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Sunday, April 01, 2007

$$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: PowerYourTrade Trading Calls

 


From: mailer8-bounces@mailman.moneycontrol.com [mailto:mailer8-bounces@mailman.moneycontrol.com] On Behalf Of PowerYourTrade
Sent: Monday, April 02, 2007 10:44 AM
To: alerts@poweryourtrade.com
Subject: PowerYourTrade Trading Calls

Trading Calls for 2nd Apr 2007
Ashwani Gujral
Sell ICICI Bank with stop loss of Rs 883 for target of Rs 800. Calls valid for maximum 1 week

Sell ICICI Bank with stop loss of Rs 883 for target of Rs 800. Calls valid for maximum 1 week.

Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in the future.

Sell State Bank of India with stop loss of Rs 1050 for target of Rs 900. Calls valid for maximum 1 week

Sell State Bank of India with stop loss of Rs 1050 for target of Rs 900. Calls valid for maximum 1 week.

Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in the future.

Deepak Mohoni
Buy Bajaj Hindustan below Rs 198 with stop loss of Rs 193.50. This is a day-trading recommendation

Buy Bajaj Hindustan below Rs 198 with stop loss of Rs 193.50. This is a day-trading recommendation.

These are intra-day trading recommendations. Use trailing stops once the position is taken. The extreme price of the previous 45-90 minutes at any time can be used as the trailing stops.

I have no position in any of these stocks at the time of writing (0957 hours, 2nd April 2007), nor am I aware of any family members or clients holding positions in these stocks. The stocks may or may not have been recommended as buys and/or short sales in the last two months, but that is irrelevant since these are purely day-trading recommendations.

Short sell Prasvnath Developers above Rs 257 with stop loss of Rs 261. This is a day-trading recommendation.

Short sell Prasvnath Developers above Rs 257 with stop loss of Rs 261. This is a day-trading recommendation.

These are intra-day trading recommendations. Use trailing stops once the position is taken. The extreme price of the previous 45-90 minutes at any time can be used as the trailing stops.

I have no position in any of these stocks at the time of writing (0957 hours, 2nd April 2007), nor am I aware of any family members or clients holding positions in these stocks. The stocks may or may not have been recommended as buys and/or short sales in the last two months, but that is irrelevant since these are purely day-trading recommendations.

Rajat K Bose
" There wont be any trading call picks from Mr Rajat K Bose today..."

__._,_.___
Regards

BigGains !!
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$$ DreamGains !! $$ Weekly Newsletter KTP020407

Trade4Profit
KALPATARU
- Trade4Profit
C-106/B, KALKAJI, NEW DELHI - 110019 (INDIA)
Tel: 011-41601206/ 0-98111-11353
*2 Day Trading System in 'F&O' Scrips by SMS/Chat-Box/Wireless Sets
*Intra-Day Real-Time Calls through Chat-Box/ SMS
*Daily Newsletters for Day-Traders & Investors
*Portfolio Advisory & Technical Quaries
*Special Services for High Networth Investors

Website - : www.trade4profit.org

02nd April 2007

India's First Technical Analysts to provide Real-Time (Online) Trading Recommendations since 1998

* Attn. Day Traders / Swing Traders / Investors !
Do Not Mix-Up your Trading & Investment Strategies
Any Stock Bullish for Intra-Day may be Bearish in Short Term but again Bullish in
Medium Term Charts or Bearish for Long Term or Vice a Versa

(First Read the 'Disclaimer' - Click Here)

Oil Futures


* Oil Futures !
Back to Resistance Levels - Breakout likely to Target $66 - 67.50/ Barrel
(From KTP260307)

Part A - For Day Traders

Nifty Futures ( 15 Minute Chart with 9 - RSI ) - What the Extreme Short Term Charts Indicate


* NIFTY/ SENSEX !
Nifty - Target of 4000+ Maintained - Use Every Corrective Decline for Buy for 3-4 Weeks
Concentrate on Stocks with Fresh Bullish Breakout in Daily Charts

By continuing to read this Newsletter, you have read and agreed to the disclaimer posted at www.trade4profit.org

To Understand as how to intreperate the Newsletters - CLICK HERE

On-Line Recommendation Portfolio (+) 22443.62% in 101 Months
(Hypothetical Performance)

The "Rs.10 Lac-Portfolio" (+)1015.62% in 309 weeks
(Hypothetical Performance)

Important Support & Resistance Levels of Sensex/ Nifty / Nifty 'Near Month'

Index

Close

Change

3- DEMA

7- DEMA

Sup-2

Sup-1

Trend

Res-1

Res-2

5D-High

5D-Low

Bank Nifty

5308.50

35.30

5312.70

5307.58

5264.88

5266.82

5309.88

5351.71

5381.65

5594.75

5164.05

Bse Sensex 30 C

13072.10

92.44

13034.85

13006.72

12961.11

12967.70

13056.03

13160.76

13216.73

13386.95

12832.69

Cnx It Index

5180.70

0.90

5187.60

5217.72

5135.24

5138.57

5184.95

5227.24

5260.82

5432.20

5084.50

Cnx Midcap 200

4850.05

67.25

4821.19

4798.13

4786.96

4800.39

4833.08

4882.89

4903.61

4878.45

4756.30

Nse50 Near Mont

3799.85

-0.65

3800.62

3789.57

3772.89

3772.15

3798.30

3826.09

3842.83

3904.45

3755.15

S&p Cnx Nifty

3821.55

23.45

3808.55

3793.61

3775.72

3784.35

3813.02

3850.34

3869.57

3901.75

3750.35

Change in Indices in last 5 Days

Index

Close

L.Change

2DayBack

3DayBack

4DayBack

5DayBack

Bank Nifty

5308.50

35.30

-16.95

-134.15

-94.55

-35.90

Bse 200

1564.74

16.77

-10.55

-16.83

-9.79

-0.37

Bse Sensex 30 C

13072.10

92.44

95.32

-239.98

-161.61

-22.10

Cnx It Index

5180.70

0.90

82.20

-196.50

-75.75

-23.15

Cnx Midcap 200

4850.05

67.25

8.70

-67.90

-12.50

16.90

Dollex

1556.72

13.26

8.83

-27.25

-15.40

-0.20

Nse50 Near Mont

3799.85

-0.65

31.65

-71.40

-29.10

-9.60

S&p Cnx Nifty

3821.55

23.45

37.00

-58.85

-41.10

-14.85

Gainers / Losers & Stocks with Spurt in Volume (Min Avg Volume >50000/Day)

Scrip

Close

L.Close

Change%

Scrip

Volume

3 Days Avg Volume

Vol Change (Times)

Gainers

Volume Toppers

Sakthi Sugar

101.00

88.55

14.06

Ruchi Soya I

162249

55898

2.90

Rana Sugars Ltd

25.10

23.00

9.13

Ht Media Limited

643311

229943

2.80

Gujarat N R E Co

39.85

37.05

7.56

Yes Bank Limited

8259989

3102108

2.66

Bajaj Hind.

195.00

181.90

7.20

Hexaware Technol

356845

158228

2.26

Hind.oil Exp

68.70

64.35

6.76

Tata Metalik

131505

61282

2.15

Nitco Tiles Limi

192.00

180.30

6.49

Lg Balakrish

99111

48929

2.03

Rajshree Sug

61.75

58.10

6.28

Essar Steel Limi

455170

238309

1.91

Usha Martin Ltd

192.25

181.20

6.10

Hind.oil Exp

929231

497376

1.87

Oudh Sugar M

65.05

61.60

5.60

Zee Telefilm

2745979

1519503

1.81

Alps Industries

54.80

52.15

5.08

Gujarat N R E Co

4392010

2512534

1.75

Orchid Chem

261.95

249.45

5.01

Usha Martin Ltd

118561

68986

1.72

Losers

Bharat Elect

141724

87739

1.62

Hinduja Tmt Ltd

582.00

614.60

-5.30

Sakthi Sugar

11945613

7740590

1.54

Bharat Petro

302.75

312.65

-3.17

Tv Today Network

554759

364132

1.52

Hcl Technologie

291.40

300.40

-3.00

Dabur (i)

1334875

899960

1.48

Jet Airways (ind

633.20

650.15

-2.61

Guj.heavy Ch

1665170

1181945

1.41

Zee Telefilm

238.35

244.30

-2.44

Kirloskar Oil E

68614

49264

1.39

Oswal Chem.&

32.10

32.85

-2.28

Four Soft Limite

100075

73831

1.36

Sesa Goa Ltd

1703.45

1742.55

-2.24

Hinduja Tmt Ltd

303048

227654

1.33

Yes Bank Limited

140.00

143.20

-2.23

Alstom Projects

75107

56638

1.33

Ruchi Soya I

314.70

321.40

-2.08

Ceat Ltd.

69700

52746

1.32

Rolta (i) Lt

331.30

338.05

-2.00

Aurobindo Ph

183788

139215

1.32

Gtc Industri

155.65

158.15

-1.58

Ntpc Ltd

3659784

2828009

1.29

Support/Resistance for Day Traders (02.04.2007)

We are giving below the Important Support and Resistance Levels of few most actively traded scrips of NSE/BSE (including F&O). Many Traders successfully use Support/ Resistance levels for day- trading. Traders are advised to read the Disclaimer and Rules for Successful trading & apply Stop Loss on all trades.
(Conditions - Avg Daily Volume in 5 days >250000)

Scrip

Close

Change

3- DEMA

7- DEMA

Sup-2

Sup-1

Trend

Res-1

Res-2

5D-High

5D-Low

Acc Ltd

735.25

0.50

735.78

740.05

724.31

727.03

737.40

745.66

754.23

781.00

723.00

Allahabad Bank

72.65

1.10

72.85

73.69

71.73

71.92

72.55

73.28

73.73

77.50

70.75

Arvind Mills

43.45

0.35

43.74

44.25

42.66

42.89

43.70

44.26

44.96

46.90

42.75

Bajaj Au.ltd

2427.60

6.20

2442.42

2470.68

2389.32

2399.39

2427.20

2455.52

2477.38

2590.00

2405.00

Bank Of Baroda

215.05

2.20

214.86

213.73

209.03

211.24

215.28

219.11

222.64

227.90

206.50

BHARTI AIRTEL L

763.90

0.40

764.09

762.32

751.89

755.04

762.97

771.86

777.91

795.00

628.00

Bhel Ltd.

2261.35

-16.30

2264.46

2230.55

2226.38

2235.40

2270.35

2296.43

2325.85

2322.00

2195.00

Bongaigaon R

40.65

-0.20

40.85

41.11

39.12

39.73

40.82

41.74

42.72

42.05

40.00

Canara Bank

194.75

2.40

194.84

194.99

192.21

192.75

195.62

197.63

200.02

211.85

188.00

Century Text

545.55

13.75

541.01

538.34

527.36

534.43

542.88

554.05

561.18

572.75

523.15

Cesc Ltd.

376.95

12.20

368.14

360.04

353.29

363.72

375.57

388.85

399.81

386.50

335.15

Dr.reddy's L

728.25

21.75

712.62

698.48

701.66

712.25

724.22

740.28

750.49

734.40

654.90

Escorts Ltd.

115.60

1.25

116.28

116.79

112.76

113.75

115.77

117.63

119.36

124.25

113.15

Gas Authorit

264.55

0.65

265.63

268.07

255.79

259.18

266.32

271.71

278.21

284.00

257.00

Hdfc Bank Lt

954.15

20.40

953.65

959.90

924.54

935.79

954.02

972.46

988.38

1030.00

928.00

Hind.lever L

205.20

0.20

203.13

198.36

196.59

200.13

203.57

208.65

211.59

208.25

194.20

Indn.petroch

270.80

1.65

269.70

268.10

259.03

263.91

272.28

279.21

286.95

280.00

260.05

Infosys Tech

2018.65

27.95

2015.63

2036.45

1984.84

1994.20

2014.45

2038.99

2054.27

2135.00

1959.10

Itc Ltd.

151.15

4.20

148.20

146.69

142.14

146.08

149.85

154.94

158.34

153.25

140.50

Jaiprakash Assoc

539.20

12.05

535.82

538.71

523.76

529.47

537.40

547.16

553.78

565.00

521.40

Larsen & Toubro

1620.10

3.80

1609.82

1585.45

1588.39

1598.19

1619.10

1641.09

1658.03

1642.00

1550.00

Mah.& Mah.lt

780.40

22.65

773.01

769.92

740.38

757.50

772.55

795.53

808.72

807.70

744.20

Maruti Udyog Lim

820.20

7.75

815.76

812.81

775.49

794.81

813.40

838.89

855.53

849.00

775.25

Matrix Laborator

175.00

6.20

172.53

170.39

165.48

169.59

172.98

178.41

181.39

176.25

160.10

Mtnl Ltd.

146.75

0.70

146.92

146.74

142.06

143.86

146.73

149.64

152.16

156.00

143.20

National Alumini

233.65

2.00

232.07

231.04

224.08

228.00

231.78

237.46

240.68

236.00

221.40

Ndtv Ltd

310.95

8.05

306.91

305.41

302.40

305.52

309.62

315.07

318.41

317.90

285.00

Ongc Ltd.

880.80

6.00

872.46

853.70

868.02

871.12

879.15

888.87

894.73

885.00

821.55

Orient.bank

187.65

2.05

186.08

182.80

184.56

185.40

188.78

191.04

193.97

191.70

173.00

Punjab National

474.20

-0.20

472.92

466.91

463.93

467.30

474.23

481.17

486.95

494.95

448.10

Ranbaxy Labs

351.90

6.85

345.68

338.57

339.73

344.50

350.18

357.61

362.44

355.00

325.25

Rel.capital

668.30

6.75

662.33

654.99

653.59

658.45

666.30

676.19

682.40

679.50

632.00

Rel.inds. Lt

1370.30

13.10

1363.71

1355.82

1347.88

1353.97

1366.13

1382.51

1391.30

1383.80

1342.55

Reliance Energy

494.20

8.40

488.89

484.46

480.65

485.58

493.40

502.05

508.67

500.00

455.00

Sail Ltd.

114.30

2.15

112.74

110.76

108.12

110.79

113.28

116.81

119.03

115.50

103.60

Satyam Compu

470.35

9.25

465.68

460.89

451.31

459.08

466.12

477.42

483.32

474.70

450.00

Sesa Goa Ltd

1703.45

-39.10

1727.81

1721.07

1618.38

1654.55

1726.85

1776.03

1844.35

1845.00

1682.10

St.bk.india

994.45

8.80

991.87

989.70

980.46

983.73

994.60

1005.36

1013.78

1042.85

956.15

Sterlite Optical

182.00

-0.70

182.24

181.71

178.26

179.45

182.65

185.21

187.97

192.00

178.10

Tata Chemica

207.55

1.50

206.55

204.67

204.04

205.02

207.27

209.81

211.54

212.95

202.00

Tata Consultancy

1233.85

-14.50

1238.26

1245.78

1204.88

1214.76

1236.30

1255.48

1274.03

1320.00

1188.95

Tata Motors Lim

728.20

11.75

729.48

743.06

711.24

717.00

725.90

737.14

744.26

806.00

698.60

Tata Power C

509.30

-1.35

508.91

508.78

492.13

498.82

511.28

521.82

533.06

526.55

490.10

Tata Steel Limi

449.65

9.70

444.90

441.01

433.82

440.06

446.08

455.70

460.63

451.00

433.50

Tata Tea

607.35

6.60

608.82

613.67

577.66

590.25

601.82

618.98

629.09

646.00

586.20

Titan Inds.

842.80

16.95

834.67

832.04

823.33

829.92

841.50

854.43

863.95

865.80

804.10

Vsnl Ltd.

402.30

-0.05

401.72

398.51

395.72

397.50

403.95

408.77

414.23

433.00

391.20

Wipro Ltd.

559.40

-6.50

564.39

570.56

543.43

549.32

565.20

575.33

589.87

609.50

540.10

Zee Telefilm

238.35

-5.95

243.26

252.42

222.64

229.61

239.17

247.95

256.96

259.70

231.00

Bar Reversal Up/ Down, Engulfing in Daily Chats (Min Avg Volume >100000/Day)

Scrip

Scrip

Scrip

Scrip

Bar-Up

Bar-Dn

Eng-Bull

Eng-Bear

Bajaj Au.ltd

Nse50 Near Mont

Matrix Laborator

Yes Bank Limited

Maruti Udyog Lim

Yes Bank Limited

Alstom Projects

Rolta (i) Lt

Kotak Mahindra B

Jet Airways (ind

Guj.alkalies

Gnfc Ltd.

Bharat Elect

Rolta (i) Lt

Aurobindo Ph

Bharat Petro

Ht Media Limited

Amtek(i)ltd.

Mtnl Ltd.

Sterling Biotech

Tata Tea

Union Bank Of In

Colgate Palm

Federal Bank

National Alumini

Adlabs Films Ltd

Chennai Petroleu

Educomp

What the Charts Foretell
(FOR Short Term Investors)


* Nifty 50 (Daily)
Medium Term Target of 4000+ Maintained - Buy on Every Decline with SL of Rising Support Line


Weekly Trading Strategy( 02nd April 07 - 06th April 07 )
Pls Click Here or
(Cut &Paste
http://kalpataru.250free.com/kalpataru/weekly0204klm.htm )

Monthly Trading Strategy (April 2007)
Pls Click Here or
(Cut &Paste
http://kalpataru.250free.com/kalpataru/monthly0104ppp.htm )

Important Disclosure
None of the promoters/ associates/ employees of Trade4Profit OR
Kalpataru Investment Consultants has any position in any of the below advised stocks.


* NIFTY/ SENSEX !
Nifty - Target of 4000+ Maintained - Use Every Corrective Decline for Buy for 3-4 Weeks
Concentrate on Stocks with Fresh Bullish Breakout in Daily Charts

* SAKTHI SUGAR !
Highly Oversold in Daily Charts - Use every Decline to Buy with SL for Target of 100+ in coming weeks
(From KTP280307)

* I T C LTD. !
Bullish Breakout in Daily Charts - Buy on Every Decline with SL for Target of 161-162

* TATA STEEL !
Minor resistance @ 450 - Bullish Breakout from Resistance with Volumes to Target 480+ in Few sessions

* RANBAXY LTD. !
Bullish Indications in Extreme Short Term - Use declines to Buy with SL for Target of 380+

* RELIANCE ENGG. !
Strong Resistance @ 500 - Bullish Crossover with Volumes will Target 540-550 in Few Days

* SATYAM COMP. !
All Short Term Indicators in favour of Rise to 500+ in Few Days - Buy on Every decline with SL

* N T P C !
Bullish Breakout in Hourly Charts - Buy on Minor Decline with SL for Target of 160+

* HIND LEVER !
Target of 210-212 maintained - Use Any Corrective Decline to Buy with SL

* RANA SUGAR !
Bullish Breakout from Months Long Consolidation Pattern - Buy on Every Decline for Medium Term Target of 40+

* BAJAJ HIND. !
Bullish Breakout in Daily Charts - Use Declines to Buy with SL for Target of 220+

* GUJ NRE COKE !
EST Bullish target of 40 Achieved - Buy on Pullback for Target of 44-45 in Few Days

* HIND OIL EXPLO. !
Highly Oversold in Daily Charts - Use Further Declines to Buy Gradually for Short Term Target of 80+

* RAJSHREE SUGAR !
All set to Cross 80+ in coming weeks - Use every Decline to Buy only with SL

* ORCHID CHEM !
Minor resistance @ 266-268 / Bullish Crossover with Volumes will Target 300+

* C E S C !
Ready to Take Off - Bullish Pattern in making / Close above 385 will Target 420+ in coming Days

* SUN PHARMA !
Heading for 1100+ / Buy on every Decline with SL


Bulls & Bears (Technically Speaking)

CESC Ltd. (Daily)

Rana Sugars (Daily)

Weekly Gainers & Losers (Min Avg Volume >5,00,000 Shares /Week)

Pls Click Here or
(Cut &Paste
http://kalpataru.250free.com/kalpataru/weekly0204klm.htm )

Present Status Of The Market And Future Anticipation

Nifty/ Sensex: Anticipated High-Lows for the Week

Nifty: High - 3832.20 – 3,860.56 : Low   -3,725.30 – 3,750.35
Sensex: High - 13,111.87 – 13,208.92 : Low  - 12,798.80 – 12,832.69

PRESENT STATUS OF THE MARKET AND FUTURE ANTICIPATION: Indices have not  yet entered into “Intermediate Buy Mode” and Sensex closing last week below mid level of the week with black candle indicates lower top lower bottoms for this week as compound to last week – within first couple of days indices should come down to take support in ranges 3,725.30 – 3,750.35 & 12,798.80 – 12,832.69 then a minor rally should take indices to up ranges of 3832.20 – 3,860.56 & 13,111.87 – 13,208.92 where profit booking should emerge for this week.

Overall monthly scenario for April 2007 indicates higher top higher bottom compared to March 2007 – good support should emerge in ranges3,680.60 – 3,711. 33 & 12,664.33 – 12,695.07.

TODAY'S TREND: Full Day Down.

2) MEDIUM TERM TREND (INTERMEDIATE) :

It has turned Downj.

Last week 148 scrips have closed lower as compared to only 41 scrips in the preceding week (av. fall per scrip at 3 .42% is also higher than the av. fall per scrip of 2. 65% in the preceding week) & only 91 scrips have closed higher as compared to 197 scrips in the preceding week (av. rise per scrip at 3 .21 % is  also lower than the av. rise per scrip of 5 .66% in the preceding week) out of 250 scrips we follow regularly;

Last week A-D data is indicating that down mode restarts .

3) LONG TERM TREND (MAJOR) :

It continues up

4) REVIEW OF OUR 'ON - LINE RECOMMENDATIONS' OF LAST WEEK:

Last week on the buy side 4 trades were recommended involving positions equivalent to 8 .75 % of the capital (5 .00 % on delivery basis) and profit / loss booking was recommended in 7 trades (which included 6 trades of earlier weeks) involving positions equivalent to 16 .82 % of the capital (8 .75 % on delivery basis).


AVE POSITION PER BOOKED DEAL WORKS OUT TO BE = 2.40 % of the capital (our target is 5. 00%).
AVE PROFIT PER BOOKED DEAL WORKS OUT TO BE = 02.08% (our target is 3. 00 %).
BOOKED PROFIT ON THE CAPITAL = 00.35 % (our target is  2. 50%).

For Weekly Traders (02.04.2007)
(Weekly Support/ Resistances of Indices & active F&O Scrips)

We are giving below the Important WEEKLY Support and Resistance Levels of few most actively traded F&O scrips/Indices.
Weekly Traders are advised to read the
Disclaimer and Rules for Successful Trading & apply Stop Loss on all trades.
(Conditions - Avg Weekly Volume in 5 Weeks >10,00,000 Shares)

Pls Click Here or
(Cut &Paste
http://kalpataru.250free.com/kalpataru/weekly0204klm.htm )

Change in Indices in last 5 Weeks

Pls Click Here or
(Cut &Paste
http://kalpataru.250free.com/kalpataru/weekly0204klm.htm )

Weekly Bar Reversals + Bullish/ Bearish Engulfing Patterns
(Only for Select Stocks having Volume more than 5,00,000 shares/Week at NSE)

Pls Click Here or
(Cut &Paste
http://kalpataru.250free.com/kalpataru/weekly0204klm.htm )

FRESH ADVISORY RECOMMENDATIONS
For Extreme Short Term Investors/ Intra-Day Traders
( First Read Disclaimer at www.trade4profit.org)

Note: It is always advisable to use Stop Loss with every Trade. The Stop Loss Level may
vary according to the Time Frame & Profit Margin for which any trade is being initiated.

BUYING

SELLING

Reco.
Date

Scrip

Reco. Type

Buy Around

Target

Reco. Date

Scrip

Reco. Type

Sell Around

Target

02.04.07 Satyam Comp Short Term On Declines+SL 500+          
02.04.07 ITC Short Term On Declines+SL 161-163          
02.04.07 NTPC Short Term On Declines+SL 160+          
02.04.07 Ranbaxy Short Term On Declines+SL 380+          
02.04.07 REL Short Term If Close>500+SL 550+          

The Hypothetical "10 Lac-Portfolio" as on 02.04.2007

FRESH RECOMMENDATIONS
( First Read Disclaimer at www.trade4profit.org)

Important Disclosure - None of the promotoers/ associates/ employees of Trade4Profit OR Kalpataru Investment Consultants has any position in any of the below advised stocks.

Recommendations for 02.04.2007

Opening Price is considered around close of previous day. Avoid BUYING if Prices open abnormally High and Avoid SELLING if prices open too low.

1). Satyam Comp: Buy 1000 Shares (500 at opening @ Prv Close + 5x100 at Fall of every Rs2/- ) in ' Investment A/C' . Target 500+ Avg SL Rs10/-.
2). ITC.:Buy 1500 Shares (700 at opening @ Prv Close + 4x200 at Fall of every Rs1/- ) in ' Investment A/C' . Target 161.Avg SL Rs5/-.
3).
NTPC: Buy 2000 Shares (1000 at opening @ Prv Close + 5x200 at fall of every Rs1/- ) in ' Investment A/C' . Target 160 Avg SL Rs5/-.

Hypothetical Performance of '10 Lac - Portfolio' in last 310 weeks

Upto Week No.

T.Gain/ Loss in portfolio

Change in the Week(s)

Remarks

0 (09.04.2001)

Nil

Nil

Initial Investment of Rs.10,00,000/

50

147.47

147.47%

 

100

184.46

36.99%

 

150

398.21

213.75%

 

200

501.32

103.11%

 

250

667.37

166.05%

 

300

953.87

286.50%

 

310 (31.03.2007)

1015.62

61.78%

 

Hypothetical Performance of '10 Lac - Portfolio' in last 310 weeks

 

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BigGains !!
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$$ DreamGains !! $$ Hidden Gems By Ashish Chugh - 2nd Apr 2007

April 2, 2007

Market View

Use panic (if at all) caused by RBI's recent action to accumulate .......

The RBI on Friday (after market hours) increased the repurchase (REPO) rate at
which it lends overnight by a 25 basis points to 7.75 percent from 7.5 percent and increased the CRR by 50 basis points from 6% to 6.50% in two trenches, the first on 14 April and the second on 28 April.

The latest move came at a time when things were beginning to settle down after F&O clearing and the start of trading for the next financial, may now again puncture the sentiment which was beginning to improve a bit. We feel the market's knee jerk reaction may lead to a steep decline especially when the market opens on Monday morning. Investors can use this opportunity to accumulate stocks next week. Staggered buying is what we feel would be appropriate since it is difficult to catch bottoms.

As mentioned in our earlier report of March 19, we feel the markets may start looking up starting mid-April, investors can choose to do staggered buying keeping a time horizon of 6-9 months atleast. However, if you get 30-50% gains in short period, better book it.

It is also important to hold part cash in the portfolio to take advantage of any opportunity which may arise on account of distress selling. We maintain our earlier view that in the worst case scenario (over short term - 1 month), the sensex may go down to around 12000 levels.

The fact that many small & mid cap stocks have corrected sharply and with promoters of many companies either willing to increase or increasing stake in their companies is the silver lining that we see at a time when the markets are surrounded by dark clouds. We have in the recent times, seen promoters of HB Stockholding increasing their stake through market purchases or promoters of Twenty First Century Printers convening Board meeting to approve issue of Warrants convertible into shares.

Rather than concentrating on large caps, we feel it would be more rewarding to selectively buy small and mid cap stocks. One should of course be educated and aware of the nuances/ risks associated with buying small and mid caps and whether investing in that category gels with the risk profile of the investor.

We believe 2007 will be the year for small and mid caps since the space looks hugely undervalued.

Happy Investing

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$$ DreamGains !! $$ On CRR Hike, Says Economists

On CRR hike .....says Economists
31 Mar 2007,  10:32:55
So long as economy is growing and GDP has not shown declining nos for even one quarter, there was no reason to panic and resort for monetary measures such as CRR rate hike to combat inflation.   
 
In 1992 when Mr Manmohan Singh was the Finance Minister we had a GDP growth of 4% with inflation in double digit. But now due to huge inflow of funds and liquidity the economy is on a role and has taken off very well. We require bold reforms which can accelerate the pace of investments as well as FDI which can in turn lead to higher cycle of GDP.
 
It is also argued that the inflation of 6.5% is in fact could have been 9% had Govt not resorted artificial curbs on steel, cement, sugar, fuel etc. Why is then Govt doing this even at the cost of serious impact of slow down due to the reduction in credit expansion….?
 
The ruling Govt failed miserably in the recent elections in two states and chances that it may not fair well even in Uttar Pradesh in coming elections. SP has a strong hold irrespective of Hon’ble Supreme Court’s direction to CBI to investigate assets of Mulayam Singh. SP are the front runners. SP has a strong backing by India’s leading corporate house and India’s no. 1 brand ambassador.
 
Only 2 years are left for election at the center and if inflation is not controlled then there could be big set back for the ruling party. This is simply because in India majority of the voting community is below poverty line and they do not understand growth, FDI, globalization, high standard of living etc. For them ROTI KAPDA aur MAKAN are three essentials of life and inflation has direct nexus with all these three elements. BJP lost last time only due to the single factor of wrong campaigning of FEEL GOOD FACTOR and holding the election in May where water played crucial role. Even Chandababu Naidu who created Cyderabad which is respected even by Washington got lost to this sole factor.    
 
Naturally going forward, it can safely be presume that political motto has taken over the country motto and therefore high priority has been assigned to inflation.
 
It is also asserted that the timing of this CRR rate hike is really a matter of debate…? Few economists say that Govt could have differed this CRR rate hike by at least one quarter to see the monsoon effect. If monsoon is good once again then probably the inflation could have been tackled by higher agricultural produce. This is also due to the fact that this could be the last CRR rate hike and for Govt to raise further CRR rate is too difficult.
 
RBI is exhausting the monetary measures speedily which will leave Govt to take other measures.
 
How far this will impact market….?
 
The immediate reaction has to be knee jerk reaction as the timing was really unexpected. The banking stocks will be largely affected due to CRR shock whereas manufacturing sector could pass on its impact due to strong demand pattern.  
 
However going forward, it will have neutral effect on the market for one that this could be the last rate hike and market always likes certainty.
  
One more aspect ought to have been taken into account is that Govt had already sucked Rs13000 crs couple of months back and now Rs 15000 crs but at the same time allowed to use 5 bn USD from foreign exchange reserve which is equivalent to the liquidity already sucked and hence can be a neutralizer.
 
The factors which are likely to govern market in coming days are monsoon, UP election, corporate earnings, central election and pace of fresh reforms. Most of the funds have increased their exposure to cash from 7% to 20% odd percentage.    
 
Sectors to outperform are realty, pharma and steel. Mid cap and small cap will be on invent trajectory and will catch valuations of peers whereas A gr shares where FII ownership is large will be more or less capped or have limited upside due to portfolio churning.
 
Volatility will rise further in most dangerous way due to divided opinion of experts on market which could kill large retail clienteles indulging in speculation. The only way to survive will remain to educate yourself ……….

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