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Saturday, May 30, 2009

DG - MoneyTimes [1 Attachment]

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Saturday, May 23, 2009

DG - Management Pot-Pourri


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DG - Always Follow Your Dreams



Always Follow Your Dreams 
 

There were once 2 brothers who lived on the 80th level. On coming home one day, they realized to their dismay that the lifts were not working and that they have to climb the stairs home.

After struggling to the 20th level, panting and tired, they decided to abandon their bags and come back for them the next day. They left their bags then and climbed on. When they have struggled to the 40th level, the younger brother started to grumble and both of them began to quarrel. They continued to climb the flights of steps, quarreling all the way to the 60th floor.

They then realized that they have only 20 levels more to climb and decided to stop quarreling and continue climbing in peace. They silently climbed on and reached their home at long last. Each stood calmly before the door and waited for the other to open the door.

And they realized that the key was in their bags which was left on the 20th floor

This story is reflecting on our life...many of us live under the expectations of our parents, teachers and friends when young. We seldom get to do the things that we really like and love and are under so much pressure and stress so that by the age of 20, we get tired and decided to dump this load.

Being free of the stress and pressure, we work enthusiastically and dream ambitious wishes.

But by the time we reach 40 years old, we start to lose our vision and dreams. We began to feel unsatisfied and start to complain and criticize. We live life as a misery as we are never satisfied. Reaching 60, we realize that we have little left for complaining anymore, and we began to walk the final episode in peace and calmness.

We think that there is nothing left to disappoint us, only to realize that we could not rest in peace because we have an unfulfilled dream ...... a dream we abandoned 60 years ago.

So what is your dream? Follow your dreams, so that you will not live with regrets.

 

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BigGains !!
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DG - Smart Investments [1 Attachment]


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Thursday, May 21, 2009

DG - FW: MAN Industries (India): Sharekhan Stock Ideas dated May 21, 2009 [1 Attachment]

[Attachment(s) from RoHiT included below]

 

 

From: The Sharekhan Research Team [mailto:marketwatch@research.sharekhan.com]
Sent: 21 May 2009 16:03
To: The Sharekhan Research Team
Subject: MAN Industries (India): Sharekhan Stock Ideas dated May 21, 2009

 

Stock Ideas
[May 21, 2009] Please see the attachment for details

Sharekhan
www.sharekhan.com

Summary of Contents

STOCK IDEAS

MAN Industries (India)
Cluster: Emerging Star
Recommendation: Buy
Price target: Rs66
Current market price: Rs42

Piping hot

Key points

  • A smart play on the pipe sector: With equal capacity for both HSAW and LSAW pipes, MAN Industries (India) Ltd (MIL) offers an exciting play on the Indian pipe industry. The pipe makers around the world are expected to benefit from the expected revival in global E&P capex on the back of the hardening crude oil prices and allaying concerns over the global economic scenario. The global opportunity for pipes is pegged at over $80 billion over the next few years while the domestic opportunity remains strong led by the heavy capex of GAIL, GSPL etc.
  • Strong order book: With the win of a huge order of Rs1,340 crore from the Persian Gulf, the current order backlog of the company stands at Rs2,000 crore. MIL also has L1 position in orders worth Rs1,100 crore which are likely to be awarded soon. Moreover, the margins were maintained in FY2009 despite a challenging environment and we expect them to sustain going forward as well.
  • Capacities already expanded; US plans put on hold: In the last couple of years, MIL has substantially raised its capacity to 1 million tonne currently. With its capex already completed, it does not have any meaningful capex lined up for the future. It has also put on hold its plans to set up an HSAW plant in the USA. In fact, the company has decided to buy back its FCCBs and the purchase would be funded out of the unutilised FCCB money and internal accruals.
  • Realty portfolio adds to the attraction: MIL’s subsidiary, Man Infra, is currently executing two commercial projects in Bandra and Vile Parle, and one residential-cum-commercial project at Nerul. In our valuations, we have not considered the value of the real estate portfolio as the realty business is at a very nascent stage. However, we have valued the realty projects of the group at Rs103.4 crore and if this value is included in our estimates the same could add about Rs19 to the sum-of-the-parts valuation.
  • Attractive valuations: The stock is currently trading at about 3.1x FY2011E earnings and at an EV/EBIDTA of 1.2x, which is significantly lower than its historic average (of about 9x). With an expected revival in the industry, the valuation multiples are likely to improve. Further, its valuation gap with the larger pipe makers had widened significantly in recent times but the same is likely to narrow down. Assuming a substantial discount to the average multiple, we have valued MIL taking the average of 5x one-year forward PE multiple and 2x one-year forward EV/EBIDTA multiple. We recommend a Buy on the stock with a price target of Rs66.

Regards,
The Sharekhan Research Team

myaccount@sharekhan.com

 

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Attachment(s) from RoHiT

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BigGains !!
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009

DG - Monthly economy review: Sharekhan Special dated May 19, 2009 [1 Attachment]

[Attachment(s) from RoHiT included below]

 

Sharekhan Special
[May 19, 2009] Please see the attachment for details

Sharekhan
www.sharekhan.com

Summary of Contents

SHAREKHAN SPECIAL

Monthly economy review

Economy: Decisive election mandate: A positive surprise

  • Contrary to street expectations, the decisive mandate in favour of the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) has come as a pleasant surprise. This essentially means that the new government would be more confident and stable (without the baggage of the ideology of the Left parties and reduced influence of the regional parties). Given the higher flexibility that the new government will enjoy in policymaking, the markets have started hoping for major reforms that would encourage investment in various sectors and lead to the return of capital inflows into the country. 
  • On April 21, 2009, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced its annual policy review. The RBI announced a token cut in the repo and reverse repo rates while leaving the cash reserve ratio (CRR) and the statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) unchanged. The announcement was in line with our expectations and highlighted the central bank’s decision to wait for the realisation of the fuller impact of the past measures while stressing the need to bring down the lending rates. The FY2010 macro aggregate estimates now stand at: Gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 6%; inflation at 4.0% by March 2010; credit growth of 20%; deposit growth of 18%; and money supply (M3) growth of 17%. 
  • India’s trade deficit declined sequentially to USD4.05 billion in March 2009 from USD4.91 billion in the previous month. The trade deficit for March 2009 declined (for the third consecutive month) by 36.0% year on year (yoy) and by 17.6% on a month-on-month (m-o-m) basis. With this, the trade deficit for FY2009 has widened to USD109.0 billion from USD81.2 billion in FY2008. 
  • In March 2009, the industrial production growth contracted sharply by 2.3% yoy, the steepest contraction in the past one and half decade. Importantly, the Index for Industrial Production (IIP) figure for February 2009 has been revised upwards to indicate a decline of 0.7% yoy against a drop of 1.2% (provisional) earlier. The fall in the industrial output was led by a strong year-on-year (y-o-y) decline of 3.3% and that of 8.2% in the output of the manufacturing and capital goods segments respectively. For FY2009, the IIP growth stood at 2.4% and was significantly weaker compared with the 8.5% growth achieved in the previous year. Though there has been some pick-up in the overall industrial activity, the high base of the previous year has had its bearing on March 2009 figures. Even though the recent uptick seen in the automobile sales, cement dispatches and steel production sustained in April 2009 as well, we believe there is still some time to conclusively term this uptick as a revival in the overall industrial activity. 
  • After falling sharply to 0.18% in the previous month, the inflation rate inched up to 0.48% for the week ended May 02, 2009. The gradual decline in the inflation rate follows its rise to a record high of 12.91% in August 2008. However, on a week-on-week (w-o-w) basis, the inflation rate has inched up by 0.4% on the back of higher food prices and higher inflation in primary articles. The inflation rate is near zero levels and we believe it is likely to enter the negative territory in the coming few weeks as the high base effect comes into play. 
  • Globally, the real economies showed some early signs of revival during the last month. There has been some pick-up lately in some of the indicators, like the housing start-ups, new home sales, the Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) Manufacturing Index. Though the pace of deterioration has slowed down, the trend has not reversed completely as head winds persist (read more under “Global round-up”).

Banking: Credit growth remains subdued

  • The non-food credit growth (as on April 24, 2009) improved to 18.1% yoy from the 17.5% y-o-y growth seen a month ago. The deposit growth improved to 22.5% yoy in April from the 20.0% y-o-y growth registered in the previous month. The central bank targets a 20% credit growth and an 18% deposit growth in the current fiscal. 
  • The deployment rate (ie the credit-deposit [CD] ratio) dipped to 68.6% in April 2009 vs 71.1% in the previous month. Similarly, the incremental CD ratio too fell to 57.2% from 63.7% in the previous month.
  • The M3 growth rate increased to 20.8% as on April 24, 2009 compared with 18.6% on March 27, 2009. For FY2010, the RBI targets a 17% growth in the money supply and the target is largely in line with the growth seen in the previous year. 
  • Yields on government securities (G-Secs) cooled off a bit in May 2009. After touching a high of 7% in March 2009, the ten-year G-Sec yield stood at 6.41% as on May 15, 2009. We expect the movement in the bond market to remain volatile on the back of the recent government-borrowing plan. 

Equity markets: Volumes take a breather

  • Since March 2009, the strong rally in the broader markets has boosted the volumes in the equity markets. In April 2009, the average daily volumes in the futures and options (F&O) and the cash segment were higher by 29.5% and 53.5% respectively as compared with the levels seen in the previous month. Meanwhile, during the MTD period in May 2009, the average daily volumes fell by 21.4% in the F&O segment while it remained flat in the cash segment. For May 2009, the MTD fund flows indicate the foreign institutional investors (FIIs) as well as the local mutual funds (MFs) have remained net buyers. 
  • The total assets under management (AUMs) for the MF industry registered a strong 11.7% sequential increase. However, on a y-o-y basis, the total AUMs for the MF industry fell for the seventh consecutive month (albeit at a slower pace) by recording a 3.3% decline in April 2009 and stood at Rs552,006 crore. 

Insurance: Premium contraction slows down

  • In March 2009, the annualised premium equivalent (APE) for the life insurance industry declined by 11.0% yoy, slower compared with the 23.7% y-o-y decline in the previous month. The APE for the private players fell by 15.7% yoy, continuing its declining trend for the fifth consecutive month. For Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) it fell by 4.6% yoy. 
  • In the non-life insurance business, the gross premium underwritten for the industry registered a growth of 7.6% yoy in March 2009. The growth in the gross premium underwritten of the public sector players increased to 10.5% yoy, while for the private sector players it increased by 3.0% yoy.

Regards,
The Sharekhan Research Team

myaccount@sharekhan.com

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BigGains !!
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DG - BOOK PROFITS RISHI LASER



Dear Members,

 

I hope you were able to get benefits from RISHI LASER. If you have bought this stock please book profits.

 

JuSt RoHiT

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BigGains !!
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