and multilayer plastic containers that are being manufactured by employing Japanese
and European technologies. The major clients of the company include Hindustan Unilever, Nestle, Cadbury, Britannia,
Glaxo SmithKline, P&G, Coca Cola, Tata Tea, Godrej, Wrigley's, Hershey's, Heinz, Pepsi, UB Group, Henkel etc. besides
exports to customers in South Africa and Middle East countries.
Manjushree registered 22% higher turnover of Rs.80 cr. for FY07 with PAT of Rs.2.82 cr. and an EPS of Rs.6.70. For
H1FY08, it registered a turnover of Rs.38 cr. with PAT of Rs.1.86 cr. The EPS after exceptional items for H1FY08 stood at
Rs.4.42.
Manjushree is currently listed on Ahmedabad, Calcutta and Guhati stock exchanges and now proposes to list the existing
shares as well as the new shares under the issue on the BSE and NSE.
17
MCX to support computer literacy in rural Maharashtra
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX) has announced its support to an ongoing computer literacy programme
of Microsoft and Indian Society of Agribusiness Professionals (ISAP) in rural Maharashtra.
This marks the launch of MCX's Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) initiative aimed at empowering the youth and
women of rural areas of the state with technology skills. Till now, over 15,500 people have been trained and over 24,000
people are using this service across 16 districts by understanding the futures markets prices of the area specific
commodities.
KKCL Q3 net up by 41%
Kewal Kiran Clothing Ltd. (KKCL), promoters of K-Lounge Stores and Killer, Pg3 Lawman, Integriti and Easies brand of
apparel has reported an impressive quarter. Total revenue for the quarter was 35% higher at Rs.42.75 cr. (Rs.31.56 cr.) and
PAT was 41% higher at Rs.5.09 cr. (Rs.3.62 cr.). EBITDA margin for the quarter was higher at 22.04% (19.90%) while the
net profit margin improved to 11.91% (11.47%) leading to a Basic & Diluted EPS for the quarter of Rs.4.13 and Cash EPS of
Rs.4.98.
During the quarter under review, KKCL manufactured about 0.82 million pieces and sold about 0.72 million garments.
For the nine months period ending December 31, 2007, it manufactured 2.18 million pieces and sold about 2.17 million
garments.
Net realization per garment for the nine months period on a wholesale basis was Rs.572 (Rs.551) & retail realization per
garment was Rs.978 (Rs.932) - an increase in realization of 3.81% on wholesale and 4.94% on retail basis respectively.
BoI Q3 net up by 101%
For Q3FT08, Bank of India (BoI) recorded deposit growth of 27.40% on YoY basis to touch Rs.1,35,835 cr. Advances grew
by 29.90% to Rs.1,03,657 cr. and the business mix was up by 28.50% and touched Rs.2,40,0000 cr. on YoY basis.
The operating profit for the quarter was up by 75.6% to Rs.971 cr. Core operating profit (net of treasury) went up by
71.70% from Rs.498 cr. to Rs.855 cr. while the net profit shot up by 101% from Rs.255 cr. to over Rs.512 cr.
The bank's NIM improved from 3% to 3.14% while net interest income increased by 25.61%. Non-interest income
(including treasury) was up 72% from Rs.322 cr. to Rs.554 cr. Non-interest income (net of treasury) was up 64% from
Rs.267 cr. to Rs.438 cr. and fee based income increased 46% from Rs.187 cr. to Rs.273 cr.
The bank's gross NPA has come down from 2.74% to 1.90% and net NPA is reduced from 1.14% to 0.62% during the year.
EPS for 9 months (not annualized) is up 85% at Rs.25.69 from Rs.13.86.
Bank of Maharashtra's Q3 net up by 35%
Q3FY08 net profit of Bank of Maharashtra increased 35% to Rs.100.38. cr. as against Rs.74.32 cr. Q3FY07.
Operating profit was flat at Rs.172.51 cr. against Rs.171.34 cr. in Q3FY07 despite additional outgo on IT expenditure, an
initiative taken by the Bank last year by introducing core banking solution.
Total income for the quarter increased by 28.83% to Rs.985.97 cr. from Rs.765.30 cr. during Q3FY07. The interest spread
increased from Rs.268.74 cr. to Rs.300.61 cr. registering growth of 11.86%.
Its total business grew 27% to Rs.65,690 cr. As on 31
st
December 2007, total deposits stood at Rs.38,275 cr. as against
Rs.30,766 cr. as on 31
st
December 2006 recording a growth of 24.41%. During the quarter, the bank has added 2.07 lakh
new accounts to its fold.
Dena Bank Q3 net up by 43%
Dena Bank reported 43.3% higher Net Profit at Rs.101.70 cr. for Q3FY08 with 19 bps at 1.17% higher Return on Assets
(annualized) and Rs.3.52 (not annualized) EPS.
Its Capital Adequacy Ratio was 11.26%. Deposits grew by 20.80% to Rs.30,389 cr. while Gross Credit was up by 23.53% at
Rs.21,255 cr. leading to 21.90% growth of Business Mix at Rs.52,095 cr.
Net Interest Income (NII) was up by 5.18% while the Gross NPA Ratio was down by 190 bps at 3.09% and the Net NPA
Ratio was down by 106 bps at 1.41%.
Union Bank net up by 42.6%
Union Bank of India reported 36.5% higher Operating Profit at Rs.636 cr. for Q3FY08 from Rs.466 cr. in Q3FY07. Net Profit
was up by 42.6% to Rs.365 cr. for Q3FY08 from Rs.256 cr. in Q3FY07.
Net Interest Income was up by 15% at Rs.789 cr. for the quarter from Rs.686 cr. in Q3FY07 while Non-Interest Income
grew 109% to Rs.347 cr. in Q3FY08 from Rs.166 cr. in Q3FY07.
The Business Mix of the bank grew by 27.94% (YoY) to Rs.1,73,478 cr. as on 31
st
December 2007 from Rs.1,35,595 cr. on 31
st
December 2006 and despite rising cost of raising resources, Net Interest Margin (NIM) for the 9 months ended 31
st
December 2007 has been maintained at 2.89%. Capital Adequacy Ratio stood at 13.03% as against 13.21% in the previous
year. Net Worth of the bank posted a smart rise to Rs.5592 cr. as of 31
st
December 2007 from Rs.4616 cr. of 31
st
December
2006 due to plough back of profits while the Return on Average Assets improved from 1.12% in December 2006 to 1.31%
in December 2007 (QoQ) indicating more efficient utilization of assets.
Its asset quality improved significantly with a steep reduction in Net NPAs from 1.12% in December 2006 to 0.35% in
December 2007.
Quantum MF launches Quantum Gold Fund
Quantum Mutual Fund has launched Quantum Gold Fund is an open ended Exchange Traded Fund, which is proposed
to be listed on the NSE, closely tracking the domestic prices of gold.
The Fund seeks to offer investors an innovative, cost-efficient and secure way to invest in gold. Quantum Gold Fund
enables investors to buy gold without the hassles of holding and storing physical gold. It will closely track, before
expenses, the movement in the price of the underlying asset - physical gold of 0.995 fineness.
It would be the first Gold ETF in the country without any entry load during the NFO. The NFO opened on Thursday, 24
th
January and will close on Friday, 8
th
February 2008.
HSBC Investments launches HSBC Emerging Markets Fund
HSBC Investments has launched HSBC Emerging Markets Fund (HEMF), an open-ended scheme that seeks to provide
long-term capital growth by investing in emerging economies, which offer high growth rates, increasing profitability,
reduced risks and attractive valuations.
The fund would invest both within and outside India. Examples of some countries that the fund may seek to invest in are
China, Russia, Indonesia, South Korea, Brazil, Mexico and many more. Indian investors can thus not only capture growth
opportunities outside the country but may also spread their risk by diversifying their investments across geographical
markets instead of staying invested in one particular country.
HEMF can invest up to 100% of its assets in overseas markets. The fund may also invest a limited proportion in domestic
debt and money market instruments in case equity markets are considered unfavourable.
Emerging markets are expected to be drivers of the world economy in the years to come. Emerging markets are backed by
continuing improvement in economic fundamentals and abundant human & natural resources and also display a great
degree of diversity.
PLASTINDIA 2009 on 4
th
to 9
th
February
PLASTINDIA 2009, the 7
th
International Plastics Exhibition will be held from 4
th
to 9
th
February 2009 at Pragati Maidan,
New Delhi. PLASTINDIA Foundation is the apex body of major associations, organizations and institutions, including
Government & semi government organizations associated with plastics. The Foundation's main objective is to promote
the development and growth of the Indian Plastics Industry in India and is dedicated to national progress through
plastics.
PLASTINDIA 2009 may surpass the splendour and achievements of its previous version said Shri Bhavarlal Jain, the
industrialist who pioneered drip water irrigation revolution in India.
Piaggio to enter two-wheeler market
The Piaggio Group plans to enter into two-wheeler production and marketing in India by end 2009 or 2010.
The group would begin the European marketing of thermo-electric hybrid scooters by the end of 2008 – the world's first
large-scale application of this technology in the scooter industry.
Disclaimer: Investment recommendations made in Money Times are for information purposes only and derived from sources
that are deemed to be reliable but their accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Money Times or the analyst/writer does
not accept any liability for the use of this column for the buying or selling of securities. Readers of this column who buy or sell
securities based on the information in this column are solely responsible for their actions. The author, his company or his
acquaintances may/may not have positions in the above mentioned scrip.
18
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