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Sunday, July 18, 2010

**[investwise]** City Union Targets 30% Growth In Deposits, 25% In Advances For FY11

 

City Union Bank-FY10 Performance Highlights

BSE 532210

 

Interest income for Q4 FY 2010 was smartly up by 46.51% to Rs.87.48 crore as compared to Rs.59.71 crore in Q4 FY 2009. Operating profit for Q4 FY 2010 increased by 20.28% to Rs.73.58 crore as compared to Rs.61.17 crore for Q4-FY2009.

 

Profit after tax for Q 4 FY 2010 was higher by 33.27 % at Rs.34.81 crore as compared to Rs.26.12 crore for Q4-FY2009.

 

Net Interest income for the year ended-FY 2010 grew up by 14.66% to Rs.278.14 crore as compared to Rs. 242.57 crore for the FY 2008-2009.

 

Operating profit increased by 12.82 % to Rs.255.79 crore as compared to Rs. 226.72crore for FY2009.

 

Profit after tax was up by 25.08 % and stood at Rs. 152.76 crore as compared to Rs.122.13 crore for FY2009.

 

Total Advances grew by 21.05 % to Rs.6833 crore as on 31st March 2010 from Rs.5645 crore as on March 31, 2009.

 

Total Deposits increased by 25.34 % to Rs.10285 crore as on 31st March

2010 from Rs.8207 crore as on March 31, 2009.

 

The growth in Current and Savings Account deposits (CASA) was 44.94 % while Term Deposits grew by 20.75% over March 31, 2010. The

Bank's Balance Sheet size enlarged by 24.95 % to Rs.11559 crore from Rs.9251 crore as at March 31, 2009.

 

Gross NPA level was reduced from 1.80% to 1.36% and net NPA level was brought down from 1.08% to 0.58% as on 31.03.2010. The provision coverage ratio as on 31.03.2010 reached 70% well before the stipulated date of 30.09.2010.

 

Performance Highlights and Ratios :( For FY10)

Return on Assets (annualized) of 1.52 % and Return on average equity of 20.55 %.

Net Interest Margin at 3.15 %.

Non Interest Income to Total Income ratio at 13.04 %.

Capital Adequacy Ratio - Basel I 12.09 % (Tier I - 11.15%)

- Basel II 13.46 % (Tier I 12.41%)

Book value per share of Rs.20.66

Basic EPS Rs.4.03/-

Diluted EPS Rs.3.99/-

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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Fw: Facility for holding Mutual Fund Units in dematerialised form.

 

Dear Demat Account Holder,

 

NSDL has introduced facility to hold existing mutual fund units in demat accounts. You can use your existing demat account for converting your mutual fund units into dematerialised form. You can now have a single Transaction Statement for shares, debentures and mutual fund units. For further information, please visit our website at the following link:

https://nsdl.co.in/nsdlnews/hold-mutual-fund-units.php

 

Kindly contact your Depository Participant to avail this facility.

 

Assuring you of our best services.

 

Regards,

 

NSDL
Trusted by more than One Crore Demat Account Holders

 


**[investwise]** Tata Motors Bags A Winner With The Jaguar XKR Coupe

 

Some clear night, go out and look at the moon and consider that abroad in the world is a man named Ian Callum, head of Jaguar design, and he is sitting at his desk, that moon large in the window, and he's wondering what the hell he's going to do next.

As Jaguar is on the cusp of redefining itself in the 21st century, traditionalists might want to scoop up the last heritage jag. WSJ's Dan Neil reviews the 2011 Jaguar XKR.


Land Rover/Jaguar's new overlords—the Indian conglomerate Tata—are pouring great coal trains of money into the companies. In the next 24 to 36 months, Jaguar will birth the XE series of compact sports cars (roadster, coupe, two-plus) aimed at the Porsche 911; and a new compact sedan, successor to the X-Type, to wade in against the BMW 3-series. Well, as long as they aren't taking on too much.


Meanwhile, as the 3-D modeling files are flying, Jag also has to reinvent the XK, the big grand touring coupe and convertible. Here it gets tricky for Mr. Callum and his merry band of designos. For while we're all agreed the XK is terribly dated, we're not all agreed that that is a terrible thing.


This week I drove the current generation of XK, which has been around since 2006 and actually has its design roots much deeper in the past. In general conformation—the priapic hood, the lozenge-style fuselage, the catfish mouth of a grille—the car reaches back to the E-Type (1961-1974), one of the great designs in automotive history. All things considered, the E-Type has been a kind of a curse for Jaguar, impossible to improve upon and impossible to escape.

For years, Jaguar's design portfolio has spiraled in on itself, as every year the cars seemed more reductive and derivative, more desperate to leverage the company's antique glory. Callum & Co. ended that this year with the introduction of the 2011 XJ, a devastatingly cool and contemporary fastback sedan that had zero to do, design-wise, with the previous XJ. (Incidentally, XJ's are selling as if their glove boxes were stuffed with Tesla stock.)

So it seems only rational that when the eventual redesign happens, the next XK will be a clean break stylistically with the current car. New owners, new company, new page, etc.


And yet…


And yet I couldn't have had more gawking, unbroken stares directed my way if I'd had a ranting Mel Gibson in the passenger seat. Or a supernumerary nipple on my forehead. Or antlers.


Honestly, college kids getting off the bus broke off their conversations and hitched their gait as this car drove by. Nicely kitted women eating in cafes were arrested in mid-fork, seemingly hit with an envious freeze-ray. People rolled down their windows to tell me—in sometimes rather alarming, unhinged terms—how beautiful the car was. What, you've never seen a Jag XK? It's been around forever. Get lost, you rube!


The Specs

Base price: $93,908

Price as tested: $102,000

Powertrain: Supercharged direct-injection DOHC 5.0-liter V8 with variable valve timing; six-speed automatic transmission with manual-shift mode; rear-wheel drive with electrically actuated multiplate clutch limited-slip differential.

Horsepower/torque: 510 hp at 6,000-6,500 rpm; 461 pound-feet of torque @ 2,500-5,500 rpm

Length/weight: 188.7 inches/4,079 pounds

0-60 mph: 4.7 seconds

Top speed: 155 mph

EPA fuel economy: 15/22 mpg, city/highway

Cargo capacity: 7.1 cubic feet
(roof down)

More Cougar Than Jaguar

Though the car is now older and a bit past its prime, the Jag XK's sex appeal—especially in the supercharged XKR trim—is turning out to be surprisingly durable. It raises an interesting sociological question: As a culture are we beginning to appreciate a more mature kind of sensuality? Ask Courteney Cox.

Power, the Universal Solvent

Whatever deficits the XK might have as a sports touring machine are nicely papered over with the application of obscene horsepower and massive torque. The corporate supercharged 5.0 generates 510 hp at 6,000 rpm and ferocious 461 pound-feet of torque from 2,500 to 5,500 rpm. Those are world-class output numbers from a blown 5.0-liter engine. Good on ya, mate.

As Janis Said, Get It While You Can

Lots of people actually didn't like the new XJ sedan, which put a fork in the traditional XJ styling. There are probably a lot of people out there who will feel nostalgic about the XK, when it is finally revised. My question: Why wait to miss it when you can buy it now?


My conclusion is that there is something ineffably pleasurable in the seeing of this car, something continually gratifying in the beholding of it, something that goes far beyond the simple act of recognition. I don't know what it is and I don't think I share in it—the car looks too soft and feminine to me, or maybe too much like a bachelorette-party novelty gift. But were I Mr. Callum, the prospect of walking away from that something, whatever it is, would make me lose sleep.


Meanwhile, if you're in the market for a Palm Beach bomber type car, and you like the old, unreconstructed Jaguar, maybe you should get it while you can. In 36 months, Jag's product lineup will be transformed.


This car is not exactly settling for less. The recipe for the XKR is tried and true: take a fine car and add ridiculous horsepower. Under the miles-long hood is the same supercharged/direct-injection 5.0-liter, 510-hp V8 as appears in the Range Rover Supercharged I drove last week, and it's a hugely heroic bit of reciprocation, capable of hurling the convertible to 60 mph in around 4.6 seconds—seven-tenths quicker than the naturally aspirated XK convertible—and from there it's a windy elevator ride to three-digit speeds, and jail. Nothing about this car makes you want to go the posted limit.


Certainly not the sound. The keepers of the brand have decided that aurality is a key part of the Jag experience, so they've crafted special sound filters to pipe engine noises into the cabin. Meanwhile, the active exhaust system in the rear has a sequence of flaps that open up as the engine climbs in rpm. The result is that when you get the car on the boil it cackles, it snarls, it bleats and burps pyrotechnically. Can I get that as a ringtone?


The cosmetic differences between XKR and the naturally aspirated version are minor. Apropos the air-pounding Roots blower, there are "power vents" in the hood. The XKR also sports some chrome mesh in the lower grille portion. Peeking out from behind the 19-inch front wheels are formidable brake calipers with the Jag R (performance-division logo).


It's easy to forget that the previous-generation XK had a conventional, old-school ragtop that when retracted piled up in a mess of canvas and roof bows exposed behind the rear seats. The current car has one of the best canvas tops on the market, which operates in a mere 18 seconds and when retracted tucks invisibly under the integrated tonneau. When the top is up, it's hard to tell the car isn't a fixed-roof. In sound isolation and resistance to buffeting, the three-layer top is worthy of Bentley or Aston Martin.


How's the XKR drive? Depends on how you drive it, really. It's obviously a big, comfortable car, and wickedly fast, but because it has no back seat to speak of and even less trunk—all the space is consumed by the convertible mechanisms—it's got a serious lack of luggage space for weekend drives. I suppose if you absolutely had to you could get one set of golf clubs in the back seat, but you'd have to lower the top to get them in and out of that well-upholstered sinkhole.


So, let's see: That makes the XKR a grand touring car for golf-hating nudists.

Obviously, 510 hp versus 4,079 pounds of curb weight makes the car straight-line fast. What you wouldn't expect is that the car is so capable in the corners. Not nimble, exactly, but honorably determined to hang on in tight turns and change direction as hard as it can.


But the XKR can start to feel unsettled and over-reactive in a series of tight corners, as waves of unconstrained pitch and roll motions gather strength and start to overwhelm the suspension. This car is happier on one big corner than several little ones.


Note to Jag: Really appreciate the active limited-slip differential. That was helpful.


If you're buying this car to peel the bark off the local arbor, you're missing the point. This is less about the driving than the seeing and maybe the hearing. As Jaguar stands at this crucial turning point in its design history, perhaps the best advice for the old guard is to look while you can

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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**[investwise]** North India Dairy Plants Remain Closed; Skimmed Milk, Milk Powder Price Drops

 

Good Rains Help Dairy Farms of Maharashtra and Andhra but North Indian Dairy producers grapple with stocks from FY10


Northern dairies are saddled with excess powder and ghee inventories even ahead of the 'flush' production period, which begins from mid-August and peaks towards November-December before ending in March.


The region's big private dairies – VRS Foods, Bhole Baba Dairy Industries, Sterling Agro and SMC Foods – are all apparently holding 30 per cent of stocks from the last flush, which they say can last till October.


"We don't really need to operate our plants till then. Fresh production would be required only during Diwali (scheduled for November 5)," said Mr Kuldeep Saluja, Managing Director, Sterling Agro Industries Ltd.


Surplus stocks have led to wholesale prices of skimmed milk prices (SMP) falling from Rs 150-155 a kg in May-June to Rs 120-130 in northern markets. Ghee, which ruled at Rs 255 a kg in May and Rs 240 in June, is now trading at Rs 210. "There are no buyers even at these rates. Therefore, we have had to slash factory-delivered buffalo milk prices from Rs 26 to Rs 20 a litre since mid-June," Mr Saluja added.


A different story in Guj, Maha, AP


After last year's drought and consequent supply pressures, dairies across the country are reporting strong rebound in milk procurement volumes this time round. The Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation's member unions are currently buying 10 lakh litres per day (LLPD) more compared to last year.


"Our procurement is up 15 per cent over last July and 10 per cent on a cumulative April-July basis," Mr R.S. Sodhi, Managing Director of India's largest dairy concern, told Business Line.


But it is not only Gujarat that is seeing a jump. Dairies in Maharashtra, which has had excellent monsoon, have also been flooded with lot more milk this time. Dynamix Dairy Industries, Parag Milk Foods, Warana Dairy, Swaraj India Industries and Siddharth Milk Foods alone have registered a combined procurement increase of 14 LLPD.


"The five of us are now converting about 24 LLPD of milk into powder and white butter/ghee. Last year, at this time, we were doing just half," said Mr Ranjeetsingh Naik Nimbalkar, Chairman and Managing Director, of Swaraj India Industries Ltd. Andhra Pradesh's four leading private dairies – Heritage, Tirumala, Creamline and Dodla – are also said to be together procuring around 22 LLPD, 3 LLPD more than last year.


Additional milk


In Tamil Nadu, procurement by the state-owned Aavin cooperative is up from 20 LLPD to 23 LLPD, while that of Hatsun Agro Product has similarly risen from 14 LLPD to 17 LLPD. The Karnataka Milk Federation, too, is learnt to be collecting 4-5 LLPD of additional milk compared with last year.


"My hunch is that dairies across India are currently procuring some 50 LLPD more milk than they were this time last. And once the flush season starts in the North, the incremental increase would probably be 65 LLPD or more," said Mr R.G. Chandramogan, Chairman and Managing Director, Hatsun Agro Product Ltd.


In Maharashtra, private dairies do not have the option of reducing prices, given the large presence of co-operatives. "But we have decided to reduce procurement by 20 per cent," Mr Nimbalkar said.


More Imports On The Way


The industry claims that the National Dairy Development Board's (NDDB) move to import 30,000 tonnes of SMP and 15,000 tonnes of butter oil at nil duty has worsened matters. Of the total imports, an estimated 12,000 tonnes of SMP and 6,500 tonnes of butter oil have so far arrived.


"The bulk of imports will land in October, which will further depress realisations, that too during the flush season. These imports, if at all, should have taken place last year when there was a shortage and not now," an industry source said. NDDB is learnt to have contracted the imported SMP at a landed cost of $ 2,950 a tonne and butter oil at $ 4,150-4,250 a tonne.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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Tamil version of investor education and protection fund website

Union Corporate Affairs Minister Salman Khurshid on Saturday launched the Tamil version of the Investor Education and Protection Fund (IEPF) website in Chennai.

Khurshid also released the beginner's guide on capital markets in Tamil language at a function organized by Southern India Chamber of Commerce and Industry in partnership with National Stock Exchange as part of India Investor Week (IIW) 2010.

For More Information. Click here

**[investwise]** The Wisdom Of Ken Fisher-Be A Bad News Bull [1 Attachment]

 
[Attachment(s) from Maverick included below]

Ken Fisher: Be A Bad News Bull

 

"Bad news is good.You can expect more of it. And you can expect the stock market to resume its recovery, which began November 20. Do you find this line of argument perplexing? You have company. A lot of my clients are baffled at the notion that the stock market should be climbing at a time when employment is declining.

 

But if you look back at the pattern in past stock market recoveries, or think about what the stock market represents, the combination of a bull market and a recession will not seem so strange."

 

"Look past the pessimism and remind yourself that it's better to be a little early than a little late in getting back to stocks."
 

"Corrections and bear market beginnings act very, very differently. Having one means not

having the other.And this decline has the distinct fingerprint of a correction.Corrections are

preceded by spike tops. You see a rally followed by a sharp cliff that takes the market down 10% to 20% in a very short time."

 

"The prices/sales ratio is the relationship between a company's sales and its market capitalization." "[James P.] Shaughnessy then shows that you do better still combining Price-to-Sales Ratios (PSR) with other ratios in a more complicated multivariate attack. While true, I doubt most folks will ever do this. If it's complicated, most investors won't stick to it. But there is lots to learn here."

 

"In a similar vein, professors William C. Barbee Jr., Sandip Mukherji and Gary A. Raines wrote a barn burner of a paper in the March/April 1996 issue of the Financial Analysis Journal entitled 'Do Sales-Price and Debt-Equity Explain Stock Returns Better than Book-Market and Firm Size?' Their answer?

 

Yes. Challenging the academic establishment's current conclusion that price-to-book is the best way to view reality, this trio's academic work shows that price/sales ratios are 'a more reliable explanatory factor' for stock returns than other measures."



 
Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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Attachment(s) from Maverick

1 of 1 File(s)

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**[investwise]** TCS,Thermax, Eseel, Suzlon, M&M & NIIT-The Guys Who Made It In China

 

M.S. Unnikrishnan remembers a strange phenomenon that began to affect the international market prospects of his firm, Thermax, in the early 2000s. Absorption chillers (used for cooling machinery) were one of Thermax's biggest product lines and sold in 40 countries. The managing director of Thermax knew that his biggest competitors were either from Japan or the U.S. But a number of aggressive Chinese manufacturers were beginning to take center stage.
 
Since no one inside Thermax knew much about this new rival, a team from the firm made a few trips to China. They were stunned to find that almost half the absorption chillers in the world were made and sold in China. It was the largest market in the world in this product category, and some of the local companies were well on their way to global market dominance. And no one had seen them coming.
 
Unnikrishnan quickly marshaled his troops to mount an offensive. "To compete against China globally, we had to sell in China, too," he says. Going to China made complete sense. One, it gave Thermax the opportunity to understand its rivals and allowed it to utilize some of the raw materials and local expertise. Two, there was no running away from the fact that China was the biggest market within that category.
 
Back in 2003 there weren't too many Indian firms operating in China. There was no information on how to stage an entry--no consultants, no market researchers. There were doubts about whether the Chinese would accept an Indian product. But they toughed it out.
 
"Chinese price points were way lower than ours. But we wanted to get an order to experience how to sell and how to install in China. So we didn't get into [a] price point game," says Unnikrishnan. Despite the fact that the operation lost money for two years, Thermax went ahead and set up a factory in China.
 
It got worse once the global meltdown hit. But now things are getting back on track. Orders are trickling in and China is now a crucial part of Thermax's global operations. While it has subsidiaries in the U.S. and Europe, manufacturing is concentrated only in China and India. Thermax plans to significantly expand its capacity in China and bring in new products to drive growth soon.
 
It isn't just Thermax that's taken the bait. Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) is planning to ramp up its presence in China from 1,000-odd people to about 5,000 within the next four years and has set its sights on making the big deals.
 
Suzlon Chairman Tulsi Tanti has seen demand for wind energy gallop in the last year, as the country set clear targets for promoting renewable energy. In the next 10 years China is expected to set up 100 gigawatts of installed wind power, which will make it the world's largest wind power producer. "All this has created a very attractive market for companies like ours, and now the journey must continue--more remains to be done to create a truly level playing field in line with the local market," says Tanti.
 
Suzlon's early start may certainly help. In 2006 it was among the first international wind power companies to invest in China, plunking down $100 million in a blademaking facility, one of the largest investments made by an Indian company in China till then.
 
Now consider packaging giant Essel Propack. It, too, made an early call, back in the mid-1990s. "Back then China wasn't a big story in India," says R. Chandrasekhar, COO of Essel Propack. Today 20% of its global revenues come from China--the country figures in its top three markets globally both in revenues and profitability.
 
Essel also figured that it made more sense to use its laminate-making facility in China to supply the entirety of the Americas. Setting up a plant in the U.S. would have been much more costly. Besides, the domestic Chinese market gives it the anchor volumes to break even a lot faster. Essel now has three plants in China and will increasingly use it to cater to Japan and Korea.
 
But there were initial hiccups. Initially Essel looked at a joint venture plan: It would invest in the equity and provide the technology; the partner would provide the local know-how. After spending a year looking for a partner, Essel dumped the plan. "It was a turbulent experience," says Chandrasekhar. "There was a complete lack of alignment of our business goals and those of the partners. The way China is structured, there is no transparency in accounts and legal dealings."
 
Essel at least had a choice. In some cases joint ventures are an imperative. For instance, Mahindra & Mahindra's tractor business has been in China for almost five years now. Today, it sells more than 28,000 tractors a year and generates country revenues in excess of Rs. 540 crore. Some of that is thanks to two joint ventures that have helped it complete its product range.
 
"A local product range became a critical factor considering price and reliability expectations of Chinese consumers--Indian designs and exports from India were too expensive," says Anjanikumar Choudhari, president (farm equipment sector), M&M. For M&M, the joint venture is crucial also because in China, government involvement in business is high. In M&M's case, the joint venture partner engages and keeps in close contact with the government.
 
Getting a local ally like a provincial government or a government trade promotion agency can substantially ease the pains of starting up. When Essel Propack went to China, it set up base in Guangzhou Province. When it applied for a business license to the Guangzhou Economic Trade Development Agency, initially Essel was denied 100% ownership.
 
But after two months it cleared the proposal on the grounds that Essel was bringing in a technology that didn't exist in China and that 25% of the product would have to be exported. From this stage on the government agency became like a foster parent for Essel. "We didn't use any consultants--they started helping in a big way," says Chandrasekhar. They even helped Essel with niggling things--like looking for employee housing and hiring interpreters.
 
In China every province has to meet some big targets for foreign investment. So if they feel that you are worth their while, they'll go all out to help you.
 
Prakash Menon, president, NIIT China, recounts an incident where the mayor of Wuxi Province wanted NIIT to set up an IT training facility. But NIIT said it needed infrastructure. "[That] became a single-window solution for us. He had the infrastructure ready in a week," says Menon. NIIT trained 1,500 students in Wuxi. Then the mayor said he wanted them to train 10,000 students. Within a week NIIT had 300,000 square feet of space in which to do so.
Similarly, when TCS was looking for a location for its China operations, it happened to mention to the mayor of Hangzhou that finding vegetarian food was a problem. "When I went there again three months later, they had set up a vegetarian restaurant in the city for us," says Girija Pande, EVP and head of TCS, Asia-Pacific.
 
Of course, the afterglow of a red-carpet welcome doesn't last long. "Recently we participated in a trade show in China where we displayed some of our heavy machinery," recalls the managing director of an Indian company. A man walked in with a video camera and filmed the machine on display from all possible angles. "I was horrified and tried to stop him, but nothing worked. Before you know it, somebody else will take your structure and copy it," he says.
 
Most Indian firms like Thermax have figured out how to deal with copycats. "Chinese companies are very good at standardized products and mass-manufactured items. If an Indian company has a skills-intensive product and a high-tech-solutions orientation, it can easily score over local companies," says Unnikrishnan. So Thermax didn't target run-of-the-mill projects--like air-conditioning for buildings. Instead, it went after unconventional projects like cooling coalmine shafts.
 
"If you try and compete with a Chinese company on just cost, it will be extremely difficult to succeed," says Dinesh Gupta, president, Bry Air (Asia). "Instead, focus on large-scale operations, and take advantage of economies of scale and building a brand," he adds.
 
NIIT's experiences provide another pointer on how to compete. When it entered China in 1997, it was pretty much the only player in the sector. Today Shanghai alone has some 200 IT training institutions, but NIIT continues to be pretty much the most successful.
 
"[The local institutions] lack depth. Even though Chinese players also are getting bigger, they tend to be localized--very few have a national presence," says Menon. NIIT, on the other hand, has continued to offer more sophisticated services as its understanding of the local market has improved over the last 13 years.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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**[investwise]** Ken Fisher: Shale Gas Is The Future

 

Despite its many critics, hydraulic fracturing will change the nature of energy production. Your investments in the energy sector should reflect that fact.
 
Fracking, as it is called by insiders, means injecting fluid at very high pressure into a well used to produce oil, water or natural gas. The most important application is in natural gas production. The injections produce tiny fissures in underground rock, allowing the gas (or whatever you are trying to extract) to seep out.
 
While fracking is a decades-old process, it has made great technological strides in the past few years. It will make and keep natural gas cheap for a long, long time. Gas that now costs $5 per thousand cubic feet at the wellhead could come down in price to $2. The consequence will be a large-scale displacement of competing energy sources by gas.
 
The losers in this technological shift will be energy sources that are either dirtier than natural gas (coal, especially) or much more expensive (wind and solar). The winners will be the suppliers of fracking technology.
 
Environmentalists have their misgivings about gas and about the methods used to get it out of the ground. But there's no denying that burning natural gas (methane, that is) produces less carbon dioxide per unit of energy than burning coal. The consequence is that electric power production is going to migrate from coal to gas.
 
Windmills and solar cells are carbon-free sources of electricity. But they are costly. If you've been investing in those, give it up. That game is effectively over.
 
Natural gas has the additional benefit of being a domestic energy source. Fracking opens up vast tracts of the U.S. to exploitation by gas drillers. There's enough energy under our feet to last us for decades, maybe centuries.
 
The impact of cheap methane on the petroleum business will be less pronounced and slower in coming. That's because crude oil can be turned into very convenient transportation fuels (gasoline and diesel).
 
You can power a truck with natural gas, but it needs an expensive retrofit. This is in contrast to the situation in electricity production, where gas-burning plants are cheaper to build than coal-burning ones.
 
Environmentalists should like fracking for its relative cleanliness. But they don't. They have made a bugaboo out of the chemicals in fracking fluids, which supposedly can leach into groundwater sources. I'm convinced they're dead wrong. Ultimately good technology with a cost advantage will win out over paranoia.
 
One pure play is Carbo Ceramics (CRR, 73), a Houston firm that makes various forms of "proppant," particles (sand or a synthetic substitute) injected along with the fracking fluid to keep the fissures propped open after the pressure is withdrawn. Carbo is also a leader in fracture design, consulting services and simulation software.
 
Its products are made in America, China and Russia and sold worldwide. This small technology firm is about to take off. It has a great balance sheet and sells at only 18 times my estimate of 2010 earnings, with a 1% dividend yield. In two decades institutions everywhere will own this stock. Get in ahead of them.
 
Another small Houston player is Complete Production Services (CPX, 14), which offers the full array of oilfield services necessary for fracturing and is particularly strong in Texas' Barnett Shale deposit. Its fracturing pumps operate at pressures up to 10,000 pounds per square inch. It sells at one times annual revenue, 1.5 times book value and 20 times my estimate of 2011 earnings (it has been losing money but is turning that corner right now).
 
Don't chase the stock. The market value is only $1 billion.
 
In my June 7 column I recommended both Halliburton (HAL, 23) and Baker Hughes (BHI, 38) on the theory that these broader oilfield services firms would benefit as fracturing led to more exploration and drilling. I didn't anticipate the overall market correction or the BP oil spill, which has caused peripheral damage to all drillers. The market reaction is excessive. So I'm doubling down here. If you bought, buy more. If you didn't, do it now.
 
Other smaller indirect fracturing beneficiaries that should do well include: Key Energy Services (KEG, 10), LUFKin Industries (LUFK, 41), RPC Inc. (RES, 14) and Unit Corp. (UNT, 43). They all boast reasonable prices, good management and strong balance sheets

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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