Sensex

Sunday, July 11, 2010

[sharetrading] Nifty ID

 

I called only for ID short. One should look to cover soon as per RA. Market remains LONG w/ Sl 5335 spot as of now

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Re: [sharetrading] STER

 

don't be fulled by this data. it's already known to mkt movers. it's just after effect of passed. mkt falls from overbaught & rises from oversold. it runs in it's own course. such factors r reason only. kauae ka bethna aur dali ka girna. regards.


From: ravi sampat <rms_sam@yahoo.com>
To: sharetrading@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Mon, 12 July, 2010 11:22:54 AM
Subject: Re: [sharetrading] STER

 

May IIP @ 11.5% Vs 16.5% (MoM); Mining growth @ 8.7% Vs 11.4%; Mfg @ 12.3% Vs 19.4%;Capital Goods @ 34.3% Vs 72.8%;Basic Goods @ 7.9% Vs 8.8%.
ftse future fell from 30 to 17
nikkei just got in red.
 
 
reasons for fall......
 
ravi sampat


From: sk <skbawa@gmail. com>
To: sharetrading@ yahoogroups. com
Sent: Mon, 12 July, 2010 11:12:31 AM
Subject: Re: [sharetrading] STER

 

Any reason for market 2 fall ?

On 7/12/10, A P Abraham <abrahamap@airtelmai l.in> wrote:
 

Exit calls have been given by some brokerages. Be cautious.

Exit or begin trading and let go in case of falls below 5ema.

Cues indicate a downward pull.

RT's can short nifty on a suitable signal. Purely ID only, for those holding long positions.

Presently Nifty on upward thrust




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Re: [sharetrading] STER

 

May IIP @ 11.5% Vs 16.5% (MoM); Mining growth @ 8.7% Vs 11.4%; Mfg @ 12.3% Vs 19.4%;Capital Goods @ 34.3% Vs 72.8%;Basic Goods @ 7.9% Vs 8.8%.
ftse future fell from 30 to 17
nikkei just got in red.
 
 
reasons for fall......
 
ravi sampat


From: sk <skbawa@gmail.com>
To: sharetrading@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Mon, 12 July, 2010 11:12:31 AM
Subject: Re: [sharetrading] STER

 

Any reason for market 2 fall ?

On 7/12/10, A P Abraham <abrahamap@airtelmai l.in> wrote:
 

Exit calls have been given by some brokerages. Be cautious.

Exit or begin trading and let go in case of falls below 5ema.

Cues indicate a downward pull.

RT's can short nifty on a suitable signal. Purely ID only, for those holding long positions.

Presently Nifty on upward thrust



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Re: [sharetrading] STER

 

Any reason for market 2 fall ?

On 7/12/10, A P Abraham <abrahamap@airtelmail.in> wrote:
 

Exit calls have been given by some brokerages. Be cautious.

Exit or begin trading and let go in case of falls below 5ema.

Cues indicate a downward pull.

RT's can short nifty on a suitable signal. Purely ID only, for those holding long positions.

Presently Nifty on upward thrust


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[sharetrading] STER

 

Exit calls have been given by some brokerages. Be cautious.

Exit or begin trading and let go in case of falls below 5ema.

Cues indicate a downward pull.

RT’s can short nifty on a suitable signal. Purely ID only, for those holding long positions.

Presently Nifty on upward thrust

__._,_.___
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**[investwise]** City Union Bank-The Rs 300 cr QIP could be a Game Changer

 

City Union Bank recently proposed to raise Rs 300 crore through a QIP. The successful completion of this issue will not only raise City Union Banks book value, but also raise the CAR, allowing it to grow it's loan book by atleast Rs 2000 crore leading to a quantum jump in the Asset size under it's management. Given the markets fancy for private sector and a consequent higher Price To Book Value, roughly 2.5 times BV of FY12 the stock should trade upwards of Rs 55 to Rs 60, a near doubling in valuations over 2 years.

Recently we met with City Union Bank's (CUB) management to update ourselves

on the bank's status on business growth, profitability and asset quality. Key

takeaways of the discussion are as follows.

 

• The bank's management plans to add 60 new branches in FY11: CUB's management plans to open 60 branches in FY11 with a focus on northern India region. During FY05-10, the bank reported 10% compounded annual growth in branch network expansion.

 

• Robust growth in business: The bank's management expects 27-28% growth in business in FY11 on the back of 28% growth in credit portfolio and 27% growth in deposits.

 

• Healthy margin: In the new lending interest rate regime, CUB's management expects to maintain margin in FY11; it is expected that impact of the base rate system would be visible only after two quarters.

 

• Asset quality; a comfort zone: In FY10, the bank reported total NPA recovery of Rs531 mn and total gross slippages was at Rs1.1 bn (1.71% gross slippages ratio); gross NPAs reduced by 8.4% (Y/Y) to Rs935 mn. We estimate that in FY11, GNPA would increase by 2.4% (Y/Y) to Rs957 mn on the back of lesser slippages and recoveries.


 
Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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[sharetrading] Scrips

 

Presently Day charts seem good for Bombay dyeing/petronet. Chk charts. All gd for nifty being good.

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[sharetrading] Nifty ID

 

Market expected to be extremely sideways, as of now.

Presently a long push seen…..

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**[investwise]** Aurobindo Pharma-Is This Stock Set For A Re-Rating?

 

Aurobindo Pharma: Going Strong; Going For Growth

 

We spoke to the Aurobindo Pharma (ARBN) management to get an update on the biz. Besides robust sales growth and operating leverage upside, we expect further progress on supply deals for global markets in FY11. Concerns over debt and equity dilution also appear overdone. Given these and 30% EPS CAGR (FY10-12E), it looks attractive at 9xFY11E EPS and due to re-rate. Buy.

 

Strong FY11 despite Higher Overheads — We expect a scale-up in supply to Pfizer

(esp. in Europe) and growing traction in own global operations to drive growth and margins, despite higher overheads on the SEZ (Rs150m/qtr) & CRAMS (Rs100-150m).

 

Execution of some pending orders (1bn tablets on capacity choking at Unit III) would lead to a strong 1Q and, while 2Q may be subdued (overheads on new SEZ), 2H should be healthy, as SEZ sales pick and tax benefits accrue.

 

Headway on Licensing Deals — Besides higher supplies to Pfizer, we expect ARBN

to make some progress in an effort to gain more large partners. It is in talks with 2-3 global players for similar (albeit at a smaller scale) tie-ups and believes this could bear fruit soon. This would not only add to revenues but also reduce dependence on Pfizer, providing more comfort to investors.

 

B/S Concerns Receding — ARBN's net D/E is down to 1.1x (Mar 10) & is set to dip

further as cash flows & net worth rise. The FCCBs due in Aug 10 (US$23m) are in the money & would add to equity (2.2m shares) on conversion. The FCCBs due in May 11 are out of the money & may see an outflow (cS$200m), if not converted.

 

ARBN will be able to redeem these, if needed, thru internal accruals & an ECB (US$125m) it intends to raise soon. Equity dilution risk appears low. Capex would be limited from here on (cRs5-5.5bn over FY11-12E) & largely funded internally.

 

Should Re-Rate — ARBN trades at a c50% discount to the average P/E multiple of

our coverage universe – an offshoot of its checkered track record & B/S concerns. With the latter receding & clear signs of sustainable earnings momentum, we believe it is only a matter of time before it re-rates to a higher range.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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