Sensex

Sunday, September 19, 2010

**[investwise]** South Indian Bank-Basel III compliant, Tier I CAR at 13%, Tier II-3 %

 

South Indian Bank-CAR 16% Is Second To ICICI Bank, and tops CAR of Axis, HDFC Bank and IndusInd Bank-conservative price target Rs 240-275

 

The Indian banks anyways meet most of the requirements and deductions of the Basel III norms. While the RBI has not prescribed any capital conservation buffer, the Indian banks always maintain tier I capital ratios in excess of 8%.

 

However, Indian banks can face three key issues with respect to Basel III norms:

 

n Being a growing economy, the credit growth may remain high for Indian banks which

may prompt the RBI to implement the counter cyclical buffer and thereby raising the

capital requirements for Indian banks. This may particularly affect the private sector

banks.

 

n For few of the banks (marked in grey in following table), the tier I capital is very much

near 8.5% with not very high government holding. These banks may face problems in

raising capital in 2017-18 if there are no changes in policies. However, IPDI and

PNCPS will help them raise non-core tier I capital.

 

n Few of the PSU banks like Corporation Bank and Andhra Bank still give good dividend

yields. However, the requirement of higher tier I capital may restrict their dividend

payout policy.


Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
We are low-risk, long-term investors. 

Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

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**[investwise]** Uflex-Target Rs 315 (Prime)

 

The sheer size of India's economy has opened tremendous opportunities across all industries including the packaging industry, which is one of the fastest growing

industries in India. We believe Uflex is in a unique position to tap these opportunities for the following reasons:

 

We expect a 20% CAGR in volume growth over the period FY10-FY12E. Our EPS estimates for FY11E and FY12E are at Rs. 23.8 and Rs. 33.7 respectively.

 

The stock is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.0x and 4.4x times

its FY11E and FY12E numbers. We are bullish on the stock with a STRONG

BUY rating and a price target of Rs. 315 at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.0x

times its FY12E numbers.

 

Large, vertically integrated player with significant market share

 

Uflex is the largest flexible packaging company in India and an emerging player in the global market. With current capacity of 214,560 TPA across its plastic film and flexible packaging product segments, it has a domestic market share of 17% in BOPP films, 22% in BOPET films and 19% in flexible packaging laminates.

 

Strategic locations provide access to global markets

 

The strategically located manufacturing facilities of the company provide access to global markets. While its India facilities help to serve the large domestic market, its facilities in Mexico, which is part of NAFTA, provide access to the large and lucrative North America markets. In addition, its Dubai facilities help cater to the Middle East, West Asia and CIS countries. Its new facility planned in Egypt is expected to further strengthen its presence in the GCC countries in addition to providing access to the African and South European markets.

 

Strong expansion plans to drive revenues and margins

 

In order to tap the large opportunities in the flexible packaging business in India and increase its footprint globally, Uflex has planned for an aggressive expansion of capacity. The plan comprises of adding 27,000 TPA of flexible packaging product capacity in India and 103,400 TPA of various plastic film capacity in Mexico and Egypt. This is expected to drive revenues and improve margins on the back of increased contribution of its higher margin flexible packaging products business from 37% currently to about 50% over 2-3 years.

 

Focus on innovation and new product development

 

The customers of the packaging industry increasingly view packaging as a key element of their brand building strategy and hence focus on product innovation has become imperative for manufacturers of flexible packaging products. Uflex's strategy of providing end-to-end flexible packaging solutions on the back of its strong product innovation capabilities has translated into acquisition of and business generation from large, multinational customers.

 

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
*****************************************
http://in.groups.yahoo.com/group/investwise/

INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
We are low-risk, long-term investors. 

Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

****************************************************************

NEW! ==== Check our LINKS and FILES sections for a world of information. REGULARLY UPDATED.

NEW! ==== Check "Tracklist" in Links and Files sections for Investment Ideas.

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**[investwise]** Market Review & Calls for 20th September

 

8 weekly techno-fundamental positional calls(valid Sep. 20, 2010 – Sep 24, 2010) recommended by MarwadiCalls

Ambica Cotton Mills
Buy around Rs 249-251.5 for stop loss of Rs 246.5 and target of Rs 258.
Autoline Industries
Buy around Rs 220.5-222.5 for stop loss of Rs 217.5 and target of Rs 228.
Bharat Gears
Buy around Rs 76-78 for stop loss of Rs 75.5 and target of Rs 79.5.
Cosmo Films
Buy around Rs 149-151 for stop loss of Rs 147.5 and target of Rs 155.
GTN Industries
Buy around Rs 27-27.5 for stop loss of Rs 26.5 and target of Rs 28.
Shree Renuka Sugars
Buy around Rs 80-81.5 for stop loss of Rs 79 and target of Rs 83.5.
Simbhaoli Sugars
Buy around Rs 41-42 for stop loss of Rs 40.5 and target of Rs 43.5.
Surya Lata Spinning Mills
Buy around Rs 123.5-125 for stop loss of Rs 122 and target of Rs 128.


SOCK FUTURE CALL FOR 20-09-2010

BUY AUROPHARMA FUT ABOVE 1086 INTRADAY TARGET 1101/1112, POSITIONAL TARGET 1150


Market Review for 20th September 2010 : Prakash Gaba

Nifty (5885) we said 'technically the market is expected to remain sluggish' the market remained firm on the last trading day of the weak closing near its high…technically the trend is still intact up as long as 5825 holds…incidentally our resistance of 5898 was hit like a dot…


Weekly Review for the Week September 20th – 24th 2010 : Prakash Gaba

We said 'I would now maintain that the market can be considered up as long as 5600 holds… and the target on the upside is 5769' the market unfolded positive as expected and closed beyond our target and closing near the high of the week…


DIWALI SUPER JACKPOT POSITIONAL FUTURES

DIWALI SUPER JACKPOT POSITIONAL FUTURES
POSITIONAL DABBA FUTURES USE QTY UNLIMITED : TITAN & SBI BANK TARGET 3400,3600.


Weekly Calls

20/9/10
buy mangtimber abv32 sl31 T34
strtech abv100 sl96 T108
allcargo abv165 sl161 T175
jyotistru abv139 sl135 T153
kalpatrupow abv200 sl195 T210
jindalstl abv716 sl700 T737
sintex abv368 sl360 T380
jubilant abv350 sl344 T365
cairn abv347 sl334 T362
dishman abv187 sl172 T208
gspl abv112 sl106 T119
mothersumi abv186 sl176 T200 vtl abv315 sl307 T330


NIFTY FUT WEEKLY POSITION & 2 JACKPOT MARWADI CALLS

NIFTY BUY ABOVE 5920 TGT 5940 TO 5971,6025. Sl 5870
Sell below 5865 tgt 5845 to 5805,5745 sl 5875

Marwadi trading calls weekly position trade
Gail buy 478 tgt 488 to 498 sl 473
Sell below 468 tgt 462 452 sl 473


INTRADAY LEVEL'S FOR NIFTY COUNTERS ON 20SEP2010

NOTE -  This level's is only for supporting purpose for trading take your own decision.- srikarthik

Symbol BUY ABV TGT-1 TGT-2 SELL BLW TGT-1 TGT-2
ABB 854.9 865.0 881.6 836.1 826.0 809.4


Stocks to Pick to Trade for 20 September 2010

The following stock prices may rise . The following stocks may be picked up to trade for intraday trading. Viewers are advised to take proper steps to prevent loss.


NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 20/09/2010

BULLS ARE ON THE WAY TO 6000 AND BEARS ALSO
BECOME ACTIVE FOR LAST TWO DAYS. NOW BULLS
ARE WITH PROFITS AND BEARS SITTING WITH LOSS.


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__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
*****************************************
http://in.groups.yahoo.com/group/investwise/

INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
We are low-risk, long-term investors. 

Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

****************************************************************

NEW! ==== Check our LINKS and FILES sections for a world of information. REGULARLY UPDATED.

NEW! ==== Check "Tracklist" in Links and Files sections for Investment Ideas.

****************************************************************
.

__,_._,___