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Sunday, May 18, 2008

DG - Wednesday Telefolio : Astral Polytechnik : May 07

 

Astral Polytechnik

Aggressive growth

Increasing penetration of its niche products and introduction of higher value added products will keep the company on high growth track

Buy

Astral Polytechnik

BSE Code

532830

NSE Code

ASTRAL

Bloomberg

ASTRA@IN

Reuter

ASPT.BO

52-week High/Low

Rs 235 / Rs 100

Current Price

Rs 189 (as on 7th May 2008)

Astral Polytechnik (APL) is primarily engaged in the business of Manufacturing of CPVC/PVC (Lead Free) pipes & fittings. Astral is leader in this segment of the business. It is the first and major licensee of Noveon, USA (formerly known as Specialty Chemical Division of B.F Goodrich, USA) for CPVC piping and plumbing system in India. It has entered into a techno-financial (14% stake) joint venture with Specialty Process LLC of USA, for technical expertise to manufacture CPVC pipes and fittings for home and industrial application. Currently, APL manufactures 50-60 varieties of pipes and about 250-300 kinds of fittings.

Fast paced growth

For the quarter ended March 2008, Astral registered 44% growth in revenues to Rs 46.31 crore. Various cost heard were optimally managed due to increasing scale and higher value added products in the broad range of CPVC and PVC fittings, flanges and valves, adhesive solutions for joining pipes and fittings, underground specialty fittings and CPVC and PVC plastic pipes of a larger diameter. OPM improved 150 bps to 14.4%. OP increased 60% to Rs 6.67 crore. The PAT increased by an impressive 69% to Rs 5.23 crore.

Revenue for the full year ended March 2008 increased by 40% to Rs 135.82 crore supported by increasing sales of the company’s various products. OPM improved 120 bps to 15.2%. Thus OP increased 52% to Rs 20.68 crore. Other income increased 278% to Rs 4.68 crore. As a result PBIDT increased by an impressive 71% to Rs 25.36 crore. Interest cost and depreciation increased 43% and 48% each to Rs 2.69 crore and Rs 3.26 crore. PAT soared 87% to Rs 17.07 crore. As one of the company’s plant is in Himachal Pradesh and enjoy Tax free status the effective tax rate is low at around 12%.

Aggressive market penetration strategy along with huge 189% rise in capacity expansion

Following the aggressive market penetration strategy and capitalizing on the favourable market factors, Astral is continuously increasing its production capacities.

APL had come out with IPO in February 2007 at Rs 115 per share to part finance its expansion project of existing products as also to finance manufacturing facilities of their upcoming products such as Astral underground systems, Astral Blazemaster fire sprinkler system and Astral SWR

The company has been expanding its capacity every year over last few years. In FY 2006, the company produced nearly 2470 TPA of CPVC, which got increased by 106% to 5090 TPA in FY 2007. The company can produce all the different varies of CPVC pipes with same machineries. All it needs to do is to change the dice and raw material content requirements.

Now, with the Phase I of the expansion project having been completed, the present expanded capacity stands at 9000 TPA of CPVC.

Further, to take advantage of favorable Government Policies and strengthen its distribution network in North East and also to bring about significant improvement in the bottom line, the company has continued its expansion activity for manufacturing of various sizes of fittings & pipes at its Himachal Pradesh unit.

Phase II of the expansion project is already underway. Under this expansion, the company had envisaged doubling the existing capacity to around 18500 TPA by FY 2009. However, looking at the encouraging demand for its product the company has decided to increase the capacity further.

The management sees no additional marketing or distribution cost for the new products. The company has 150 distributors and 2000 dealers across the country for its existing range of piping and fitting products. The new products, in which the company is venturing into, caters to the same housing and industrial piping markets. In fact, the new products are value added products, which has been asked for by some of the existing customers. Hence the same distributors and dealers are going to sell the new products. So there will be no additional advertisement expenditure or marketing cost for the new products, unlike the case when the company initially launched its products for the first time in India.

Dominant Parent

Just as resins are the raw material for manufacturing PVC pipes, C-resins are the raw material for manufacturing C-PVC pipes. Worldwide there are only 3 players, which have the technology to manufacture C-resins. Noveon, USA is the world’s largest supplier and manufacturer of the raw material covering 85% of the world raw material market demand. Since the other two players in Germany and Japan are small and they cater to the demand locally, there is virtually a monopoly for Noveon as far as manufacturing of raw material is concerned.

Thomson group of US, which itself is a customer of Noveon, liked the idea of manufacturing CPVC in India considering the potential of the product in the world’s second fastest growing economy. Through its investing arm, Speciality Process LCV, it invested nearly 20% of the company’s equity share capital. Post public issue, its stake got proportionately reduced to 14%. Overall the promoters including Thomson group now holds 64% of the equity share capital of the company.

The company’s products are gaining acceptance

The demand for water and its use whether on account of residential, industrial or agricultural usage has only grown due to the increase in population. Liquid transportation through Galvanised Iron (GI) pipes, copper pipes can cause corrosive surfaces, leakage etc due to its chemical properties. Any fluid including water will have different properties and effects on the materials it comes into contact with while being transported. Hence it is essential that this fluid retain its core characteristics and quality for its suitable end usage.

Globally, CPVC is replacing various traditional piping systems (Galvanized Iron (GI) or Copper tubes). India is mainly a GI user. The current size of GI Pipes in India is about Rs 2500 crore p.a.

In India a very small market is shared amongst Copper and various Plastic polymers such as PVC, CPVC, PPR, etc. CPVC has a better tensile and impact strength without UV resistance and having excellent fire retardant properties. It can be used for high-pressure application for carrying hot/cold water and carries anti scaling and corrosion properties.

APL is currently the licensee to manufacture and distribute CPVC plumbing systems for home and commercial use, under the international brand "FlowGuard" and industrial systems under the International brand "Corzan" for transportation of highly corrosive industrial chemicals. CPVC is new product for Indian markets and creating awareness is a challenge for the company. To address this problem, Astral has trained a large number of plumbers, consultants, architects, builders and contractors in India, under various workshops over a period of five years to familiarize them about the superior characteristics of CPVC. It enjoys monopoly status in the higher end products Corzan and Blazemaster in Indian markets as of now.

Considering the advantage of CPVC pipes, all the frontline organized players like DLF, Sobha, JP group, Kalpataru, Unitech, Parsvanath, etc are the customers of Astral. In every new project of these frontline players only Astral CPVC pipes and plumbing is used.

Further there is lot of replacement market also coming up apart from the demand from primary market. Hilton Towers recently placed their orders for CPVC pipes and plumbing after being fed up by the corrosion of GI pipes.

Rising prices of competitive product is a major plus point

In 1999, when the CPVC product was introduced in India it was 10% costlier vis a vis GI pipes. Hence the acceptance of the product was relatively slower. So the company was able to penetrate only the A-class builders and contractors. However with steel prices rising, the GI pipes cost also continues to rise and it has reached a stage where the company’s products have become 25% cheaper to GI pipes. Hence a lot of demand from the B-class and other builders has started.

So it has now become very easy for the company to penetrate the market. Also with income level rising, people are going for quality and what more one requires if that quality is available at a better price vis-a-vis competitive product. Further unlike the prices of GI pipes, which are difficult to predict, the prices of company’s product are steady as Noveon keeps the raw material prices stable.

As the awareness about the company’s products grow, market will continue to expand.

Venturing into high value added products apart from becoming a one stop solution provider

With a view to operate as a one-stop source for all the plastic piping systems, Astral also began trading and then subsequently manufacturing products such as CPVC and PVC fittings, flanges and valves from Spears (USA), solvent cements (adhesive solutions) for joining pipes and fittings from IPSC (USA), underground specialty fittings from Hunter (U.K) and CPVC and PVC plastic pipes of a larger diameter from Harvell Inc. (USA). Its product list also includes pipes and fittings for hot and cold water plumbing systems, CPVC industrial piping system for transportation of hazardous and highly corrosive chemicals, lead free PVC systems for cold-water application.

The company also markets ASTRAL "BlazeMaster" which is a CPVC based Fire Sprinkler system. APL has signed license agreement with Noveon Inc, USA in this regard. APL believes that there is a huge local market opening in India for fire sprinkler systems. Government has recognized the need for such system and more number of local authorities are making installations of such system in all new and old building compulsory. The product has been recently commercially produced and launched in India. APL is the first producer of such fire sprinkler system in India and second in Asia (the other manufacturer is in Taiwan). There already exists an export market in Middle East, Africa and other neighboring countries.

APL is the distributor in India for Hunter Plastics Ltd UK, a producer of underground specialty fittings. There is a lot of untapped market for underground sewerage, wastewater and rain water systems (SWR) for residential, industrial constructions, which is currently catered to by many players from unorganized sector. APL with its adherence to high quality and international standards along with collaboration from international players would be producing world-class products in SWR once the second phase of expansion is completed by mid-FY2009.

Apart from the GI market, the company has huge opportunity in the PVC market also

The company also received lot of inquiries about from the user industry of PVC pipes of the problems, which they were facing because of the lead content in such pipes. As a result of which the company has already started manufacturing PVC with Lead free content pipes. Looking at the success of its PVC without lead content product, and also considering that there is no product in between PVC and CPVC pipes the company has also introduced a new product APVC pipes which will be somewhere in the mid of PVC and CPVC. Thus it will be more cost effective compared to CPVC and will cater to the well-established market of PVC pipes.

The machineries, which can be used to manufacture CPVC pipes, can be easily used to manufacture PVC pipes. Hence there is no additional cost for the same. However vice versa is not possible.

Enjoys huge advantage in exclusive access to raw materials

Astral is the only large Indian company in the manufacturing of CPVC pipes having exclusive access to raw materials from the world leader Noveon-USA who holds patents for these products and controls about 85% of world market share in supply of CPVC. Although Noveon has tie-up for these products with only two other firms in India, their size is small and they have access to one out of the two raw material i.e. Flowguard and not Corzan. In fact the two other firms are buying some of their fitting requirements from the company. APL has access to both the raw materials i.e. Flowguard and Corzan. This exclusivity acts as a barrier to entry for new players and gives a competitive advantage to Astral.

There is a huge entry barrier in this industry as the raw material supply is limited and the machines and techniques used are highly sophisticated.

APL presently sells its products through a chain of distributors and dealers. It has a nationwide network of around 142 distributors and 1500 dealers who cater extensively to clients in the country. Selling and distribution costs form a major portion of costs (after manufacturing costs).

The raw materials used by APL are NSF approved which make them a preferred choice for the end-users. NSF is The Public Health and Safety Company™, providing public health and safety risk management solutions to companies, governments and consumers around the world. NSF International developed Standard 14 - Plastics Piping System Components and Related Materials in October 1965. APL has also applied for license from NSF for its own products, which is expected to be received by 2008.This license, will enable APL to export their products to the US. Currently APL exports its products to UAE, Phillipines etc, where the NSF approval is not mandatory.

Rising crude oil price will not have any impact on the raw material cost

The company’s raw material price is fixed by Noveon, which sets the price with an eye on increasing volume and does not vary the price based on price of crude oil. The higher the volumes from the licensee, better the pricing. Normally both Noveon and Astral keeps the price stable and focuses on growing the volume.

Buoyant outlook

The growth in housing construction, commercial construction, malls and SEZ throughout the country offer great opportunity for the company. The increasing quality and brand consciousness amongst the builders and consumers will help the company to perform better in the years ahead supported by its concerted and continued efforts in brand promotional activities.

Astral continues the endeavor of increasing its efficiency in operations, thereby building sustainable competitiveness. The main thrust of the company is on product innovation and diversification. All efforts are made to reduce cost of production to make its products more competitive in Indian Market. Its alliance with Specialty Process LLC, USA continues to play a significant role in the growth and also helps it in introduction of new products and in achieving market growth.

Further to take the incentives available in the country, Astral has already ramped up its production facilities at Himachal Pradesh where the company enjoys all kinds of tax incentives.

To take the advantage of its strong distribution net work across all the states of the country the company is coming up with more product lines such as Under Ground, Pipes & Fittings, SWR pipes & fittings, ABS pipes & fittings & CPVC Blazemaster pipes & fittings. This will help it to increase its presence in all segments of building product and it can utilize the same channel of distribution, which it is presently using. With addition on new product line company will be in a position to increase both its topline and bottom line sizably.

Attractive valuation

In FY 2009, we expect the company to register sales and net profit of Rs 196.94 crore and Rs 22.62 crore respectively. On equity of Rs 11.24 crore and face value of Rs 10 per share, EPS works out to Rs 20.1. The share price currently trades at Rs 189. P/E works out to just 9.4. Considering that the company has recorded and is likely to continue to record high growth rates in earnings due to its niche product range in a fast growing market, current valuation is attractive.

Astral Polytechnik: Financials

 

 

0503 (12)

0603 (12)

0703 (12)

0803 (12)

0903 (12P)

Net Sales

35.46

51.47

96.92

135.81

196.94

OPM (%)

14.3

14.4

14.0

15.2

16.0

OP

5.08

7.4

13.6

20.68

31.51

Other inc.

0.09

0.18

1.24

4.68

3.00

PBDIT

5.17

7.58

14.84

25.36

34.51

Interest

1.18

1.26

1.88

2.69

3.77

PBDT

4.00

6.32

12.96

22.67

30.74

Dep.

0.91

1.37

2.20

3.26

4.89

PBT

3.09

4.95

10.76

19.41

25.85

Tax

0.88

0.93

1.65

2.34

3.23

PAT

2.21

4.02

9.11

17.07

22.62

EPS (Rs)*

2.0

3.6

8.1

15.2

20.1

*Annualised on current equity of Rs 11.24 crore;
Face value Rs 10
(P): Projections
Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

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DG - Wednesday Telefolio : GVK Power : May 14

 

GVK Power and Infrastructure

Set to take off

While availability of gas supply will boost its power business in the short-term, long-term prospects of its airports and other infrastructure business remain exciting

Buy

GVK Power & Infrastructure

BSE Code

532708

NSE Code

GVKPIL

Bloomberg

GVKP@IN

Reuter

GVKP.BO

52-week High/Low

Rs 94 / Rs 33

Current Price

Rs 53 (as on 14th May 2008)

GVK Power & Infrastructure (GVK) is a holding company of its infrastructure business. The company has interest in various types of Power Generation viz., Gas, Hydel and Thermal, Roads & Expressways, Airports, Aviation, Ports, SEZ, etc. The company is a listed entity which operates in the above said sectors through its Subsidiary / Associate Companies.

GVK’s portfolio of assets includes the Mumbai International Airport, a toll road, six power plants, one coal mine and one Special Economic Zone. With an increasing proportion of India's infrastructure capex now happening via the Public/Private Sector Participation route, the opportunity landscape for the infrastructure developers is expanding. GVKPIL looks well placed to capitalize on this opportunity.

GVKPIL presently owns 53.96% stake in GVK Industries, which operates the 216 MW gas based Jegurupaddu CCPP I in AP and 220 MW Jegurupaddu CCPP II which is ready for commercial operations. It also owns 51% in Gautami Power, which is setting up a 464 MW CCPP Plant, which is also ready for commissioning. The commencement of operation of 220 MW Jegurupadu CCPP and 464 MW Gautami Power Project was delayed due to non availability of gas. The road business of the company consists of Jaipur–Kishangarh BOT road project, part of Goldel Quadrilateral of NHAI. The company in consortium with Airports Company of South Africa and Bidvest has been mandated to modernize Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport at Mumbai. The company holds 74% stake in the SPV formed for this purpose.

Availability of Natural Gas is a major booster

The most critical input required by its power generation plants to generate electricity is fuel (Natural Gas). Reliance Industries is expected to start the supply of KG Basin gas during the second half of calendar year 2008 which will be initially of 40 mmscmd of gas which can be increased to 80 mmscmd at peak level (thus doubling the gas production in India from around 80 mmscmd in FY 2008 to around 160 mmscmd by FY 2010), within one year from the date of commercial production.

Among listed companies GVK Power and Infrastructure should benefit once the gas is made available to them. The availability of the natural gas had been a matter of concern for GVK in the past. GVK’s Jegurupadu 1 power plant of 217 MW is operating at 70% PLF factor instead of 95% because of un-availability of gas. Presently the company is getting gas to the extent of 0.65 mcm (million cubic meter) instead of the total requirement of 1.1 mcm for the power plant. Further Jegurupadu 2 power plant with 220 MW is ready for commissioning and Gautami Power plant (wherein the company holds 51% stake) of 464 MW is expected to commission by early June 2008. Howerver all these plants are awaiting for gas (combined requirement of gas for all the three plants stands 4.16mcm) as without which they cannot operate and the company cannot recover even its fixed cost of the investments made in these power plants. However, the company is optimistic about the supply of gas from KG Basin. Andhra Pradesh Government is also trying very hard to get the gas from KG Basin (which is in Andhra Pradesh) for its State electricity and other requirements. The GVK plants at efficient PLF level can generate 14% Post Tax return on investments on all these power plants which comes to around Rs 3600 crore (the company has around 50% share in it).

Mumbai Airport is a jewel in the crown

The top 7 airports in India handle more than 75% of passenger and freight traffic. Of these, Mumbai is the busiest, handling ~25% of India’s air passenger traffic. Mumbai is the commercial capital of India and serves as an important destination and transit point for both domestic and international passengers and freight traffic.

In January 2006, a consortium led by GVK was awarded the mandate to modernize the Mumbai Airport. Mumbai International Airport Pvt. Ltd. (MIAL), a joint venture company owned by the GVK-led consortium (74%) and Airports Authority of India (26%) was formed in March 2006 to manage and develop the airport.

MIAL is structured on the build–own–operate (BOO) basis with an initial concession term of 30 years with an option of an extension of 30 years at the option of MIAL.

GVK holds 37% in the Mumbai Airport. The airport is now being upgraded to handle 40mn passengers and 1mn tonnes of cargo.

At present, the Mumbai Airport caters to 25mn passengers and handles around 520,000 tonnes of cargo annually. The master plan has been designed to expand and upgrade the infrastructure at CSIA to cater to traffic of 40mn passengers per year and 1mn metric tonnes of cargo per year.

While the aero revenues of the airport are regulated by a price cap formula, Non-aero revenues comprising duty free, advertising and retail revenues are value drivers for the airport. The biggest contributor to the value of the airport is the proposed nearby real estate development of 20mn sqft, which is allowed as a part of the concession.

Navi-Mumbai Airport is another huge potential opportunity

The proposed greenfield airport at Navi Mumbai would come up by 2012 and have a capacity to handle nearly 55mn passengers annually. It is proposed to be developed with 74% equity participation by the private sector. The Airports Authority of India, the Government of Maharashtra and CIDCO will hold the remainder.

The central government has already given its in-principle approval to the project, which is expected to ease overcrowding at the existing Mumbai Airport.

GVK has a right of first refusal over the proposed Navi Mumbai Airport. GVK has the right to match the highest bidder, provided it bids within a 10% range of the highest bid. Winning the Navi Mumbai Airport would be vital for GVK since it would remove any threat of competition for the Mumbai traffic.

Non-aeronautical activities of the airport will generate further revenues

The Airports Authority of India which managed the Mumbai International Airport earlier did not focus on developing the non-aeronautical activities of the airport. Once the handover of the airport to MIAL was completed, MIAL has explored various means to increase the non-aeronautical revenues of the airport. These are:

Duty-free revenues: MIAL had earlier awarded a concession to a consortium of ITDC and Aldeasa, Spain, for setting up retail duty free outlets at the Mumbai Airport, with a minimum guarantee of Rs 549 crore in concession fees. However, the concession agreement was mutually terminated by both parties and MIAL has subsequently, in November 2007, awarded the duty free concession to DFS Ventures Singapore (Pte) Ltd., with a minimum guaranteed concession fee of Rs 260 crore over the three-year term of the concession.

Advertising revenues: MIAL awarded the contract for advertisement rights at the airport to Times Innovative Media (P) Ltd (TIMPL) in March 2007. Times Innovative Media will design, develop and maintain all advertisement locations inside the terminals and in the outdoor premises of CSIA for the next three years. The contract, which covers static advertising sites, aerobridges, baggage trolleys, plasma and LCD screens, is expected to generate Rs 240 crore for MIAL.

Opportunities by way of real estate projects on Mumbai Airport land is mindblogging

The Mumbai International Airport is located on land measuring 1,976 acres, of which land to the extent of 10%, i.e. 197 acres, can be utilized for commercial development. MIAL plans to build 20mn square feet of commercial property on these 197 acres. The land has been given on a long-term lease of 30 years extendable by another 30 years contiguous to the concession agreement for the airport.

About 276 acres of land out of the total 1,976 acres of Mumbai Airport land is encroached by slums. This poses a significant obstacle to the upgrading of the airport as well as blocks of prime real estate. MIAL has recently awarded the slum rehabilitation contract to HDIL. This contract would entail no cash outflow for MIAL.

MIAL has around 100 acres of land under its control that it can use immediately for commercial development. Further, it has around 52 acres of land which is leased out that can be brought under development. So to develop the 197 acres of land, MIAL only needs ~45.6 acres of land to be freed from slums out of a total of 65 acres that it will get post rehabilitation.

Setting up another thermal power plant costing Rs 12,000-14,000 crore

GVK, which is setting up a 660 Mw thermal power project at Goindwal Sahib, Amritsar, at a project cost of about Rs 3,000 crore, has also plans to set up a thermal power plant at Talwandi Sabo (1,800 Mw) and another coal-based thermal power plant near Rajpura (1,200 Mw). These projects are likely to attract an investment of Rs 12,000-14,000 crore.

Good consolidated FY 2008

For the fiscal ended Mar ’08, the consolidated net revenue of GVKPIL increased 18% to Rs 469.99 crore. Revenue of power segment stood at Rs 320.49 crore, a rise of 17% and account for 69% of total sales. The revenue from roads was higher by 18% to Rs 136.86 crore (or 29% of sales) and that of others which includes the revenue from airports, investments and SEZ stood at Rs 12.63 crore (or 2% of total sales).

Operating profit stood declined by 7% to Rs 186.10 crore as the segment margin of power business shrunk by whopping 900 basis points to 11.2% (due to gas supply cosntraints). The segment margin of roads and others have expanded to 60.2% and 81.6% from 58.3% and 52.5% respectively. The segment profit of power business declined by 35% to Rs 35.88 crore. While the segment PBIT of roads and others was higher by 22% (to Rs 82.42 crore) and 117% (to Rs 10.30 crore).

Other income was higher by 152% to Rs 62.16 crore and PBIDT was higher by 10% to Rs 248.26 crore. The interest cost was lower by 34% to Rs 41.37 crore and similarly the depreciation was lower by 4% to Rs 77.57 crore. EO income was Rs 58 lakh compared to Rs 40 lakh in the corresponding previous period. Thus the PBT after EO was higher by 57% to Rs 128.74 crore. The taxation was higher by 4% to Rs 23.85 crore thus leaving the PAT before minority interest and share on P/L from associates at Rs 104.89 crore, a rise of 84%. Share of profits from associates was higher by 21% to Rs 40.67 crore and minority interest was lower by 69% to Rs 10.09 crore. Finally the net profit was higher by 134% to Rs 135.47 crore.

Increasing stake in subsidaries

GVKPIL has increased its stake in the following subsidiaries thus making all of them as its wholly owned subsidiaries effective Feb 1, ’08. They are - 1.Alaknanda Hydro Power Company - Previous Holding: 99.97% - Current Holding: 100% 2. Name of the Subsidiary: GVK Power (Goindwal Sahib) - Previous Holding: 98.60% - Current Holding: 100% 3. Name of the Subsidiary: GVK Coal (Tokisud) Company - Previous Holding: 99.00% - Current Holding: 100% 4. Name of the Subsidiary: GVK Airport Developers - Previous Holding: 99.00% - Current Holding: 100% 5. Name of the Subsidiary: Goriganga Hydro Power - Previous Holding: 99.00% - Current Holding: 100% 6. Name of the Subsidiary: GVK Aviation - Previous Holding: 99.50% - Current Holding: 100% 7. Name of the Subsidiary: GVK Infratech - Previous Holding: 99.00% Current Holding: 100%.

The company has incorporated GVK Energy effective Feb 18, ’08. The name of the company was subsequently changed into GVK Oil & Gas.

Valuation

In FY 2009 we expect the company to register sales and net profit of Rs 950.65 crore and Rs 221.20 crore respectively. On equity of Rs 140.58 crore and face value of Re 1 per share, EPS works out to Rs 1.6. The share price trades at Rs 53. P/E works out to 33.

GVK Power & Infrastructure: Financials

 

 

0703 (12)

0803 (12)

0903 (12P)

Sales

398.60

469.99

950.65

OPM (%)

50.4

39.6

30.0

OP

201.06

186.10

285.20

Other inc.

24.68

62.16

84.45

PBIDT

225.74

248.26

369.65

Interest

62.70

41.37

49.95

PBDT

163.04

206.89

319.70

Dep.

80.55

77.57

100.00

PBT before EO

82.49

129.32

219.70

EO

0.40

0.58

0.00

PBT After EO

82.09

128.74

219.70

Tax

24.96

23.85

39.55

PAT

57.13

104.89

180.15

Share of profit from Assoc.

33.64

40.67

51.15

Minority Interest

32.76

10.09

10.1

Net Profit

58.01

135.47

221.20

EPS (Rs)*

0.4

1.0

1.6

* Annualised on current equity of Rs 140.58 crore.
Face Value: Rs 1
# EPS cannot be annualised due to the seasonality in business
Var. (%) exceeding 999 has been truncated to 999
LP: Loss to Profit PL: Profit to Loss;
EO: Extraordinary items
EPS is calculated after excluding EO and relevant tax
Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

GVK Power & Infrastructure: Segment results

 

Segment Revenue

0803 (12)

0703 (12)

Var. (%)

% to total

Power

320.49

273.83

17

69

Roads

136.86

115.8

18

29

Others

12.63

9.04

40

2

Total

469.98

398.67

18

100

Add: Unallocable sales

0

0

 

 

Net sales

469.98

398.67

 

 

PBIT

 

 

 

 

Power

35.88

55.26

-35

43

Roads

82.42

67.49

22

53

Others

10.3

4.75

117

4

Total

128.6

127.5

 

100

Less: Interest

29.6

59.35

 

 

Add: unallocable income (net)

29.75

13.96

 

 

PBT

128.75

82.11

 

 

Capital Employed

 

 

 

 

Power

1827.15

1450.23

26

185

Roads

570.25

604.39

-6

77

Others

157.75

5.34

2854

0.68

Unallocable

-192.7

-1276.84

-85

-163

Total CE

2362.45

783.12

202

100

Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

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DG - Friday Telefolio : Kennametal India : May 09

 

Kennametal India

Has metallic strength

An MNC subsidiary, this machine tool major caters to auto and auto related industries, light and general engineering industries

Buy

Kennametal India

BSE Code

505890

NSE Code

Not listed

Bloomberg

KNM@IN

Reuter

WIDI.BO

52-week High/Low

Rs 674 / Rs 236

Current Price

Rs 273 (as on 09th May 2008)


Kennametal India (KIL), part of Kennametal Inc, USA is a pioneer in metal cutting and forming business. It manufactures machine tools, hard metal & hard metal products, engineered products and mining compacts. The main user industries of its products are Automobiles, Mining, Engineering, Defence, etc. Besides products, the company also provides total manufacturing solutions to the customers.

The company caters to the needs of auto and auto related industries, light and general engineering industries etc., and seeks to provide a competitive edge to its customers through total manufacturing solutions.

Broadly, the business of company is organised and managed in two segments Hard metal & hard metal products and Machine Tools. Apart from the above two primary business segments, the secondary segmental reporting is on the basis of the geographical locations of the customers, viz., domestic and international.

Roboust performance- March quarter PAT up 65%, nine month PAT up 40%

For the quarter ended March 2008, net sales have increased 5% to Rs 93.83 crore. OPM that expanded by a solid 850 basis points to 24.4% lifted operating profit by 61% to Rs 12.59 crore.

PBT was up 62% to Rs 19.80 crore and after providing for taxation (up 56% to Rs 6.56 crore) PAT zoomed 65% to Rs 13.24 crore.

For nine months ended March 2008, KWIL has registered a net sales of Rs 281.13 crore, a rise of 8%. Spurred by 600 basis point expansion in OPM, operating profit surged ahead by 47% to Rs 62.95 crore.

PBT was up 37% to Rs 56.91 crore and after providing for taxation (up 31% to Rs 19.10 crore) PAT zoomed 40% to Rs 37.81 crore.

Will continue to benefit from the capex upturn

Kennametal India is a leading player. With its wide range of products and services, it is rightly positioned to capitalise on the pick up in investment in industries as well as infrastructure sectors.

Good economic growth over the past few years and lack of any major expansion in most of the industries has lead to most of the manufacturing sector working at near full capacity utilisation. This has lead to pick up in investment in fixed assets to expand and modernise capacities to cater to future growth in demand. Notably, huge investment projects are lined up in the mining, manufacturing and the infrastructure sector, which has lead to massive expansions by Steel companies, Indian Railways, Mining Equipment companies, Material handling equipment companies, Cement companies, Sugar companies, Paper companies, Continuous process industry companies, High speed heavy duty turbines manufacturers (used in power plants) and Oilfield companies.

Strong parent

US-based Kennametal has 88.16% stake in the company. It must be recalled that Kennametal acquired from Milacron Inc. USA, Widia businesses worldwide including Widia Germany in August 2002. By acquiring Widia Germany and consequently Meturit A.G., which held 76.68% of the equity share capital of the company, Kennametal gained indirect control of the company. According to SEBI rules, Kennametal made open offer to the public shareholders to acquire balance 23.32% stake of the company. The offer closed in February 2003. Currently Kennametal, itself and through its subsidiaries hold 88.16% stake in the company.

Reaping the benefits of past restructuring

The company is making a significant progress in both the manufacturing and non-manufacturing areas. Under this initiative, to enhance operational efficiency and competitiveness, many improvement projects were completed that helped improve productivity. The focused thrust given to this initiative enabled the company to meet the customers' needs in a more timely and efficient manner. Various medium and small operational improvement projects were carried out apart from some major lean projects, which resulted in significant savings. The management is confodent that the company should continue the good work that has been done in the past on process improvements and cost reduction.

Valuation

KWIL has an equity share capital of Rs 21.98 crore and face value is Rs 10 per share. We expect the company to register sales and net profit of Rs 383.88 crore and Rs 53.67 crore in FY ending June 2008. On equity of Rs 21.98 crore and face value of Rs 10 per share, EPS works out to Rs 24.4. The share trades around Rs 273. P/E works out to just 11.2. By then thebook value will also cross Rs 100 mark. Being a major player in machine tools industry with good growth prospects and 88.16% controlled by a major MNC in this field, the company deserves better discounting.

Kennametal India: Financials

 

 

0606 (12)

0706 (12)

0806 (12P)

Sales

320.86

357.22

383.88

OPM (%)

19.1

18.2

22.8

OP

61.24

64.96

87.61

Other inc.

16.35

13.43

9.85

PBIDT

77.59

78.39

97.46

Interest

0.56

0.47

0.30

PBDT

77.03

77.92

97.16

Dep.

12.54

13.07

16.07

PBT

64.49

64.85

81.09

EO

3.77

0.00

0.00

PBT after EO

68.26

64.85

81.09

Tax

24.40

22.60

27.42

PAT

43.86

42.25

53.67

EPS* (Rs)

18.9

19.2

24.4

* Annualised on current equity of Rs 21.98 crore.
Face Value: Rs 10
(P): Projections
EO: Extraordinary items
EPS is calculated after excluding
EO and relevant tax
Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

Kennametal India: Results

 

 

0803 (3)

0703 (3)

Var. (%)

0803 (9)

0703 (9)

Var. (%)

0706 (12)

0606 (12)

Var. (%)

Sales

93.83

89.31

5

281.13

260.29

8

357.22

320.86

11

OPM (%)

24.4

15.9

 

22.4

16.4

 

18.2

19.1

 

OP

22.90

14.19

61

62.95

42.75

47

64.96

61.24

6

Other inc.

1.04

1.48

-30

6.10

8.74

-30

13.43

16.35

-18

PBIDT

23.94

15.67

53

69.05

51.49

34

78.39

77.59

1

Interest

0.07

0.10

-30

0.23

0.37

-38

0.47

0.56

-16

PBDT

23.87

15.57

53

68.82

51.12

35

77.92

77.03

1

Dep.

4.07

3.33

22

11.91

9.60

24

13.07

12.54

4

PBT

19.80

12.24

62

56.91

41.52

37

64.85

64.49

1

EO

0.00

0.00

--

0.00

0.00

--

0.00

3.77

-100

PBT after EO

19.80

12.24

62

56.91

41.52

37

64.85

68.26

-5

Tax

5.12

3.82

34

18.42

14.18

30

20.90

19.66

6

Deferred Tax

1.44

0.39

269

0.68

0.38

79

1.70

4.74

-64

PAT

13.24

8.03

65

37.81

26.96

40

42.25

43.86

-4

EPS* (Rs)

 #

 #

 

 #

 #

 

19.2

18.9

 

* Annualised on current equity of Rs 21.98 crore.
Face Value: Rs 10
(P): Projections
Var. (%) exceeding 999 has been truncated to 999
LP: Loss to Profit
PL: Profit to Loss
EO: Extraordinary items
EPS is calculated after excluding EO and relevant tax
#: EPS cannot be calculated due to deasonality in business
Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

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