Sensex

Sunday, August 05, 2007

$$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: Weekly Newsletter KTP060807

Trade4Profit
KALPATARU
- Trade4Profit
C-106/B, KALKAJI, NEW DELHI - 110019 (INDIA)
Tel: 011-41601206/ 0-98111-11353
*2 Day Trading System in 'F&O' Scrips by SMS/Chat-Box/Wireless Sets
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*Daily Newsletters for Day-Traders & Investors
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Website - : www.trade4profit.org

06th August 2007

India's First Technical Analysts to provide Real-Time (Online) Trading Recommendations since 1998

* Attn. Day Traders / Swing Traders / Investors !
Do Not Mix-Up your Trading & Investment Strategies
Any Stock Bullish for Intra-Day may be Bearish in Short Term but again Bullish in
Medium Term Charts or Bearish for Long Term or Vice a Versa

(First Read the 'Disclaimer' - Click Here)

FTSE 100 Index !


* FTSE 100 Index !
At Crucial Support in Weekly Charts - Bearish Breakout may wipe Off another 200 Points

By continuing to read this Newsletter, you have read and agreed to the disclaimer posted at www.trade4profit.org

To Understand as how to intreperate the Newsletters - CLICK HERE

On-Line Recommendation Portfolio (+) 25665.33% in 105 Months
(Hypothetical Performance)

The "Rs.10 Lac-Portfolio" (+)1137.76% in 328 weeks
(Hypothetical Performance)

Important Support & Resistance Levels of Sensex/ Nifty / Nifty 'Near Month'

Index

Close

Change

3- DEMA

7- DEMA

Sup-2

Sup-1

Trend

Res-1

Res-2

5D-High

5D-Low

* BSE - SENSEX

15138.40

152.70

15115.40

15226.68

15008.71

15016.88

15145.01

15266.97

15357.69

15568.85

14896.47

* CNX BANK INDEX

6854.60

95.45

6807.06

6831.12

6762.93

6783.13

6851.77

6923.50

6975.26

6943.90

6609.75

* CNX IT INDEX

4886.05

56.55

4900.47

4979.44

4807.65

4828.60

4876.40

4934.06

4969.84

5094.25

4816.85

* CNX MIDCAP

6051.35

89.05

6023.53

6061.93

5969.20

5987.66

6036.38

6100.28

6134.08

6182.75

5910.90

* S&P CNX NIFTY

4401.55

45.20

4396.35

4435.94

4333.87

4351.26

4395.13

4445.60

4478.65

4534.20

4327.00

- NSE50 1 MONTH

4366.35

49.35

4358.42

4402.17

4321.16

4327.42

4363.08

4402.15

4427.02

4517.95

4200.00

Change in Indices in last 5 Days

Index

Close

L.Change

2DayBack

3DayBack

4DayBack

5DayBack

* BSE - 500 CO'S

5915.94

71.79

28.30

-247.35

113.40

7.44

* BSE - SENSEX

15138.40

152.70

49.93

-615.22

4DayBack

26.34

* CNX BANK INDEX

6854.60

95.45

121.80

-291.10

114.40

131.15

* CNX IT INDEX

4886.05

56.55

-79.80

-177.40

4DayBack

-46.00

* S&P CNX 500

3688.40

45.55

14.00

-155.00

115.40

-1.20

* S&P CNX NIFTY

4401.55

45.20

10.50

-183.00

88.80

-5.15

- CNX BANK INDEX - 1 M

6862.65

108.30

131.95

-334.05

118.20

119.00

- CNX IT - 1 MONTH

4870.05

48.45

-60.70

-189.95

56.90

-45.60

- NSE50 1 MONTH

4366.35

49.35

28.60

-219.75

107.90

-1.95

Gainers / Losers & Stocks with Spurt in Volume (Min Avg Volume >50000/Day)

Scrip

Close

L.Close

Change%

Scrip

Volume

3 Days Avg Volume

Vol Change (Times)

Gainers

Volume Toppers

ORBIT CORPORATION

366.00

335.90

8.96

OIL COUNTRY TUBU

874137

338910

2.58

IFCI LTD

60.70

56.50

7.43

J&K BANK

247576

106461

2.33

INDIABULLS FINANCIAL SERVICES

581.70

546.35

6.47

YES BANK

2208294

962728

2.29

ADANI ENTERPRISE

341.55

320.90

6.44

INDIAN OIL CORP

873371

399057

2.19

I-FLEX SOLUTIONS

2151.20

2029.25

6.01

DABUR (I)

2433036

1179284

2.06

TRIVENI ENGG

59.55

56.55

5.31

RAJESH EXPORTS

198286

109217

1.82

MPHASIS

303.50

288.40

5.24

SUN TV

572536

316544

1.81

PRISM CEMENT

56.90

54.15

5.08

ADANI ENTERPRISE

259262

167309

1.55

OIL COUNTRY TUBU

91.50

87.10

5.05

MATRIX LABS

377290

248104

1.52

ERA CONSTRUCTIONS (I)

522.85

497.95

5.00

VOLTAS LTD

6749101

4448266

1.52

DEVELOPMENT CREDIT BANK

104.60

99.90

4.70

POLARIS SOFTWARE

876963

603268

1.45

Losers

SHR RENUKA SUGARS

338412

234390

1.44

RAIN CALCING

40.30

41.85

-3.70

HIND OIL EXPLORA

262129

183122

1.43

SUN TV

378.80

388.05

-2.38

SRF LTD

495858

346842

1.43

MATRIX LABS

236.40

241.80

-2.23

UNITED SPIRITS

680175

477351

1.42

HIMACHAL FUTURIS

20.60

21.05

-2.14

INDIA INFOLINE

1196156

901166

1.33

JSW STEEL

680.25

693.75

-1.95

MINDTREE CONSULTING

86225

65771

1.31

RANBAXY LABS

366.05

372.50

-1.73

DR. REDDY'S LABS

621081

474270

1.31

MID-DAY MULTIMEDIA

43.45

44.15

-1.59

ROLTA (I)

447194

342761

1.30

POLARIS SOFTWARE

110.60

112.20

-1.43

PRAJ INDS

1269171

988164

1.28

DR. REDDY'S LABS

623.15

632.15

-1.42

ESCORTS LTD

708583

558848

1.27

HEXAWARE TECHNOL

121.10

122.80

-1.38

MARUTI UDYOG

850182

676089

1.26

Support/Resistance for Day Traders (06.08.2007)

We are giving below the Important Support and Resistance Levels of few most actively traded scrips of NSE/BSE (including F&O). Many Traders successfully use Support/ Resistance levels for day- trading. Traders are advised to read the Disclaimer and Rules for Successful trading & apply Stop Loss on all trades.
(Conditions - Avg Daily Volume in 5 days >250000)

Scrip

Close

Change

3- DEMA

7- DEMA

Sup-2

Sup-1

Trend

Res-1

Res-2

5D-High

5D-Low

ACC LTD

1004.35

24.50

998.82

1016.40

981.33

989.09

1007.78

1023.12

1039.38

1090.00

947.00

BAJAJ AUTO

2327.80

36.35

2315.10

2321.07

2281.80

2296.11

2320.93

2352.73

2371.85

2369.90

2177.90

BANK OF BARODA

296.20

4.85

294.03

295.08

289.85

291.92

296.55

300.85

304.76

302.00

282.00

BANK OF INDIA

245.55

3.00

245.63

249.61

239.37

241.54

245.95

249.97

253.78

268.40

234.05

BHARAT PETROLEUM

308.05

1.90

308.44

311.15

301.79

303.77

307.52

311.81

314.80

323.00

302.10

BHARTI AIRTEL

872.60

-1.15

875.09

885.35

858.41

862.24

876.20

886.61

898.44

905.00

851.15

BHEL

1723.05

20.60

1708.45

1704.25

1690.72

1700.44

1728.35

1751.07

1774.78

1752.00

1607.00

BONGAINGAON REFI

51.10

0.20

51.19

51.63

50.60

50.66

51.32

51.76

52.30

52.95

50.60

CANARA BANK

258.00

7.00

255.92

260.63

251.46

253.76

258.60

262.86

267.07

270.00

244.00

DR. REDDY'S LABS

623.15

-9.00

627.37

635.81

609.31

613.89

627.72

637.02

649.34

649.50

620.00

GAS AUTHORTY (I)

329.50

1.90

329.55

331.04

322.07

324.55

329.18

334.15

337.98

349.40

316.30

GUJ AMBUJA CEMEN

129.05

-1.40

129.48

129.74

126.01

127.05

129.68

131.70

134.02

135.65

121.10

HDFC BANK

1155.00

2.60

1159.77

1173.91

1125.93

1136.15

1154.00

1172.93

1187.96

1209.90

1121.05

HDFC LTD

1989.55

44.10

1970.69

1965.16

1911.60

1943.16

1993.52

2040.12

2085.72

2039.00

1861.00

HERO HONDA

655.45

3.20

659.60

670.89

636.15

643.35

655.48

667.63

678.17

704.00

624.80

HIND LEVER

205.40

3.80

204.02

203.36

201.32

202.59

204.55

207.37

208.82

220.00

199.00

HIND PETROLEUM

248.10

1.65

248.48

251.40

245.59

245.92

248.27

250.46

252.20

261.75

243.05

ICICI BANK

915.50

14.10

910.50

919.91

902.14

905.40

913.83

923.97

930.15

940.00

881.55

IDBI

108.15

2.35

107.60

108.77

105.59

106.47

108.02

109.71

110.99

113.35

104.00

IDFC

128.80

1.90

128.52

128.97

122.50

125.17

128.32

131.96

134.80

136.80

124.20

IFCI LTD

60.70

4.20

58.09

56.67

55.69

57.97

59.78

62.52

64.19

61.45

52.00

INFOSYS TECHNOLO

1916.65

17.45

1922.60

1944.73

1891.90

1897.11

1912.78

1932.39

1943.33

2035.00

1892.50

ITC LTD

169.75

1.95

168.88

167.29

166.21

167.35

170.23

172.65

175.12

176.00

164.30

JAIPRAKASH ASSOC

826.50

22.35

817.27

818.82

801.63

810.98

823.48

839.06

849.55

842.00

761.00

JET AIRWAYS

734.60

27.35

723.14

726.94

702.06

715.61

728.20

747.26

758.09

744.00

696.00

LARSEN & TOUBRO

2520.15

31.65

2510.06

2508.07

2491.81

2496.54

2527.40

2551.11

2575.77

2630.00

2370.40

LIC HOUSING FIN

185.45

0.95

184.94

187.25

183.68

183.87

186.12

187.70

189.49

198.50

180.00

MAHANAGAR TELEPH

143.10

1.05

143.75

147.47

139.47

140.75

144.05

146.42

149.37

152.40

141.50

MAHINDRA & MAHIN

678.35

2.50

688.48

719.15

662.05

667.66

684.02

694.77

709.49

788.10

669.30

MARUTI UDYOG

850.65

18.35

841.18

836.20

820.10

832.21

845.15

863.65

874.53

860.00

806.10

MPHASIS

303.50

15.10

292.91

284.38

286.87

294.06

300.40

309.87

315.49

306.00

246.30

ONGC CORPN

884.40

7.90

886.07

895.37

872.26

875.02

883.58

892.99

899.38

919.00

872.25

ORIENTAL BANK

232.00

4.65

229.52

232.47

226.59

228.43

232.00

235.59

238.60

240.70

219.35

POLARIS SOFTWARE

110.60

-1.60

113.48

118.68

105.68

107.73

111.20

114.08

117.29

125.40

108.60

RANBAXY LABS

366.05

-6.45

369.69

369.23

352.36

357.84

369.37

377.63

388.29

392.70

362.05

RELIANCE CAPITAL

1159.55

40.70

1148.35

1164.57

1118.52

1134.72

1151.98

1176.90

1191.35

1212.70

1100.00

RELIANCE COMM

548.00

6.40

544.91

548.52

533.32

538.62

546.93

556.35

563.34

562.50

527.00

RELIANCE ENERGY

755.00

2.20

755.94

756.87

737.59

743.47

759.67

771.26

785.63

874.90

730.00

RELIANCE INDS

1801.15

0.60

1810.76

1833.92

1773.22

1780.44

1811.85

1832.67

1859.69

1901.80

1791.20

SATYAM COMPUTER

472.50

6.60

471.50

475.60

465.22

467.10

471.73

477.16

480.63

487.50

462.30

STATE BANK

1635.75

42.95

1608.23

1589.84

1594.46

1609.00

1632.72

1659.57

1679.30

1652.40

1509.80

STEEL AUTHORITY

148.55

4.65

147.03

148.28

143.56

145.50

147.78

150.84

152.76

151.40

142.65

STERLITE INDS (I)

630.90

9.85

629.34

635.45

587.38

606.81

623.67

647.85

663.22

665.00

601.10

SUZLON ENERGY

1243.10

12.75

1239.92

1275.42

1219.97

1226.89

1243.48

1259.76

1273.31

1308.00

1190.00

SYNDICATE BANK

79.95

0.10

80.16

81.35

78.22

78.79

80.47

81.64

83.12

85.90

78.00

TATA MOTORS

656.35

4.55

662.80

683.75

642.79

647.11

660.87

670.15

682.32

720.50

646.60

TATA POWER COMP

696.25

-0.05

700.06

701.48

681.22

686.13

701.40

711.57

725.16

743.30

685.50

TATA STEEL

652.35

12.75

646.41

654.64

635.90

641.69

649.05

659.75

665.51

675.00

621.05

TCS

1096.90

1.75

1105.80

1125.09

1069.88

1079.30

1098.00

1115.68

1131.72

1170.00

1083.10

UNION BANK

145.00

1.75

145.69

148.84

141.77

142.84

145.80

147.97

150.58

162.90

140.70

VSNL

452.75

10.35

450.56

455.70

438.80

444.09

451.55

460.25

466.61

463.00

440.00

WIPRO LTD

470.20

8.05

472.35

482.23

435.45

451.07

481.05

500.30

529.22

509.90

460.30

ZEE TELEFILMS

312.05

1.85

313.49

319.84

306.91

308.31

313.02

316.77

320.72

334.00

299.00

Bar Reversal Up/ Down, Engulfing in Daily Chats (Min Avg Volume >100000/Day)

Scrip

Scrip

Scrip

Scrip

Bar-Up

Bar-Dn

Eng-Bull

Eng-Bear

TCS

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK

IDFC

DR. REDDY'S LABS

IDFC

POWER FINANCE CORP

CIPLA LTD

RANBAXY LABS

HDFC BANK

INDIA CEMENTS

WOCKHARDT LTD

ROLTA (I)

STERLITE INDS (I)

DR. REDDY'S LABS

 

MATRIX LABS

HCL TECHNOLOGIES

BHARTI AIRTEL

 

HAVELLS INDIA

SESA GOA

RANBAXY LABS

 

 

ESCORTS LTD

GITANJALI GEMS

 

 

TV 18

TATA POWER COMP

 

 

ORCHID CHEM

GREAT EASTERN SHIPPING

 

 

ANDHRA SUGARS

MINDTREE CONSULTING

 

 

 

DECCAN AVIATION

 

 

What the Charts Foretell
(FOR Short Term Investors)


* NIFTY/ SENSEX !

Nifty - Targets of Technical Rally NOT Achieved - Use Intraday Declines to Buy for 1-2 Days
Select Banks and Mid-Cap IT Stocks ready for Another Upmove in coming Days

* IFCI !
Bulllish braeakout in short term charts -Use corrective decline towards 58 for buying with target 69+

* LANCO INFRA !
Strong resistance around 264-Move above this resistance will target 300 in coming weeks

* GMR INFRA !
Likely to face resistance around 850 -Book part profit to re-enter at lower levels

* RELIANCE INDS !

Strong support around 1798-Bearish breakout with volumes will target 1740-1751

* ORBIT CORP !
Bullish pattern in making-Another colse above 370 will target 425 in few sessions

* STATE BANK !
Moves above the crucial resistance 1625-Another close above 1625 will target 1700 in short term

* TATA MOTORS !
Over slold in extreme short term charts-Technical recovery to 695+ in few days

* RANBEXY LAB .!
Bearish pattern in short term charts-Close below 365 will target 340 in few days

* KOTAK BANK .!
Short term charts in favor of decline to 740-Use pull back towards 765 for profit booking

* POLARIS SOFTWARE !
Highly oversold in daily cahrts technical reocvery targets of 135 maintained

* MARUTI UDYOG!
Short terrm resistance at 855 -Buy on bullish crosssover with SLof target of 890

* INFOSYS !
Heading for 1980 in few days -Buy on every decline with SL of 1980

* WWIL !
Mildly bullish in hourly charts -Another close above 58 will target 62-63 in few days

* ESSCORTS !
Technical recovery target of 100+ maintanied-Use decline to buy with SL

* MAH & MAH !
Over sold in extreme short term charts-Buy gradually with SL for taget of 700+

* CUMMINS INDIA !
Bullish breakout in daily charts -All set to cross 485 in few sessions

* SUN TV !
Extreme short term charts in favor of rise to 398 -400 -Buy with SL of 375

* SRF LTD !
All indicators favor rise to 154+in coming sessions-Buy gradually on declines with SL

*HIND OIL !
Short term indicators in favor of rise to 115-Buy on every decline with SL

* ADANI ENTERPRISES !
Bullish braeakout in daily charts -All indicators favor rise to 360 in few sessions

* A BIRLA NUVO !
Bullish pattern in making another -Close abvoe 1485 will target 1625 in few days

* TECH MAH !
Highly oversold in short term charts- Buy on every decline for target of 1404

* HEXAWARE !
Hourly charts in favor of rise to 135 -Buy on decline with SL of 115


Bulls & Bears (Technically Speaking)

Tata Motors (Daily)

State Bank of India (Daily)

Present Status Of The Market And Future Anticipation

Nifty/ Sensex: Anticipated High-Lows for the Week

Nifty: High -4,426 .44 – 4,428 .10 (optimistic 4,464 .12): Low   -4,289 .95 – 4,295 .80 (pessimistic 4,275 .35)
Sensex: High - 15,224 .00 – 15,235 .51 (optimistic 15,353 .62): Low  - 14,829 .55 – 14,850 .27 (pessimistic 14,731 .22)


PRESENT STATUS OF THE MARKET AND FUTURE ANTICIPATION: Last week indices behaved almost perfectly as far as anticipated highs – lows of the week were concerned – actual lows (4,327 .00 & 14,896 .77) hit almost BULLS EYE (or should we call it Bears Eye) as anticipated lows were 4,330 .81 & 14,842 .54 while highs were approx 0 .75 % higher than our anticipated booking levels; now indices should proceed towards 4,289 .95 – 4,295 .80 & 14,829 .55 – 14,850 .27 (pessimistic 4,275 .35 & 14,731 .22) and on rally up targets are 4,426 .44 – 4,428 .10 & 15,224 .00 – 15235 .51 & if indices do not go to pessimistic down levels (mentioned herein above) by Wednesday then rally targets might become 4,464 .12 & 15,353 .62.

Going further it is to be mentioned here that indices have not yet entered “INTERMEDIATE SELL MODE” & only if Sensex closes this week below 14,850 .27 with black candle while closing in lower half of the weekly candle, only then further lower levels (mentioned in last week’s weekly writeup) will become valid.

Other side of the story is that there are couple of leading indicators (numbers of which are not in majority) like RSI which before start of present fall did not give any negative divergences either in daily charts or in weekly charts giving indication that if indices do not enter into ‘intermediate sell mode’ in near future then these may make double / higher tops before these start final downward journey to targets mentioned in last week’s weekly writeup.

TODAY'S TREND: Full Day Down.

2) MEDIUM TERM TREND (INTERMEDIATE) :

It Continues Sideway.

Last week 150 scrips have closed lower as compared to 188 scrips in the preceding week (av. fall per scrip at 3 .72% is also lower than the av. fall per scrip of 5. 25% in the preceding week) & 78 scrips have closed higher as compared to 41 scrips in the preceding week (av. rise per scrip at 4 .60 % is also higher than the av. rise per scrip of 3 .99% in the preceding week) out of 250 scrips we follow regularly;

Last week’s A-D data is indicating that down move continues although at a slower pace

3) LONG TERM TREND (MAJOR) :

It continues up

4) REVIEW OF OUR 'ON - LINE RECOMMENDATIONS' OF LAST WEEK:

Last week on the buy side 24 trades were recommended involving positions equivalent to 55 .00 % of the capital (30 .00 % on delivery basis) and profit / loss booking was recommended in 18 trades (which included 1 trade of earlier weeks) involving positions equivalent to 26 .63 % of the capital (22.40 % on delivery basis).

In addition under the policy of ‘Sell First Buy Later’ 2 trades were recommended in ‘Nifty August Futures’ involving positions equivalent to 15 .00% of the capital & covering was recommended in both of the same trade involving positions equivalent to 13 .35 % of the capital

AVE POSITION PER BOOKED DEAL WORKS OUT TO BE = 2.72 % of the capital (our target is 5. 00%).
AVE PROFIT PER BOOKED DEAL WORKS OUT TO BE = 01.41% (our target is 3. 00 %).
BOOKED PROFIT ON THE CAPITAL = 00.77 % (our target is  2. 50%).

FRESH ADVISORY RECOMMENDATIONS
For Extreme Short Term Investors/ Intra-Day Traders
( First Read Disclaimer at www.trade4profit.org)

Note: It is always advisable to use Stop Loss with every Trade. The Stop Loss Level may
vary according to the Time Frame & Profit Margin for which any trade is being initiated.

BUYING

SELLING

Reco.
Date

Scrip

Reco. Type

Buy Around

Target

Reco. Date

Scrip

Reco. Type

Sell Around

Target

06.08.07 LITL Short Term If Moves>264+SL 300+ 06.08.07 Ranbaxy Short Term On Rally +SL 340
06.08.07 Orbit Corp Short Term On Declines+SL 425+ 06.08.07 Kotak Bank Short Term On Rally +SL 740
06.08.07 Adani Ent Short Term On Declines+SL 360+ 06.08.07 Reliance Ind. Short Term On Rally +SL 1740-1750
06.08.07 A Birla Nuvo Short Term If Moves>1480+SL 1625+          
06.08.07 M&M Short Term On Declines+SL 700+          

The Hypothetical "10 Lac-Portfolio" as on 06.08.2007

FRESH RECOMMENDATIONS
( First Read Disclaimer at www.trade4profit.org)

Important Disclosure - None of the promotoers/ associates/ employees of Trade4Profit OR
Kalpataru Investment Consultants has any position in any of the below advised stocks.

Recommendations for 06.08.2007

Opening Price is considered around close of previous day. Avoid BUYING if Prices open abnormally High and Avoid SELLING if prices open too low.

1). Tata Motors (Or Fut) : Buy 1000 Shares (500 at opening + 5x100 at Fall of every Rs2/- ) in ' Investment A/C' . Target 700+ Avg SL Rs15/-.
2). Adani Ent. :Buy 1500 Shares (700 at opening + 4x200 at Fall of every Rs1/- ) in ' Investment A/C' . Target 360+ Avg SL Rs12/-.
3).
Ranbaxy (Or Fut): Sell 1000 Shares (500 at opening + 5x100 at Rise of every Rs2/- ) in ' Trading A/C' . Target 345+ Avg SL Rs10/-.
4).
Kotak Bank (Or Fut): Sell 1000 Shares (500 at opening + 5x100 at Rise of every Rs3/- ) in ' Trading A/C' . Target 740+ Avg SL Rs15/-.

Hypothetical Performance of '10 Lac - Portfolio' in last 328 weeks

Upto Week No.

T.Gain/ Loss in portfolio

Change in the Week(s)

Remarks

0 (09.04.2001)

Nil

Nil

Initial Investment of Rs.10,00,000/- 

50

147.47

147.47%

 

100

184.46

36.99%

 

150

398.21

213.75%

 

200

501.32

103.11%

 

250

667.37

166.05%

 

300

953.87

286.50%

 

328 (05.08.2007)

1137.76

184.39%

 

Hypothetical Performance of '10 Lac - Portfolio' in last 328 weeks

 

 

From: Trade 4Profit [mailto:trade_4profit@yahoo.com]
Sent: 05 August 2007 23:57
To: kalpa_taru@hotmail.com; trade_4profit@hotmail.com
Subject: Weekly Newsletter KTP060807

 

 

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