Sensex

Thursday, December 10, 2009

[sharetrading] IP data

 

The IP data expectations seem to be out of this world for the steep fall seen today. But I guess it is trap for further moves.

 

The markets are still in uptrend mode and have not developed sell signals. All shorts to be intra day and long positions only seen.

 

Abe

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[sharetrading] Nifty Call

 

Short nifty 5106-5110 SL 5132 tgt 5082-52 (Updated at 1.11pm)IST

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[sharetrading] Anagram 's Daily Call

 

 
Anagram 's Daily Call : 11 December 2009

VIEW POINT : IIP IN FOCUS

 

US markets closed higher for the second consecutive day on the back of a narrower October trade deficit and signs of improving trends in the labor market. While the new Jobless claims climbed to 474000 against expectation of 455000, the four week moving average fell 7750 to 473750. More importantly, continuing claims, defined as claims lasting more than one week, plunged by 303000 to 5.16 mn. European markets closed higher led by banks after the lack of a mooted windfall tax in British finance minister Alistair Darling's pre-budget report, and with Standard Chartered's upbeat trading update.

 

Our market however, will focus on the October IIP data to be released today which is expected to show a growth of around 12.5%. While that will be a matter to cheer, coupled with a whopping 19.8% food inflation and a lot of liquidity sloshing in the system, will be an ideal recipe for the RBI to move towards rate tightening. On chart, Sensex is forming an ascending triangle pattern and a decisive close above 17300 will give the breakout. On the derivatives front Nifty futures turned into a discount of 3 points from a premium of 11 points the previous day with open interest going down by 2%, suggesting unwinding of long positions. Put call ratio fell from 1.40 to 1.38 as calls added substantially higher OI than puts. Dena Bank, ICSA, R Com and Uco Bank saw long build up and can be looked at for taking long positions with appropriate stop loss

 

 

 

To Read our Morning Call, Please CLICK HERE

 

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Fw: Re: [sharetrading] BUY DLF

 

Still potential to cross 400/- levels.  Keep a strict SL of 378 and trade for 400/-

--- On Wed, 9/12/09, Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo.com> wrote:

From: Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo.com>
Subject: Re: [sharetrading] BUY DLF Profit of 8000/- per lot
To: sharetrading@yahoogroups.com
Date: Wednesday, 9 December, 2009, 3:07 PM

Profit around 8000/- in DLF Call.  Still has potential to raise further if market trade positive.

--- On Wed, 9/12/09, Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo.com> wrote:

From: Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo.com>
Subject: [sharetrading] BUY DLF
To: sharetrading@yahoogroups.com
Date: Wednesday, 9 December, 2009, 3:25 AM

 
BUY DLF @ 374 tgt  384-390 SL 360

--- On Wed, 2/12/09, Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo. com> wrote:

From: Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo. com>
Subject: NIFTY ............ ......... .... WHAT NEXT???????? ???
To: sharetrading@ yahoogroups. com
Date: Wednesday, 2 December, 2009, 12:28 PM

Where is the market going????  Now the calculation about the positive trend in mind and calculating the levels of 5200-5300-5500 levels.  The closing below 5120 levels was not good technically, still there is a chance to bounce back and touch the next resistance level of 5180.  Keep a SL of 5090-5075 levels in long Nifty and trade for 5180 levels. 
 


--- On Tue, 1/12/09, Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo. com> wrote:

From: Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo. com>
Subject: NIFTY ............ ......... ....
To: sharetrading@ yahoogroups. com
Date: Tuesday, 1 December, 2009, 12:25 PM

As I told the market is going to make new highs after expiry.  Just see the trailing mails and the result....... . as today market hit 5140 levels. 
 
adarsh_vn


--- On Tue, 24/11/09, Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo. com> wrote:

From: Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo. com>
Subject: Fw: Re: Nifty & Other Asisan market
To: sharetrading@ yahoogroups. com
Date: Tuesday, 24 November, 2009, 4:24 AM



--- On Mon, 23/11/09, Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo. com> wrote:

From: Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo. com>
Subject: Re: Nifty & Other Asisan market
To: sharetrading@ yahoogroups. com
Date: Monday, 23 November, 2009, 11:39 AM

Just see that i have indicated that the market is going to new highs.  Today the market reached 5018 levels.  If it crossed those levels then we must see the levels of 5140+  Hope before or immediate after expiry we can see it soon.  Long position traders should keep a SL 5080 now as below this level it will go upto 5050-60-40-20 levels too.

--- On Sat, 21/11/09, Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo. com> wrote:

From: Adarsh Vn <adarsh_vn@yahoo. com>
Subject: Nifty & Other Asisan market
To: sharetrading@ yahoogroups. com
Date: Saturday, 21 November, 2009, 4:37 AM

All Asian Markets made their 13 month last week except India.  Now this is the Turn of Indian Markets.  We are also going to in higher levels before the expiry of November.  The market consolidated before going to the new high and long position holders can put a SL around 5010 levels and trade for 5150 levels.  Cross over of 5080 is open for the door for those levels. 
 
ADARSH


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Please use your discretion before acting on the ideas expressed in the group.
Happy Trading,
United we grow!!!
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[sharetrading] Nifty

 

Asia has opened in the green. Today the resistance of 5180 could be threatened and maybe crossed too. All indicators are running to show a sideways range. Though if today an expected up move could begin a new trend.

 

Play in positive region.

 

Abe

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Please use your discretion before acting on the ideas expressed in the group.
Happy Trading,
United we grow!!!
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[sharetrading] Corporates mop up Rs 31,000 cr thru QIPs

 

Corporates mop up Rs 31,000 cr thru QIPs

Coming year likely to see more issues, say bankers.

Ravi Ranjan Prasad

Mumbai, Dec. 10

Qualified institutional placements (QIPs) were the preferred route for raising funds by the listed entities in 2009, the new year may see more QIPs than the current year, investment bankers said.

So far this year, 41 listed companies have raised Rs 31,102 crore from the market, this is the highest amount raised since QIPs were introduced in May 2006. However, 2008 saw only 4 issues worth Rs 3,586 crore due to weak market sentiment.

Follow-up on success

The first successful QIP issue was from Unitech Ltd in March 2009, the company raised a total of Rs 4,410 crore in two tranches.

After Unitech's success, which came after a long period of lull in the QIP market, there were several QIPs. Real estate firms that were finding hard to raise loans opted for QIPs; they included Indiabulls Real Estate, HDIL, Parsavnath Developers, Sobha Developers.

Investment bankers said, going forward, there is a robust pipeline for QIPs; the trend is likely to continue even in 2010, with plenty of QIP proposals waiting for right market conditions.

"December is a difficult month as most of the investors are on holiday, but the first quarter of the New Year is definitely going to see more QIPs," Mr A. Murugappan, Executive Director, ICICI Securities said.

"QIP proposals worth Rs 42,942 crore are in pipeline from 54 companies that have their Board/shareholders resolutions for raising funds through QIP," Mr Jagannadham Thunuguntla, Equity Head, SMC Capital, said.

Some of the large QIPs that have received Board/shareholders' resolutions include: Tech Mahindra (Rs 1,033 crore), Reliance Infrastructure (Amount not disclosed), Adani Enterprises(Rs 4,000 crore), Gammon India (Rs 929 crore), Ansal Properties and Infrastructure(Rs 1,500 crore)

Win-win situation

QIPs were introduced in the Indian market in May 2006, only Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) are eligible to participate in QIPs, according to SEBI regulations.

"Since there is no lock-in period, investors can exit any time after investing in QIPs. So QIPs are a win-win proposal for both promoters and investors," Mr Jagannadham Thunuguntla said.

Most of the money in the QIPs in 2009 has come from foreign institutional investors. Domestic financial institutions were initially not too keen to invest in these QIPs, but they did invest in those that hit the market later.

Reacting to the late response from domestic investors Mr Murugappan said, "It depends on quality of issue."

 
 

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Please use your discretion before acting on the ideas expressed in the group.
Happy Trading,
United we grow!!!
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[sharetrading] Investor's Eye [1 Attachment]

 
[Attachment(s) from ekam ber included below]

 
Investor's Eye: Update - Opto Circuits (New product launches to boost growth); Maruti Suzuki (Suzuki-Volkswagen deal, beneficial for Maruti in longer term)

 
Investor's Eye
[December 10, 2009]
Summary of Contents

STOCK UPDATE

Opto Circuits India 
Cluster: Emerging Star
Recommendation: Buy
Price target: Rs236
Current market price: Rs216

New product launches to boost growth

Key points

  • With the ramp-up in sales, Eurocor Gmbh (Magical and Freeway used in the treatment of coronary disease) is expected to grow at 40-45% over the next two years, which we feel is a little on the higher side given the stiff competition in the segment. Emerging markets like Latin America, Africa and South Asia are the key target markets for these products. This launch, we believe, could add considerable growth momentum to Opto Circuits? invasive business, in which growth has been under pressure of late. 
  • Criticare Systems will launch three new products (in patient monitoring and sensors), important amongst them being the gas bench technology monitoring system. The company has recently signed a strategic long-term partnership agreement with a European player to manufacture and distribute anesthetic gas delivery products in several key markets in the USA and European Union (EU). Opto Circuits however retains the marketing and distribution rights for India. The company has about three-four more such deals involving Criticare Systems? modular gas delivery products. We expect Criticare Systems to post a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.3% over FY2009-11E.
  • The current portfolio of products in the invasive and non-invasive front has an addressable market size of $5 billion and $4 billion respectively. With an order book of Rs125 crore (for two months) and a blended growth of ~28-30% for the next two years, Opto Circuits is set to target a 10% market share in each of the non-invasive and invasive segments over the next three to four years (European and Asian markets). Opto Circuits has planned a capital expenditure (capex) of Rs200 crore to set up plants in Vizag (India) and Malaysia over the next two years.
  • To improve its market share, we believe, Opto Circuits will have to simultaneously be at the forefront of technological innovation and considerably fortify and develop strong brand equity and recognition, which seems to be a challenging proposition given the intense competition in the mature markets. However, despite being a small company with a market cap of ~Rs4,000 crore, Opto Circuits has established itself in 56 countries and its niche technology and low-cost products have enabled it to grow at a fast track. It continues to explore all options to include value-added products to its bouquet and enter newer geographies.
  • We like its niche business model with high margins, strong capital efficiency and high entry barriers. We see the company consolidating on its sales over its acquisitions and maintain a healthy growth rate of 30% with steady margins of 30-32% over the next two years. We continue to value the stock using the dividend discount model. At the current market price of Rs216, the stock is trading at compelling valuation of 15.2x FY2010E fully diluted earnings and 11.5x FY2011E fully diluted earnings. We maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock with a price target of Rs236. 

Maruti Suzuki India 
Cluster: Apple Green
Recommendation: Hold
Price target: Rs1,700
Current market price: Rs1,592

Suzuki-Volkswagen deal, beneficial for Maruti in longer term

  • Volkswagen AG (VW), the owner of iconic brands such as Audi, Porsche, Bentley, Bugatti and Skoda, has announced that it would buy a 19.9% stake in Japanese carmaker Suzuki Motors for $2.5 billion. On the other hand, Suzuki Motors will invest half of the amount received from VW to purchase shares of the German automaker. Even though VW will be the largest shareholder in Suzuki Motors, there would be no change in management control of the Japanese company. The deal also suggests that VW and Suzuki Motors may plan to develop hybrids and electric vehicles under the brand of both the companies. 
  • Suzuki Motors, which is the ninth largest player in the global automobile industry in terms of production volumes and has the technology for small and compact hatchbacks, may also gain access to the greener technology of Volkswagen AG, post this deal. Suzuki Motors has diesel engine technology of up to 1.3 litre for which it has a tie-up with Fiat; however VW has the technology for diesel engines above 1.3 litre, which could be shared with Suzuki Motors. This partnership is also expected to boost the sales of the two companies as Suzuki Motors has strong presence in India (through Maruti Suzuki) and VW is a big player in China. 
  • Thus, there are many possibilities emerging from the VW-Suzuki Motors deal that may have a positive impact on Maruti Suzuki in the medium to longer term.
  • At the current market price, the Maruti Suzuki?s stock is trading at 18.7x its FY2011E earnings and an enterprise value/earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation of 12.3x. We maintain our Hold recommendation and price target of Rs1,700 on the stock. 
     
     

 
 
Regards,
The Sharekhan Research Team
 

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Attachment(s) from ekam ber

1 of 1 File(s)

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Stock Market India - Online Share Trading - IPO Updates

Stock Market India - Online Share Trading - IPO Updates


KRBL Ltd Stock Split Announcement

Posted: 10 Dec 2009 02:01 PM PST

KRBL Ltd is the company which trades in agro commodities. It has announced that a meeting of the Board of Directors of the Company will be held on December 17, 2009 for considering the split of face value of equity shares. Make Money Online

Read More...

[stock_win_india] One More Stock Split Update

 


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KRBL Ltd is the company which trades in agro commodities. It has announced that a meeting of the Board of Directors of the Company will be held on December 17, 2009 for considering the split of face value of equity shares.

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Indian Stocks BSE

Indian Stocks BSE


BALAJI DIST. ( 500035 )

Posted: 10 Dec 2009 07:46 AM PST

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