Sensex

Thursday, January 03, 2008

$$ DreamGains !! $$ Wednesday Telefolio : Zenith Infotech

 

Zenith Infotech

Performance will scale new zenith

With a well-established product in the fast growing remote IT infrastructure management, the company is set for a non-linear growth

Buy

Zenith Infotech

BSE Code

532298

NSE Code

ZENITHINFO

Bloomberg

ZNI@IN

Reuter

ZINF.BO

52-week High/Low

Rs 594 / 227

Current Price

Rs 431 (as on 2nd January 2008)

Zenith Infotech (ZIL) is a niche company focusing on remote IT infrastructure management, and banking software and branch automation products and services. The company has got huge success in remote IT infrastructure management, a business that is expected to drive the company’s growth, going forward. ZIL employs more than 600 people for its Indian and international operations, with sales and support offices in Fremont, Pittsburgh and Singapore. The company’s R&D and network operations center (NOC) is at Mumbai.

The company’s business can be bifurcated into two segments-Remote IT infrastructure management and Banking software and branch automation business.

Established product in the fastest growing IT industry segment: Remote IT infrastructure management

ZIL has developed SAAZ, a virtual IT management service for maintenance of desktops and servers on remote surveillance. The company invested over Rs300 mn and deployed a team of 125 software professionals to develop SAAZ over a period of four years. SAAZ is a complete IT infrastructure management product that can remotely manage and monitor desktops, servers, applications, and network devices at customer sites via the internet in a highly secure fashion. SAAZ can predict problems, deploy software and patches, and can carry out inventory of IT assets. In the domestic market, the company’s revenues are generated through a one-time license sale and annual maintenance contracts. Currently, ZIL has 140 customers in India.

After extensive testing and successful client installations in India, ZIL launched SAAZ in the U.S. in May 2004. The software was launched through managed service providers (MSPs) with a recurring revenue model; under this model, clients are charged on per user, per month basis. MSPs are software and hardware resellers that provide system maintenance support to SMEs. The MSPs use SAAZ to reduce maintenance costs and boost services revenues by delivering managed services on real time basis. Uptime and quality are the main differentiators between the MSPs with SAAZ and other MSPs.

ZIL delivers SAAZ as hosted software from the data centers in Fremont and Pittsburgh on customer’s desktops, servers, and networks. SAAZ is remotely managed by 280 people deployed at the NOC in Mumbai via the internet, a backend monitoring and maintenance setup. ZIL’s NOC service helps MSPs scale their managed service business without investing in building a large NOC and hiring a large group of technical people. In this manner, while ZIL delivers virtual NOC services seamlessly and transparently through the MSPs to the end client, the MSPs get a back-end service that is low cost, predictable, and of high quality.

Globally, IBM (Tivoli), HP (Open View), and CA (Unicentre) are three big players in the software development space; each of these companies generates revenues in excess of $1bn annually from their respective IT infrastructure management divisions. These players developed enterprise level software products for large corporations, typically with more than 2000 users. SMEs with 25-1000 users cannot afford the heavy license fees charged by the big players. ZIL fills up this vacuum as SAAZ essentially caters to the SME segment. There are more than 2,00,000 SMEs in the U.S., Canada, and Europe, with an installed base of approximately 62 mn computers; this translates into huge business opportunities for companies such as ZIL.

In April 2006, ZIL had 128 MSPs and 66,000 installations and in December 2006 it had risen to 1,15,000 installations with about 450 MSPs. In FY 2007 it is estimated to have secured 600 MSPs and 1,50,000 installations. Sensing the growth potential in this market, ZIL has strengthened its U.S sales team. The company has been incurring huge costs on marketing. For ramping up its MSP base significantly, the company has aggressive marketing plans during the next few quarters.

Alliance with Intel to add substantial value

Zenith Infotech has also entered into a 'Software License and Distribution Agreement' with Intel Corporation. Under this agreement Intel will bundle the company's software named 'SAAZ' with the PC/Desktop Mother Boards manufactured by Intel on a revenue sharing basis.

Intel will also help the company for promoting its software product 'SAAZ' and the Remote Management Services to its SMB enterprises and their distribution customers.

ZIL’s association with Intel has enhanced the credibility for SAAZ business. This association also offers ZIL an opportunity to ramp up its MSP base in Intel’s existing channel partners.

SAAZ has buoyant outlook

With many Indian companies looking to buy infrastructure management products for maintaining their ever-growing complex networks, ZIL clearly has a great opportunity to widen the installed base. Another factor that could work in ZILS’s favour is the ever growing number of Indian MSPs looking to tap global markets for providing infrastructure management services. The company knows the importance of MSPs in growing the brand and is formulating a plan to sign alliances with the major players. While the past period has seen ZIL build up an impressive list of reference customers, the management believes that the company will see huge growth going forward as more and more Indian MSPs seek global markets for providing infrastructure management services.

ZIL has competitive advantage in the SME space as it provides remote IT infrastructure software with back-end NOC. Though there are players who have develop IT infrastructure management software, they give software on license fee basis. ZIL’s NOC acts as an entry barrier for any other competitor that intends to offer such solutions. Besides, the company is bundling new features like anti- virus, disaster recovery, and back up facilities; this would make its service offering comprehensive and difficult to compete for any potential competition.

ZIL is looking out for space to build a bigger NOC. For this expansion, the company plans to incur a capex of Rs 36 crore in FY08.

Banking software and branch automation business focussed on small banks

ZIL’s banking products mainly focus on the IT needs of the cooperative, rural, and semi-urban banks. It offers a branch banking product for computerisation of an individual branch and also to integrate an individual branch with core banking solutions. The company provides complete solutions to the branch, including hardware, software, and after sales services. The company has completed automation of 3600 branches for 114 customers.

The future growth in this business will be mainly driven by maintenance revenues. Moreover, in the current client base, close to 6000 branches are non/partially computerised, offering a large business opportunity for ZIL. The company is also likely to generate revenues from upgrading its client base to core banking product. Moreover, healthy growth in new client base and change in regulations leading to increasing technology spending by banks would drive the growth in ZIL’s revenues.

The business is also likely to see improved profitability because the company is likely to enhance its focus on the high-margin maintenance and software part of the business.

Soaring financials

For the quarter ended September 2007, the company registered sales growth of 78% to Rs 26.68 crore. OPM improved from 54.4% to 54.9%. This took OP up by 80% to Rs 14.66 crore. Other income rose from Rs 4 lakh to Rs 38 lakh. Even as interest cost soared (up 1192% to Rs 1.55 crore) and depreciation zoomed (138% to Rs 3.66 crore), PBT went up by a good 51% to Rs 9.83 crore. As provision for tax gained 35% to Rs 58 lakh, PAT went up by a solid 52% to Rs 9.25 crore.

For the six months ended September 2007, the company registered sales growth of 79% to Rs 50.23 crore. OPM improved from 54.5% to 55.3%. This took OP up by 81% to Rs 27.78 crore. Other income rose from Rs 4 lakh to Rs 38 lakh. Even as interest cost soared (up 776% to Rs 2.54 crore) and depreciation zoomed (171% to Rs 6.73 crore), PBT went up by a good 48% to Rs 17.39 crore. As provision for tax jumped 81% to Rs 1.50 crore, PAT went up by a solid 48% to Rs 17.39 crore.

Impressive sequential growth

Though the company’s financials cannot be compared sequentially as it is domestic focused, it has been successful in registering a good double digit growth in sales and as well as net profit in the last four quarters.

It registered sequential sales growth of 20% (to Rs 18 crore) in December 2006 quarter. In March 2007 quarter, sales grew sequentially by 12% (to Rs 20.10 crore). In June 2007 quarter, it registered sequential sales growth of 17% (to Rs 23.55 crore). And in the latest quarter ended September 2007, its sales grew 13% to Rs 26.68 crore. During the same time, its net profit sequentially rose 7% (to Rs 6.54 crore), 9% (to Rs 7.14 crore), 14% (to Rs 8.14 crore, and 14% (to Rs 9.25 crore).

Attractive valuation

In FY 2008, we expect the company to register sales and net profit of Rs 109.44 crore and Rs 39.10 crore, respectively. On equity of Rs 11.79 crore and face value of Rs 10 per share, EPS works out to Rs 33.2.

In FY 2009 we expect the company to register sales and net profit of Rs 148.18 crore and Rs 54.53 crore respectively. EPS works out to Rs 46.3. The share price trades at Rs 431. While P/E on FY 2008 EPS works out to just 13.0, it falls to an attractive 9.3 on FY 2009 EPS. Being a fast growing product-oriented company focussed on one of the fastest segments of the IT industry (remote IT infrastructure management) with significant presence in domestic market as well as established global alliances, ZIL’s current valuations are attractive.

Zenith Infotech: Financials

 

 

0503 (12)

0603 (12)

0703 (12)

0803 (12P)

0903 (12P)

Sales

21.91

35.37

66.97

109.44

148.18

OPM (%)

19.3

34.5

54.1

55.3

55.8

OP

4.23

12.22

36.25

60.52

82.74

Other inc.

0.30

0.12

0.14

0.58

0.78

PBIDT

4.53

12.34

36.39

61.10

83.53

Interest

0.10

0.17

3.67

6.04

7.85

PBDT

4.43

12.17

32.72

55.06

75.67

Dep.

0.46

0.56

5.02

13.08

17.66

PBT

3.97

11.61

27.70

41.98

58.02

Tax

0.39

0.87

1.67

2.89

3.48

PAT

3.58

10.74

26.03

39.10

54.53

EPS* (Rs)

3.0

9.1

22.1

33.2

46.3

*Annualised on current equity of Rs 11.79 crore.
Face Value: Rs 10
EPS is calculated after EO and relevant tax
EO: Extraordinary items
Figures in Rs crore; (P): Projections
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

Zenith Infotech: Results

 

 

0709 (3)

0609 (3)

Var. (%)

0709 (6)

0609 (6)

Var. (%)

0703 (12)

0603 (12)

Var. (%)

Sales

26.68

14.96

78

50.23

28.12

79

66.97

35.37

89

OPM (%)

54.9

54.4

 

55.3

54.5

 

54.1

34.5

 

OP

14.66

8.14

80

27.78

15.33

81

36.25

12.22

197

Other inc.

0.38

0.04

850

0.38

0.04

850

0.14

0.12

17

PBIDT

15.04

8.18

84

28.16

15.37

83

36.39

12.34

195

Interest

1.55

0.12

1192

2.54

0.29

776

3.67

0.17

2059

PBDT

13.49

8.06

67

25.62

15.08

70

32.72

12.17

169

Dep.

3.66

1.54

138

6.73

2.48

171

5.02

0.56

796

PBT

9.83

6.52

51

18.89

12.60

50

27.70

11.61

139

Tax

0.58

0.43

35

1.50

0.83

81

1.67

0.87

92

PAT

9.25

6.09

52

17.39

11.77

48

26.03

10.74

142

EPS* (Rs)

31.4

20.7

 

29.5

20.0

 

22.1

9.1

 

*Annualised on current equity of Rs 11.79 crore.
Face Value: Rs 10
EPS is calculated after EO and relevant tax
EO: Extraordinary items
Figures in Rs crore; (P): Projections
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

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$$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated January 03, 2008

 

 

From: The Sharekhan Research Team [mailto:marketwatch@research.sharekhan.com]
Sent: 03 January 2008 19:09
To: The Sharekhan Research Team
Subject: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated January 03, 2008

 

 

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January 03, 2008

 

Index Performance

Index

Sensex

Nifty

Open

20,403.91

6,184.25

High

20,519.70

6,230.15

Low

20,293.87

6,126.40

Today's Cls

20,345.20

6,178.55

Prev Cls

20,465.30

6,179.40

Change

-120.10

-0.85

% Change

-0.59

-0.01

 

Market Indicators

Top Movers (Group A)

Company

Price 
(Rs)

%
chg

Gainers

GIPCL

173.90

19.97

Moser Baer

337.85

11.41

NTPC

276.70

7.56

HPCL

399.45

6.75

Neyveli Lignite

267.70

6.67

Losers

Indo Rama Synthetics

73.05

-5.56

Spice Tele

63.20

-5.46

FDC

49.55

-4.99

Mirc Electronics

36.10

-4.87

Castrol India

330.60

-4.75

Market Statistics

-

BSE

NSE

Advances

1,612

503

Declines

1,322

689

Unchanged

20

11

Volume(Nos)

84.27cr

88.96cr

 Market Commentary 

Sensex dips on US recession fears

Renewed fears of recession in US triggered major sell-off in Asian markets; mirroring the same the Sensex shed 120 points for the day.

Renewed fears that the US economy might enter into recession after the announcement of weak US manufacturing data followed   

 

by record oil prices triggered major sell-off in major Asian markets. Oil reached a record $100 a barrel on Wednesday and gold soared to its all-time high of $861 an ounce. Mirroring the same the Sensex had a gap-down opening at 20,404. However, the Sensex shrugged off the global weakness and bounced back from its early lows with oil & gas and power stocks in lead. The Sensex touched the day's high of 20,520 by mid-morning trades. But, the market gave up its gains due to profit booking in heavyweights, consumer durables, information technology and pharma stocks. As trading progressed the Sensex lost its strength and slipped into the negative territory to touch the day's low of 20,294. The Sensex pared some losses towards the close, but sustained selling in index pivotal stocks kept the index in the negative territory. The Sensex finally closed the session by shedding 120 points at 20,345, while the Nifty ended on a flat note at 6,179.

Market breadth was slightly positive. Of the 2,954 stocks traded on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), 1,612 stocks advanced, 1,322 stocks declined and 20 stocks ended unchanged. All sectoral indices ended weak. BSE IT index dropped 1.96% at 4,364 followed by BSE CD index (down 1.94% at 6,765), BSE Bankex index (down 1.68% at 11,670) and BSE HC index (down 1.57% at 4,397). However, BSE Power index was the star performer and surged 3.17% at 4,806 followed by BSE PSU index (up 2.20% at 11,011) and the BSE Oil & Gas index (up 1.58% at 13,602). 

A steep fall in select heavyweights dragged the markets down. Grasim dropped 4.03% at Rs3,604, ICICI Bank tumbled 3.03% at Rs1,228, Wipro slumped 3.03% at Rs496, ITC shed 3.01% at Rs215, TCS declined 2.95% at Rs1,018, M&M fell 2.83% at Rs836,Satyam Computer lost 2.31% at Rs426 and Hindalco slipped by 2.12% at Rs213. However, select front-line counters attracted buying support. NTPC jumped 7.56% at Rs277, Reliance Energy surged 6.42% at Rs2,517, HLL moved up by 3.51% at Rs223, ONGC advanced 2.88% at Rs1,306 and Reliance Industries added 1.44% at Rs2,903.

Over 11.72 crore Burnpur Cement shares changed hands on the BSE followed by GV Films (3.16 crore shares), RNRL (2.58 crore shares), Reliance Petroleum (1.34 crore shares) and Ispat Industries (1.09 crore shares).

Valuewise, RNRL registered a turnover of Rs521 crore followed by Burnpur Cement (Rs462 crore), Reliance Energy (Rs395 crore), BGR Energy (Rs395 crore) and Reliance Petroleum (Rs313 crore).

European Indices at 16:30 IST on 03-01-2008

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

FTSE 100

6399.00

-17.70

-0.28

CAC 40 Index

5520.34

-30.02

-0.54

Dax Index

7891.50

-58.08

-0.73

Asian Indices at close on 03-01-2008

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

Hang Seng

26887.28

-673.24

-2.44

Kospi Composite

1852.73

-0.72

-0.04

Straits Times

3397.06

-64.16

-1.85

Jakarta Composite

2715.06

-16.44

-0.60

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$$ DreamGains !! $$ Financial Advisor 04th January 2008 (Friday) FULL COPY.

 

       Financial Advisor 04th January 2008 (Friday)

Services

-----
1. News Letter.
2. Intraday Trading Calls. 
3. Delivery Calls.
4. Futures & Options.
5. Trading Calls By SMS.

6. Trading Calls By YAHOO Messenger Id - fiadvisor
7. TREND Signals          (All F&O Charts Available - Updated Daily)

CHART OF THE DAY ( 1)

CHART OF THE DAY ( 2)

CHART OF THE DAY ( 3)

 

DAILY TRADING CALLS

Overview

 

The Most Recommended Stock Is In Stock Of The Day Section.

Buy If Breaks - Best To Trade When Stock Starts Trading Above From Recommended Price.
 
   
Buying Expecting Once SENSEX Starts Trading Above 20519. Till Then Be Stock Specific Only .

 

Market Indicators

 

Stock

Current Status

Major Support

Major Resistance

BSE-SENSEX

UP

18327, 17165, 16377

21255, 26285, 26827

NSE-NIFTY

UP

5418, 5065, 4883

7530, 7779, 7965

 

Stock Of The Day (Best Buy)

 

Stock

Buy Around

Target 1

Target 2

Stop Loss

AXIS BANK

IF BREAKS 1054

1100

1120

1040

BIRLA CORP

IF BREAKS 343.50

351

355

340

DIVIS LABS

IF BREAKS 1930

2020

2050

1905

GMR INFRA

IF BREAKS 255

263

267

252

HANUNG TOYS

IF BREAKS 288

296

300

285

HERO HONDA

IF BREAKS 720

734

740

713

IDBI

IF BREAKS 177

183

186

174.50

IDFC

IF BREAKS 235

242

244

232

PUNJ LLOYD

IF BREAKS 585

600

610

581

Stock Of The Day (Best Sell)

IVRCL INFRA

IF BREAKS 555

546

542

559

RANABXY LABS

IF BREAKS 421

413

410

424.50

TRIVENI ENGG

IF BREAKS 174.50

167

164

177

WELSPUN GUJRAT

IF BREAKS 452

442

438

456

 

High Risk Buys

 

Stock

Buy Around

Target 1

Target 2

Stop Loss

TATA POWER

1550

1675

1700

1500

 

High Risk Sells

 

Stock

Sell Around

Target 1

Target 2

Stop Loss

.

.

.

.

.

 

TRENDSignals

Most Advance Technical Analysis Available Here TRENDSignals

Check It Out What TREND Signals Indicator Is Telling The Future Of Indian Stock Market?

Following Are The Two Scripts Voted By Members. 

Note:- TREND Signals Indicator Has Been Invented By Fi-Advisor.com. This Is Not For Investment Purpose. 
The Main Aim Of TREND Signals Is To Give An Idea When Trend is Going To Change.

Disclaimer

Stock Trading involves high risks and you can lose a substantial amount of money. The recommendations made herein do not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any of the securities mentioned. No representations can be made that the recommendations contained herein will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Readers using the information contained herein are solely responsible for their actions. Information is obtained from sources deemed to be reliable but is not guaranteed as to accuracy and completeness. The above recommendations are based on the theory of Technical Analysis and do not reflect the fundamental validity of the Scrip.

 

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