Sensex

Saturday, September 22, 2007

$$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated September 21, 2007

 

 

From: The Sharekhan Research Team [mailto:marketwatch@research.sharekhan.com]
Sent: 21 September 2007 15:27
To: The Sharekhan Research Team
Subject: Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated September 21, 2007

 

 

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September 21, 2007

 

Index Performance

Index

Sensex

Nifty

Open

16,352.32

4,752.95

High

16,616.84

4,855.70

Low

16,308.09

4,733.70

Today's Cls

16,564.23

4,837.55

Prev Cls

16,347.95

4,747.55

Change

216.28

90.00

% Change

1.32

1.90

 

Market Indicators

Top Movers (Group A)

Company

Price 
(Rs)

%
chg

Gainers

RPL

154.95

11.60

Jindal Steel

5,371.20

9.66

GMDC

1,090.75

8.56

Escorts

119.95

7.58

Chambal Fertilisers

53.85

6.00

Losers

Torrent Pharma

184.20

-6.00

Britannia

1,479.95

-3.84

EIH

107.95

-3.53

Nestle

1,245.00

-3.51

Tata Tea

784.25

-2.54

Market Statistics

-

BSE

NSE

Advances

1,166

491

Declines

1,629

645

Unchanged

48

21

Volume(Nos)

66.06cr

101.31cr

 Market Commentary 

Market continues its record rally

Strong optimism in heavyweights, oil and technology stocks lift the Sensex to a record high of 16,617.

Rising crude oil prices and impending nuclear issue between the UPA government and CPI(M) ruled the investor’s sentiment in the early trades, and the Sensex  

 

witnessed a sharp volatility for better part of the session. Negative global cues led the Sensex to open flat, but heavy buying in oil, auto and cement stock propelled the Sensex to the its all-time high of 16,617. The wholesale price index (WPI) rose to 3.32% for the week ended September 8 which was lower than the previous week's increase of 3.52%. The lower WPI also helped the market sentiment to remain positive. The Sensex slipped marginally towards the close and ended the session with a gain of 1.32%, up 216 points at 16,564. The Nifty moved up by 1.90%, up 90 points to close at 4,838.

Surprisingly the breadth of the market was negative. Of the 2,843 stocks traded on the BSE, 1,629 stocks declined, 1,166 stocks advanced and 48 stocks ended unchanged. Among the sectoral indices, the BSE Oil & Gas index flared up by 3.55% followed by the BSE Teck index (up 1.62%), the BSE Realty index (up 1.54%), the BSE PSU index (up 1.28%) and the BSE Auto index (up 1.10%). However, the BSE FMCG index, the BSE HC index and the BSE CD index ended in the negative territory. 

Movers & Shakers

  • ICRA closed in the green after its subsidiary ICRA Online launched ICRA Mpower, a web-based platform for mutual fund distributors and financial advisors.
  • Tezpore Tea hit the upper circuit on entering an agreement with Dalmia Tea to sell one of company's tea estate.


Most of the index stocks ended at higher levels. Reliance Industries was the day's star performer and shot up by 3.75% at Rs2,274. Among the other major gainers, Bharti Airtel surged 3.08% at Rs918, SBI vaulted by 2.78% at Rs1,808, Reliance Communication spurted 2.28% at Rs579, Reliance Energy jumped by 2.22% at Rs1,009, Grasim scaled up by 2.20% at Rs3,447, HUL advanced by 2.19% at Rs219, Maruti Udyog added 2.14% at Rs930 and ONGC rose 1.98% at Rs923. Among the laggards ITC slumped by 1.60% at Rs191, Hindalco dropped 1.36% at Rs160, while, Cipla, NTPC, Satyam Computers, Ranbaxy, ACC, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Bajaj Auto slipped marginally.

Oil stocks were in limelight today. Reliance Petro vaulted by 11.60% at Rs155, Gail India soared 3.67% at Rs350, Cairns India added 1.83% at Rs178 and IOC advanced 1.56% at Rs406.

Over 9.52 crore Reliance Natural Resources shares changed hands on the BSE followed by Ambuja Cement (7.05 crore shares), Tata Teleservices (3.50 crore shares), Reliance Petroleum (2.89 crore shares) and IFCI (2.05 crore shares).

Value wise, Ambuja Cement registered a turnover of Rs1,081 crore on the BSE followed by Reliance Natural Resources (Rs673 crore), Reliance Petroleum (Rs437 crore), Reliance Industries (Rs194 crore) and IFCI (Rs170 crore).

European Indices at 16:25 IST on 21-09-2007

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

FTSE 100

6463.60

34.60

0.54

CAC 40 Index

5696.03

7.27

0.13

DAX Index

7750.02

14.93

0.19

Asian Indices at close on 21-09-2007

Index

Level

Change (pts)

Change (%)

Nikkei 225

16312.61

-101.18

-0.62

Hang Seng

25843.78

142.65

0.56

Kospi Index

1919.26

10.29

0.54

Straits Times

3542.22

-10.24

-0.29

Jakarta Composite Index

2335.49

30.86

1.34

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“This document has been prepared by Sharekhan Ltd. This Document is subject to changes without prior notice and is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed to and may contain confidential and/or privileged material and is not for any type of circulation. Any review, retransmission, or any other use is prohibited. Kindly note that this document does not constitute an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction.
Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. SHAREKHAN will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
The information contained herein is from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable. While we would endeavour to update the information herein on reasonable basis, SHAREKHAN, its subsidiaries and associated companies, their directors and employees (“SHAREKHAN and affiliates”) are under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent SHAREKHAN and affiliates from doing so. We do not represent that information contained herein is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. This document is prepared for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone betaken as the basis for an investment decision. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. The investment discussed or views expressed may not be suitable for all investors. We do not undertake to advise you as to any change of our views. Affiliates of Sharekhan may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. 
This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject SHAREKHAN and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.
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$$ DreamGains !! $$ Q2FY2008 Earnings Preview : Sector Wise & Specific Companies

 

Sharekhan Special
[September 21, 2007] Please see the attachment for details

Sharekhan
www.sharekhan.com

Summary of Contents

 SHAREKHAN SPECIAL

Q2FY2008 earnings preview

Earnings of Sensex companies to grow by 20% yoy

Key points

  • The earnings of the Sensex' companies excluding oil companies and adjusted for one-time items are likely to grow by 20% year on year (yoy) and remain stable quarter on quarter in Q2FY2008. 
  • In Q1FY2008 we had seen that around 10% of the reported earnings had come from foreign exchange (forex) gains. Keeping the current strong uptrend of the rupee in mind, we may see companies reporting another 3-5% of one-time forex gains during the quarter. This would be in contrast to the initial expectations of forex losses in Q2FY2008, as the rupee had started to decline when our markets were facing the threat of large-scale withdrawal from foreign institutional investors (FIIs). After the political turmoil and global subprime saga unfolded in end July and most part of August 2007 there were fears that the FIIs would pull out serious money from the market.
  • The Q2FY2008 earnings of the Sensex are going to be driven by companies from the telecom, information technology (IT) and banking sectors. 
  • The backdrop of Q2FY2008 performance is not very encouraging with a lower export growth in rupee terms, a decline in the industrial output, deceleration in manufacturing revenues and a drop in automobile sales. All these leading indicators have been discussed in detail later. 
  • Latest corporate tax collection growth rate for the period April to September 15, 2007 has slowed down to 25% from 49% reported for the period April to August 2007 (the first five months in FY2008). This translates into a 11% yoy growth in corporate tax collections for the first fortnight of September which includes the second installment of advance tax payments for corporates. We need to look at full tax collections for the month as the collections could have been influenced by the banking holiday falling on September 15, 2007 and the period of advance tax payment being extended to September 17, 2007. 
  • Considering that all the leading indicators are pointing towards a slowdown, would the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) take cognisance of the matter and make the interest rate environment more conducive for growth? We feel the RBI is more likely to adopt a neutral stance in its next quarterly policy review meet (October end) before it starts easing its monetary stance. However the interest rates may start to come down slowly if the credit growth doesn't pick up and deposits continue to grow ahead of advances. This should set the stage for a recovery in key sectors like housing and automobiles with the onset of the festive season in the second half of the current fiscal.

Regards,
The Sharekhan Research Team

myaccount@sharekhan.com

 

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Friday, September 21, 2007

$$ DreamGains !! $$ The Rising Rupee -a View from Wharton

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FW: $$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: Jindal Saw: Sharekhan Stock Idea dated September 20, 2007

 

 

From: pradeep pawar [mailto:pawarp2005@yahoo.co.in]
Sent: 21 September 2007 17:08
To: RoHiT
Subject: Re: $$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: Jindal Saw: Sharekhan Stock Idea dated September 20, 2007

 

 

pls stop sending me the mail on my id

 

 



   thanking you

 


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Thursday, September 20, 2007

$$ DreamGains !! $$ FW: PowerYourTrade Trading Calls

 

 

From: mailer9-bounces@mailman3.moneycontrol.com [mailto:mailer9-bounces@mailman3.moneycontrol.com] On Behalf Of PowerYourTrade
Sent: 21 September 2007 07:55
To: alerts@poweryourtrade.com
Subject: PowerYourTrade Trading Calls

 

Trading Calls for 21th September 2007

Ashwani Gujral

Buy IDFC with a stop loss of Rs 130 for target of Rs 165.

Buy IDFC with a stop loss of Rs 130 for target of Rs 165.

Disclosure: Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in the future.

Buy Unitech with a stop loss of Rs 295 for target of Rs 400.

Buy Unitech with a stop loss of Rs 295 for target of Rs 400.

Disclosure: Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in the future.

 

 

Rajat K Bose

Sell NIIT Technologies with a stop loss above Rs 351.10 for targets of Rs 332 and Rs 327. This is a day trading recommendation.

Sell NIIT Technologies with a stop loss above Rs 351.10 for targets of Rs 332 and Rs 327. This is a day trading recommendation.

Note: Either on the long side or on the short side if at any moment a counter is not moving beyond an initial or interim target to the final target book profits. Once initial target is crossed, you can use that as your trailing stop-loss level.

Notes:

·  All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned.

·  Calls are based on the previous trading day's price activity.

·  The call is valid for the next trading session only unless otherwise mentioned.

·  Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there.

·  Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these recommendations.

Disclosure:The analyst and his family do not have any trades in the securities recommended above at the time of giving this recommendation. His newsletter clients have been recommended the same along with other picks. Traders are requested to adhere to the stop losses very strictly; they are given to be implemented, not ignored. Do not chase a security and take a position where you would be uncomfortable with the stop-loss level. Take a position only when you feel that the risk-reward ratio looks comfortable and favourable for the trade.

Buy L&T with stoploss below Rs 2657 for targets of Rs 2695 and 2710. This is a day trading recommendation.

Buy L&T with stoploss below Rs 2657 for targets of Rs 2695 and 2710. This is a day trading recommendation.

Note: Either on the long side or on the short side if at any moment a counter is not moving beyond an initial or interim target to the final target book profits. Once initial target is crossed, you can use that as your trailing stop-loss level.

Notes:

·  All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned.

·  Calls are based on the previous trading day's price activity.

·  The call is valid for the next trading session only unless otherwise mentioned.

·  Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there.

·  Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these recommendations.

Disclosure:The analyst and his family do not have any trades in the securities recommended above at the time of giving this recommendation. His newsletter clients have been recommended the same along with other picks. Traders are requested to adhere to the stop losses very strictly; they are given to be implemented, not ignored. Do not chase a security and take a position where you would be uncomfortable with the stop-loss level. Take a position only when you feel that the risk-reward ratio looks comfortable and favourable for the trade.

 

 

E Mathew

Buy Cairn India with a stop loss of Rs 166 for a short-term (3 Months) target of Rs 200.

Buy Cairn India with a stop loss of Rs 166 for a short-term (3 Months) target of Rs 200.

Disclaimer: - I, my family members and my group companies do not have any position what so ever in CAIRN INDIA LTD. This stock has been recommended to our clients and they may be holding long or short positions in this stock. Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com gives an unbiased and competent picture of trading opportunities and it does that to the best of its abilities. However, prices can move up as well as down due to number of factors, all of which are impossible for anyone to foresee. THEREFORE, Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com cannot accept any responsibility for any investment decision or trading decision taken by readers and clients on the basis of information contained herein.

Short Term Target Means – Approximately 3 Months.

Medium Term Target Means – Anything between 7 – 9 Months.

Long Term Target Means – Anything above 1 Year.

Please follow stop losses very strictly and do not take positions where one is uncomfortable with the stop loss level. Above all Buy or Sell the stock only when the risk - reward ratio vis-a-vis the stop loss is favourable for taking a position.

Buy Wanbury with a stop loss of Rs 118 for a short-term (3 Months) target of Rs 185.

Buy Wanbury with a stop loss of Rs 118 for a short-term (3 Months) target of Rs 185.

Disclaimer: - My associate companies and my clients hold trading positions in WANBURY LTD. Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com gives an unbiased and competent picture of trading opportunities and it does that to the best of its abilities. However, prices can move up as well as down due to number of factors, all of which are impossible for anyone to foresee. THEREFORE, Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com cannot accept any responsibility for any investment decision or trading decision taken by readers and clients on the basis of information contained herein.

Short Term Target Means – Approximately 3 Months.

Medium Term Target Means – Anything between 7 – 9 Months.

Long Term Target Means – Anything above 1 Year.

Please follow stop losses very strictly and do not take positions where one is uncomfortable with the stop loss level. Above all Buy or Sell the stock only when the risk - reward ratio vis-a-vis the stop loss is favourable for taking a position.

 

 

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