Sensex

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

**[investwise]** South Indian Bank-BUY

 

South Indian Bank-System Aberration, Time To Reboot

BUY

 

Q4FY10 absorbs full-year interest burden on special deposit scheme

 

System migrates to daily accrual basis with immediate effect

Independent risk mitigation group established for proactive monitoring

Gross NPA at 0.6% and net NPA at 0.17%

Convinced on management credibility and implementation of corrective

measures to address.

 

Maintain BUY with a revised TP of Rs180 (from our earlier TP of Rs190).

 

 

South Indian Bank (SIB), suffering from a system aberration, reported a below-par

performance during Q4FY10 with NII at Rs7.89bn, registering a 46% YoY decline

while net profit clocked in at Rs386mn, witnessing a 23% YoY decline. The system

error resulted in SIB having to absorb the full-year impact of the interest expenditure

from a special deposit scheme during Q4FY10 alone.

 

Subsequent to our interaction with senior members of the management team as

well as the head of the IT department, we are convinced that corrective measures

have been introduced and implemented. We append a piece on the key takeaways

from our interaction with a senior member of SIB's IT team.

 

Valuation and recommendation: We maintain our BUY recommendation on the

stock with a marginally revised TP of Rs180. Our FY11E estimates have undergone

downward adjustments to factor in the management guidance on key parameters.

At its CMP of Rs151, the stock quotes at 1.0x our FY11E ABVPS of Rs146.


Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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