Sensex

Sunday, August 05, 2007

$$ DreamGains !! $$ Dont Buy Anything... !!

Dear Members

 

Don’t BUY anything thinking that market is coming down.

 

As per my personal view still more downside left.

 

Nifty should come below 4000 level once or atleast around those levels.

 

Still if you want to buy something buy for only 20% of your capital.

 

Regards

 

BigGains...

 

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$$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: PowerYourTrade Trading Calls

 

 

From: mailer9-bounces@mailman3.moneycontrol.com [mailto:mailer9-bounces@mailman3.moneycontrol.com] On Behalf Of PowerYourTrade
Sent: 06 August 2007 08:58
To: alerts@poweryourtrade.com
Subject: PowerYourTrade Trading Calls

 

Trading Calls for 06th August 2007

Ashwani Gujral

Sell Shree Renuka Sugars with stop loss of Rs 600 for target of Rs 470.

Sell Shree Renuka Sugars with stop loss of Rs 600 for target of Rs 470.

Disclosure: Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in the future.

Sell India Infoline with stop loss of Rs 707 for target of Rs 560.

Sell India Infoline with stop loss of Rs 707 for target of Rs 560.

Disclosure: Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in the future.

 

 

Rajat K Bose

Buy IFCI with stop loss below Rs 58 for targets of Rs63 - Rs 65. This is a day trading recommendation.

Buy IFCI with stop loss below Rs 58 for targets of Rs63 - Rs 65. This is a day trading recommendation.

Note: Either on the long side or on the short side if at any moment a counter is not moving beyond an initial or interim target to the final target book profits. Once initial target is crossed, you can use that as your trailing stop-loss level.

Notes:

·  All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned.

·  Calls are based on the previous trading day's price activity.

·  The call is valid for the next trading session only unless otherwise mentioned.

·  Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there.

·  Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these recommendations.

Disclosure:The analyst and his family do not have any trades in the securities recommended above at the time of giving this recommendation. His newsletter clients have been recommended the same along with other picks. Traders are requested to adhere to the stop losses very strictly; they are given to be implemented, not ignored. Do not chase a security and take a position where you would be uncomfortable with the stop-loss level. Take a position only when you feel that the risk-reward ratio looks comfortable and favourable for the trade.

Sell Tata Consultancy Services with stop loss above Rs 1115 for targets of Rs 1079 and Rs 1065. This is a day trading recommendation.

Sell Tata Consultancy Services with stop loss above Rs 1115 for targets of Rs 1079 and Rs 1065. This is a day trading recommendation.

Note: Either on the long side or on the short side if at any moment a counter is not moving beyond an initial or interim target to the final target book profits. Once initial target is crossed, you can use that as your trailing stop-loss level.

Notes:

·  All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned.

·  Calls are based on the previous trading day's price activity.

·  The call is valid for the next trading session only unless otherwise mentioned.

·  Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there.

·  Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these recommendations.

Disclosure:The analyst and his family do not have any trades in the securities recommended above at the time of giving this recommendation. His newsletter clients have been recommended the same along with other picks. Traders are requested to adhere to the stop losses very strictly; they are given to be implemented, not ignored. Do not chase a security and take a position where you would be uncomfortable with the stop-loss level. Take a position only when you feel that the risk-reward ratio looks comfortable and favourable for the trade.

 

 

E Mathew

Buy South Asian Petrochem with stop loss of Rs 14.50 for short-term target of Rs 29.40.

Buy South Asian Petrochem with stop loss of Rs 14.50 for short-term target of Rs 29.40.

Disclaimer: - I, my family members and my group companies do not have any position what so ever in SOUTH ASIA PETRO. This stock has been recommended to our clients and they may be holding long or short positions in this stock.

Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com gives an unbiased and competent picture of trading opportunities and it does that to the best of its abilities. However, prices can move up as well as down due to number of factors, all of which are impossible for anyone to foresee. THEREFORE, Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com cannot accept any responsibility for any investment decision or trading decision taken by readers and clients on the basis of information contained herein.

Short Term Target Means - Approximately 3 Months.

Medium Term Target Means - Anything between 7 - 9 Months.

Long Term Target Means - Anything above 1 Year.

Please follow stop losses very strictly and do not take positions where one is uncomfortable with the stop loss level. Above all Buy or Sell the stock only when the risk - reward ratio vis-a-vis the stop loss is favourable for taking a position.

 

 

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$$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: Weekly Stock Idea By Sanjay Chhabria: 06th Aug 2007

 

 

From: ValueNotes.com [mailto:technicals@valuenotes.com]
Sent: 06 August 2007 05:55
To: satish.khetan@gmail.com
Subject: Weekly Stock Idea By Sanjay Chhabria: 06th Aug 2007

 

By continuing to read this article, you have read and agreed to the disclaimers at the bottom of this page.

SANJAY CHHABRIA's WEEKLY STOCK IDEA(S) -6th August 2007

Vol IV No 47

Please read the disclaimer at the end of this page.

"Because people are simple-minded in how they try to understand what goes on in the market, they like to own what is comfortable instead of what's uncomfortable. They make big errors in valuation. Therefore, if you really understand this, you can make money as a value investor". - Peter L. Bernstein

"Because one mistake breeds another, he who buys too high will sell too low".- Leo Dworsky

"What has been the fashion once, will come into fashion again".- Japanese proverb

This Week's Stock Idea(s)- KPIT Cummins Infosystems Ltd(Rs 120)

Given the current market conditions, Investors would do well to accumulate gradually on declines.

Most IT companies have declared their results for the Q1FY08. The results for most of these have been Uninspiring in Rupee terms. The major reasons of spoilsport for most results this quarter have been the appreciating Rupee and, wage impacts. Last year the dollar depreciated by ~10% from Rs. 44 to Rs. 40 and ergo, the downward revision of earning guidance/expectations. While the rupee is presently showing no signs of softening, it is unlikely that it would do a second performance of 10% (big) INR appreciation this year as well. In short, no major threat on the forex front from here on is expected. The concerns on this front shall dilute with the sequential passing of each quarter. With the Dollar at Rs.40.5 factored into stock price for most companies, its time to start taking a look at some of the companies in the sector and start accumulating for the medium-long term. This week, a look at one such company.

KPIT Cummins Infosystems Ltd(Rs 120)(Rs 2 paid up)(BSE Code- 532400 NSE Code-KPIT)- The Pune-based KPIT Cummins Infosystems (KPIT) provides IT and IT-enabled services to clients across the world. The mid-tier IT services provider's focus is on two verticals: manufacturing services and banking, financial services and insurance (BFSI). Within these two verticals, it is focused on a few key customers. In addition to regular application development and maintenance services, the company offers VLSI and embedded software services, package implementation, business intelligence, and BPO services. For the year ended March 2007, KPIT reported revenue growth of 46% to Rs 463.70 cr. backed by 36.2% growth in Manufacturing and 21.4% growth in BFSI. OPM improved by 80bps to 15.3%, the resultant operating profit was higher by 53% to Rs 70.78 cr. Net profit grew by 54% to Rs 50.31 cr.. On a equity of 14.9 cr. the EPS on a Rs 2 paid up share stood at Rs 6.75.

For the Q1 ended March 2007, on the back of growth of 7.4% in Cummins business, KPIT Cummins reported 4% q-o-q growth in consolidated topline to Rs 135.29 cr. with US$ growth at 5%. The operating margins improved 10bps to 15.9% despite wage hike and rupee appreciation on the back of lower S&M expenses. The consolidated bottomline dipped 10% to Rs 12.68 crore on the back of increase in depreciation by 52%. The results were above market expectations. The company upped its US$ revenue guidance whereas lowered its net profit guidance. On Y-o-Y basis, KPIT Cummins reported 32% growth in the topline with the operating margins improving 100bps to 15.9% and the bottomline grew 23% to Rs 12.68 cr.

During the quarter, the company added 7 new customers, 6 in manufacturing, and 1 in DFS taking the total active customer base to 97 from 90 in the sequential quarter. Star customers increased to 18 from 17 in the sequential quarter. There are 18 customers with revenue run rate of over $ 1 Million up from 19 in the sequential quarter. Cummins continues to be the largest customer, constituting 38.96% of the total revenues in the quarter down from 37.53% in the sequential quarter. Revenue from Cummins grew 7.4% compared to sequential quarter. US continued to be a dominant geography with 57.67% (58.77% sequential quarter) up 1.9% sequentially. Europe contributed 30.55% (29.68% sequential quarter) of total revenues up 6.9%. Rest of the World, including Japan and Asia Pacific, accounted for the balance 11.79% of revenues up by 5.9%. Repeat business from customers continues to be high at around 90% of total revenues. Manufacturing vertical accounted for 78.35% of the total revenues for the quarter whereas BFSI as a vertical accounted for 9.68% of revenues.

In other developments, KPIT allotted 1,471,498 equity shares and 1,471,498 convertible warrants of Rs. 2 each to Cargill Mauritius Limited, Mauritius at a unit price of Rs.128.41 (determined in accordance with SEBI (DIP) Guidelines) for an agreed total cash consideration of upto USD 9 million. The warrants are convertible into equity shares over a period of eighteen months, subject to fulfillment of certain financial parameters. After this the equity will increase to 16.72 cr. The company entered into a new partnership with Cummins Inc. to provide F&A BPO solutions. This partnership will help jumpstart F&A BPO business at KPIT Cummins Global Business Solutions (KPIT GBS), the company's wholly owned subsidiary. Over a period of 5 years, the company expects to generate approximately $90Mn of revenues from this business.

The company's business outlook- Consolidated Income from operations is expected to be in the range of Rs 601.8 - 614.2 cr. implying growth rate of 29.8 - 32.5%. Net Profit guidance is expected to be Rs 63 - 68 cr. implying growth of 24.8 - 34.7%. The shares of KPIT Cummins are trading at Rs 120, which discounts the guided FY08 EPS of Rs 8.3 (lower end) on equity of Rs 16.72 crore by about 14.4 times. Investors can accumulate the KPIT stock at this level and add on declines (in the range of Rs 100- Rs 115) for a price target of Rs 165-170 over the medium-long term.

Sanjay Chhabria is an equity analyst and investment consultant based at Raipur (Chhattisgarh). At the time of writing this, he doesn't have any position in the stocks mentioned above. He welcomes comments, feedback & investor queries at valueinv@sify.com. The above report is based on fundamental research and analysis and is meant for investors, who want to invest with a medium to long-term perspective. It is not meant for short-term investors or traders. The name weekly stock idea(s) does not mean that the stocks mentioned as buys in this report are for one week or short term. The name weekly stock Idea(s) only denotes the frequency of this report, which is weekly.

Disclaimer- Sanjay Chhabria (Author), does not accept any liability arising from the use of this report. Under no circumstances does the information in this report represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. This report has been prepared solely for information purposes and does not constitute a solicitation to any person to buy or sell a security. While the information contained therein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for the accuracy of its contents. Investors are advised to satisfy themselves before making any investments. Though all care is taken in preparing this report, subscribers are cautioned that prices of equity shares may rise or fall in a manner not foreseen. Subscribers and readers using the information contained herein are solely responsible for their actions and shall not hold the Author liable for any investment decisions/ actions based on the Content provided. Investment in stock market is risky and volatile

This newsletter is brought to you by
Disclaimer: This is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. ValueNotes is an unbiased aggregator and provides a platform for a variety of analysts/ writers to publish their information and analysis, but ValueNotes does not promote or ascribe to the views of individual analysts/writers who write on ValueNotes. Neither ValueNotes nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of use of the above information/article, or for errors of fact or opinion. Readers who use this information for any purpose (including trading or investing) clearly understand and accept that it is their sole decision, and that the risk is entirely theirs. Writers and contributors may be trading in, or have positions in the securities mentioned in their articles. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited.

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$$ DreamGains !! $$ Telefolio : GEI Industrial Systems

cid:image001.png@01C7D7BF.4DC37910

 

 

GEI Industrial Systems

Condensing the hot Power and Oil & Gas sectors

The regulatory compulsion and the fast growth in user industries augur well for the company’s growth

Buy

GEI Industrial Systems

BSE Code

530743

NSE Code

Not listed

Bloomberg

GEIH@IN

Reuter

GEIH.BO

52-week High/Low

Rs 93 / Rs 38

Current Price

Rs 82 (as on 3rd August 2007)

Formerly known as GEI Hamon Industries, GEI Industrial Systems (GEI) is a specialist in Heat Transfer Technology. It is into Design, Engineering and laying of condensers, power transmission and other auxiliary engineering services for Power Plants (combined cycle steam based and gas turbine based plants, nuclear power plant, hydroelectric power plants and gas and diesel engine based power plants), Petroleum refineries, LNG terminals, Petrochemical and chemical plants, Oil and gas fields, Off shore gas processing platforms, CNG filling station, Electrical locomotives, Fertilizers plants, Metallurgical industry, Cement plants and Power utilizing equipments.

Traditional water condensers are not environment-friendly

GEI focuses on air-cooled condenser technology. Traditionally, in power plants and in any industry wherever co-generation plant is utilized water is used as a medium to keep the condensers cool. Particularly in large industry or large power plants, whenever hot steam is generated, the entire steam is collected in a big container through connected pipeline and then purified water is passed from the other side of the container, converting the hot steam into water. Further that impure water, which may be filled with chemicals etc depending upon the industry and the fuel used to generate power, needs to be removed or eliminated or often mixed with earth water. This impure the earth water. This makes the natural water hazardous. However industry keep on using this water condensing technology as it is much cheaper to any other alternatives. However gradually with increasing government regulations and environment-consciousness, use of this traditional technology is giving way to air-cooled condensing, where air replaces water as a cooling medium. GEI stands to benefit from this trend in a big way.

Governments have started focusing on efficient utilization of water

Having realized the disadvantage and harmful side effects of the water used in condensing technology, TamilNadu was the first state to ban the use of water for this purpose. This was followed by the States of Chattisgarh and Rajasthan, where water availability is a problem.

Recently, PMO has formed an advisory council to ensure the effective utilization of earth water. So slowly but surely the Government is understanding the unproductive and harmful utilization of water. Equally with the industry moving towards the EURO norms and other industrial standards, and increasing environment consciousness, the players have started to shift away from the water condensers to its alternative Air Cooled Condensers. This augurs well for GEI as it is the largest player in Air cooled condensers apart from other two unorganized players in the industry.

The target industry of the company’s product is growing fast

There are two types of Air Cooled condensers that are manufactured by GEI, namely air-cooled heat condensers, used in oil & gas & refinery sectors and air-cooled steam condensers, utilized in power stations.

In Oil & Gas sector, the air-cooled heat condensers are utilized at all the stages of oil exploration, processing and transportation stages. Also it is used in refinery sector to condense the vapour at different temperature to result in petrol, diesel, kerosene, LSHS, asphalt etc depending upon the temperature. With massive amount of investments happening in oil & gas sector and in refineries, there is good opportunity for the growth of the company’s products. Although the company’s product will cater to small portion of the total investment, this will still augur well for the company considering its present size.

In power sector, the steam condensers are utilized in all sizes of power generation plants whether they are captive or ultra-mega projects. The hot steam is allowed to enter in the company’s equipment and on the other side, natural air is allowed to pass. The fans inside the equipments will convert the hot steam into cool air and will pass it on to the atmosphere through a connected chimney.

As per the projections in the 10th and 11th Five Year Plan of the Govt. of India, new capacity addition in Power Generation have been projected as 1,10,000 MW. This translates to an investment of Rs 400000 crore approximately in the power generation field. Of this, upto 50000 MW of power capacity contracts has already been awarded and another 28000 MW of the capacity contracts will be awarded by this year-end. Correspondingly there will be huge investment in the transmission and distribution area, which is estimated to be about Rs 450000 crore.

Wants to venture into electrical package apart from the present mechanical presence

The company so far caters to a small segment of the entire power elector mechanical equipment market. Also its presence in power transmission business is very limited. Often with power technology becoming more sophisticated and considering the vast requirement of power, it is very economical to go for higher capacity power generation. Also it is equally economical for a power utility player to call for bids and award an entire EPC contract to the most competitive player.

Already players like Thermax India are into this sort of business. It produces boilers and collects the other requirements like turbines, alternators, auxiliaries etc from other players. It collects condensers from GEI.

Hence GEI has plans to venture into EPC contract and also to scale up its Transmission line business. However in the initial stage the company would only be a regional player in the states of Tamilnadu, Chattisgarh and Rajasthan where it has its strong foothold.

Very recently, the company has formed a separate business group viz. GEI- Power Transmission Business Group to avail of the tremendous potential of the power transmission business.

At present, the company is engaged in the field of 33 KV sub-stations, including control buildings, erection of new sub-stations, upgradation/renovation of existing sub-stations, capacity augmentation of switchyards. It has enough capability for executing Switchyard Project in Higher KV range also. Its experienced manpower includes engineers who have experience with BHEL, Power Grid Corp. of India (PGCIL) and ABB.

GEI’s engineering services business unit offers services primarily in the areas of Heat Exchanger & Condenser Services, 33 KV / 11 KV Switchyards, Switchgear Applications and Transportation Systems.

Strong order book

As on July 2007, the company had Rs 175 crore worth of orders in hand out of which export orders were around Rs 35 crore. Further there are many orders, which are under negotiations. NTPC is one such company with which GEI is negotiating for converting the water condensers to air-cooled condensers.

The financials are growing stronger

In engineering company, quarterly results never give a true picture of the entire year. Nevertheless, for the quarter ended June’07, the net sales grew by 685% to Rs 27.64 crore. The PAT was up by 314% to Rs 1.53 crore. First quarter accounts for very small portion of the annual revenues and profits.

In FY 2007, the sales grew 57% to Rs 108.39 crore and PAT went up 50% to Rs 5.30 crore.

Attractive valuation

For FY’08, we expect the company to register net sales and net profit of Rs 175 crore and Rs 11.73 crore. This gives an EPS of Rs 8.2 on equity share capital of Rs 14.13 crore. Current market price of Rs 82 discounts this only 10 times.

GEI Industrial Systems: Financials

 

 

0303 (12)

0403 (12)

0503 (12)

0603(12)

0703(12)

0803(12P)

Net sales

37.24

48.67

60.83

69.18

108.39

175.00

OPM %

9.2

12.0

12.2

15.3

13.4

14.0

OP

3.44

5.85

7.42

10.6

14.54

24.50

Other income

2.55

1.83

1.95

0.09

0.42

0.65

PBIDT

5.99

7.68

9.37

10.69

14.96

25.15

Interest

4.47

5.16

5.26

4.58

4.66

5.60

PBDT

1.52

2.52

4.11

6.11

10.3

19.55

Depreciation

1.13

1.72

1.49

1.48

1.47

1.77

PBT

0.39

0.8

2.62

4.63

8.83

17.78

Tax

0.30

0

0.40

1.09

3.53

6.05

PAT

0.09

0.80

2.22

3.54

5.30

11.73

 

0.1

0.6

1.6

2.5

3.7

8.2

* Annualised on current equity of Rs 14.13 crore of face value of Rs 10 each
Figures in crore, Source: Capitaline Corporate Database

 

GEI Industrial Systems: Result

 

 

0706(03)

0606(03)

Var. (%)

0703(12)

0603(12)

Var. (%)

Sales

27.64

3.52

685

108.39

69.18

57

OPM %

12.9

49.1

 

13.4

15.3

 

OP

3.56

1.73

106

14.54

10.6

37

Other Income

0.32

0.03

967

0.42

0.09

367

PBIDT

3.88

1.76

120

14.96

10.69

40

Interest

1.4

1.02

37

4.66

4.58

2

PBDT

2.48

0.74

235

10.3

6.11

69

Depreciation

0.39

0.37

5

1.47

1.48

-1

PBT

2.09

0.37

465

8.83

4.63

91

Tax

0.56

0

 

3.53

1.09

224

PAT

1.53

0.37

314

5.30

3.54

50

EPS (Rs)*

 

 

 

3.8

2.5

 

* Annualised on current equity of Rs 14.13 crore of face value of Rs 10 each
Figures in crore, Source: Capitaline Corporate Database

Terms & Disclaimer :
Keep all our advice strictly confidential. It should not be shared in any form with others.
Though all care is taken in arriving at recommendations, the equity shares may rise or fall in a manner not foreseen.
Hence Capital Market or any of its employees will not be liable for any loss suffered.

 

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$$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: Weekly Newsletter KTP060807

Trade4Profit
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Website - : www.trade4profit.org

06th August 2007

India's First Technical Analysts to provide Real-Time (Online) Trading Recommendations since 1998

* Attn. Day Traders / Swing Traders / Investors !
Do Not Mix-Up your Trading & Investment Strategies
Any Stock Bullish for Intra-Day may be Bearish in Short Term but again Bullish in
Medium Term Charts or Bearish for Long Term or Vice a Versa

(First Read the 'Disclaimer' - Click Here)

FTSE 100 Index !


* FTSE 100 Index !
At Crucial Support in Weekly Charts - Bearish Breakout may wipe Off another 200 Points

By continuing to read this Newsletter, you have read and agreed to the disclaimer posted at www.trade4profit.org

To Understand as how to intreperate the Newsletters - CLICK HERE

On-Line Recommendation Portfolio (+) 25665.33% in 105 Months
(Hypothetical Performance)

The "Rs.10 Lac-Portfolio" (+)1137.76% in 328 weeks
(Hypothetical Performance)

Important Support & Resistance Levels of Sensex/ Nifty / Nifty 'Near Month'

Index

Close

Change

3- DEMA

7- DEMA

Sup-2

Sup-1

Trend

Res-1

Res-2

5D-High

5D-Low

* BSE - SENSEX

15138.40

152.70

15115.40

15226.68

15008.71

15016.88

15145.01

15266.97

15357.69

15568.85

14896.47

* CNX BANK INDEX

6854.60

95.45

6807.06

6831.12

6762.93

6783.13

6851.77

6923.50

6975.26

6943.90

6609.75

* CNX IT INDEX

4886.05

56.55

4900.47

4979.44

4807.65

4828.60

4876.40

4934.06

4969.84

5094.25

4816.85

* CNX MIDCAP

6051.35

89.05

6023.53

6061.93

5969.20

5987.66

6036.38

6100.28

6134.08

6182.75

5910.90

* S&P CNX NIFTY

4401.55

45.20

4396.35

4435.94

4333.87

4351.26

4395.13

4445.60

4478.65

4534.20

4327.00

- NSE50 1 MONTH

4366.35

49.35

4358.42

4402.17

4321.16

4327.42

4363.08

4402.15

4427.02

4517.95

4200.00

Change in Indices in last 5 Days

Index

Close

L.Change

2DayBack

3DayBack

4DayBack

5DayBack

* BSE - 500 CO'S

5915.94

71.79

28.30

-247.35

113.40

7.44

* BSE - SENSEX

15138.40

152.70

49.93

-615.22

4DayBack

26.34

* CNX BANK INDEX

6854.60

95.45

121.80

-291.10

114.40

131.15

* CNX IT INDEX

4886.05

56.55

-79.80

-177.40

4DayBack

-46.00

* S&P CNX 500

3688.40

45.55

14.00

-155.00

115.40

-1.20

* S&P CNX NIFTY

4401.55

45.20

10.50

-183.00

88.80

-5.15

- CNX BANK INDEX - 1 M

6862.65

108.30

131.95

-334.05

118.20

119.00

- CNX IT - 1 MONTH

4870.05

48.45

-60.70

-189.95

56.90

-45.60

- NSE50 1 MONTH

4366.35

49.35

28.60

-219.75

107.90

-1.95

Gainers / Losers & Stocks with Spurt in Volume (Min Avg Volume >50000/Day)

Scrip

Close

L.Close

Change%

Scrip

Volume

3 Days Avg Volume

Vol Change (Times)

Gainers

Volume Toppers

ORBIT CORPORATION

366.00

335.90

8.96

OIL COUNTRY TUBU

874137

338910

2.58

IFCI LTD

60.70

56.50

7.43

J&K BANK

247576

106461

2.33

INDIABULLS FINANCIAL SERVICES

581.70

546.35

6.47

YES BANK

2208294

962728

2.29

ADANI ENTERPRISE

341.55

320.90

6.44

INDIAN OIL CORP

873371

399057

2.19

I-FLEX SOLUTIONS

2151.20

2029.25

6.01

DABUR (I)

2433036

1179284

2.06

TRIVENI ENGG

59.55

56.55

5.31

RAJESH EXPORTS

198286

109217

1.82

MPHASIS

303.50

288.40

5.24

SUN TV

572536

316544

1.81

PRISM CEMENT

56.90

54.15

5.08

ADANI ENTERPRISE

259262

167309

1.55

OIL COUNTRY TUBU

91.50

87.10

5.05

MATRIX LABS

377290

248104

1.52

ERA CONSTRUCTIONS (I)

522.85

497.95

5.00

VOLTAS LTD

6749101

4448266

1.52

DEVELOPMENT CREDIT BANK

104.60

99.90

4.70

POLARIS SOFTWARE

876963

603268

1.45

Losers

SHR RENUKA SUGARS

338412

234390

1.44

RAIN CALCING

40.30

41.85

-3.70

HIND OIL EXPLORA

262129

183122

1.43

SUN TV

378.80

388.05

-2.38

SRF LTD

495858

346842

1.43

MATRIX LABS

236.40

241.80

-2.23

UNITED SPIRITS

680175

477351

1.42

HIMACHAL FUTURIS

20.60

21.05

-2.14

INDIA INFOLINE

1196156

901166

1.33

JSW STEEL

680.25

693.75

-1.95

MINDTREE CONSULTING

86225

65771

1.31

RANBAXY LABS

366.05

372.50

-1.73

DR. REDDY'S LABS

621081

474270

1.31

MID-DAY MULTIMEDIA

43.45

44.15

-1.59

ROLTA (I)

447194

342761

1.30

POLARIS SOFTWARE

110.60

112.20

-1.43

PRAJ INDS

1269171

988164

1.28

DR. REDDY'S LABS

623.15

632.15

-1.42

ESCORTS LTD

708583

558848

1.27

HEXAWARE TECHNOL

121.10

122.80

-1.38

MARUTI UDYOG

850182

676089

1.26

Support/Resistance for Day Traders (06.08.2007)

We are giving below the Important Support and Resistance Levels of few most actively traded scrips of NSE/BSE (including F&O). Many Traders successfully use Support/ Resistance levels for day- trading. Traders are advised to read the Disclaimer and Rules for Successful trading & apply Stop Loss on all trades.
(Conditions - Avg Daily Volume in 5 days >250000)

Scrip

Close

Change

3- DEMA

7- DEMA

Sup-2

Sup-1

Trend

Res-1

Res-2

5D-High

5D-Low

ACC LTD

1004.35

24.50

998.82

1016.40

981.33

989.09

1007.78

1023.12

1039.38

1090.00

947.00

BAJAJ AUTO

2327.80

36.35

2315.10

2321.07

2281.80

2296.11

2320.93

2352.73

2371.85

2369.90

2177.90

BANK OF BARODA

296.20

4.85

294.03

295.08

289.85

291.92

296.55

300.85

304.76

302.00

282.00

BANK OF INDIA

245.55

3.00

245.63

249.61

239.37

241.54

245.95

249.97

253.78

268.40

234.05

BHARAT PETROLEUM

308.05

1.90

308.44

311.15

301.79

303.77

307.52

311.81

314.80

323.00

302.10

BHARTI AIRTEL

872.60

-1.15

875.09

885.35

858.41

862.24

876.20

886.61

898.44

905.00

851.15

BHEL

1723.05

20.60

1708.45

1704.25

1690.72

1700.44

1728.35

1751.07

1774.78

1752.00

1607.00

BONGAINGAON REFI

51.10

0.20

51.19

51.63

50.60

50.66

51.32

51.76

52.30

52.95

50.60

CANARA BANK

258.00

7.00

255.92

260.63

251.46

253.76

258.60

262.86

267.07

270.00

244.00

DR. REDDY'S LABS

623.15

-9.00

627.37

635.81

609.31

613.89

627.72

637.02

649.34

649.50

620.00

GAS AUTHORTY (I)

329.50

1.90

329.55

331.04

322.07

324.55

329.18

334.15

337.98

349.40

316.30

GUJ AMBUJA CEMEN

129.05

-1.40

129.48

129.74

126.01

127.05

129.68

131.70

134.02

135.65

121.10

HDFC BANK

1155.00

2.60

1159.77

1173.91

1125.93

1136.15

1154.00

1172.93

1187.96

1209.90

1121.05

HDFC LTD

1989.55

44.10

1970.69

1965.16

1911.60

1943.16

1993.52

2040.12

2085.72

2039.00

1861.00

HERO HONDA

655.45

3.20

659.60

670.89

636.15

643.35

655.48

667.63

678.17

704.00

624.80

HIND LEVER

205.40

3.80

204.02

203.36

201.32

202.59

204.55

207.37

208.82

220.00

199.00

HIND PETROLEUM

248.10

1.65

248.48

251.40

245.59

245.92

248.27

250.46

252.20

261.75

243.05

ICICI BANK

915.50

14.10

910.50

919.91

902.14

905.40

913.83

923.97

930.15

940.00

881.55

IDBI

108.15

2.35

107.60

108.77

105.59

106.47

108.02

109.71

110.99

113.35

104.00

IDFC

128.80

1.90

128.52

128.97

122.50

125.17

128.32

131.96

134.80

136.80

124.20

IFCI LTD

60.70

4.20

58.09

56.67

55.69

57.97

59.78

62.52

64.19

61.45

52.00

INFOSYS TECHNOLO

1916.65

17.45

1922.60

1944.73

1891.90

1897.11

1912.78

1932.39

1943.33

2035.00

1892.50

ITC LTD

169.75

1.95

168.88

167.29

166.21

167.35

170.23

172.65

175.12

176.00

164.30

JAIPRAKASH ASSOC

826.50

22.35

817.27

818.82

801.63

810.98

823.48

839.06

849.55

842.00

761.00

JET AIRWAYS

734.60

27.35

723.14

726.94

702.06

715.61

728.20

747.26

758.09

744.00

696.00

LARSEN & TOUBRO

2520.15

31.65

2510.06

2508.07

2491.81

2496.54

2527.40

2551.11

2575.77

2630.00

2370.40

LIC HOUSING FIN

185.45

0.95

184.94

187.25

183.68

183.87

186.12

187.70

189.49

198.50

180.00

MAHANAGAR TELEPH

143.10

1.05

143.75

147.47

139.47

140.75

144.05

146.42

149.37

152.40

141.50

MAHINDRA & MAHIN

678.35

2.50

688.48

719.15

662.05

667.66

684.02

694.77

709.49

788.10

669.30

MARUTI UDYOG

850.65

18.35

841.18

836.20

820.10

832.21

845.15

863.65

874.53

860.00

806.10

MPHASIS

303.50

15.10

292.91

284.38

286.87

294.06

300.40

309.87

315.49

306.00

246.30

ONGC CORPN

884.40

7.90

886.07

895.37

872.26

875.02

883.58

892.99

899.38

919.00

872.25

ORIENTAL BANK

232.00

4.65

229.52

232.47

226.59

228.43

232.00

235.59

238.60

240.70

219.35

POLARIS SOFTWARE

110.60

-1.60

113.48

118.68

105.68

107.73

111.20

114.08

117.29

125.40

108.60

RANBAXY LABS

366.05

-6.45

369.69

369.23

352.36

357.84

369.37

377.63

388.29

392.70

362.05

RELIANCE CAPITAL

1159.55

40.70

1148.35

1164.57

1118.52

1134.72

1151.98

1176.90

1191.35

1212.70

1100.00

RELIANCE COMM

548.00

6.40

544.91

548.52

533.32

538.62

546.93

556.35

563.34

562.50

527.00

RELIANCE ENERGY

755.00

2.20

755.94

756.87

737.59

743.47

759.67

771.26

785.63

874.90

730.00

RELIANCE INDS

1801.15

0.60

1810.76

1833.92

1773.22

1780.44

1811.85

1832.67

1859.69

1901.80

1791.20

SATYAM COMPUTER

472.50

6.60

471.50

475.60

465.22

467.10

471.73

477.16

480.63

487.50

462.30

STATE BANK

1635.75

42.95

1608.23

1589.84

1594.46

1609.00

1632.72

1659.57

1679.30

1652.40

1509.80

STEEL AUTHORITY

148.55

4.65

147.03

148.28

143.56

145.50

147.78

150.84

152.76

151.40

142.65

STERLITE INDS (I)

630.90

9.85

629.34

635.45

587.38

606.81

623.67

647.85

663.22

665.00

601.10

SUZLON ENERGY

1243.10

12.75

1239.92

1275.42

1219.97

1226.89

1243.48

1259.76

1273.31

1308.00

1190.00

SYNDICATE BANK

79.95

0.10

80.16

81.35

78.22

78.79

80.47

81.64

83.12

85.90

78.00

TATA MOTORS

656.35

4.55

662.80

683.75

642.79

647.11

660.87

670.15

682.32

720.50

646.60

TATA POWER COMP

696.25

-0.05

700.06

701.48

681.22

686.13

701.40

711.57

725.16

743.30

685.50

TATA STEEL

652.35

12.75

646.41

654.64

635.90

641.69

649.05

659.75

665.51

675.00

621.05

TCS

1096.90

1.75

1105.80

1125.09

1069.88

1079.30

1098.00

1115.68

1131.72

1170.00

1083.10

UNION BANK

145.00

1.75

145.69

148.84

141.77

142.84

145.80

147.97

150.58

162.90

140.70

VSNL

452.75

10.35

450.56

455.70

438.80

444.09

451.55

460.25

466.61

463.00

440.00

WIPRO LTD

470.20

8.05

472.35

482.23

435.45

451.07

481.05

500.30

529.22

509.90

460.30

ZEE TELEFILMS

312.05

1.85

313.49

319.84

306.91

308.31

313.02

316.77

320.72

334.00

299.00

Bar Reversal Up/ Down, Engulfing in Daily Chats (Min Avg Volume >100000/Day)

Scrip

Scrip

Scrip

Scrip

Bar-Up

Bar-Dn

Eng-Bull

Eng-Bear

TCS

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK

IDFC

DR. REDDY'S LABS

IDFC

POWER FINANCE CORP

CIPLA LTD

RANBAXY LABS

HDFC BANK

INDIA CEMENTS

WOCKHARDT LTD

ROLTA (I)

STERLITE INDS (I)

DR. REDDY'S LABS

 

MATRIX LABS

HCL TECHNOLOGIES

BHARTI AIRTEL

 

HAVELLS INDIA

SESA GOA

RANBAXY LABS

 

 

ESCORTS LTD

GITANJALI GEMS

 

 

TV 18

TATA POWER COMP

 

 

ORCHID CHEM

GREAT EASTERN SHIPPING

 

 

ANDHRA SUGARS

MINDTREE CONSULTING

 

 

 

DECCAN AVIATION

 

 

What the Charts Foretell
(FOR Short Term Investors)


* NIFTY/ SENSEX !

Nifty - Targets of Technical Rally NOT Achieved - Use Intraday Declines to Buy for 1-2 Days
Select Banks and Mid-Cap IT Stocks ready for Another Upmove in coming Days

* IFCI !
Bulllish braeakout in short term charts -Use corrective decline towards 58 for buying with target 69+

* LANCO INFRA !
Strong resistance around 264-Move above this resistance will target 300 in coming weeks

* GMR INFRA !
Likely to face resistance around 850 -Book part profit to re-enter at lower levels

* RELIANCE INDS !

Strong support around 1798-Bearish breakout with volumes will target 1740-1751

* ORBIT CORP !
Bullish pattern in making-Another colse above 370 will target 425 in few sessions

* STATE BANK !
Moves above the crucial resistance 1625-Another close above 1625 will target 1700 in short term

* TATA MOTORS !
Over slold in extreme short term charts-Technical recovery to 695+ in few days

* RANBEXY LAB .!
Bearish pattern in short term charts-Close below 365 will target 340 in few days

* KOTAK BANK .!
Short term charts in favor of decline to 740-Use pull back towards 765 for profit booking

* POLARIS SOFTWARE !
Highly oversold in daily cahrts technical reocvery targets of 135 maintained

* MARUTI UDYOG!
Short terrm resistance at 855 -Buy on bullish crosssover with SLof target of 890

* INFOSYS !
Heading for 1980 in few days -Buy on every decline with SL of 1980

* WWIL !
Mildly bullish in hourly charts -Another close above 58 will target 62-63 in few days

* ESSCORTS !
Technical recovery target of 100+ maintanied-Use decline to buy with SL

* MAH & MAH !
Over sold in extreme short term charts-Buy gradually with SL for taget of 700+

* CUMMINS INDIA !
Bullish breakout in daily charts -All set to cross 485 in few sessions

* SUN TV !
Extreme short term charts in favor of rise to 398 -400 -Buy with SL of 375

* SRF LTD !
All indicators favor rise to 154+in coming sessions-Buy gradually on declines with SL

*HIND OIL !
Short term indicators in favor of rise to 115-Buy on every decline with SL

* ADANI ENTERPRISES !
Bullish braeakout in daily charts -All indicators favor rise to 360 in few sessions

* A BIRLA NUVO !
Bullish pattern in making another -Close abvoe 1485 will target 1625 in few days

* TECH MAH !
Highly oversold in short term charts- Buy on every decline for target of 1404

* HEXAWARE !
Hourly charts in favor of rise to 135 -Buy on decline with SL of 115


Bulls & Bears (Technically Speaking)

Tata Motors (Daily)

State Bank of India (Daily)

Present Status Of The Market And Future Anticipation

Nifty/ Sensex: Anticipated High-Lows for the Week

Nifty: High -4,426 .44 – 4,428 .10 (optimistic 4,464 .12): Low   -4,289 .95 – 4,295 .80 (pessimistic 4,275 .35)
Sensex: High - 15,224 .00 – 15,235 .51 (optimistic 15,353 .62): Low  - 14,829 .55 – 14,850 .27 (pessimistic 14,731 .22)


PRESENT STATUS OF THE MARKET AND FUTURE ANTICIPATION: Last week indices behaved almost perfectly as far as anticipated highs – lows of the week were concerned – actual lows (4,327 .00 & 14,896 .77) hit almost BULLS EYE (or should we call it Bears Eye) as anticipated lows were 4,330 .81 & 14,842 .54 while highs were approx 0 .75 % higher than our anticipated booking levels; now indices should proceed towards 4,289 .95 – 4,295 .80 & 14,829 .55 – 14,850 .27 (pessimistic 4,275 .35 & 14,731 .22) and on rally up targets are 4,426 .44 – 4,428 .10 & 15,224 .00 – 15235 .51 & if indices do not go to pessimistic down levels (mentioned herein above) by Wednesday then rally targets might become 4,464 .12 & 15,353 .62.

Going further it is to be mentioned here that indices have not yet entered “INTERMEDIATE SELL MODE” & only if Sensex closes this week below 14,850 .27 with black candle while closing in lower half of the weekly candle, only then further lower levels (mentioned in last week’s weekly writeup) will become valid.

Other side of the story is that there are couple of leading indicators (numbers of which are not in majority) like RSI which before start of present fall did not give any negative divergences either in daily charts or in weekly charts giving indication that if indices do not enter into ‘intermediate sell mode’ in near future then these may make double / higher tops before these start final downward journey to targets mentioned in last week’s weekly writeup.

TODAY'S TREND: Full Day Down.

2) MEDIUM TERM TREND (INTERMEDIATE) :

It Continues Sideway.

Last week 150 scrips have closed lower as compared to 188 scrips in the preceding week (av. fall per scrip at 3 .72% is also lower than the av. fall per scrip of 5. 25% in the preceding week) & 78 scrips have closed higher as compared to 41 scrips in the preceding week (av. rise per scrip at 4 .60 % is also higher than the av. rise per scrip of 3 .99% in the preceding week) out of 250 scrips we follow regularly;

Last week’s A-D data is indicating that down move continues although at a slower pace

3) LONG TERM TREND (MAJOR) :

It continues up

4) REVIEW OF OUR 'ON - LINE RECOMMENDATIONS' OF LAST WEEK:

Last week on the buy side 24 trades were recommended involving positions equivalent to 55 .00 % of the capital (30 .00 % on delivery basis) and profit / loss booking was recommended in 18 trades (which included 1 trade of earlier weeks) involving positions equivalent to 26 .63 % of the capital (22.40 % on delivery basis).

In addition under the policy of ‘Sell First Buy Later’ 2 trades were recommended in ‘Nifty August Futures’ involving positions equivalent to 15 .00% of the capital & covering was recommended in both of the same trade involving positions equivalent to 13 .35 % of the capital

AVE POSITION PER BOOKED DEAL WORKS OUT TO BE = 2.72 % of the capital (our target is 5. 00%).
AVE PROFIT PER BOOKED DEAL WORKS OUT TO BE = 01.41% (our target is 3. 00 %).
BOOKED PROFIT ON THE CAPITAL = 00.77 % (our target is  2. 50%).

FRESH ADVISORY RECOMMENDATIONS
For Extreme Short Term Investors/ Intra-Day Traders
( First Read Disclaimer at www.trade4profit.org)

Note: It is always advisable to use Stop Loss with every Trade. The Stop Loss Level may
vary according to the Time Frame & Profit Margin for which any trade is being initiated.

BUYING

SELLING

Reco.
Date

Scrip

Reco. Type

Buy Around

Target

Reco. Date

Scrip

Reco. Type

Sell Around

Target

06.08.07 LITL Short Term If Moves>264+SL 300+ 06.08.07 Ranbaxy Short Term On Rally +SL 340
06.08.07 Orbit Corp Short Term On Declines+SL 425+ 06.08.07 Kotak Bank Short Term On Rally +SL 740
06.08.07 Adani Ent Short Term On Declines+SL 360+ 06.08.07 Reliance Ind. Short Term On Rally +SL 1740-1750
06.08.07 A Birla Nuvo Short Term If Moves>1480+SL 1625+          
06.08.07 M&M Short Term On Declines+SL 700+          

The Hypothetical "10 Lac-Portfolio" as on 06.08.2007

FRESH RECOMMENDATIONS
( First Read Disclaimer at www.trade4profit.org)

Important Disclosure - None of the promotoers/ associates/ employees of Trade4Profit OR
Kalpataru Investment Consultants has any position in any of the below advised stocks.

Recommendations for 06.08.2007

Opening Price is considered around close of previous day. Avoid BUYING if Prices open abnormally High and Avoid SELLING if prices open too low.

1). Tata Motors (Or Fut) : Buy 1000 Shares (500 at opening + 5x100 at Fall of every Rs2/- ) in ' Investment A/C' . Target 700+ Avg SL Rs15/-.
2). Adani Ent. :Buy 1500 Shares (700 at opening + 4x200 at Fall of every Rs1/- ) in ' Investment A/C' . Target 360+ Avg SL Rs12/-.
3).
Ranbaxy (Or Fut): Sell 1000 Shares (500 at opening + 5x100 at Rise of every Rs2/- ) in ' Trading A/C' . Target 345+ Avg SL Rs10/-.
4).
Kotak Bank (Or Fut): Sell 1000 Shares (500 at opening + 5x100 at Rise of every Rs3/- ) in ' Trading A/C' . Target 740+ Avg SL Rs15/-.

Hypothetical Performance of '10 Lac - Portfolio' in last 328 weeks

Upto Week No.

T.Gain/ Loss in portfolio

Change in the Week(s)

Remarks

0 (09.04.2001)

Nil

Nil

Initial Investment of Rs.10,00,000/- 

50

147.47

147.47%

 

100

184.46

36.99%

 

150

398.21

213.75%

 

200

501.32

103.11%

 

250

667.37

166.05%

 

300

953.87

286.50%

 

328 (05.08.2007)

1137.76

184.39%

 

Hypothetical Performance of '10 Lac - Portfolio' in last 328 weeks

 

 

From: Trade 4Profit [mailto:trade_4profit@yahoo.com]
Sent: 05 August 2007 23:57
To: kalpa_taru@hotmail.com; trade_4profit@hotmail.com
Subject: Weekly Newsletter KTP060807

 

 

__._,_.___
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BigGains !!
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