Sensex

Thursday, June 19, 2008

DG - FW: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated June 19, 2008

 

 

From: The Sharekhan Research Team [mailto:marketwatch@research.sharekhan.com]
Sent: 19 June 2008 16:36
To: The Sharekhan Research Team
Subject: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated June 19, 2008

 

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June 19, 2008

 

Index Performance

Index

Sensex

Nifty

Open

15,250.47

4,582.55

High

15,259.36

4,585.70

Low

15,051.66

4,488.95

Today's Cls

15,087.99

4,504.25

Prev Cls

15,422.31

4,582.40

Change

-334.32

-78.15

% Change

-2.17

-1.71

 

Market Indicators

Top Movers (Group A)

Company

Price 
(Rs)

%
chg

Gainers

Bajaj Hindusthan

187.85

5.12

Cairn India

283.75

3.18

Exide Industries

73.35

3.09

Hindustan Zinc

583.70

2.94

Triveni Engineering

95.00

2.26

Losers

Godrej Industries

197.80

-9.22

Ranbaxy Lab

552.25

-7.68

Moser Baer

147.70

-7.57

Indian Overseas Bank

109.80

-7.54

Indiabulls Financial

332.65

-7.13

Market Statistics

-

BSE

NSE

Advances

842

275

Declines

1,804

914

Unchanged

71

26

Volume(Nos)

23.75cr

38.11cr

 Market Commentary 

Global meltdown leads to market crash

Across-the-board selling pressure led by banking and realty stocks sees the Sensex plummet by 2.17%. 

The market witnessed a big carnage today, as widespread selling caused the index slip below the 15,100 mark shortly after the opening bell.  

 

A sharp slump across the international markets saw the Sensex resume 172 points lower at 15,250 and shed 370 points to touch the day's low of 15,052. The market soon moved above the 15,100 level, but traded below 15,200 through the session as intense selling continued in realty, banking and capital goods and other counters. The Sensex finally ended the session with a loss of 334 points at 15,088. The Nifty too came under selling pressure and lost 78 points to close at 4,504.

Movers & Shakers

  • Roman Tarmat scaled up on the report that the company has received order from Tamil Nadu Infrastructure Development Corporation.


The market breadth was extremely weak, with the losers outnumbering the gainers by 2.14:1 on the BSE. Of the 2,717 stocks traded on the BSE 1,804 stocks declined, 842 stocks advanced and 71 stocks ended unchanged. All the BSE sectoral indices continued to trade weak and dropped around 0.50-4% each. The BSE Realty Index was the major loser and lost 4.27%, while the BSE Bankex Index shed 4.01%. 

Majority of the 30 stocks of the Sensex ended in the red. Among the major losers Ranbaxy Laboratories shed 7.68% at Rs548.10, Reliance Infrastructure plunged 5.68% at Rs1,008, BHEL crumbled 5.04% at Rs1,416, Larsen & Toubro crashed 4.84% at Rs2,609.20, ICICI Bank slipped by 4.08% at Rs747.60, HDFC Bank tumbled 3.93% at Rs1,111.50, SBI lost 3.69% at Rs1,290, HDFC dropped nearly 3.29% at Rs2,198 and ONGC slumped 3.06% at Rs837.10. Select front-line counters ended in the green. M&M rose 1.11% at Rs576.45, while Wipro and Cipla closed with moderate gains. 

Reality stocks witnessed a steep fall. Anant Raj plummeted 7.67% at Rs154.10, while Unitech crashed 5.82% at Rs188.60. Phoenix Mill at Rs241, Indiabulls Realty at Rs373.60, Puravankara at Rs190, Ansal infrastructure at Rs99.10, Mahindra Life at Rs541.50 and DLF at Rs478.20 tumbled over 2-5% each. Among the Bankex stocks Indian Overseas Bank plunged 7.54% at Rs109.80, Kotak Bank fell by 5.49% at Rs614.55, Bank of India lost 4.99% at Rs267.60, Punjab National Bank shed 4.99% at Rs435.25 and Axis Bank declined 4.67% at Rs718.10. 

Over 1.77 crore Niraj Cement shares changed hands on the BSE followed by Chambal Fertilisers (1.03 crore shares), Anu’s Laboratories (0.85 crore shares), IFCI (0.71 crore shares) and Reliance Petroleum (0.67 crore shares).

European Indices at 16:22 IST on 19-06-2008

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

FTSE 100 Index

5759.20

2.30

0.04

CAC 40 Index

4615.02

-3.73

-0.08

DAX Index

6722.56

-6.35

-0.09

Asian Indices at close on 19-06-2008

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

Nikkei 225

14130.17

-322.65

-2.23

Hang Seng Index

22797.61

-528.19

-2.26

Kospi Index

1740.22

-33.41

-1.88

Straits Times Index

2992.66

-47.43

-1.56

Jakarta Composite Index

2373.06

8.48

0.36

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DG - RBS issues global stock and credit crash alert

RBS issues global stock and credit crash alert


By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International Business Editor

Last Updated: 7:40am BST 18/06/2008

 

 Have your say      Read comments

The Royal Bank of Scotland has advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months as inflation paralyses the major central banks.

"A very nasty period is soon to be upon us - be prepared," said Bob Janjuah, the bank's credit strategist.

A report by the bank's research team warns that the S&P 500 index of Wall Street equities is likely to fall by more than 300 points to around 1050 by September as "all the chickens come home to roost" from the excesses of the global boom, with contagion spreading across Europe and emerging markets.

 

 

Such a slide on world bourses would amount to one of the worst bear markets over the last century.

RBS said the iTraxx index of high-grade corporate bonds could soar to 130/150 while the "Crossover" index of lower grade corporate bonds could reach 650/700 in a renewed bout of panic on the debt markets.

 

"I do not think I can be much blunter. If you have to be in credit, focus on quality, short durations, non-cyclical defensive names.

 

"Cash is the key safe haven. This is about not losing your money, and not losing your job," said Mr Janjuah, who became a City star after his grim warnings last year about the credit crisis proved all too accurate.

 

RBS expects Wall Street to rally a little further into early July before short-lived momentum from America's fiscal boost begins to fizzle out, and the delayed effects of the oil spike inflict their damage.

 

"Globalisation was always going to risk putting G7 bankers into a dangerous corner at some point. We have got to that point," he said.

 

US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank both face a Hobson's choice as workers start to lose their jobs in earnest and lenders cut off credit.

 

The authorities cannot respond with easy money because oil and food costs continue to push headline inflation to levels that are unsettling the markets. "The ugly spoiler is that we may need to see much lower global growth in order to get lower inflation," he said.

 

"The Fed is in panic mode. The massive credibility chasms down which the Fed and maybe even the ECB will plummet when they fail to hike rates in the face of higher inflation will combine to give us a big sell-off in risky assets," he said.

 

Kit Jukes, RBS's head of debt markets, said Europe would not be immune. "Economic weakness is spreading and the latest data on consumer demand and confidence are dire. The ECB is hell-bent on raising rates.

 

"The political fall-out could be substantial as finance ministers from the weaker economies rail at the ECB. Wider spreads between the German Bunds and peripheral markets seem assured," he said.

 

Ultimately, the bank expects the oil price spike to subside as the more powerful force of debt deflation takes hold next year.

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