Sensex

Friday, October 10, 2008

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DG - FW: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated October 10, 2008

 

 

From: The Sharekhan Research Team [mailto:marketwatch@research.sharekhan.com]
Sent: 10 October 2008 16:31
To: The Sharekhan Research Team
Subject: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated October 10, 2008

 

 Sharekhan's daily newsletter

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October 10, 2008

 

Index Performance

Index

Sensex

Nifty

Open

10,632.27

3,502.05

High

10,904.13

3,502.05

Low

10,239.76

3,198.95

Today's Cls

10,527.85

3,279.95

Prev Cls

11,328.36

3,513.65

Change

-800.51

-233.70

% Change

-7.07

-6.65

 

Market Indicators

Top Movers (Group A)

Company

Price 
(Rs)

%
chg

Gainers

Bajaj Holdings

380.25

-8.70

Ranbaxy

292.40

4.71

Canara Bank

173.05

3.87

Oriental Bank

160.45

2.79

Aban Offshore

1,111.00

2.68

Losers

India Infoline

57.60

-25.00

Nagarjuna Construction

53.70

-24.31

Bajaj Hindusthan

59.70

-22.11

Welspun Gujarat

140.05

-21.80

Reliance Comm

237.40

-21.02

Market Statistics

-

BSE

NSE

Advances

382

119

Declines

2,189

1,114

Unchanged

48

11

Volume(Nos)

32.09cr

64.40cr

 Market Commentary 

It is raining lows!

Rate cuts and cash injections by central banks across the globe and CRR cut and better inflation reading back home fail to buck up domestic markets with Sensex losing 7.07%.

The downward journey of the domestic stock market continued for the fifth straight session, as rate cuts by the seven central banks and cash injections by 

 

various governments failed to stem the fall in global indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average-the benchmark index of the New York Stock Exchange- fell below 9,000 on Thursday, the first time since 2003. Asian markets and European markets were down 5–9%. 

The 30-stock Sensex of the BSE started the day on a bearish note at 10,632, around 696 points below its last close of 11,328. During mid-afternoon, the index accumulated losses of more than 1,050 points on across-the-board selling to touch the day's low of 10,240. The index however managed to erase its losses a bit and trade above 10,500 at the end of the session. After registering losses of 1,726 points in the last four sessions, the Sensex dropped 7.07% or 801 points to close at 10,528 today. The Nifty shed 234 points at 3,280. 

All the 13 sectoral indices were mauled and each index declined by more than 4-11%. The BSE Realty was the major loser and crashed by 11.30% followed by BSE CD (down 10.11%), BSE Metal (down 9.25%), BSE CG (down 9.22%), BSE Power (down 8.80%) and BSE Bankex (down 7.84%). The BSE second-rung benchmark indices, the BSE mid-cap index and the BSE small-cap index tanked over 7-8% each.

The breadth of the market was heavily skewed in favour of losers. Of the 2,619 stocks traded on the BSE, 2,189 stocks declined whereas only 382 stocks advanced. Fourty eight stocks ended unchanged.

Except Ranbaxy Laboratories and State Bank of India, all the other 28 stocks in the Sensex basket ended lower. Among the major losers, Reliance Communications crashed 21.02% at Rs237.40, ICICI Bank plunged 19.71% at Rs364.10, Reliance Infrastructure slumped 19.26% at Rs515.30 and JP Associates crumbled 16.27% at Rs76.15. Tata Steel plummeted 14.99% at Rs287.50, Hindalco Industries dropped 11.18% at Rs80.65, HDFC shed 8.98% at Rs1719.20, DLF tanked 8.79% at Rs281.65, BHEL declined 8.28% at Rs1,345.85 and Larsen & Toubro lost 8.02% at Rs889.15. Other heavyweights also came under sustained selling pressure and lost around 5-7% each.

Realty stocks were battered the worst. Orbit Corporation tanked nearly 19.45% at Rs87.50, India Bulls Realestate plummeted 19.45% at Rs95.45, Mahindra Lifespace Developers slumped 17.49% at Rs211.55, Peninsula Land dropped 16.05% at Rs28.25, Anant Raj Industries lost 15.07% at Rs80 and Unitech slipped by 12.38% at Rs82.80. Akruti City, Omaxe, Parsvnath Developers and Phoenix Mills declined over 1-8% each. 

Over 1.16 crore shares of ICICI Bank changed hands on the BSE followed by Reliance Natural Resources (0.94 crore shares), Apollo Tyres (0.85 crore shares), IFCI (0.85 crore shares) and JP Associates (0.83 crore shares).

European Indices at 16:00 IST on 10-10-2008

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

FTSE 100 Index

3987.98

-325.82

-7.55

CAC 40 Index

3162.66

-280.03

-8.13

DAX Index

4442.98

-444.02

-9.09

Asian Indices at close on 10-10-2008

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

Nikkei 225

8276.43

-881.06

-9.62

Hang Seng Index

14796.87

-1146.37

-7.19

Kospi Index

1241.47

-53.42

-4.13

Straits Times Index

1948.33

-154.38

-7.34

Jakarta Composite Index

1451.66

-

-

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DG - History Likely To Repeat Itself

Dear Investor,

 

We have found out 2 instances in the past 20 years that each time Sensex has lost between 50% and 55% from its peak and there after it has formed a long term bottom.

 

This time again we see a fall of over 50% from the peak of 20,873 made on Jan 08th 2008. Hence, we believe that between 10436 and 9392 is the range where Sensex is likely to form a long term  bottom.

 

Please find enclosed an attached file to see the past instances.





































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