Indicators merely indicate - I think sudden spurts are difficult to be
captured since indicators mostly lag.
On Fri, Nov 20, 2009 at 4:35 PM, Abhijeet Parihar
<
abhijeet1807@ gmail.com> wrote:
> Guys, RSI is still overbought, Stochs still giving sell signal, MACD
> on daily chart is also shouting sell. Then its baffling to see such a
> massive nd sudden upmove. How does one predict such move? Did any one
> predict this through indicators or charts?
> Thanks
> Abhijeet
>
> On 11/20/09, Abhijit <
ap19632000@yahoo. com> wrote:
>> Both, the 4900 ce and 5100 pe indicate that Nifty might not go below 4930-
>> 50, and if at all it does, there will be a huge unwinding of longs.
>>
>> Low today 4932.8...... .5050 as I type this.
>>
>> Cheers,
>>
>> AP
>>
>>
>>
>> ----- Original Message -----
>> From: Abhijit
>> To:
Technical-Investor@ yahoogroups. com>> Sent: Wednesday, November 18, 2009 10:04 PM
>> Subject: Re: [Technical-Investor ] options data 1811
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> There is another way of studying Options which is also equally successful in
>> predicting the trend--- intra day charts of options.
>>
>> Charts of Nov 4900 ce and 5100 pe attached.
>>
>> The 4900 ce chart confirms what Vish has said - that upside is limited for
>> now. Moreover, between yesterday and today, there were 6 tops at 113 for
>> 5000 ce (yes, SIX tops).
>>
>> The 4900 ce indicates that it has topped out for the short term and so has
>> the Nifty.
>>
>> However, the 5100 pe also says that downside is limited, and it has a good
>> resistance at 125 - 128.
>>
>> Both, the 4900 ce and 5100 pe indicate that Nifty might not go below 4930-
>> 50, and if at all it does, there will be a huge unwinding of longs.
>>
>> Cheers,
>>
>> AP
>> ----- Original Message -----
>> From: vish
>> To:
Technical-Investor@ yahoogroups. com>> Sent: Wednesday, November 18, 2009 7:41 PM
>> Subject: Re: [Technical-Investor ] options data 1811
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> Options with increase in OI
>>
>> Ticker Date/Time close ch in Pr volume Open Int ch in volume
>> ch in OI today ch in OI % today
>> PE4800NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 10.75 (0.05) 5,619,300 7,580,550
>> 1,123,600 1,312,300 20.94
>> PE5000NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 43.35 (0.90) 9,899,550 5,471,450
>> (2,092,100) 621,650 12.82
>> CE5100NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 41.60 (9.60) 9,024,550 4,367,200
>> (717,350) 369,250 9.24
>> PE4900NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 21.60 0.10 6,572,800 6,088,150
>> (479,850) 295,400 5.1
>> PE4900NIFTY1209 11/18/2009 100.15 (2.40) 611,900 1,093,700
>> 317,300 294,950 36.93
>> CE5000NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 95.00 (11.30) 7,522,700 4,084,050
>> (2,239,200) 284,700 7.49
>> PE5100NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 85.15 0.35 5,007,300 2,082,150
>> 1,312,750 212,700 11.38
>> PE5000NIFTY1209 11/18/2009 136.20 (1.20) 544,950 1,294,450
>> 88,300 190,900 17.3
>> PE4000NIFTY0110 11/18/2009 20.15 (2.10) 144,000 159,300
>> 107,400 113,400 247.06
>> CE5200NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 13.60 (5.35) 3,567,700 3,198,900
>> (558,200) 112,550 3.65
>>
>>
>>
>> Options with decrease in OI
>>
>> Ticker Date/Time close ch in Pr volume Open Int ch in volume
>> ch in OI today ch in OI % today
>> PE4500NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 1.85 (0.60) 1,320,500 3,880,900
>> 376,150 (656,700) -14.47
>> PE4400NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 1.40 (0.45) 594,500 2,333,700
>> 13,900 (326,900) -12.29
>> PE4600NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 2.55 (0.55) 1,861,100 4,008,050
>> 305,650 (308,000) -7.14
>> PE4700NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 5.05 (0.45) 2,002,450 5,440,050
>> (775,050) (222,750) -3.93
>> PE4200NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 1.05 (0.30) 267,350 1,079,100
>> 26,400 (166,250) -13.35
>> PE4100NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 0.95 (0.25) 171,600 666,650
>> 36,350 (125,400) -15.83
>> CE4900NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 172.00 (10.60) 756,900 2,458,750
>> (332,100) (114,050) -4.43
>> CE4800NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 260.85 (10.65) 318,550 2,064,050
>> (118,800) (108,000) -4.97
>> PE4300NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 1.20 (0.25) 235,700 1,785,700
>> 26,850 (104,600) -5.53
>> CE4800NIFTY0310 11/18/2009 492.80 18.20 100,050 54,100
>> 100,000 (100,000) -64.89
>>
>>
>> Max OI in nifty options
>> Nifty Range is now 4800 to 5100 ( No change fr 4800-5100 on Tuesday)
>>
>> Ticker Date/Time close ch in Pr volume Open Int ch in volume
>> ch in OI today ch in OI % today
>> PE4800NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 10.75 (0.05) 5,619,300 7,580,550
>> 1,123,600 1,312,300 20.94
>> PE4900NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 21.60 0.10 6,572,800 6,088,150
>> (479,850) 295,400 5.1
>> PE5000NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 43.35 (0.90) 9,899,550 5,471,450
>> (2,092,100) 621,650 12.82
>> PE4700NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 5.05 (0.45) 2,002,450 5,440,050
>> (775,050) (222,750) -3.93
>> CE5100NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 41.60 (9.60) 9,024,550 4,367,200
>> (717,350) 369,250 9.24
>> CE5000NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 95.00 (11.30) 7,522,700 4,084,050
>> (2,239,200) 284,700 7.49
>> PE4600NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 2.55 (0.55) 1,861,100 4,008,050
>> 305,650 (308,000) -7.14
>> PE4500NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 1.85 (0.60) 1,320,500 3,880,900
>> 376,150 (656,700) -14.47
>> CE5200NIFTY1109 11/18/2009 13.60 (5.35) 3,567,700 3,198,900
>> (558,200) 112,550 3.65
>> PE4500NIFTY1209 11/18/2009 28.10 (3.95) 540,250 2,654,300
>> 312,400 87,350 3.4
>>
>>
>> FII & DII Turnover (BSE + NSE)
>> (Rs. crore)
>> FII DII
>> Trade Date Buy Sales Net Buy Sales Net
>> 18/11/09 2,597.45 2,185.32 412.13 1,091.23 1,347.96 -256.73
>> 17/11/09 2,376.47 1,913.05 463.42 931.18 1,166.72 -235.54
>> 16/11/09 2,446.31 1,901.67 544.64 843.31 1,137.95 -294.64
>> Nov, 09 31,252.81 27,620.03 3,632.78 16,386.87 15,577.19 809.68
>> Since 1/1/09 * 520,186.99 498,371.04 21,815.95 270,927.07
>> 246,333.80 24,593.27
>>
>>
>> FIIs buy DIIs sell!
>>
>> Nifty data since 3/11/2009
>>
>> Ticker Date/Time high low Range
>> ^NSEI 11/3/2009 4,729.85 4,538.50 191.35
>> ^NSEI 11/4/2009 4,717.80 4,565.00 152.80
>> ^NSEI 11/5/2009 4,776.35 4,610.60 165.75
>> ^NSEI 11/6/2009 4,836.20 4,764.85 71.35
>> ^NSEI 11/9/2009 4,905.25 4,789.90 115.35
>> ^NSEI 11/10/2009 4,947.70 4,860.10 87.60
>> ^NSEI 11/11/2009 5,016.70 4,870.05 146.65
>> ^NSEI 11/12/2009 5,014.40 4,924.75 89.65
>> ^NSEI 11/13/2009 5,017.90 4,942.65 75.25
>> ^NSEI 11/16/2009 5,073.20 4,994.00 79.20
>> ^NSEI 11/17/2009 5,074.00 5,010.15 63.85
>> ^NSEI 11/18/2009 5,079.30 5,041.65 37.65
>>
>>
>> If you observe the lows not a single day since 3rd Nov 2009, previous day
>> low has been breached in spite of some selling pressure on some days during
>> late hours. Higher high and higher low continues but the daily range is
>> getting smaller.
>>
>> cheers
>> vish
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> ------------ --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---
>> From: vish <
vichooo_1999@ yahoo.com>
>> To:
Technical-Investor@ yahoogroups. com>> Sent: Tue, November 17, 2009 7:28:57 PM
>> Subject: Re: [Technical-Investor ] options data 1711
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> Options with increase in OI
>>
>> Ticker Date/Time close ch in Pr volume Open Int ch in volume
>> ch in OI today ch in OI % today
>> CE4900NIFTY1209 11/17/2009 273.05 (11.95) 1,185,600 1,466,700
>> 1,073,550 908,050 162.54
>> PE5100NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 84.80 (11.60) 3,694,550 1,869,450
>> (214,250) 240,050 14.73
>> PE4800NIFTY1209 11/17/2009 76.35 (9.00) 772,400 1,470,750
>> 494,000 238,050 19.31
>> CE5100NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 51.20 (7.80) 9,741,900 3,997,950
>> 1,354,650 232,400 6.17
>> CE5000NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 106.30 (7.30) 9,761,900 3,799,350
>> 3,993,750 223,700 6.26
>> CE5000NIFTY0310 11/17/2009 358.10 (18.90) 200,050 291,300
>> 199,000 200,000 219.06
>> CE5200NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 18.95 (6.85) 4,125,900 3,086,350
>> 619,950 182,550 6.29
>> PE5000NIFTY1209 11/17/2009 137.40 (10.70) 456,650 1,103,550
>> 212,550 178,400 19.28
>> CE5200NIFTY1209 11/17/2009 112.05 (9.05) 391,100 1,141,200
>> 155,950 134,300 13.34
>> CE5100NIFTY1209 11/17/2009 155.60 (11.25) 341,600 910,500
>> 87,150 127,800 16.33
>> PE4500NIFTY0110 11/17/2009 63.00 (3.25) 113,950 121,350
>> 112,950 112,750 1,311.05
>> CE5300NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 6.05 (3.50) 1,259,800 1,973,100
>> (43,450) 112,400 6.04
>> PE4600NIFTY1209 11/17/2009 41.95 (4.90) 284,600 1,509,800
>> (389,250) 111,100 7.94
>> PE4300NIFTY1209 11/17/2009 19.05 (2.75) 305,400 2,034,700
>> (77,000) 100,050 5.17
>>
>>
>>
>> Options with decrease in OI
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> Ticker Date/Time close ch in Pr volume Open Int ch in volume
>> ch in OI today ch in OI % today
>> PE4600NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 3.10 (3.15) 1,555,450 4,316,050
>> 173,050 (345,850) (7.42)
>> CE4800NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 271.50 (4.95) 437,350 2,172,050
>> 23,850 (253,350) (10.45)
>> CE4900NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 182.60 (5.15) 1,089,000 2,572,800
>> 207,150 (227,850) (8.14)
>> PE4900NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 21.50 (8.45) 7,052,650 5,792,750
>> 1,125,650 (155,500) (2.61)
>> PE4700NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 5.50 (4.70) 2,777,500 5,662,800
>> 65,850 (155,400) (2.67)
>> PE4500NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 2.45 (1.65) 944,350 4,537,600
>> (209,950) (141,800) (3.03)
>> PE4400NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 1.85 (1.30) 580,600 2,660,600
>> (319,150) (101,500) (3.67)
>> PE4200NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 1.35 (0.65) 240,950 1,245,350
>> 3,500 (101,200) (7.52)
>> CE4700NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 364.35 (4.45) 175,300 2,113,300
>> 14,100 (79,700) (3.63)
>> CE5400NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 2.35 (1.85) 386,000 1,119,600
>> (150,350) (55,500) (4.72)
>>
>>
>> Puts shorts are being covered. Prelude to a fall?
>>
>> Max OI in nifty options
>>
>> Nifty Range is now 4800 to 5100 ( No change fr 4800-5100 on Monday)
>>
>>
>>
>> Ticker Date/Time close ch in Pr volume Open Int ch in volume
>> ch in OI today ch in OI % today
>> PE4800NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 10.80 (6.50) 4,495,700 6,268,250
>> (62,750) 49,150 0.79
>> PE4900NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 21.50 (8.45) 7,052,650 5,792,750
>> 1,125,650 (155,500) (2.61)
>> PE4700NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 5.50 (4.70) 2,777,500 5,662,800
>> 65,850 (155,400) (2.67)
>> PE5000NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 44.25 (9.85) 11,991,650 4,849,800
>> 3,533,000 (54,800) (1.12)
>> PE4500NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 2.45 (1.65) 944,350 4,537,600
>> (209,950) (141,800) (3.03)
>> PE4600NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 3.10 (3.15) 1,555,450 4,316,050
>> 173,050 (345,850) (7.42)
>> CE5100NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 51.20 (7.80) 9,741,900 3,997,950
>> 1,354,650 232,400 6.17
>> CE5000NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 106.30 (7.30) 9,761,900 3,799,350
>> 3,993,750 223,700 6.26
>> CE5200NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 18.95 (6.85) 4,125,900 3,086,350
>> 619,950 182,550 6.29
>> PE4400NIFTY1109 11/17/2009 1.85 (1.30) 580,600 2,660,600
>> (319,150) (101,500) (3.67)
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> Nifty data since 3/11/2009
>>
>> Ticker Date/Time open high low close
>> ^NSEI 11/3/2009 4,712.25 4,729.85 4,538.50 4,563.90
>> ^NSEI 11/4/2009 4,567.30 4,717.80 4,565.00 4,710.80
>> ^NSEI 11/5/2009 4,711.65 4,776.35 4,610.60 4,765.55
>> ^NSEI 11/6/2009 4,767.50 4,836.20 4,764.85 4,796.15
>> ^NSEI 11/9/2009 4,796.15 4,905.25 4,789.90 4,898.40
>> ^NSEI 11/10/2009 4,898.90 4,947.70 4,860.10 4,881.70
>> ^NSEI 11/11/2009 4,882.30 5,016.70 4,870.05 5,003.95
>> ^NSEI 11/12/2009 5,004.40 5,014.40 4,924.75 4,952.65
>> ^NSEI 11/13/2009 4,952.35 5,017.90 4,942.65 4,998.95
>> ^NSEI 11/16/2009 4,996.50 5,073.20 4,994.00 5,058.05
>> ^NSEI 11/17/2009 5,058.95 5,074.00 5,010.15 5,062.25
>>
>>
>> If you observe the lows not a single day since 3rd Nov 2009, previous day
>> low has been breached in spite of some selling pressure on some days during
>> late hours. Higher high and higher low continues.
>>
>>
>>
>> FII & DII Turnover (BSE + NSE)
>> (Rs. crore)
>> FII DII
>> Trade Date Buy Sales Net Buy Sales Net
>> 17/11/09 2,376.47 1,913.05 463.42 931.18 1,166.72 -235.54
>> 16/11/09 2,446.31 1,901.67 544.64 843.31 1,137.95 -294.64
>> 13/11/09 2,156.51 1,685.39 471.12 1,076.34 1,101.74 -25.40
>> Nov, 09 28,655.36 25,434.71 3,220.65 15,295.63 14,229.23 1,066.40
>> Since 1/1/09 * 517,589.53 496,185.73 21,403.80 269,835.84
>> 244,985.84 24,850.00
>>
>> Based on Highs and lows and the continued FII buying, outlook continues to
>> be bullish but options data suggests caution as some profit booking in puts
>> have taken place.
>>
>> cheers
>> vish
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>
>
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--
Trading at all skill levels evokes emotions that generate great illusions.
Today's excitement won't move tomorrow's markets
Don't let that small voice of ego tell you that you have special talents.
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