Sensex

Monday, October 04, 2010

**[investwise]** Bombay: Real Estate, Realtors Back In Favour (Anand Rathi)

 

Mumbai Property - The old order changeth, yielding place to new

 

Mumbai-based developers would continue witnessing high profits over the next 3-5 years given: i) low ready-inventory in the market, ii) high demand, iii) lower land cost vs high margins, iv) low execution due to regulations. Given the city's unique geography and dense population (in slum areas, chawls), acquisitions via the rehabilitation/redevelopment mode will give access to prime land at low cost, with the older construction giving way to large areas for new projects (higher FSI). Although we expect slight correction in the next 3-4 months, we believe inflation-adjusted prices would remain stable in the long term(4-5 years). We have an Overweight stance on the sector.

n       Land limited, area unlimited. Due to its tight geography, Mumbai market has limited land; however, its old constructions viz. slums, chawls, cessed buildings are opening up for redevelopment (higher FSI) via slum rehab schemes (SRS) and urban renewal schemes (URS), thereby freeing up land for organised development. Such projects involve lower (and deferred) acquisition costs, leading to higher profits for developers.

n       Residential demand high. With an estimated 1.2% population CAGR over the next decade, demand would remain strong owing to Mumbai continuing to attract commercial activity and, hence, high immigration, for which +300m sqft of residential space will be required. Although we do not expect a major price correction, we believe prices will soften on account of affordability concerns in the near-term. Inflation-adjusted stable prices over the next few years are likely to lead to volumes, given healthy economic growth. We are positive on central suburbs and Bandra (E) and expect them to outperform vis-à-vis other micro-markets.

n       Stock ideas. We favour HDIL (on execution & location skills) and Ackruti City (on niche developments). We initiate coverage with Buy on DB Realty, Orbit Corp, Peninsula Land and Sunteck Realty.

n       Risks. i) Economic slowdown ii) Regulatory risks iii) De-coupling of MMR from Mumbai City

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
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**[investwise]** Blackstone Asia Buys It's Way Into Development Credit Bank

 

DCB vaults to 52-week high on foreign fund buying

Development Credit Bank spurted 4.85% to Rs 61.65 at 09:18 IST on BSE after a foreign private equity firm acquired a 0.56% stake in the private sector bank on Monday, 4 October 2010.

Blackstone Asia Advisors Llc bought 11.28 lakh shares at an average price of Rs 58.88 per share of Development Credit Bank (DCB) in a bulk deal on the NSE.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
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Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

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**[investwise]** Dev Credit Bank-The stock should quote at Rs 200 in a year from now

 

Development Credit Bank-Seriously, Under-Valued?
This stock should be worth Rs 200 per share in a year from now.

The industrial big-wigs have been making a bee-line to the RBI offices in search of a Banking licence. Such is the perceived value of a licence that Hire Purchase/Lease Finance companies like Shriram Transport, Sundaram Finance, Mannapuram, Moongipa and Bajaj Auto Finance have seen a run-up in their stocks just on the belief that they will get a Banking licence.

On the flip side we have DCB-at Rs 6400 crore in deposits-a private sector bank right in front of our eyes which is worth just Rs 1200 crore at today's market price. The Bank has got 80 CBS branches and runs a market cap of Rs 1200 crore, while Kotak with 250 branches carries a market cap of Rs 37000 crore, and IndusInd with 250 branches carries a market cap of Rs 13000 crore.

A. If this yardstick is used for DCB-the bank should be worth at least 4160 crore or nearly three times today's CMP of Rs 61. 

B.What stands in-between market outperformance for DCB? The basics-first...

  • Emerging Private Sector bank with a balance sheet size of approximately Rs. 6400 crores.
  • Network of 80 state-of-the-art branches, with access to more than 18,000* ATMs spread across the states of Maharashtra, Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, New Delhi, Goa, Tamil Nadu, Haryana, West Bengal, Rajasthan, Union Territories of Daman & Diu and Dadra & Nagar Haveli.
  • Dedicated staff of over 1800.
  • The recently launched Initial Public Offering enjoyed a phenomenal success, being oversubscribed 35 times

  • C. Can the management team effect a turnaround? Already on the way...

    Mr. Murali M. Natrajan – Managing Director & Chief Executive Officer (CEO)

    Prior to joining DCB, Mr. Natrajan served as the Global Head for SME banking in Standard Chartered Bank. He was responsible for providing strategic context and business development capabilities to drive a distinctive and consistent business model across 27 markets in Asia, Africa and the Middle East. Mr. Natrajan joined Standard Chartered Bank, India to head the Mortgage & Auto Business. In November 2004, he was promoted as Head of Consumer Banking for India & Nepal overseeing business that include Mortgages, Wealth Management, Branches, ATMs, Credit Cards, Personal Loans and SME.


    A Fellow Member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India, Mr Natrajan started his career with American Express TRS in India where he worked for 5 years in Business Planning, Finance and Operations. In 1989, he joined Citibank where he spent 14 years in various disciplines such as Operations, Credit, Finance, Product Management and Business Management of Consumer Banking. Prior to joining Standard Chartered Bank in October 2002, he had successful stints as Cards Business Director in Citibank India, Hong Kong and Indonesia.


    Mr. Anoop Prabhakar – Head – Corporate Banking

    Mr. Prabhakar is an M Sc (Physics) from Delhi University and comes with 32 years of in-depth banking experience in Corporate & Retail Banking, Business Process Re-engineering, Stressed Assets Recovery and International Banking which also includes an international assignment of 3 years in the UK. In his last role, he was working as General Manager – Local Head Office (Chennai) at State Bank of India and was responsible for management of an extensive network of branches across Tamil Nadu and Pondicherry.


    Mr. Bharat Sampat – Chief Financial Officer (CFO)

    Chartered Accountant and Cost Accountant alongwith a Post Graduate Degree in Law, Mr. Sampat has over 24 years of experience in senior positions with reputed organizations such as ABN Amro Bank, ANZ Grindlays Bank, Standard Chartered Bank, Hoechst India and Larsen & Toubro. He has worked in diverse industries such as manufacturing, banking, finance and shared services with oversight for financial accounting, financial control and reporting, and management accounting both in India and abroad.


    Mr. Praveen Kutty – Head – Retail & SME Banking

    Mr. Kutty brings with him around 16 years of banking experience. He has worked with Citibank's Indian and international operations where he successfully managed multiple consumer banking businesses including Credit Cards, Personal Loans, Home Loans, Branch Banking and Wealth Management. As Area Director for Bangalore for Consumer Banking, he was instrumental in scaling up the remote banking Suvidha experiment into a highly profitable customer proposition. Prior to joining DCB, he was the Area Director for Citibank's NRI Business in North America. Mr. Kutty holds a B.Com and an MBA degree.


    Mr. R. Venkattesh – Head – Operations, Technology & HR

    Mr. Venkattesh holds a B.Com. degree and is an MBA in Personnel Management. Prior to joining the Bank, he was with Standard Chartered Bank as Head, Human Resources - Countries. He has over 18 years of experience in the areas of Human Resource Management and Mergers and Acquisitions.


    Mr. Rajesh Verma – Head – Treasury

    Mr. Verma comes with 29 years of experience within Banking & Investment Banking in State Bank of India. His rich experience spans across the various functions of Treasury, Credit, Loan Syndications, Project Finance, Investment Banking, General Administrations and IT Project Management in India and UK. In his last role, he was working as a Deputy General Manager, Global Market Department for SBI in Mumbai.


    Mr. Ravi Kumar - Chief Internal Auditor

    Mr. Ravi has over 15 years of rich experience in a career that spans national as well as international roles. Prior to DCB, he spent seven years with the Samba Financial Group (previously Citibank) and four year with Ernst & Young at Riyadh. In his last role, he was Chief Financial Officer with Samba Financial Group, Qatar. Ravi is a Chartered accountant and a Certified Information Systems Auditor as well. He has managed and led several audits across various functions and domains. He brings with him an in-depth understanding of the banking domain and its nuances. In this role he is focused on strengthening the audit function in the Bank and taking it to the next level.


    D. Who owns the Bank?


    DCB made a Preferential Allotment of Rs.280 crores at a price of Rs.105 per share to a group of pedigree investors, namely:

    • Al Bateen Investment Company, LLP, Abu Dhabi, UAE
    • Tata Capital Limited, Mumbai, India
    • Tata Investment Corporation Limited, Mumbai, India
    • DCB Investments Limited, Mauritius
    • GRA Finance Corporation Limited, Mauritius (Lehman Brothers)
    • India Capital Opportunities 1 Limited, Mauritius (Mark Faber).

    Pursuant to this capital raising, DCB's Share Capital has increased to Rs. 174 crores and the Net Worth now stands at Rs.575 crores as opposed to the regulatory minimum of Rs.300 crores.


    Safe Harbor Statement:

    Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
     
    Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
     
     
     

     
     

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    INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
    We are low-risk, long-term investors. 

    Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

    For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

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    **[investwise]** Glodyne Technoserve-Asia's Best Under A $ 1 Bn Entity

     

    Glodyne Technoserve-technology-led social initiatives in the areas of NREGS, Financial Inclusion, empowerment of the unorganized workforce

    (BSE: 532672; NSE: GLODYNE)

     

    Glodyne Technoserve Limited is a leading Technology IMS Company that has built rich experience in the geographies it serves while constantly exceeding delivery expectations of its customers. Glodyne leverages its comprehensive India and North America services footprint with a well established and well proven bouquet of Managed Infrastructure Services offerings along with ITIL best-practice frameworks, tools and methodologies to improve availability and efficiency of its customer's IT assets.

     

    Glodyne has been implementing large technology-led social initiatives in the areas of NREGS, Financial Inclusion, empowerment of the unorganized workforce, etc. Glodyne with its experience, expertise and strong IPRs has acquired a leadership position in this space. Glodyne's success is attributed to its unique business model, a focused approach and the strength of its people.

     

    Glodyne has recently received the 'Maharashtra IT Award 2010' for outstanding contribution to the state, and has been a consistent winner of Deloitte Technology Fast India and Asia Pacific 2009,2008,2007 and 2005 Programs. It was ranked 5th in the Business Today 500 (BT 500) - India's Most Valuable Companies list in the 10yrs profit performance category.
     
    Forbes Accolade

     

    Glodyne Technoserve Limited, a leading player in technology infrastructure management services (Technology IMS), has been chosen as one of the best under a billion dollar companies in Asia Pacific.

     

    The 'Best Under A Billion' 2010 list is chosen from nearly 13,000 publicly-listed Asia Pacific companies with actively traded shares and having sales in the range of USD 5 million-USD 1 billion.

     

    Commenting on the recognition, Mr. Annand Sarnaaik, CMD, Glodyne Technoserve Limited said, "We are honored to receive this recognition from Forbes. In the past year, as in several before that, we have been focused on delivering the maximum value to all our clients, partners and stakeholders. It is their faith in us that is propelling us forward at an accelerating pace. I thank all of them and the entire Glodyne family which is progressing ever forward, unified by the vision of becoming one of the world's best companies. It is a moment of immense satisfaction for all of us, to savor and then continue unabated along our determined path."

     

    The selection of the best 200 companies is based on earnings growth, sales growth, and shareholders' return on equity in the past 12 months and over three years.

     

    Thirty nine Indian companies have made it to Asia's 'Best under a Billion' 2010 list of companies compiled by the Forbes magazine.

     

     

    Safe Harbor Statement:

    Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
     
    Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
     
     
     

     
     

    __._,_.___
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    INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
    We are low-risk, long-term investors. 

    Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

    For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

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    NEW! ==== Check "Tracklist" in Links and Files sections for Investment Ideas.

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    Fw: High Noon: Getting closer to 6356

     

    Sharekhan Investor's Eye
     
    High Noon
    [October 04, 2010]
     Summary of Contents
     
    PUNTER'S CALL

    Getting closer to 6356
    The Nifty took off the 6200 level and faced resistance at 6250 level; however, the trend remains up as the index is moving in an upward parallel channel...



    SMART CHART CALLS
     

    New

    Stock Update

    Book 
    Profit

    Profit Booked

    TPB

    Stopped Out

    Exit

    On Mobile


           
     


     
    MOMENTUM CALLS
     

    Click here to read report: Highnoon

     

     
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    Fw: Investor's Eye: Update - BEL (PT revised to Rs1,976)

     

    Sharekhan Investor's Eye
     
    Investor's Eye
    [September 30, 2010]
    Summary of Contents
    STOCK UPDATE 

    Bharat Electronics
    Cluster: Apple Green
    Recommendation: Hold
    Price target: Rs1,976
    Current market price: Rs1,743

    Price target revised to Rs1,976

    • Bharat Electronics Ltd (BEL)?s order book stood higher at Rs12,700 crore as on August 1, 2010 as compared to Rs11,350 crore as on March 31, 2010. The current level of order book is 2.5x the company?s FY2010 revenues and provides strong revenue visibility at least for the next two years. The company has targeted an order backlog of Rs15,000 crore (up 32% year on year [YoY]) by the end of FY2011, which implies a total order intake of Rs9,433 crore in FY2011.
    • We have fine-tuned our earnings estimates to factor in the FY2010 annual report numbers. Consequently, our revised earnings per share (EPS) estimates stand at Rs105.4 and Rs129.1 for FY2011 and FY2012 respectively. 
    • Though the strong order book position provides growth visibility and the company?s performance is likely to improve in the coming quarters, the margin pressure and growing competition from the private players are causes for concern. Hence, we maintain our Hold recommendation on the stock with a revised price target of Rs1,976. At the current market price, the stock trades at 13.5x FY2012 earnings estimate. However, BEL is a cash-rich company and adjusting for the cash on its books, its stock?s valuations are more reasonable at 9.2x FY2012E earnings.

     
    Click here to read report: Investor's Eye


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    Fw: Eagle Eye: Sparkling move


     

     
    Eagle Eye (equities)
    [For October 04, 2010]
     Summary of Contents
     
    PUNTER'S CALL
     

    Sparkling move
    The Nifty opened on a positive note and scaled higher through out the day, making new highs every hour...


    SMART CHART CALLS
     

     
    MOMENTUM CALLS
     

    Click here to read report: Eagle Eye
     

     
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