Sensex

Monday, May 24, 2010

[sharetrading] Reliance Shares Soar After Ambanis Seek ‘Harmony’

 

Mukesh Ambani's Reliance Industries Ltd. and companies controlled by Anil Ambani surged in Mumbai, adding $4 billion in market value, after the brothers moved to end a five-year feud that split India's second-biggest group.

Reliance Industries, operator of the world's largest refinery, gained as much as 5.4 percent, Reliance Infrastructure Ltd. rose 12 percent and Reliance Communications Ltd. advanced 13 percent, the three biggest gainers on the Sensitive Index.

Mukesh, 53, and 50-year-old Anil issued almost identical statements yesterday, saying they were "hopeful and confident" of creating an "environment of harmony, co-operation and collaboration" after ending a 2006 accord to not compete.

The agreement frees up the world's richest brothers to invest in sectors including finance, telecoms and energy and support India's target of spending $1.5 trillion over the next decade building infrastructure. The spat held up road projects in Mumbai, a power station intended to curb blackouts in New Delhi and a merger with Africa's biggest mobile-phone company.

"The two groups now get the opportunity to invest in many more businesses which were closed to them before," P. Phani Sekhar, who manages funds for wealthy individuals at Angel Broking Ltd., said by telephone from Mumbai. "Overall, the announcements are directionally positive because of the firm steps being taken toward a final truce."

Today's rally extended gains in the Reliance group companies that have more than tripled since the feuding brothers broke up the family enterprise. The six publically traded companies had a market value of $96 billion today, compared with $29 billion on Jan. 17, 2006, the day before the spilt.

Supreme Court

The rapprochement comes after India's Supreme Court on May 7 ordered the two groups to resolve a disagreement over supplying gas from India's largest field that Mukesh controls. The brothers will now negotiate an accord to ensure Anil's Reliance Power Ltd. gets the fuel it needs to build gas-fired projects.

The boards of both groups agreed to scrap the 2006 non- compete agreements and negotiations will "eliminate any room for further disputes," they said in statements yesterday. The groups will have "greater ability to participate in high growth sectors of the Indian economy, such as oil and gas, petrochemicals, telecommunications, power, and financial services," according to the statements.

"They can now focus on business rather than court battles," Jagannadham Thunuguntla, head of equity at SMC Capitals Ltd. in New Delhi, said by telephone. "The court order signaled the end-game was near and this agreement is a step in that direction."

Shares Surge

Reliance Industries shares gained 2.7 percent to 1,022.65 rupees at in Mumbai compared with a 0.2 percent increase in the benchmark Sensitive Index. Reliance Infrastructure, the Anil Ambani-controlled builder of a mass rapid transit system in Mumbai, added 6 percent to 1,048.40 and Reliance Communications rose 11 percent to 147.90 rupees.

Reliance Power climbed 7.9 percent, the most since July 15. Reliance Natural Resources advanced 23 percent, the biggest gain since June 15, and Reliance Capital Ltd. rose 4.8 percent.

In the years since the two brothers split the empire founded by their father, the late Dhirubhai Ambani, their battle over the price of natural gas from Reliance Industries assets halted plans for a major north Indian power plant, while a merger between Anil's Reliance Communications and South Africa's MTN Group Ltd. was scuttled after Mukesh said he had the first right to buy shares in his brother's company.

Fiercest Fight

Under the 2005 agreement to split the Reliance group, Mukesh kept the petrochemicals, oil and gas units along with the flagship company, Reliance Industries. Anil got newer businesses such as power, telecommunications, financial services and entertainment. Both retained rights to the Reliance name.

In October 2007, Anil's side of the business complained to the Indian capital markets regulator that Reliance Industries was trying to stall Reliance Power's initial public offering.

Their fiercest fight was over India's largest find of natural gas.

India's Supreme Court this month ordered the brothers to rework a gas-supply agreement that Anil Ambani said entitled his Reliance Natural Resources to buy fuel from the KG-D6 asset in the Bay of Bengal at below a government-set price.

The court ruled that the two firms must reach an agreement on a new contract within six weeks of the start of talks.

The companies "will expeditiously negotiate gas supply arrangements, as per Supreme Court order, and hope to conclude negotiations very soon," Anil Ambani's group said yesterday.

Reliance Industries had a market value of $71.2 billion at the end of today's trading. Reliance Infrastructure was valued at $5 billion, Reliance Power at $7.6 billion, Reliance Communications at $6.5 billion, Reliance Natural Resources at $1.9 billion and Reliance Capital Ltd. at $3.5 billion, valuing the five Anil Ambani group companies at $24.5 billion.

To contact the reporter on this story: Rakteem Katakey in New Delhi at rkatakey@bloomberg.net


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[sharetrading] sharekhan - eagle eye [1 Attachment]

 
[Attachment(s) from noufal tp included below]

regards
 
noufal

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[sharetrading] sharekhan special - IPO

 

file attached
 
regards
 
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[sharetrading] RIL [1 Attachment]

 
[Attachment(s) from noufal tp included below]

pdf file attached
 
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[sharetrading] Nifty

 

Unfortunately both calls got triggered out.

But sugar was a good performer… and so far will continue the trend. Very soon, all buy signals will start up…. But after close sugar seems to be tripping….

 

Nifty closing at a days low has all operator signatures. After tripping Nifty, UK markets is making efforts to rebound. But all depends on how US is going to open

 

Abe

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**[investwise]** Citibank: Expect A Sector Sell-off In PSU Banks, As Funds Shift Allocation to Stanchart IDRs

 

Citibank: To Play India, Go For Stanchart IDR's

Low Earnings Markets: Mexico and India — Mexico screens as having the lowest
bank earnings in our sample. A macro recovery in Mexico should support bank
earnings and penetration growth. We view BBVA as a good value play on Mexican
growth.

India also looks an attractive growth opportunity. Standard Chartered is a
way to play growth in India, as well as in Korea and other emerging markets.

Investment Recommendations
Using our market value penetration framework, decomposed into earnings and
valuation, we make the following investment comments:
1. Investors looking for low-PE banking systems should focus on Turkey,
Korea, and possibly Russia.
2. For low earnings relative to peers, Mexico screens best, as does India
relative to other BRICs.
3. China and Brazil have large market values but the main risk is one of
earnings sustainability not a valuation bubble.

Low Earnings markets – India
Among larger emerging markets, India has a relatively low bank earnings
penetration, behind Russia and half the level of Brazil and almost one-third the
level of China. India has a similar level of ROA as China but a much lower
lending penetration. India's lending penetration is similar to Brazil and Russia,
but its margins are much lower.

On a long-term view, the small size of India's banking market (c15% of GDP)
versus China (c30%) or Brazil (c25%) creates upside potential. However, in the
near-term, our Indian banks analysts, Manish Chowdhary and Aditya Narain,
caution that rising interest rates could be a headwind for Indian bank stocks,
especially public sector banks.

One play on Indian growth, while hedging short-term rate rising fears, could be
Standard Chartered. SCB is a CIB-focused franchise in India, where it earned
$1 billion in 2009 pre-tax profits (c20% of group profits). SCB also provides
gearing to a banking earnings recovery in Korea (SCB profits should treble from
currently depressed levels).


Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
We are low-risk, long-term investors. 

Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

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**[investwise]** Kalyani Steel-Financials Are Excellent post-demerger...stock up 15 per cent!

 


FYI


Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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Recent Activity:
*****************************************
http://in.groups.yahoo.com/group/investwise/

INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
We are low-risk, long-term investors. 

Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

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NEW! ==== Check our LINKS and FILES sections for a world of information. REGULARLY UPDATED.

NEW! ==== Check "Tracklist" in Links and Files sections for Investment Ideas.

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**[investwise]** Realty Check: Excessive Rentals Are Unsustainable (JPM); Sector Will Underperform

 

BSE Realty has witnssed a sharp sell-off over the last fortnight (10% vs. Sensex decline of 1%) despite newsflow turning positive on the policy front during the corresponding period (incidence of service tax reduced to 2.5% from 3.3% earlier and SBI's extension of teaser home loans).

Momentum is building up in the office sector with April/May seeing closure of large ticket transactions. In the residential segment, we do not forecast a big jump in new booking levels in FY11 as decline in residential volumes gets compensated by higher price levels.

Further, we think the debt levels to have peaked out in these companies and incrementally the same should start reducing FY11 onwards.

• Key trends in the physical market:

1Q10 volumes are down 10-15% Q/Q, prices up 5-10% – Residential volumes after witnessing a strong revival over the last year have now started to come off (decline of 10-15% in 1Q10) as 1) pent up demand of 09 taper off and 2) Higher price levels start hurting demand. 

1Q10 saw  prices increasing between 5-10% across markets. Mumbai market seems to
be the most stretched in terms of affordability while Bangalore looks to be most attractive. 

Through FY11, we expect wage growth (+10-15%) and improved hiring trends to offset concerns on mortgage rate increase.

Office absorption continues to improve with key markets (BKC in Mumbai/Gurgaon) witnessing few large ticket transactions (~US$100) over the last month. 

Cap rates across key markets have declined by 50-100bps over the last year. Despite positive absorption trends, rentals are likely to remain under pressure given an adverse demand supply gap (FY11 completions of 68msf vs. absorption of 28msf). 

We estimate that if 30% of expected supply does not come up, market may reach a balance by FY11. Cushman in its latest 2010 outlook expects office recovery to gain firmer foothold by 2H2010.

Retail rents to remain under pressure despite improving retailer sentiment–Most retailers are guiding towards positive sales trends and are looking at space expansion now as developers become accommodative in their asking rents and lease terms. 

However, existing high vacancy levels and huge demand supply gap would keep rentals under check. 2010 is expected to witness the completion of 17msf (90% is at advanced stage) vs. estimated absorption of ~9msf.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
*****************************************
http://in.groups.yahoo.com/group/investwise/

INVESTMENTS IN INDIA
We are low-risk, long-term investors. 

Stocks, mutual funds and the entire investment gamut.  Only financing/investment avenues in India will be discussed. 

For any assistance, questions or improvement ideas, contact investwise-owner@yahoogroups.co.in

****************************************************************

NEW! ==== Check our LINKS and FILES sections for a world of information. REGULARLY UPDATED.

NEW! ==== Check "Tracklist" in Links and Files sections for Investment Ideas.

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[sharetrading] Nifty 4900 call

 

Buy > 90.2

SL 86

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[sharetrading] UK

 

UK has opened very positive

 

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