Sensex

Friday, January 18, 2008

DG - NSBL-1801Country Club (India) Ltd. - Stock Stance

Dear Investor

Country Club (India) Ltd (CCIL) is one of India’s largest leisure infrastructure company operating a chain of clubs under the brand ‘Country Club’ and timeshare operations under its brand ‘Country Vacations’ at around 186 locations spread across India.  Recognizing the demand coming in from the middle and upper middle class population in different parts of the country, CCIL plans to take the count of its clubs and resort properties from 27 to 100 by FY10. Of these 100 properties 42 will be located in tier-I cities with a larger population and income base.

CCIL’s operations span across both the retail and hospitality verticals, leaving no direct competitor for the company. From timeshare perspective the valuations of the company can be benchmarked against peers like Mahindra Holidays and Resorts which has a similar ‘membership driven model’ and is planning to list itself in February 08. At a CMP of Rs 882.5 the CCIL stock is trading at 20.5x its FY08 diluted EPS of Rs 43.1. This appears to be at a 55% discount to Mahindra Holidays, which had been valued at $ 1 bn (Rs 39.5 bn) in a recent stake sale to SBI, which based on our conservative earnings estimates, works out to 45.9x its FY08E EPS of Rs 10.5. We believe that there is a case for upside in valuations of CCIL as we near IPO of Mahindra Resorts. Giving a 25% discount to CCIL we value it at 34.4x its FY08E earnings, the target price according to which works out to Rs 1482 signifying an upside potential of 68% from current levels.

 

 






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DG - FW: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated January 18, 2008

 

 

From: The Sharekhan Research Team [mailto:marketwatch@research.sharekhan.com]
Sent: 18 January 2008 19:03
To: The Sharekhan Research Team
Subject: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated January 18, 2008

 

 

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January 18, 2008

 

Index Performance

Index

Sensex

Nifty

Open

19,579.61

5,907.75

High

19,715.78

5,908.75

Low

18,930.42

5,677.00

Today's Cls

19,013.70

5,705.30

Prev Cls

19,700.82

5,913.20

Change

-687.12

-207.90

% Change

-3.49

-3.52

 

Market Indicators

Top Movers (Group A)

Company

Price 
(Rs)

%
chg

Gainers

Ranbaxy Laboratories

386.65

5.10

Asahi India

126.90

1.76

BEML

1,597.70

1.56

Britannia Industries

1,561.80

1.20

Grasim Industries

3,340.70

1.03

Losers

Chambal Fertilisers

66.55

-14.29

CMC

1,025.10

-12.35

Lanco Infra

616.40

-11.57

HDIL

1,246.65

-10.57

Kotak Bank

1,130.65

-10.46

Market Statistics

-

BSE

NSE

Advances

362

81

Declines

2,505

1,102

Unchanged

23

5

Volume(Nos)

45.29cr

59.33cr

 Market Commentary 

Another brutal day on Dalal Street

The Sensex ended the day with losses of 687 points after crashing to a low of 18,930 during intra-day trades.

The market crashed by 3.50% in tune with other major global indices as concerns of recession in the US economy played on investor sentiment.  

 

After slipping by over 383 points in yesterday's trades, the Sensex resumed 121 points lower at 19,580 and tanked another 650 points to touch the day's low of 18,930 on relentless selling in oil, realty, metal, and banking stocks. The Sensex managed to recover 84 points in late trades, but still ended with losses of 687 points at 19,014. The Nifty shed 3.52% or 208 points to close at 5,705.

The market breadth was extremely negative, with the losers outnumbering the gainers in the ratio of 6.89:1. Of the 2,890 stocks traded on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), 2,505 stocks declined, 362 stocks advanced and 23 stocks ended unchanged. All the sectoral indices were battered. Among the major losers the BSE Oil & Gas index lost 5.88%, the BSE Realty index dropped 5.81%, the BSE Bankex shed 5%, the BSE Metal index declined by 4.89% and the BSE PSU index fell 4.70%.

Excluding few, most of the Sensex stocks ended in the red. Among the major losers DLF plummeted by 7.37% at Rs1,006, Reliance Industries tanked by 6.57% at Rs2,800, NTPC dropped 6.30% at Rs240, ICICI Bank slumped 5.78% at Rs1,245, HDFC Bank crumbled by 4.33% at Rs1,576 and Reliance Energy shed 4.01% at Rs2,124. Reliance Communication at Rs702, L&T at Rs3,930, Tata Steel at Rs782, Tata Motors at Rs712, ONGC at Rs1,209, M&M at Rs728, Cipla at Rs202, Maruti Suzuki at Rs840 and Hindalco at Rs185 shed over 3% each. However, Ranbaxy surged 5.10% at Rs387, Grasim gained 1.03% at Rs3,341 and Ambuja Cement, ACC, Bharti Airtel and Satyam Computer closed with marginal gains.

Over 1.82 crore RNRL shares changed hands on the BSE followed by Himachal Futuristic Communication (1.78 crore shares), Bella Steel (1.28 crore shares), Ispat Industries (1.24 crore shares) and Reliance Petroleum (1 crore shares).

Reliance Industries was the most actively traded counter on the BSE and registered a turnover of Rs493 crore followed by HDFC (Rs414 crore), RNRL (Rs389 crore), Reliance Energy (Rs320 crore) and ICICI Bank (Rs221 crore).

European Indices at 16:15 IST on 18-01-2008

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

FTSE 100

5967.80

65.40

1.11

CAC 40 Index

5178.51

21.42

0.42

Dax Index

7412.63

-0.90

-0.01

Asian Indices at close on 18-01-2008

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

Nikkei

13861.29

77.84

0.56

Hang Seng

25201.87

86.89

0.35

Kospi Composite

1734.72

11.17

0.65

Straits Times

3104.25

-35.63

-1.13

Jakarta Composite

2611.13

-38.15

-1.44

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