Sensex

Friday, November 20, 2009

Re: Fw: [Technical-Investor] options data 1811

 

HI...SUNIL KALE HERE......

GOOD ANALYSIS.........
LAGE RAHO....BOLTE RAHO.......
THANX IN ADVANCE, BYE

--- On Fri, 20/11/09, Abhijit <ap19632000@yahoo.com> wrote:

From: Abhijit <ap19632000@yahoo.com>
Subject: Fw: [Technical-Investor] options data 1811
To: Technical-Investor@yahoogroups.com
Date: Friday, 20 November, 2009, 2:37 PM

 

Both, the 4900 ce and 5100 pe indicate that Nifty might not go below 4930- 50, and if at all it does, there will be a huge unwinding of longs.
 
Low today 4932.8...... .5050 as I type this.
 
Cheers,
 
AP
 
 
 
----- Original Message -----
From: Abhijit
Sent: Wednesday, November 18, 2009 10:04 PM
Subject: Re: [Technical-Investor ] options data 1811

 

There is another way of studying Options which is also equally successful in predicting the trend--- intra day charts of options.
 
Charts of Nov 4900 ce and 5100 pe attached.
 
The 4900 ce chart confirms what Vish has said - that upside is limited for now. Moreover, between yesterday and today, there were 6 tops at 113 for 5000 ce (yes, SIX tops).
 
The 4900 ce indicates that it has topped out for the short term and so has the Nifty.
 
However, the 5100 pe also says that downside is limited, and it has a good resistance at 125 - 128.
 
Both, the 4900 ce and 5100 pe indicate that Nifty might not go below 4930- 50, and if at all it does, there will be a huge unwinding of longs.
 
Cheers,
 
AP
----- Original Message -----
From: vish
Sent: Wednesday, November 18, 2009 7:41 PM
Subject: Re: [Technical-Investor ] options data 1811

 

Options with increase in OI
 
Ticker
Date/Time
close ch in Pr
volume
Open Int
ch in volume
ch in OI today
ch in OI % today
PE4800NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
10.75 (0.05)
5,619,300
7,580,550
1,123,600
1,312,300
20.94
PE5000NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
43.35 (0.90)
9,899,550
5,471,450
(2,092,100)
621,650
12.82
CE5100NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
41.60 (9.60)
9,024,550
4,367,200
(717,350)
369,250
9.24
PE4900NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
21.60 0.10
6,572,800
6,088,150
(479,850)
295,400
5.1
PE4900NIFTY1209
11/18/2009
100.15 (2.40)
611,900
1,093,700
317,300
294,950
36.93
CE5000NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
95.00 (11.30)
7,522,700
4,084,050
(2,239,200)
284,700
7.49
PE5100NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
85.15 0.35
5,007,300
2,082,150
1,312,750
212,700
11.38
PE5000NIFTY1209
11/18/2009
136.20 (1.20)
544,950
1,294,450
88,300
190,900
17.3
PE4000NIFTY0110
11/18/2009
20.15 (2.10)
144,000
159,300
107,400
113,400
247.06
CE5200NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
13.60 (5.35)
3,567,700
3,198,900
(558,200)
112,550
3.65
 
 
Options with decrease in OI
 
Ticker
Date/Time
close ch in Pr
volume
Open Int
ch in volume
ch in OI today
ch in OI % today
PE4500NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
1.85 (0.60)
1,320,500
3,880,900
376,150
(656,700)
-14.47
PE4400NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
1.40 (0.45)
594,500
2,333,700
13,900
(326,900)
-12.29
PE4600NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
2.55 (0.55)
1,861,100
4,008,050
305,650
(308,000)
-7.14
PE4700NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
5.05 (0.45)
2,002,450
5,440,050
(775,050)
(222,750)
-3.93
PE4200NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
1.05 (0.30)
267,350
1,079,100
26,400
(166,250)
-13.35
PE4100NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
0.95 (0.25)
171,600
666,650
36,350
(125,400)
-15.83
CE4900NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
172.00 (10.60)
756,900
2,458,750
(332,100)
(114,050)
-4.43
CE4800NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
260.85 (10.65)
318,550
2,064,050
(118,800)
(108,000)
-4.97
PE4300NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
1.20 (0.25)
235,700
1,785,700
26,850
(104,600)
-5.53
CE4800NIFTY0310
11/18/2009
492.80 18.20
100,050
54,100
100,000
(100,000)
-64.89

Max OI  in nifty options
Nifty Range is now 4800 to 5100  ( No change fr 4800-5100 on  Tuesday)
 
Ticker
Date/Time
close ch in Pr
volume
Open Int
ch in volume
ch in OI today
ch in OI % today
PE4800NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
10.75 (0.05)
5,619,300
7,580,550
1,123,600
1,312,300
20.94
PE4900NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
21.60 0.10
6,572,800
6,088,150
(479,850)
295,400
5.1
PE5000NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
43.35 (0.90)
9,899,550
5,471,450
(2,092,100)
621,650
12.82
PE4700NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
5.05 (0.45)
2,002,450
5,440,050
(775,050)
(222,750)
-3.93
CE5100NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
41.60 (9.60)
9,024,550
4,367,200
(717,350)
369,250
9.24
CE5000NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
95.00 (11.30)
7,522,700
4,084,050
(2,239,200)
284,700
7.49
PE4600NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
2.55 (0.55)
1,861,100
4,008,050
305,650
(308,000)
-7.14
PE4500NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
1.85 (0.60)
1,320,500
3,880,900
376,150
(656,700)
-14.47
CE5200NIFTY1109
11/18/2009
13.60 (5.35)
3,567,700
3,198,900
(558,200)
112,550
3.65
PE4500NIFTY1209
11/18/2009
28.10 (3.95)
540,250
2,654,300
312,400
87,350
3.4
 
FII & DII Turnover (BSE + NSE)
(Rs. crore)

FII DII
Trade Date Buy Sales Net Buy Sales Net
18/11/09 2,597.45 2,185.32 412.13 1,091.23 1,347.96 -256.73
17/11/09 2,376.47 1,913.05 463.42 931.18 1,166.72 -235.54
16/11/09 2,446.31 1,901.67 544.64 843.31 1,137.95 -294.64
Nov, 09 31,252.81 27,620.03 3,632.78 16,386.87 15,577.19 809.68
Since 1/1/09   * 520,186.99 498,371.04 21,815.95 270,927.07 246,333.80 24,593.27

FIIs buy DIIs sell!
 
Nifty data since 3/11/2009
 
Ticker
Date/Time
high
low
Range
^NSEI
11/3/2009
4,729.85
4,538.50
191.35
^NSEI
11/4/2009
4,717.80
4,565.00
152.80
^NSEI
11/5/2009
4,776.35
4,610.60
165.75
^NSEI
11/6/2009
4,836.20
4,764.85
71.35
^NSEI
11/9/2009
4,905.25
4,789.90
115.35
^NSEI
11/10/2009
4,947.70
4,860.10
87.60
^NSEI
11/11/2009
5,016.70
4,870.05
146.65
^NSEI
11/12/2009
5,014.40
4,924.75
89.65
^NSEI
11/13/2009
5,017.90
4,942.65
75.25
^NSEI
11/16/2009
5,073.20
4,994.00
79.20
^NSEI
11/17/2009
5,074.00
5,010.15
63.85
^NSEI
11/18/2009
5,079.30
5,041.65
37.65
 
If you observe the lows not a single day since 3rd Nov 2009, previous day low has been breached in spite of some selling pressure on some days during late hours. Higher high and higher low continues but the daily range is getting smaller.
 
cheers
vish
 


From: vish <vichooo_1999@ yahoo.com>
To: Technical-Investor@ yahoogroups. com
Sent: Tue, November 17, 2009 7:28:57 PM
Subject: Re: [Technical-Investor ] options data 1711

 

 
Options with increase in OI
 
Ticker
Date/Time
close
ch in Pr
volume
Open Int
ch in volume
ch in OI today
ch in OI % today
CE4900NIFTY1209
11/17/2009
273.05
(11.95)
1,185,600
1,466,700
1,073,550
908,050
162.54
PE5100NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
84.80
(11.60)
3,694,550
1,869,450
(214,250)
240,050
14.73
PE4800NIFTY1209
11/17/2009
76.35
(9.00)
772,400
1,470,750
494,000
238,050
19.31
CE5100NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
51.20
(7.80)
9,741,900
3,997,950
1,354,650
232,400
6.17
CE5000NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
106.30
(7.30)
9,761,900
3,799,350
3,993,750
223,700
6.26
CE5000NIFTY0310
11/17/2009
358.10
(18.90)
200,050
291,300
199,000
200,000
219.06
CE5200NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
18.95
(6.85)
4,125,900
3,086,350
619,950
182,550
6.29
PE5000NIFTY1209
11/17/2009
137.40
(10.70)
456,650
1,103,550
212,550
178,400
19.28
CE5200NIFTY1209
11/17/2009
112.05
(9.05)
391,100
1,141,200
155,950
134,300
13.34
CE5100NIFTY1209
11/17/2009
155.60
(11.25)
341,600
910,500
87,150
127,800
16.33
PE4500NIFTY0110
11/17/2009
63.00
(3.25)
113,950
121,350
112,950
112,750
1,311.05
CE5300NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
6.05
(3.50)
1,259,800
1,973,100
(43,450)
112,400
6.04
PE4600NIFTY1209
11/17/2009
41.95
(4.90)
284,600
1,509,800
(389,250)
111,100
7.94
PE4300NIFTY1209
11/17/2009
19.05
(2.75)
305,400
2,034,700
(77,000)
100,050
5.17
 
 
Options with decrease in OI

 

 

Ticker
Date/Time
close
ch in Pr
volume
Open Int
ch in volume
ch in OI today
ch in OI % today
PE4600NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
3.10
(3.15)
1,555,450
4,316,050
173,050
(345,850)
(7.42)
CE4800NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
271.50
(4.95)
437,350
2,172,050
23,850
(253,350)
(10.45)
CE4900NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
182.60
(5.15)
1,089,000
2,572,800
207,150
(227,850)
(8.14)
PE4900NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
21.50
(8.45)
7,052,650
5,792,750
1,125,650
(155,500)
(2.61)
PE4700NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
5.50
(4.70)
2,777,500
5,662,800
65,850
(155,400)
(2.67)
PE4500NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
2.45
(1.65)
944,350
4,537,600
(209,950)
(141,800)
(3.03)
PE4400NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
1.85
(1.30)
580,600
2,660,600
(319,150)
(101,500)
(3.67)
PE4200NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
1.35
(0.65)
240,950
1,245,350
3,500
(101,200)
(7.52)
CE4700NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
364.35
(4.45)
175,300
2,113,300
14,100
(79,700)
(3.63)
CE5400NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
2.35
(1.85)
386,000
1,119,600
(150,350)
(55,500)
(4.72)
 
Puts shorts are being covered. Prelude to a fall?
 

Max OI  in nifty options

Nifty Range is now 4800 to 5100  ( No change fr 4800-5100 on  Monday)

 

Ticker
Date/Time
close
ch in Pr
volume
Open Int
ch in volume
ch in OI today
ch in OI % today
PE4800NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
10.80
(6.50)
4,495,700
6,268,250
(62,750)
49,150
0.79
PE4900NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
21.50
(8.45)
7,052,650
5,792,750
1,125,650
(155,500)
(2.61)
PE4700NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
5.50
(4.70)
2,777,500
5,662,800
65,850
(155,400)
(2.67)
PE5000NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
44.25
(9.85)
11,991,650
4,849,800
3,533,000
(54,800)
(1.12)
PE4500NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
2.45
(1.65)
944,350
4,537,600
(209,950)
(141,800)
(3.03)
PE4600NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
3.10
(3.15)
1,555,450
4,316,050
173,050
(345,850)
(7.42)
CE5100NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
51.20
(7.80)
9,741,900
3,997,950
1,354,650
232,400
6.17
CE5000NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
106.30
(7.30)
9,761,900
3,799,350
3,993,750
223,700
6.26
CE5200NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
18.95
(6.85)
4,125,900
3,086,350
619,950
182,550
6.29
PE4400NIFTY1109
11/17/2009
1.85
(1.30)
580,600
2,660,600
(319,150)
(101,500)
(3.67)

 
Nifty data since 3/11/2009
 
Ticker
Date/Time
open
high
low
close
^NSEI
11/3/2009
4,712.25
4,729.85
4,538.50
4,563.90
^NSEI
11/4/2009
4,567.30
4,717.80
4,565.00
4,710.80
^NSEI
11/5/2009
4,711.65
4,776.35
4,610.60
4,765.55
^NSEI
11/6/2009
4,767.50
4,836.20
4,764.85
4,796.15
^NSEI
11/9/2009
4,796.15
4,905.25
4,789.90
4,898.40
^NSEI
11/10/2009
4,898.90
4,947.70
4,860.10
4,881.70
^NSEI
11/11/2009
4,882.30
5,016.70
4,870.05
5,003.95
^NSEI
11/12/2009
5,004.40
5,014.40
4,924.75
4,952.65
^NSEI
11/13/2009
4,952.35
5,017.90
4,942.65
4,998.95
^NSEI
11/16/2009
4,996.50
5,073.20
4,994.00
5,058.05
^NSEI
11/17/2009
5,058.95
5,074.00
5,010.15
5,062.25
 
If you observe the lows not a single day since 3rd Nov 2009, previous day low has been breached in spite of some selling pressure on some days during late hours. Higher high and higher low continues.
 
 
 
FII & DII Turnover (BSE + NSE)
(Rs. crore)

FII DII
Trade Date Buy Sales Net Buy Sales Net
17/11/09 2,376.47 1,913.05 463.42 931.18 1,166.72 -235.54
16/11/09 2,446.31 1,901.67 544.64 843.31 1,137.95 -294.64
13/11/09 2,156.51 1,685.39 471.12 1,076.34 1,101.74 -25.40
Nov, 09 28,655.36 25,434.71 3,220.65 15,295.63 14,229.23 1,066.40
Since 1/1/09   * 517,589.53 496,185.73 21,403.80 269,835.84 244,985.84 24,850.00
Based on Highs and lows and the continued FII buying, outlook continues to be bullish but options data suggests caution as some profit booking in puts have taken place.
cheers
vish



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