Sensex

Tuesday, May 04, 2010

[sharetrading] About Virla Power Solutions

 

Dear Abe
 
I need suggessition to buy Birla Power Solutions at current levels. (now it is trading at 3.00).  I am watching this stock from Rs.3.30/- levels.
 
 
 
Thanks

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Re: [sharetrading] amrutanjan shares

 




From: Ajay Parui <aparui@yahoo.co.in>
To: sharetrading@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Tue, 4 May, 2010 10:48:19 PM
Subject: Re: [sharetrading] amrutanjan shares

 

sir it will take some months.hold
sir, thanks for kind reply


--- On Tue, 4/5/10, gowtham gowtham <gowtham2007k@ yahoo.co. in> wrote:

From: gowtham gowtham <gowtham2007k@ yahoo.co. in>
Subject: [sharetrading] amrutanjan shares
To: sharetrading@ yahoogroups. com
Date: Tuesday, 4 May, 2010, 10:10 AM

 

sir,
   I bought amrutanjan @ 950 , daily it is going down, kindly suggest



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Radhe Developers Rights Issue

Radhe Developers Rights Issue


Radhe Developers Rights Issue

Posted: 03 May 2010 11:52 PM PDT

The password to see buy calls is: LIFEISCOLOURFUL The password to see buy calls is: LIFEISCOLOURFUL Radhe Developers (India) ltd has informed the market that they have decided to come out with a Rights issue in the tune of 125 crores or for funding future projects This is subject to consultation with Merchant Bankers and approval of the members & other applicable authorities.

Read More...


**[investwise]** Sean Broderick: Have The Bears Tasted Salmon?

 

John Pointdexter Morgan always maintained that he made "millions" because he always "sold stock early". If as expected Bombay falls as dramatically today as the rest of the world, then all those glued to that faux pas brokers channel will feel, why the heck do we ever watch that rubbish. The thing is no one thought sub-prime was a big deal, then came Alt-A loans, and then a slew of investment banks went bust and so did the hedge funds. And just when everything seemed lost governments after governments printed trillions to save the wealth of a few million around the world. But all those mountains of debt need to be paid off-including by India.
 
By the way, India's Public Debt at 85 per cent of GDP should stand at roughly $ 850 bn or 6 times Greece. And unlike most of Europe where unemployment is like 9 per cent, in India it should be 50 per cent.  No one does any work, see how many people are on the roads doing nothing and how many idle about in railway stations and villages sitting under trees counting birds. So forget long term, India is in as precarious a State as just about any other nation on Earth.
 
So just as the stock market rally that commenced in March 2009 took everyone by surprise, the reversal of May 2010 could be as dramatic. Just see the downside-another 10,000 Sensex points to the bottom?
 
Think quick — the power just went out in your house, and the smoke alarm is going crazy! What's the next thing you're going to do? What about your wife or kids? Do they know where to go? Have you practiced this drill before?
 
I sure hope so, because when an emergency strikes — whether it's a house fire, a power outage, or something even worse — you don't have time to sit and plot your next move. You have to act and act fast ... based on a predetermined plan.
 
Unfortunately, it's easy to bump emergency planning far down your to-do list.
 
After all, many people go through life believing that earthquakes, landslides and floods only happen in distant places. That their faucets will always deliver potable water. And that thieves only break into other people's houses.
 
For a while, I was one of them. But then I watched as Hurricane Katrina caused New Orleans to drown.
 
The local, state and Federal governments couldn't handle the crisis. And that's when I knew that if the s**t hit the fan, I couldn't count on the government to save my sorry butt. I had to take care of myself and my family.
 
So, I started researching crisis preparedness. And I came to an awful realization: Our economy, our country and our civilization are skating on thin ice. And I did what any human being would do — I started to get scared.
 
The fact is, there are at least a dozen things that could end life as we know it. Oh, you could probably survive — but in a radically changed world that would shatter the bubble that most Americans live in.
 
We think we are an exceptional country. And we are. But all empires end, and the biggest giants fall the hardest. Let me give you three examples of what I mean ...
 
Crisis #1: America's Empire of Debt. Do you think the lifestyle you live is normal? Not by global or historical standards. And yet this is in a country that has hollowed out its manufacturing base and shipped it overseas. The lifestyle we live is only made possible by an enormous empire of debt. The outstanding public debt is $12.3 TRILLION. The U.S. has a little over 307 million people, so that means every single man, woman and child in this country owes more than $40,000. It's increasing at a rate of $3.5 billion per day. And that's just the public debt — consumer and corporate debt add $trillions more!
 
 
The Good-Time Charlies in Washington would have you think this party can continue forever. But that bill is coming due, and the longer we put it off, the worse it will be.
 
How will it end? Potentially, in an economic depression that is worse than the Great Depression. Perhaps even a currency crisis, where the dollars in your pocket lose value day by day and hour by hour.
 
Crisis #2: Peak Oil Is Rushing Toward Us Like a Runaway Train. The only reason oil prices aren't higher is economic weakness around the world. But countries including India and China are adding to their fuel demand at a rip-roaring pace. Meanwhile, oil companies are now putting drills down 4,000 feet in the Gulf of Mexico to then drill through 35,000 feet of rock.
 
These wells are deeper than Mount Everest is tall! They aren't doing this because it's fun. They're doing it because it's the only oil they can find! And one thing you can count on — it won't be cheap oil. And as the unfolding drama in the Gulf of Mexico shows, even when we find oil there, it can blow up in our faces! Meanwhile, America is a nation built around the automobile — no one is more vulnerable to an energy crisis than we are.
 
How will it end? Potentially in an oil crisis that sends the U.S. deeper into an economic tailspin while dramatically changing the way you live. In more extreme cases, an oil crisis can lead to a food crisis. Food travels between 1,500 and 2,500 miles to get to your dinner table, and supermarkets are going to run out of food fast if the delivery trucks run out of gas.
 
Crisis #3: Water Is the Quiet Emergency That Could Shape the 21st Century. For most Americans, water is less expensive each month than cable television or having a cell phone. And yet the World Bank reports that 80 countries now have water shortages that threaten health and economies while 40% of the world — more than 2 billion people — have no access to clean water or sanitation.
 
Local water systems around the U.S. are old and in desperate need of upgrades, and legal battles are heating up over water rights across the country. While you can substitute various alternate fuels for fossil fuels like crude oil, there is no substitute for water. This is a crisis that is spinning out of control around the world.
 
How will it end? Most people would not be able to handle a water emergency. If droughts worsen, we could see people forcibly relocated from cities and areas that just can't support their populations.
There's a lot more that can go wrong — potential shutdowns of large portions of the U.S. power grid, civil unrest, pandemics and more.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
We are low-risk, long-term investors. 

Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

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[sharetrading] Predicting the market is a waste of time; and here's why.

 

From one of the blogs..

********
Predicting the market is a waste of time; and here's why.


Market is market and it will do what it has to do. It does not care about anyone.. Most of the people predicting about the market are only engaged in educated guesses.
I can also indulge in guesswork but the fact is - I don't "know" what markets are going to do in the future. Some may ask, How can you be in this business and not know what markets are going to do?
Well, trust me trading business has nothing to do with prediction. It is more a skill on how to navigate markets than knowing the map of the market.

Plan Actions and Visualize Scenarios
:
Let me start with a great quote from George Soros - The financial markets generally are unpredictable. So that one has to have different scenarios. The idea that you can actually predict what's going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market.
The action approach should be - Don't think about what the market's going to do; you have absolutely no control over that. Instead, think about what you're going to do if market does anything what you have envisaged or visualized.

What every traders needs to understand?
1.. There is a huge difference between trading correctly and making an accurate market prediction.
2.. In the final analysis, predicting the market is not what's important. What is important is using sound trading practices.
3.. And if sound trading habits are all that is important, there is no reason to try to predict the markets in the first place.
4.. It is the discipline that keeps one in the market for long timeand not the forecast ability.

When one predicts - one searches for that market behavior; and if market starts behaving otherwise - one gets angry and start fighting the market. That's why - one should have an open mindset towards market behavior and not trapped in prism of one's prediction.

There is a famous saying which also sums up the attitude one should have towards the market -

"I have no idea what the market will do, but that is ok and I will play whatever comes my way.
"

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[sharetrading] state of market

 

from one of the blogs

************

Market = Dar Lagta Hai
 

Screen has started to look scary and no one knows where we are headed. Bears are calling for deeper correction and Bulls ...still putting up brave face.

Market Observations

  1. SELL IN MAY and GO AWAY....is this what market trying to tell us?
  2. It has been just 2 trading days in May and Nifty is already down 2.4%. The damage to mid-cap index has also been 2.1%.
  3. Hey don't blame Reliance. It is down just 0.77% over last 2 days. It is the broader market that has done the damage this time.
  4. One Bearish view that is gaining opinion - Rise in public deficit and unemployment will be big drag on Corporate earnings and Global economic growth going forward
  5. Bullish argument - What is new in this? This market has not cared about these negatives till date, so why should it start to care now?
  6. No matter what bulls or bears think - the benefit of doubt should still go to BULLs. Why? Because bears usually have run out of steam after 2-3 days of selling.

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**[investwise]** Bill Jenkins: If the Mkt Is Dominated By FII's, They Decide What To Slaughter

 

The decision to finally bail out Greece is making a big impact on the markets this week, but the fallout is still far from over. Here's everything you need to know about the Eurozone debt crisis right now…

Everyone has been quietly terrified that the Greek contagion would spread from one PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain) to another. Now it's clear the real "swine flu" is just beginning.

Last week, S&P announced a cut to Portugal's sovereign credit rating from A+ to A-, down two notches.

But the cut of Portugal wasn't enough. That slipped across my wire about 11:00 a.m. (EST) on Tuesday. At 11:30 a.m., European Central Bank (ECB) President J.C. Trichet, announced that a default of Greece was "out of the question," even though he refused to comment on the current negotiations.
 
It seems he may have just been whistling in the graveyard. Just 15 minutes later, everyone's greatest fears came true: S&P announced that they had cut Greece's bond rating to "junk" (BBB+).

And following that, Spain saw its credit rating slashed, too.

What on Earth will happen next?

Bloomberg reports that Greece's two-year bond soared to 17% after its rate cut announcement. This is why Germany was calling for more austerity cuts to the Greek budget before they signed on to any bailout agreement.

But it looks like that may all be history thanks to a $145 billion bailout agreement made between European governments and the International Monetary Fund to bail Greece out of its mess. The bailout may have quelled some concerns about the fate of the collective Eurozone economy, but its effects have been muted by the prospects of what's potentially still to come across the pond.
I have made the case here before and will again re-state it: There is not enough money to bail out all the struggling nations of Europe. Take a gander at these GDP figures (in 2009 U.S. dollars) and its ratio of public debt-to-GDP:


 

Now compare the same table with external debt (in 2009 U.S. dollars):


I'll leave you to your own devices to calculate what the percentage to GDP the external debt is. And just for the record, the difference between the two kinds of debt is that public debt is essentially what the government owes. External debt is basically all debt combined. That's the easiest way to remember it.

And now here we are with three of the infamous PIIGS getting a poorly timed rate cut. How can a government with such a debt load ever hope to crawl out from underneath it? It would be hard even if the country could borrow money at a 0% interest… let alone at 17%!

The handwriting is on the wall.

I was pretty sure that when the news broke last week about the downgrades, that we would close the NY session with the euro below 1.32. Sure enough, we did.
 
It is hard to say what exactly will happen going forward. Government structures stay in place for a long time, even after the heart of the beast is already eaten out with cancer. This is why the United States is still on its feet. We become accustomed to certain fixtures remaining in place.

Other countries have defaulted on their loans and are still here. In the highly developed West, that is almost a given. In other places, such as a number we could name on the African continent, not only can whole governments change hands, but countries will change names and governing structures altogether.

So while the Union may not dissolve, and may not change its name, its governmental structures have already been altered. Had the Maastricht treaty that created the Union been held in strictest of understandings and interpretations, no country would ever come close to a default. But then again, the countries with fringe economies had their financial standing and accountability issues papered over in the first place.

Otherwise, they would likely never have been let into the clique.

As you might expect, I'll be watching how the situation unfolds very carefully… I'll keep you updated.


Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
We are low-risk, long-term investors. 

Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

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**[investwise]** German Chancellor Merkel Calls For "Insolvencies In Europe" Openly

 

German Chancellor Angela Merkel's coalition stepped up calls for allowing the "orderly" default of euro-region member states burdened with debt to avoid a repeat of the Greek fiscal crisis.
 
Floor leaders of the three coalition parties agreed in Berlin today to put a resolution to parliament alongside the bill on Greek aid calling for the European Union to revise rules for the euro to put pressure on countries that run deficits.
 
Merkel, who faces elections in Germany's most populous state on May 9, is seeking to shift focus from the Greek bailout to drawing lessons from the euro's biggest crisis. An "orderly insolvency" process would ensure that creditors participate in any future rescue, she said on ARD television yesterday.
 
"We want to move from crisis management to crisis prevention," Birgit Homburger, the parliamentary head of Merkel's Free Democratic coalition partner, told reporters after the coalition leaders' meeting. "We have to do everything we can to ensure we never get into such a situation again."
 
Merkel is seeking to have both houses of parliament approve Germany's share of the 110 billion-euro ($143 billion) Greek bailout on May 7, the same day she heads to Brussels for a meeting of government leaders of the 16 euro nations to assess "lessons to be learned" from the crisis.
 
'Looming Insolvency'
 
"We quite urgently need something for the members of European Monetary Union that we also didn't have during the banking crisis two years ago," German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble told reporters yesterday. "Namely the possibility of a restructuring procedure in the event of looming insolvency that helps prevent systemic contagion risks."
 
European stocks erased their gains for the year today and the euro slid to a one-year low against the dollar amid concern the government debt crisis is spreading.
 
Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero told reporters in Brussels that speculation of a bailout for Spain is "complete madness." Standard & Poor's last week cut Spain's credit rating by one level to AA, lowered Portugal by two steps to A- and cut Greece's to the junk level of BB+.
 
The resolution being drafted by German lawmakers will call for stronger EU rights to inspect member countries' budgets and sanctions such as a suspension of EU voting rights for countries that breach deficit rules, Volker Kauder, the floor leader of Merkel's Christian Democrats, told reporters today.
 
French Backing
 
French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde has signaled support for some rule changes floated by Germany, including closer monitoring of deficits and Merkel's call to consider setting up a European rating agency.
 
"For all preventive measures, we need our partners in Europe and on the international level, such as the G-20," said Hans-Peter Friedrich, a Christian Democratic deputy leader in parliament.
 
Finance ministers of the euro-area countries approved a three-year bailout for debt-laden Greece on May 2, and Merkel's Cabinet yesterday backed loans of as much as 22.4 billion euros as Germany's contribution.
 
With her Christian Democratic Union's hold on North Rhine- Westphalia state at stake on May 9, Merkel is campaigning on her refusal to rush aid to Greece, saying her firmness forced the Greek government to commit to bigger savings. Greece's deficit was 13.6 percent of gross domestic product last year, the region's second-biggest after Ireland, compared with 3.3 percent for Germany. Merkel's government estimates the deficit will climb to 5.5 percent this year.
 
"It's a fairy tale" that quicker action would have made the bailout cheaper, Homburger said an e-mailed statement.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
We are low-risk, long-term investors. 

Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

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[sharetrading] Nifty Rally

 

Will the Nifty breakdown on the judgement day ?
traditionally 6th May to 15 May is the breakdown period and from 22nd May onwards is th recovery pd

will the Nifty touch 4950 or 4750 or near abouts..?? possibly.. the stretch may go to 4750..4700 to squeeze out the last bit of juice left out of the shorts..and also give a earnign opportnity to the TA on CNBC of  doomsday prophecy..

will Nifty go below 5120 today.. possibly yes on the opening..


whenever there maybe a recovery (i think from 5050 or 4950) ......... expect a 700 point rally on the nifty upto  5750-5800.. within next 2 months

the idea is to identify the turning point early and get in ....

The turning point will require
1. unrealated news
2. contagiousness to start small buying and that
3. Change will take place in one dramatic moment


HSR

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